Directorate Network Management Monthly Network Operations Report Analysis - March 2012

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1 Directorate Network Management Monthly Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212

2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. TOTAL TRAFFIC ATFM DELAY AND ATTRIBUTIONS EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYS EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUPS EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER FLIGHT EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY YEAR-TO-DATE AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAYS AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUPS AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER FLIGHT AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY YEAR-TO-DATE DAILY EVOLUTION ALL AIR TRANSPORT DELAYS (Source: CODA) ATFM SLOT ADHERENCE... 12

3 1. TOTAL TRAFFIC Last 13 months average daily traffic Traffic decreased by 2.7% compared to March Average daily traffic forecast date : STATFOR Forecast The traffic growth follows the forecast which was updated last month Average daily traffic in March for last 5 Years forecast date : % 4% 3% 2% 1% 12 months rolling traffic trend % 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.6% March 212 traffic was below the two previous years and slightly below the forecast level. This graph shows the variation in total traffic for the last 12- month period relative to that for the 12-month period before. Accordingly, the total traffic from March 211 to March 212 increased by 1.6% relative to that from March 21 to March 211. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 1

4 In March 212, several main airports experienced a decrease in traffic (e.g. Paris CDG, Frankfurt, London Heathrow, Munich, Madrid, Rome Fiumicino and Barcelona) compared to 211. Traffic in Spain was weighed down by industrial actions. The largest decreases were at Madrid (Spanair failure and reduced Iberia traffic) and Milano Malpensa (impact of defunct Lufthansa Italia). Ferihegy Budapest recorded a 26.1% decrease as Malév Hungarian Airlines ceased operations. The largest increase in traffic was at Istanbul Ataturk (14.3%). For air operators, the most significant decreases were for Czech Airlines (-29.9%), Royal Air Maroc (-21.9%), Cimber Air A/S (- 19.4%) and Iberia (-26.2%). The largest growth was for United Airlines (142.9%) and Naysa (54%). The latter changes were due to airline consolidation and restructuring rather than traffic growth. Traffic for some major carriers (Turkish Airlines, SAS, Air France, British Airways and KLM) increased in March 212, which is in line with Amsterdam and Istanbul airport growth. Unidentified operators (mainly General Aviation) recorded a decrease of.5% in March 212. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 2

5 Stavanger, Tallinn and Vilnius ACCs experienced a significant increase in traffic. Spain (Madrid, Seville, Barcelona and Palma ACCs), Tampere, Brindisi, Santa Maria and Athens ACCs recorded significant decreases in traffic. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 3

6 2. ATFM DELAY AND ATTRIBUTIONS Average daily ATFM delays EN-ROUTE AIRPORT/TMA The average daily ATFM delays decreased from minutes in March 211 to minutes in March 212. Monthly ATFM delays trend % % % -22.2% -3.8% % -27.2% -28.5% -21.3% % -46.9% % % Rolling 12 month trend Same month last year Compared to March 211, ATFM delays decreased by 3.8%. The ATFM delay trend continued to decrease throughout 211/212. Proportion of total ATFM delays 1 8% 6% 4% 2% Average daily ATFM delays % 45.2% 44.7% 55.3% EN-ROUTE AIRPORT/ TMA Compared to March 211, ATFM delays were down by 3.8%. In March 212 en-route delays were much lower than in 211. Airport ATFM delays represent the larger proportion of ATFM delay in March 212. Proportion of ATFM delay in March 212 AIRPORT WEATHER, 33.4% AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTU EN-ROUTE RE, 9.4% WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS, 2.6% Top 2 delay locations for year-to-date ATFM delays EN-ROUTE EVENTS, 3.2% AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY, 12.9% EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS, 2.8% EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY, 28.5% EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING, 6.9% In March 212, 55.3% of all ATFM delays occurred at Airports/TMA. The main issue was weather which contributed for half of Airport ATFM delays. En-route delays accounted for 44.7%. 419 AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE EN ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE EVENTS EN ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN ROUTE ATC CAPACITY LONDON/HEATHROW ISTANBUL-ATATURK NICOSIA ACC SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM FRANKFURT MAIN LANGEN ACC PARIS ALL ACC MUENCHEN 2 ZURICH These are the top 2 delay generating locations for the year-to-date 212. Figures are the average daily delays in minutes. The top 2 locations represent 77.7% of the entire Network ATFM delays, the top 5 locations represent 38% of the Network ATFM delays. London Heathrow, Amsterdam, Munich, Paris CDG and Zurich airports registered the most significant delays mainly due to weather conditions: wind and low visibility. Istanbul registered delays mainly due to airport infrastructure. Frankfurt delays were caused by the non ATC personnel industrial action on the 29 th March. Nicosia, Langen and Paris ACCs recorded delays mainly due to ATC capacity and staffing. Nicosia and Paris ACCs also recorded delays due to industrial action. Delays in Ankara ACC were due to reduced ATC Capacity in ORBB (Baghdad) FIR (NOTAM A4/12). ANKARA ACC GENEVE COINTRIN REIMS U/ACC MADRID ALL ACC WARSZAWA ACC MUNCHEN ACC BARCELONA ACC OSLO/GARDERMOEN CANARIAS ACC/FIC MANCHESTER DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 4

7 3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYS 3.1. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION Proportion of total En-route delays 2 18% 16% 14% 12% 1 8% 6% 4% 2% 1394 NICOSIA ACC 138 LANGEN ACC 741 PARIS ALL ACC 697 BARCELONA ACC Top 2 delay locations for en-route delays in March MADRID ALL ACC ANKARA ACC REIMS U/ACC The top 2 en-route delay locations generated 4.9% of the monthly total (network) ATFM delay. The top 5 en-route delay locations generated 25.4% of the monthly total (network) ATFM delay. CANARIAS ACC/FIC LONDON ACC MUNCHEN ACC BREST U/ACC BREMEN ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC WARSZAWA ACC EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY GENEVA ACC AMSTERDAM ACC(245-) ZURICH ACC OSLO ATCC 4 33 STOCKHOLM ACC KARLSRUHE UAC DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 5

8 3.2. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUP Reasons for en-route delays in March 212 EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS 2.6% EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING 2.8% 3.2% 6.9% Overall en-route delays accounted for 44.7% of all ATFM delays. 28.1% were attributed to en-route ATC capacity and 6.9% to en-route ATC staffing. EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY 28.1% Proportion of total En-route ATC Capacity delays Top 1 delay locations for en-route ATC Capacity in March % % % NICOSIA ACC BARCELONA ACC PARIS ALL ACC LANGEN ACC 392 MADRID ALL ACC CANARIAS_ACC/FIC REIMS U/ACC 228 LONDON ACC Compared to February 212, ATC delays increased in March except for Nicosia and Langen which recorded a decrease in delays. Barcelona, Lisbon and Zurich have entered the top 1. Proportion of total En-route ATC Disruptions delays Top delay locations for en-route ATC Disruptions in March NICOSIA ACC REIMS U/ACC PARIS ALL ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC 4 1 Nicosia ACC generated delays mainly due ATC industrial action that took place on the 3 rd and the 8 th March. BARCELONA_ACC LONDON ACC ISTANBUL ACC GENEVA ACC ZURICH ACC SEILLE ACC Proportion of total En-route ATC Staffing delays Top delay locations for en-route ATC Staffing in March LANGEN ACC 314 NICOSIA ACC 16 BREMEN ACC 88 OSLO ATCC 7 GENEVA ACC WARSZAWA_ACC KARLSRUHE UAC 5 1 Staffing problems in Langen, Nicosia and Bremen ACC continued in March 212. Geneva and Warsaw experienced fewer delays than the previous month Average en-route daily flights > 15 min delay LONDON ACC In March 212, an average of 25 flights per day experienced en-route delay of more than 15 minutes. PARIS ALL ACC 25 DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 6

9 3.3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER FLIGHT Top 2 delay locations for en-route delays per flight in March 212 EN ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE EVENTS EN ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN ROUTE ATC CAPACITY NICOSIA ACC BARCELONA ACC CANARIAS ACC/FIC LANGEN ACC PARIS ALL ACC ANKARA ACC MADRID ALL ACC REIMS U/ACC BREMEN ACC BREST U/ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC OSLO ATCC AMSTERDAM ACC(245-) WARSZAWA ACC GENEVA ACC MUNCHEN ACC LONDON ACC ZURICH ACC STOCKHOLM ACC MALMO ACC Nicosia ACC generated the most significant average en-route delay per flight in March 212. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 7

10 3.4. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY YEAR-TO-DATE Proportion of total ATFM delay 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Top 2 delay locations for year-to-date en-route ATFM delay EN ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE EVENTS EN ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN ROUTE ATC CAPACITY NICOSIA ACC LANGEN ACC PARIS ALL ACC ANKARA ACC REIMS U/ACC MADRID ALL ACC WARSZAWA ACC MUNCHEN ACC BARCELONA ACC CANARIAS ACC/FIC MALMO ACC GENEVA ACC SEILLE ACC LONDON ACC BREST U/ACC BREMEN ACC BORDEAUX ALL ACC OSLO ATCC ZURICH ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC These are the top 2 en-route delay locations since the beginning of 212. The top 2 en-route delay locations generated 36.9% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. The top 5 en-route delay locations generated 22.5% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year Year-to-date daily en-route flights > 15 min delay En-route delays per flight Monthly en-route delay monitoring M ONTHLY TGT DLY AVG ER DLYS TGT DLY/FLT YTD 212 Average En-route Delays Since the beginning of the year, an average of 187 flights per day were subject to an en-route delay of more than 15 minutes which is below the 211 level. In March 212, there were fewer actual en-route delays (7545 min) per day than the optimum* en-route delays (9532 min). This means the year-to-date en-route delay per flight result (.29 min/flt) is lower than the optimum* year-to-date target (.35 min/flt) at this stage of the year. * NM s calculation that provides the optimum en-route delay (min) requirements to achieve the end-of-years target (.7 min/flight). DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 8

11 4. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAYS 4.1. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION Proportion of total Airport/TMA delays 24% 2 16% 12% 8% 4% 244 LONDON/HEATHROW ZURICH ISTANBUL-ATATURK Top 2 delay locations for Airport/TMA delays in March 212 MUENCHEN SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM BARCELONA The top 2 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 46.9% of the monthly total ATFM (network) delay. The top 5 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 27.4% of the monthly total ATFM (network) delay AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUPS LONDON/CITY GENEVE COINTRIN PARIS ORLY BRUSSELS NATIONAL HAMBURG LONDON/GATWICK FRANKFURT MAIN MADRID BARAJAS DUESSELDORF OSLO/GARDERMOEN AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY WIEN SCHWECHAT TEGEL-BERLIN HURGHADA AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE Reasons for Airport/TMA delays in March 212 AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEA THER 9.4% 12.9 % 33.4% Airport/TMA delays accounted for 55.7% of all ATFM delays. Weather was the main cause of airport delay. Proportion of all Airport Weather delays 4 35% 3 25% 2 15% 1 5% Top 1 delay locations for Airport Weather in March LONDON/HEATHROW MUENCHEN 2 BARCELONA London Heathrow, Munich, Paris CDG, Barcelona and Amsterdam airports recorded significant delays mainly due to wind and low visibility but also due to snow and the beginning of CB activity. SCHIPHOl_AMSTERDAM LONDON/CITY PARIS ORLY BRUSSELS NATIONAL LONDON/GATWICK ZURICH Proportion of all Airport Infrastructure delays Top 1 delay locations for Airport Infrastructure in March % 2 15% % ISTANBUL-ATATURK TEGEL-BERLIN HURGHADA WIEN SCHWECHAT Istanbul Ataturk airport continues to generate delay due to airport infrastructure. Berlin Tegel recorded delays due to non-atc industrial action on the 2 nd and the 27 th March. Hurghada experienced airport infrastructure and flight planning system problems. Proportion of all Airport ATC Capacity delays Top 1 delay locations for Airport ATC Capacity 529 in March % 2 15% 1 5% ZURICH 278 GENEVE COINTRIN SHARM EL SHEIKH FRANKFURT MAIN GENEVE COINTRIN ISTANBUL-ATATURK HELSINKI-VANTAA Zurich, Paris CDG, Geneva and Istanbul airports experienced delays due to ATC capacity. MADRID BARAJAS SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM HAMBURG OSLO/GARDERMOEN MADRID TORREJON COPENHAGEN_KASTRU 43 LONDON/HEATHROW P DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 9

12 4.3. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER FLIGHT 1.2 Monthly average Airport delay (min) per flight Last 12 months =.6 minutes Top 1 Airport delay per flight in March 212 YTD Situation Average Airport/TMA delay per flight is the same as in March 211,.4 minutes MADRID TORREJON LONDON/HEATHROW LONDON/CITY ZURICH CANNES MANDELIEU Madrid airport experienced high delays due to runway configuration which is impacted by Madrid Barajas airport traffic. ISTANBUL-ATATURK BARCELONA HAMBURG MUENCHEN AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY YEAR-TO-DATE Proportion of total ATFM delays 1 8% 6% 4% 2% LONDON/HEATHROW ISTANBUL-ATATURK SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM FRANKFURT MAIN Top 2 delay locations for year-to-date Airport/TMA delays MUENCHEN 2 ZURICH 329 GENEVE COINTRIN OSLO/GARDERMOEN MANCHESTER HELSINKI-VANTAA BRUSSELS NATIONAL TENERIFE SUR DUESSELDORF LONDON/GATWICK BARCELONA AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE The top 2 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 57.2% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. The top 5 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 35.4% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. WIEN SCHWECHAT PARIS ORLY LONDON/CITY MADRID BARAJAS 5. DAILY EVOLUTION Average delay (min) per flight in March AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY In March 212, there is no day with an average delay per flight at or above 2 minutes. Most significant delays were recorded: AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY On Thursday the 1 st and Friday the 2 nd March: London Heathrow, Munich, Paris Orly, Paris CDG, Amsterdam and Brussels airports were badly affected by low visibility during those two days. En-route ATC capacity and staffing affected mainly Nicosia, Langen, Warsaw and Paris ACCs. On the 1 st March Reims and Marseille ACCs recorded delays due to Industrial action. Delays in Ankara ACC were due to reduced ATC Capacity in ORBB (Baghdad) FIR (NOTAM A4/12). DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March 212 1

13 6. ALL AIR TRANSPORT DELAYS (Source: CODA) The analysis below is based on airline data provided to CODA by airlines (AO's). As the airline data collection for March 212 is not yet complete at the time of writing, this analysis covers the latest available 13-month period (Feb 211-Feb 212) and contains details on 68% of commercial flights in the ECAC region. ATFM delays reported by airlines are often lower than the ATFM delays calculated by the network manager (NM). ATFM delays of NM are the (flight) planned delays whereas the airlines report the actual experienced ATFM delay on departure. For instance, a flight with an ATFM delay may also have a handling delay absorbed within the ATFM delay. For the airline, a part of this delay is the ATFM delay and the rest is the handling delay Average departure delay per flight in minutes Breakdow n average delay per flight February 212,4 Average En- Route Delay/Flight,3 Average En- Route Delay/Flight Reactionary delay Primary Delay (excl En-Route) Airline Reported En-Route ATFM Delay NM reported En-Route ATFM delay 6,2 Average primary delay 11,4 Passenger experience Airline reported en-route ATFM delay in February 212 was.3 minute per flight which is slightly below the NM reported average en-route ATFM delay of.4 minute per flight. As airlines may assign multiple delay reasons for a delayed flight, some of the en-route ATFM delay may be attributed to other reasons if the other reason prevented the flight from obtaining a slot improvement. A common example is a NM reported en-route ATFM delay reported by airlines as a split between reactionary and en-route ATFM delay. According to airline reports, in February 212 total all-causes delay was 11.4 minute per flight. Primary delays share of total all-causes delay was 54% ( or 6.2 min/flt) o f which enroute delays contributed.3 min/flt. The remaining were Reactionary delays, this counted for 46% or a contribution of 5.2 min/flt. 15 Average departure delay per flight 211/212 Average departure delay (min) per flight Based on airline data, the reported share of reactionary delays in February 212 remained stable at 46% of delays all-causes. Both NM and airlines report that en-route ATFM delays remain below.5min/flight. Average reactionary delay per flight (CODA) Average delay per flight Other Primary delay All Causes (CODA) Average ATFM en-route delay per flight (CODA) Average ATFM en-route delay per flight (NM reported) Percentage of delayed flights: ATFM & All Causes 1 % 25. Percentage of flights delayed on departure - ATFM DNM 8% 6% 4% 2% % 1. % 5.. Percentage of flights delayed on departure: All Causes The percentage of flights delayed by long ATFM restrictions (exceeding 15 & 3 minutes) increased in February 212 compared to January 212 but is still below February 211 results. The percentage of flights delayed from allcauses (exceeding 15 & 3 minutes) increased both monthon-month as year-on-year. The correlation between long ATFM delays and long delays all-causes becomes less obvious during the Winter months with increased weather related delays. > 15min by ATFM Restrictions (NM ) > 3min by ATFM Restrictions (NM ) > 15min:All Causes (CODA) > 3min:All Causes (CODA) DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March

14 7. ATFM SLOT ADHERENCE Average daily evolution of early and late flights In March 212, adherence to ATFM slot situation improved with reduced early and late departures: early departures was reduced by.2% (8.5% in February vs. 8.3% in March) while the drop in late departures was 1.7% (6.9% in February vs. 5.2% in March). Fewer network disruptions and fewer constraints in terms of delay have certainly contributed to these improvements Nº OF EARLY DEPARTURES Nº OF LA TE DEP A RTURES % EARLY DEPARTURES % LATE DEPARTURES 2.. Although the overall percentage of traffic departing within their slot tolerance window is above the target (at least 8) there are some airports for which compliance can be improved. NM continues to validate the data used and identify issues contributing to non-compliance. The chart below shows the top 4 airports (more than 3 regulated flights) with their average daily number and proportion of regulated flights that departed outside of the Slot Tolerance Window 4 35% 3 25% 2 15% 1 5% Proportion of regulated flights outside the Slot Tolerance Window in March 212 ISTANBUL-ATATURK TEL AVIV/BEN GURION DUBLIN MANCHESTER ZURICH LONDON/LUTON LONDON/HEATHROW TENERIFE SUR BIRMINGHAM SEILLE BALE-MULHOUSE PARIS ORLY ROME FIUMICINO COPENHAGEN GENEVE COINTRIN SCHIPHOL TEGEL-BERLIN ATHINAI/ELEFTHERIOS DUESSELDORF LONDON/GATWICK FERIHEGY-BUDAPEST LISBOA HAMBURG KOELN-BONN WARSZAWA/OKECIE MUENCHEN 2 LAS PALMAS MALAGA LUXEMBOURG TOULOUSE BLAGNAC STUTTGART STOCKHOLM-ARLANDA VENEZIA TESSERA ALICANTE PRAHA RUZYNE WIEN SCHWECHAT FRANKFURT MAIN NICE LYON SATOLAS DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - March

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