Directorate Network Management Monthly Network Operations Report Analysis - April 2012

Transcription

1 Directorate Network Management Monthly Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212

2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. TOTAL TRAFFIC 1 2. ATFM DELAY AND ATTRIBUTIONS 4 3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYS 5 4. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAYS 9 5. DAILY EVOLUTION 1 6. ALL AIR TRANSPORT DELAYS (SOURCE: CODA) ATFM SLOT ADHERENCE 12

3 1. TOTAL TRAFFIC 32 Last 13 months average daily traffic 32 Average daily traffic for last 5 Years Traffic decreased by 2.6% compared to April 211. April 212 traffic was similar to 29 level which is the lowest of the last 5 years (April 21 is not representative due to Volcanic Ash activity) Average daily traffic in April for last 5 Years forecast date : % 4% 3% 2% 12 months rolling traffic trend % 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.5% 1.9% 1.6% %.2% April 212 traffic was slightly below the forecast level. Strikes in April are estimated to have caused around 525 flight cancellations. This graph shows the variation in total traffic for the last 12- month period relative to that for the 12-month period before. The total traffic from May 211 to April 212 increased by.2% relative to that from May 21 to April 211. Note that the observed decrease between March and April is due in part to the effects of the April 21 ash cloud being no longer in the reference period (May 21 to April 211). There is a general deceleration in the traffic growth since December 211. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 1

4 In April 212, several main airports experienced a decrease in traffic (e.g. Paris CDG, Frankfurt, London Heathrow, Amsterdam, Munich, Madrid, Rome Fiumicino and Barcelona) compared to 211. The largest decrease was at Madrid (Spanair cessation of operations and reduced Iberia traffic). Ferihegy Budapest recorded a 23.6% decrease as Malév Hungarian Airlines ceased operations. The largest increase in traffic was at Istanbul Ataturk (12.2%). For air operators, the most significant decreases were for Czech Airlines (-34.3%), Cimber Air A/S (-24.8%), Iberia (-22.9% and Regional Airline (-21.4%). The largest growth was for United Airlines (114.3%) and Naysa (44.6%),these changes were due to airline consolidation and restructuring rather than traffic growth. With the exception of Lufthansa, the traffic for the top 8 carriers (Ryanair, Easyjet,Turkish Airlines, SAS, Air France, British Airways and KLM) increased in April 212. Unidentified operators (mainly General Aviation) recorded a decrease of 8.6% in April 212. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 2

5 Yerevan, Stavanger, Tallinn, Ankara, Istanbul and Warsaw ACCs experienced a significant increase in traffic. Malta recorded an increase of 17% compared to April 211; this increase is traffic recovery from last years Libyan airspace closure. Spain (Madrid, Seville, Barcelona and Palma ACCs), Makedonia, Tampere, Tirana, Belgrade and Skopje ACCs recorded significant decreases in traffic. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 3

6 2. ATFM DELAY AND ATTRIBUTIONS Average daily ATFM delays The average daily ATFM delays increased from 3459 minutes in April 211 to minutes in April EN-ROUTE AIRPORT/TMA % Average daily ATFM delays 65.5% AIRPORT/TMA EN-ROUTE The repartition between en-route and airport ATFM delays in April 212 was similar to 211. Monthly ATFM delays trend % % 1.6% % -22.2% -3.8% -21.3% % -28.5% % -46.9% % % Rolling 12 month trend Same month last year Compared to April 211, ATFM delays increased by 1.5% mainly due to industrial action in France. Since December ATFM delay trend stabilised after a significant decrease throughout 211. Proportion of total ATFM delay 16% 14% 12% 1 8% 6% 4% 2% AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTU RE 8.3% EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS 4.6% EN-ROUTE EVENTS 4.2% Top 2 delay locations (min) in April 212 YTD Situation Proportion of ATFM delay in April 212 AIRPORT WEATHER 11.6 % EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS 35.5% AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY 11.1% EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY 21.9% EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING 2.9% In April 212, 31% of all ATFM delays occurred at Airports/TMA. En-route delays accounted for 69%. The main issue was en-route ATC disruptions which accounted for 35.5% of all ATFM delays mostly due to industrial actions. AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY SEILLE ACC BORDEAUX ALL ACC BREST U/ACC LONDON/HEATHROW NICOSIA ACC BARCELONA ACC ISTANBUL-ATATURK LANGEN ACC PARIS ORLY LISBOA ACC/UAC These are the top 2 delay generating locations for the reporting month. Figures are the average daily delays in minutes. Pink dashes (Year- To-Date - YTD) indicate their average daily ATFM delay since the beginning of the year. Marseille, Bordeaux and Brest ACCs experienced the highest delays and exceeded their year to date situation mainly due to the French industrial action that took place between the 2 nd and the 4 th April. London Heathrow recorded significant weather delays due to strong winds. Nicosia, Barcelona, Lisbon, Paris and Madrid ACCs generated ATC capacity delays. Langen ACC continues to record significant ATC capacity and staffing delays; however a significant improvement can be noted since March 212. Istanbul registered delays due to ongoing airport infrastructure, cross wind, heavy rain and increase in traffic. Paris Orly and Paris CDG airports also registered delays linked to weather (thunderstorms, strong wind) and the French industrial action. Zurich airport was affected by ATC capacity delays, strong wind and runway configuration. The military exercise FRISIAN FLAG affected significantly Maastricht UAC generating delays mainly in JEV, DELHI and JEHI sectors. Delays in Ankara ACC were due to reduced ATC Capacity in ORBB (Baghdad) FIR (NOTAM A4/12). PARIS ALL ACC MADRID ALL ACC MUNCHEN ACC FRANKFURT MAIN MAASTRICHT UAC REIMS U/ACC PARIS CH DE GAULLE MADRID BARAJAS ANKARA ACC DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 4

7 3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYS 3.1. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION Proportion of total ATFM delays 18% 16% 14% 12% 1 8% 6% 4% 2% 5647 SEILLE ACC 4951 BORDEAUX ALL ACC 2677 BREST U/ACC Top 2 delay locations for en-route delays in April NICOSIA ACC BARCELONA ACC LANGEN ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC The top 2 en-route delay locations generated 65.8% of the monthly total (network) ATFM delay. The top 5 en-route delay locations generated 44.5% of the monthly total (network) ATFM delay. PARIS ALL ACC MADRID ALL ACC MUNCHEN ACC MAASTRICHT UAC REIMS U/ACC ANKARA ACC TALLIN ACC EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY LONDON ACC TIRANA ACC ACC CANARIAS ACC/FIC AMSTERDAM ACC(245-) WARSZAWA ACC DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 5

8 3.2. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUP Reasons for en-route delays in April 212 EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING 2.9% EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY 4.2% 4.6% 21.9% Overall en-route delays accounted for 69. of all ATFM delays. 35.5% were attributed to en-route ATC disruptions, 21.6% to ATC capacity and 4.5% to en-route ATC staffing. EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS 35.5% Proportion of total En-route ATC Capacity delays Top 1 delay locations for en-route ATC Capacity in April % % 1 5% NICOSIA ACC BARCELONA_ACC LISBOA_ACC/UAC MADRID ALL ACC 48 PARIS ALL ACC Compared to March 212, ATC delays increased significantly in April except for Paris and Reims. Lisbon ACC delays are 6.5 times more than the previous month. Munich and Amsterdam ACC have entered the top 1. Proportion of total En-route ATC Disruptions delays Top delay locations for en-route ATC Disruptions in April SEILLE_ACC 4927 BORDEAUX_ALL_ACC 276 BREST U/ACC BREST U/ACC LANGEN ACC MUNCHEN ACC AMSTERDAM_AC C(245-) French industrial action took place between the 2 nd and the 4 th April, 5 French ACCs were strongly affected and recorded high delays. Portugal experienced industrial action on several days in April, the 12 th, 13 th, 19 th, 2 th and 26 t th the network impact was minor. PARIS ALL ACC REIMS U/ACC LANGEN ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC REIMS U/ACC KARLSRUHE UAC Proportion of total En-route ATC Staffing delays Top delay locations for en-route ATC Staffing in April LANGEN ACC NICOSIA ACC WARSZAWA ACC BREMEN ACC LONDON ACC OSLO ATCC BREST U/ACC 51 4 Staffing problems in Langen and Nicosia ACC continued in April 212, although a significant drop in delays can be noticed Average en-route daily flights > 15 min delay In April 212, an average of 513 flights per day experienced en-route delay of more than 15 minutes MUNCHEN ACC 25 GENEVA ACC 513 DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 6

9 3.3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER FLIGHT Top 2 delay locations for en-route delays per flight in April EN ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE EVENTS EN ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN ROUTE ATC CAPACITY NICOSIA ACC BORDEAUX ALL ACC SEILLE ACC BREST U/ACC BARCELONA ACC TALLIN ACC TIRANA ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC CANARIAS ACC/FIC Nicosia ACC generated the most significant average en-route delay per flight in April 212. Bordeaux and Marseille also recorded significant average en-route delay per flight due to the industrial action in France between the 2 nd and the 4 th April. Tallinn recorded delays due to the implementation of the new ATC system. Tirana generated delays due to the new ACC implementation. MADRID ALL ACC LANGEN ACC PARIS ALL ACC ANKARA ACC REIMS U/ACC AMSTERDAM ACC(245-) MUNCHEN ACC WARSZAWA ACC ACC ZAGREB ACC SEVILLA ACC DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 7

10 3.4. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY YEAR-TO-DATE Proportion of total ATFM delay 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Top 2 delay locations for year-to-date en-route ATFM delay EN ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE EVENTS EN ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN ROUTE ATC CAPACITY SEILLE_ACC NICOSIA ACC BORDEAUX_ALL_ACC LANGEN ACC PARIS ALL ACC BREST U/ACC BARCELONA ACC ANKARA ACC MADRID ALL ACC REIMS U/ACC MUNCHEN ACC WARSZAWA ACC LISBOA ACC/UAC CANARIAS ACC/FIC LONDON ACC MAASTRICHT UAC GENEVA ACC MALMO ACC ACC AMSTERDAM_ACC(2 45-) These are the top 2 en-route delay locations since the beginning of 212. The top 2 en-route delay locations generated 45.9% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. The top 5 en-route delay locations generated 26.2% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. En-route delays per flight Monthly en-route delay monitoring M ONTHLY TGT DLY AVG ER DLYS TGT DLY/FLT YTD 212 Average En-route Delays Year-to-date daily en-route flights > 15 min delay In April 212, average en-route delay per day (2632 min) was higher than the optimum* en-route delay (11478 min). Consequently, the year-to-date en-route delay per flight result (.48 min/flt) is now higher than the optimum* year-to-date target (.38 min/flt) at this stage of the year. Those results are directly linked to French industrial action. Since the beginning of the year, an average of 269 flights per day was subject to an en-route delay of more than 15 minutes which is below the 211 level. * NM s calculation that provides the optimum en-route delay (min) requirements to achieve the end-of-years target (.7 min/flight). DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 8

11 4. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAYS 4.1. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION Proportion of total ATFM delays 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 221 LONDON/HEATHROW 124 ISTANBUL-ATATURK 174 PARIS ORLY FRANKFURT MAIN Top 2 delay locations for Airport/TMA delays in April PARIS CH DE GAULLE MADRID BARAJAS The top 2 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 26.1% of the monthly total ATFM (network) delay. The top 5 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 15.5% of the monthly total ATFM (network) delay AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUPS LISBOA SCHIPHOL AMSTERDAM WIEN SCHWECHAT LONDON/GATWICK HELSINKI-VANTAA LAS PALMAS LYON SATOLAS GENEVE COINTRIN SEILLE PROVENCE PISA SAN GIUSTO AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY OSLO/GARDERMOEN MADRID TORREJON MUENCHEN 2 AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE Reasons for Airport/TMA delays in April 212 AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEA THER 8.3% 11.1% 11.6 % Airport/TMA delays accounted for 31. of all ATFM delays. Weather and Airport ATC capacity were the main causes of airport delay. Proportion of all Airport Weather delays Top 1 delay locations for Airport Weather 2175 in April 212 LONDON/HEATHROW 435 FRANKFURT MAIN PARIS CH DE GAULLE London Heathrow, Frankfurt, Zurich, Paris CDG, Amsterdam and Istanbul airports recorded significant delays mainly due to strong wind, thunderstorms, heavy rains and low visibility. SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM ISTANBUL-ATATURK WIEN SCHWECHAT BRUSSELS NATIONAL STOCKHOLM-ARLANDA PISA SAN GIUSTO Proportion of all Airport Infrastructure delays Top 1 delay locations for Airport Infrastructure 35% 973 in April % 2 15% 1 5% ISTANBUL_ATATURK MADRID BARAJAS HELSINKI-VANTAA LAS PALMAS LONDON/GATWICK 187 WIEN_SCHWECHAT Istanbul Ataturk airport generates delay due to airport infrastructure, cross wind, heavy rain and high traffic increase; delays have doubled compared to last month. Madrid Barajas recorded delays due Work In Progress on runway between the 14 th and the 22 nd April. Helsinki experienced airport infrastructure due to runway closure and single runway operation. Proportion of all Airport ATC Capacity delays Top 1 delay locations for Airport ATC Capacity 955 in April % 2 15% 1 5% PARIS ORLY LISBOA ISTANBUL-SABIHA HURGHADA SA ALAM PARIS_CH_DE_GAULLE Paris Orly, Zurich, Lisbon, Paris CDG, and Madrid airports experienced delays due to ATC capacity. Globally compared to last month delays have increased. MADRID BARAJAS LYON SATOLAS SEILLE_PROVENCE FRANKFURT MAIN SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM MADRID TORREJON DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 9

12 4.3. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY PER FLIGHT Monthly average Airport delay (min) per flight Last 12 months =.6 minutes Average Airport/TMA delay per flight increased from.4 minute per flight in April 211 to.5 minute in April MADRID TORREJON Top 1 Airport delay per flight in April 212 YTD Situation PARIS ORLY LONDONHEATHROW PISA SAN GIUSTO ISTANBUL_ATATURK Because of the close proximity of the two airports, capacity at Madrid Torrejon is reduced depending on the runway in use at Madrid Barajas. LISBOA LAS PALMAS CANNES_MANDELIEU.58 SEILLE_PROVENCE 4.4. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAY YEAR-TO-DATE Proportion of total ATFM delays 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 178 LONDON/HEATHROW 1461 ISTANBUL-ATATURK FRANKFURT MAIN SCHIPHOL AMSTERDAM 77 Top 2 delay locations for year-to-date Airport/TMA delays 628 PARIS CH DE GAULLE 574 MUENCHEN PARIS ORLY 292 GENEVE COINTRIN OSLO/GARDERMOEN MADRID BARAJAS HELSINKI-VANTAA WIEN SCHWECHAT LONDON/GATWICK BRUSSELS NATIONAL DUESSELDORF AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE The top 2 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 41.1% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. The top 5 Airport/TMA delay locations generated 24.9% of the total ATFM (network) delay since the beginning of the year. MANCHESTER LISBOA TENERIFE SUR LONDON/CITY 5. DAILY EVOLUTION AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY AIRPORT WEATHER AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY Average delay (min) per flight in April In April 212, there are 2 days with an average delay per flight at or above 2 minutes. Most significant delays were recorded: On Monday the 2 nd and Tuesday the 3 rd April: The majority of delays were attributable to ATC industrial action that took place in France; Marseille and Bordeaux ACCs were strongly affected and recorded very high delays. Madrid ACC also suffered from the French strike and registered delays due to it. The second main reason for delays was en-route ATC capacity and was recorded in Barcelona, Madrid, Brest and Nicosia ACCs. Tirana generated significant delays on the 3 rd due to the new ACC implementation. Tallinn recorded delays due to the implementation of the new ATC system. DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April 212 1

13 6. ALL AIR TRANSPORT DELAYS (Source: CODA) The analysis below is based on airline data provided to CODA by airlines (AO's). As the airline data collection for April 212 is not yet complete at the time of writing, this analysis covers the latest available 13-month period (Mar 211-Mar 212) and contains details on 58% of commercial flights in the ECAC region. ATFM delays reported by airlines are often lower than the ATFM delays calculated by the network manager (NM). ATFM delays of NM are the (flight) planned delays whereas the airlines report the actual experienced ATFM delay on departure. For instance, a flight with an ATFM delay may also have a handling delay absorbed within the ATFM delay. For the airline, a part of this delay is the ATFM delay and the rest is the handling delay Average departure delay per flight in minutes Breakdow n average delay per flight March 212,3 Average En- Route Delay/Flight,2 Average En- Route Delay/Flight Reactionary delay Primary Delay (excl En-Route) Airline Reported En-Route ATFM Delay NM reported En-Route ATFM delay 4, Average primary delay 7,8 Passenger experience Airline reported en-route ATFM delay in March 212 was.2 minute per flight which is slightly below the NM reported average en-route ATFM delay of.3 minute per flight. As airlines may assign multiple delay reasons for a delayed flight, some of the en-route ATFM delay may be attributed to other reasons if the other reason prevented the flight from obtaining a slot improvement. A common example is a NM reported en-route ATFM delay reported by airlines as a split between reactionary and en-route ATFM delay. According to airline reports, in March 212 the average delay per flight for all-causes of delay was 7.8 minutes. Primary delay share of total all-causes delay was 51% (or 4. min/flt) of which en-route delays contributed.2 min/flt. The remaining were Reactionary delays, this counted for 49% or a contribution of 3.8 min/flt. Average departure delay (min) per flight Average departure delay per flight 211/ Based on airline data, the reported share of reactionary delays in March 212 increased at 49% share of delays allcauses. Both NM and airlines report that en-route ATFM delays remain below.5min/flight. Average reactionary delay per flight (CODA) Average delay per flight Other Primary delay All Causes (CODA) Average ATFM en-route delay per flight (CODA) Average ATFM en-route delay per flight (NM reported) Percentage of delayed flights: ATFM & All Causes Percentage of flights delayed on departure - ATFM DNM 8% 6% 4% 2% Percentage of flights delayed on departure: All Causes The percentage of flights delayed by ATFM restrictions (exceeding 15 & 3 minutes) decreased in March 212 compared to February 212. The percentage of flights delayed from all-causes (exceeding 15 & 3 minutes) remained at a similar level both month-on-month as yearon-year. The correlation between long ATFM delays and long delays all-causes becomes less obvious during the Winter months with increased weather related delays. > 15min by ATFM Restrictions (NM ) > 3min by ATFM Restrictions (NM ) > 15min:All Causes (CODA) > 3min:All Causes (CODA) DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April

14 7. ATFM SLOT ADHERENCE Average daily evolution of early and late flights Nº OF EARLY DEPARTURES Nº OF LA TE DEP A RTURES % EARLY DEPARTURES % LATE DEPARTURES In April the number of late departures has increased while the early departures further decreased compared to the previous month. Following the general seasonal trend the absolute numbers of flights departing outside the Slot Tolerance Window has increased. Although the overall percentage of traffic departing within their slot tolerance window is above the target (at least 8) there are some airports for which compliance can be improved. NM continues to validate the data used and identify issues contributing to non-compliance. The chart below shows the top 4 airports (more than 3 regulated flights) with their average daily number and proportion of regulated flights that departed outside of the Slot Tolerance Window Proportion of regulated flights outside the Slot Tolerance Window in April 212 RAKECH ANTALYA ISTANBUL-ATATURK TEL AVIV/BEN GURION IZMIR-ADNAN-MENDERES CASABLANCA/MOHAMMED DUBLIN PARIS ORLY BIRMINGHAM PARIS CH DE GAULLE FUERTEVENTURA LARNACA LONDON/HEATHROW OTOPENI-INTL. LISBOA TALLINN/ULEMISTE BRISTOL/LULSGATE ROME FIUMICINO LONDON/LUTON EAST MIDLANDS SCHOENEFELD-BERLIN LAS PALMAS HELSINKI-VANTAA NICE ATHINAI/ELEFTHERIOS MANCHESTER BORDEAUX-MERIGNAC SCHIPHOL AMSTERDAM NANTES SEILLE PROVENCE MALAGA BILBAO LONDON/GATWICK LUXEMBOURG PRAHA RUZYNE GENEVE COINTRIN WARSZAWA/OKECIE FARO TEGEL-BERLIN DNM Network Operations Report Analysis - April