Global Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes

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1 Global Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module 19 : 14 March 2014

2 World Regional Definitions

3 Global Capacity Report Summary December 2013 vs. December 2012 Market factors suggest continued passenger demand resilience Global indicators support economic forecast for accelerating growth heading into 2014 Near-term oil price outlooks moderating due to rising U.S. shale oil production, potential Iran deal Load factors at all time highs (global passenger traffic up 5% YTD on 4% capacity growth) Winter 2013/4 capacity growth continues above average trend that started summer 2013 Overall December capacity up 7. driven primarily by 5. frequency growth Single aisle continues to lead market up 8.7% 6. twin aisle capacity growth more than double last winter s growth Most major flows seeing growth; MidEast (Gulf 3) growth to SE Asia surging Recent airline schedule changes indicate fairly stable airline outlook / forward bookings Regional, network and fleet trending Top 25 airline capacity up 5%, key drivers: Gulf 3, Turkish, Chinese airlines, U.S. majors return to growth LCC capacity growing at almost twice the rate of overall market, led by double-digit growth across Asia Airlines continue to shift capacity to in-production airplane models (+10%) from out-of-production (-5%)

4 Global capacity trends December (thousands) 2,250 2, (millions) +7.4% 155 (avg seats/flight) +1.7% 1,830 1,820 (kms) +0.2% 2,150 2,100 2, ,810 1,800 1, ,780 2,000 1,950 1, ,770 1,760 1,750 1, ,740 1,800 Monthly Frequencies 200 Monthly Seats 130 Airplane size 1,730 Avg Stage Length 2013 capacity +7. over 2012 driven by frequencies, seat size growth

5 World passenger capacity growth by aisle 10% YoY ASK growth 8% Single Aisle 4% Twin Aisle 2% 0% 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 Capacity growth continues above long-term average through winter 2013 Source: Innovata

6 World passenger capacity growth by domiciled region YoY ASK growth (December 2013 vs. December 2012) 20% Single Aisle 20% Twin Aisle 15% % 16.0% 10% 9.7% 9.7% 10% 5% % 5% 4.0% 5.1% % 0% N.America Europe Asia-Pac LatAm Others 0% N.America Europe Asia-Pac MidEast Others Global single aisle capacity up 8.7%, twin aisle up 6.

7 Global capacity growth by flow Top 20 flows, ranked by YoY growth volumes 7,000 6,000 5,000 17% YoY Change in ASKs, millions (change December 2013 v. 2012) 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, ,000 Intra-China 4% Intra-N.Amer 7% Intra-Europe 3 MidEast-SE Asia Europe-N.Amer 9% Intra-SE Asia 14% 7% 7% 8% 10% China-SE Asia Europe-MidEast Intra S.Amer C.Amer-N.Amer NE Asia - SE Asia 11% Intra-CIS Africa-Europe 7% 8% 7% Intra-NE Asia Oceania - SE Asia MidEast-SW Asia Intra-Oceania 1% N.Amer-NE Asia 0% -1% Europe-S.Amer Europe-SE Asia High Gulf 3 growth to SE Asia Bangkok, Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta, Saigon

8 Global scheduled passenger capacity 10% 8% 4% 09/13 sched snapshot 10/13 sched snapshot 11/13 sched snapshot Oct13 Nov13 Dec13 Jan14 Feb14 Mar14 Airlines trimming winter capacity growth, still above average Source: Diio/Innovata, Boeing analysis 8

9 Top 25 airlines ranked by capacity December 2013 v. December 2012 Weekly ASKs, millions (December 2013 v. 2012) 40,000 35,000 30,000 4% 2% 4% 2013 chg Dec ASKs 25,000 20,000 12% 5% 3% 3% 15,000 10,000 10% 1% 10% 19% 19% 19% 4% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 33% 21% 5, ,000-1% -1% 0% -5% American (+US) United Delta Emirates AF-KLM Lufthansa BA-Iberia Southwest China Southern Qantas-Jetstar Cathay-Dragon Singapore-Scoot LATAM Air China China Eastern Turkish Qatar Air Canada ANA Thai Korean JAL Ryanair Etihad Aeroflot Top 25 airline capacity up 5%, US majors returning to growth

10 Capacity (ASK) growth by airline domicile December 2013 v. December % 11% 22% C.I.S. 29% 5% 4% N. America Europe 17% 14% 32% 15% China 3% NE Asia LCCs All airlines 7% 8% Latin America 18% 11% Africa MidEast 19% 8% South Asia 21% 10% SE Asia 3% 1% Oceania LCC capacity growing at almost twice the rate of total capacity growth

11 World passenger capacity growth by airplane type Single Aisle Twin Aisle % % % +13% % +15% -12% -3% 10-7% -10% 5 +19% -7% +85% -9% 0 A320 B737NG B737C E-Jet B757 MD-80 0 B777 A330 B767 B747 A340 A380 B787 A300 Monthly seats, millions (December 2013/12) Airlines continue to shift capacity to in-production models

12 Top 25 global airports Year over year seat growth YoY Change in departing seats (% chg) July 2013 v , , , , ,000 12% 1 14% 11% 14% 7% 8% 7% 9% 9% 8% 5% 5% 5% Asia Europe N.Amer MidEast 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 0-100,000-1% -2% Dubai (DXB) Kuala Lumpur (KUL) Bangkok (BKK) Jakarta (CGK) Shanghai (PVG) Tokyo (HND) Los Angeles (LAX) Hong Kong (HKG) Istanbul (IST) Delhi (DEL) Charlotte (CLT) Singapore (SIN) Guangzhou (CAN) Frankfurt (FRA) Chicago (ORD) San Francisco (SFO) Amsterdam (AMS) Beijing (PEK) London (LHR) Atlanta (ATL) New York (JFK) Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) Seoul (ICN) Denver (DEN) Paris (CDG) Top 25 airports averaging seat growth led by Asia, Dubai, Istanbul

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