The BUSINESS of CITIES 1

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2 Congratulations.Auckland City Centre Housing and Development Winyard Quarter City Rail Link TPP Opportunity Next cycle is all about the effects of success 2

3 Cycle Dynamics and Cities 4 th Cycle 1st Cycle Projects & Physical Renewal Promote the Metro Tourism Events 2 nd Cycle Assets Specialist Agencies Metro brand Larger Events New funding tools. Entrepreneurship Economic development. Strategic Visions Internal governance reforms 3 rd Cycle Managing growth and diversification Business Friendly Metro Investment Ready Metro Innovation / Universities Shaping the future Metropolitan sphere Broader leadership Integrated Brand Alliances Summits Internationalisation Strategy Managing success at the international scale Competitive benchmarking Eco-system management Business Leadership Dealing with growth and externalities External governance reforms. Global Summits Signature events 3 FDI

4 A new urban age No longer about hierarchy, command and control More cities than ever competing Size no longer equals success Not one model of success more ways to win 4

5 Globalization of cities happens in waves Cities (re)entering a global path Antwerp, Genoa, Istanbul, Venice Amsterdam, Guangzhou, London, New York Berlin, Paris, Birmingham Bilbao, Liverpool Manchester, Rotterdam, Vienna Munich, Seoul, Singapore, Tokyo, Toronto Bangalore, Barcelona, Chicago, Sydney, Tel Aviv Colombo, Nanjing, Brisbane, Auckland, Sao Paulo. 5

6 Global Fluency? Leadership with a Worldview Legacy of Global Orientation Compelling Global Identity Specializations with Global Reach Government as Global Enabler Adaptability to Global Dynamics Ability to Secure Investment for Strategic Priorities Culture of Knowledge and Innovation International Connectivity Opportunity and Appeal to the World 6

7 New Globalising Cities New World of Cities is about more than just big global cities Not only corporate hubs and financial centres Changing global geographies New Roles Hybrids and transformers Different types of cities with distinctive success models 7

8 The Established World Cities: the Big Six Uniquely globalised Corporate clusters with global reach Biggest shares of financial and biz services Strong infrastructure platform Cultural appeal Political and legal frameworks Magnets for global FDI 8

9 The Established World Cities: leading hubs for knowledge and talent 9

10 Established World Cities: Destination Power 10

11 Established World Cities: unintended consequences of success Biggest public transport, logistics, utility, IT and airport systems Challenge to invest, maintain and upgrade infrastructure Externalities within Metros Not the most liveable Congestion Housing affordability crises Higher risks Not the most sustainable: but perform well for size Improving policies for resilience Tackling externalities at national level. 11

12 Emerging World Cities a new economic geography New cities integrating into global economy New centres of demand and supply, new corporate gateways to large domestic economies New HQ locations Some also becoming financial centres 12

13 Emerging World Cities new roles Closing the gap as financial centres Tokyo and Paris being overtaken by Shanghai, Singapore, and Taipei 13

14 Emerging World Cities: diverse roles 14

15 A typology of emerging world cities Shanghai and Beijing nearly emerged 2 nd tier competitive megacities - many rapidly improving gateways, challenges remain 3 rd and 4 th tier high potential but constrained cities 4 th tier struggling megacities or cities starting 1st globalisation cycle 15

16 Emerging World Cities: key priorities Physical capital = urgent deficit To move up value chains, by attracting talent not just investment From production to innovation 16

17 The new silk road? 17

18 Asian cities in two cycles time? New Delhi Xi an Beijing Nanjing Seoul Busan Wuhan Shanghai Hangzhou Guangzhou Taipei Shenzhen Tokyo Osaka Mumbai HK Bangkok Bangalore Manila Big Six Colombo KL Singapore Tech and innovation hubs Adv. manufacturing + trade High quality of life Jakarta Institutions, diplomacy, domestic firm Tourism and entertainment 18

19 New World Cities Smaller, specialised and agile Rapidly globalising Good infrastructure, high quality of life, fewer negative externalities Knowledge centres Culture/entertainment High-tech / innovation / R&D Convention / tourism hubs 19

20 New World Cities - Drivers Global economic centre of gravity shifting East and South Mobility and reach of new global middle classes Urbanisation reshaping economic and spatial balances New business sectors are internationalising Technology driving new systems of production and integration 20

21 New World Cities: attraction to global investment Punch above their weight Tech and start-up culture Liveability Attraction to investors seeking value beyond established and emerging cities 21

22 New World Cities: comparative advantages Business and Investor friendliness: e.g. Miami, Santiago Innovation and tech sector leadership: e.g. Melbourne, Toronto, Boston. Climate, urban environment and lifestyle: e.g. Auckland, Barcelona 22

23 New World Cities: key strengths 23

24 How do they succeed? Combining global leadership with local quality Size: smaller, more agile, and affordable Expert specialisation within a more managed metropolis Better live-work balance Efficient infrastructure Problem-solving capabilities Low congestion, inflation, and pollution Safety, security, education Clear leadership identity

25 New World Cities: sustaining advantages for 2+ cycles Danger of becoming one trick pony Need to address externalities of success, maintain quality: e.g. Auckland SuperCity, Greater Sydney Commission, Barcelona Global Talent Programme, Oslo Region Challenges include: rising costs / prices, access to entrepreneurs, digital infrastructure, congestion, overreliance on tourism 25

26 Auckland s key traits and spidergram Image, brand and influence Visitor and Destination power Global Firms Business friendliness Financial services Liveability and sustainability is its USP Culture and diversity Transport and infrastructure Sustainability Investment attraction Talent and labour market Higher education Attraction to investors, visitors, talent & tech Infrastructure improving Wages and costs Liveability R&D and innovation 26

27 Auckland s strong cycle of growth viz NWC Post-crisis economic performance Source: Brookings and GaWC 27

28 Auckland: smaller but plugged in GDP ($US bns) GDP per Global Capita ($US Connectivity Rank 000) (GaWC) IBM Most Competitive Cities International HQs No of Cities Sydney Toronto Vienna San Francisco Melbourne Miami Barcelona Boston Munich Stockholm Copenhagen Tel Aviv Berlin Auckland Vancouver Oslo Brisbane Helsinki Seattle Denver Small economy by world city standards BUT One of the most dynamic Highly globalised for its size 28

29 An investment magnet No of Cities Emerging Trends in Real Estate EU 28, US 75, Canada 9, AP 22 JLL Global 300 Commercial Attraction Index Cross Border Real Estate Investment JLL City Momentum Index JLL Investment Intensity Index Sydney Berlin Toronto San Francisco Munich Miami Melbourne Copenhagen Boston Oslo Vancouver Seattle Stockholm Barcelona Auckland Denver Helsinki Vienna Brisbane Tel Aviv Punches well above weight 7 th in JLL Investment Intensity Index (investment relative to size) Top 10 Investment Promotion Strategy (fdi) About to join top 20 cities globally in 2016 index 29

30 A liveability capital Mercer Quality of Living Survey EIU Global Liveability Liveable Index Cities Index Monocle Quality of Living Survey No. of Cities Vienna Toronto Melbourne Helsinki Sydney Auckland Vancouver Stockholm Berlin Munich Copenhagen Brisbane San Francisco Seattle Oslo Miami Boston Barcelona Tel Aviv Top 10% of most liveable cities Attracts people and talent Platform for cultural, tourism and innovation economy Cornerstone of The Auckland Plan 30

31 Key dimensions of Auckland s liveability Stability GLCI Public services GLCI Culture and environment EIU Governance GLCI 31

32 Specialisation in newly traded markets QS Best Student Cities Rank Melbourne 2 Sydney 4 Berlin 9 Munich 11 Vancouver 13 Toronto 13 Boston 13 Vienna 16 Auckland 18 Brisbane 18 Stockholm 24 Copenhagen 27 San Francisco 27 Barcelona 30 Helsinki 34 Oslo 60 Strong infrastructure platform IESE Cities in Motion Index Technology Mobility and Transportation No. of Cities 148 Munich 26 3 Boston Copenhagen 32 4 Helsinki 29 9 Vienna 40 2 Berlin Stockholm Melbourne San Francisco 5 61 Auckland Barcelona Oslo Toronto Sydney Vancouver Tel Aviv Miami

33 Improving brand with global audiences City RepTrak Brand scores, 2015 Strong reputation for visitor and resident amenities Distance from key markets Lacks global stature, and reputation for pulse and dynamism 33

34 Imperative to grow innovation AON People Risk Index 2thinknow Innovation Cities Index IESE Cities in Motion 'Human Capital' IBM World s Most Competitive Cities Life Sciences R&D and Production IBM World's Most Competitive Cities 'Software and Web Development' No of Cities Boston San Francisco Munich Seattle Berlin Toronto Stockholm Oslo Copenhagen Helsinki Melbourne Miami Vancouver Vienna Barcelona Sydney Brisbane Denver Tel Aviv Auckland Behind other new world cities in terms of scale BUT Strong conditions for growth: ease of doing business, diversity, tolerance High expenditure on R&D Culture of entrepreneurship (Source: Solidance) 34

35 Auckland - comments Great progress in benchmarks scores-momentum. For a city of this size and location Auckland is starting to punch above its weight. Auckland does very well in JLL Momentum Index principally because of its diverse population, young population and its strong push towards tech, all key ingredients for real estate attractiveness. The strongest peers based on data to Auckland include Oslo, Vancouver and Helsinki. Visitor and Destination Power is a reflection of volume of visitors and conferences rather than attractiveness. Auckland is just outside top 100 cities for both in Euromonitor and ICCA rankings. Distance is key issue. Auckland s economic growth is due to: (i) high in-migration boosting retail and housing demand, (ii) dynamic tourism growth, (iii) high foreign investment in real estate, (iv) a cost-competitive tech sector, and (v) services sectors concentrated in the CBD. More effective use of land is seen as essential to sustain growth in the next cycle. 35

36 The real estate perspective Established World Cities Aim to capture footloose people and capital Challenges: bold urban transformation to stay competitive, land pressure, affordability, housing Emerging World Cities Need catalytic FDI, nurture local capital and talent Massive Real Estate expansion under way. Next phase: create a sense of place New World Cities Want mobile millennials, students, entrepreneurs. Millennials have stringent real estate demands Innovative, sustainable, technologically advanced 36

37 Strategic imperatives for each type of city 37

38 Strategic imperatives for each type of city 38

39 Strategic imperatives for each type of city 39

40 JLL Momentum Index Highlights The Rise of the Innovation-Oriented City Innovation-Oriented Cities Dominate the Top 20 Strong Momentum of Established World Cities and their Challengers Increasing Momentum in US New World Cities Innovation Driving Agile Higher Value Emerging Cities Smaller Cities Achieving Global Reach Asia Pacific showing Strength 40

41 City Momentum Index Model Socio-Economic Momentum Economic Output Population Air Connectivity Fortune 2000 HQs Foreign Direct Investment Commercial Real Estate Momentum Construction, Absorption, Price Investment Transactions Transparency High-Value incubators Higher Education Infrastructure Innovation Capability International Patent Applications Technology / Venture Capital Environmental Quality Short-Term Momentum High-Value incubators City Momentum Index Source: JLL, January

42 JLL City Momentum Index 2016 Top 20 London Silicon Valley Dublin Bangalore Boston Shanghai New York Sydney Beijing San Francisco Nairobi Shenzhen Seattle Tokyo Nanjing Austin Hyderabad Melbourne Seoul Auckland Population Connectivity Technology and R&D Education Environment Economic Output Corporate Activity Construction Real Estate Investment Property Prices 42

43 JLL City Momentum Index 2016 Sub-Index Top 5 Future Proofing Real Estate Momentum Socio-Economic Dynamism 1 Silicon Valley 1 Dublin 1 Hanoi 2 London 2 London 2 Bangalore 3 Paris 3 Auckland 3 Ho Chi Minh City 4 Boston 4 Nairobi 4 Hyderabad 5 Tokyo 5 Boston 5 Delhi Source: JLL, January 2016 Future Proofing: Higher education infrastructure; innovation capability; international patent applications; technology/venture capital; environmental quality Real Estate Momentum: Office and Retail construction, absorption and price; investment transactions; transparency 43

44 City Momentum Index 2016: Short v Long Term Singapore, Toronto Brussels, Chicago Berlin, Taipei Stockholm, San Diego Tokyo, Hong Kong Paris, Randstad Seoul, Los Angeles Melbourne, Austin London San Francisco Bay Boston, New York Sydney Highest Dublin, Auckland Shanghai, Beijing Shenzhen, Bangalore High-Value Incubators Nairobi, Delhi Nanjing, Xi an Hyderabad, Chennai Lowest Lowest Short - Term Momentum Highest Source: JLL, January

45 City Momentum Index Covers 120 Cities North America 31 Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, Montreal Washington DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York, Pittsburgh, Boston Minneapolis, Chicago, St Louis, Detroit Charlotte, Atlanta, Orlando, Miami, Tampa Denver, Austin, Dallas, Houston Las Vegas, Phoenix Seattle, Portland, San Francisco, Silicon Valley, Los Angeles, San Diego Latin America 7 Mexico City Lima, Bogota Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro Santiago, Buenos Aires EMEA 48 Oslo, Stockholm, Copenhagen, Helsinki Dublin, Glasgow, Edinburgh, Manchester, Birmingham, London Brussels, Randstad, Paris, Lyon Hamburg, Berlin, Dusseldorf, Cologne, Frankfurt, Stuttgart, Munich, Zurich, Vienna, Luxembourg Lisbon, Madrid, Barcelona Milan, Rome, Athens Prague, Budapest, Warsaw, Bucharest, Kiev, Moscow, St Petersburg Istanbul Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Jeddah, Riyadh Casablanca, Cairo Cape Town, Johannesburg Lagos, Nairobi Asia Pacific 34 Seoul, Osaka, Tokyo Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Chengdu, Wuhan, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chongqing, Nanjing, Xian, Shenyang Hong Kong, Taipei Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Bangalore, Chennai Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, Hanoi, Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, Jakarta, Manila Perth, Brisbane, Melbourne, Sydney, Auckland 45

46 Auckland Celebrate amazing progress.. And momentum Recognise externalities and organise for them. Shift from cycle 2 to cycle 3. Map how the success model will change: private amenity to shared liveability mix of densities growth of evening economy New opportunities and catalysts. TPP? Get the story clear at home and tell it abroad. Australia and NZ together? OBOR? Learn with peers 46