Middle East Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes

Transcription

1 Middle East Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module XX : 14 March 2014

2 World Regional Definitions

3 Middle East Capacity Report Summary December 2013 vs. December 2012 Airline capacity (ASKs) to/from/within the Middle East increased 11.2% from the prior year, 1.5x the global average Growth was led by the Gulf 3, Saudia, and the region s LCCs Most of the region s other flag carriers remained static, or suffered declines Political turmoil in the region was limited in impact, with Egyptair and Syrian Arab Airways making capacity cuts Other flag carriers, including Gulf Air and Bahrain Air, lack competitive strength relative to the LCCs and the Gulf 3 Europe, South Asia, and South East Asia were the largest markets by ASKs Intra-Middle East remained the largest market in terms of seats

4 Middle East Capacity December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic to/from/within; all airlines 12% 11.2% 8% 7.6% 6% 5.4% 4% 2% 2.2% 2.1% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per flight

5 Middle East Capacity vs. Global Average All airlines, December 2013 vs. December % 11.2% Middle East Global Average 8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 6% 5.4% 5.6% 4% 2% 2.2% 2.1% 0.2% 1.7% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per

6 Middle East capacity December 2013 vs. December 2012; flights to/from/within the region 12% 11.3% 11. Middle Eastern carriers Other airlines 7.9% 8% 6.6% 5.8% 6% 5.3% 4% 2% 2.3% 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per

7 Regional flows to/from the Middle East ASKs; All carrier domiciles; December 2013 vs. December % Billions % 31% 4% 12% 39% 7% 21% -2% 39% 0

8 Seat Capacity by region To/from the Middle East, Dec 2013, all airlines, Seats (millions) 0.7 North America 0.2 Northeast Asia 0.8 CIS 0.5 China South Asia 0.4 Oceania Southeast Asia 0.1 South America 5.3 Europe 8.3 Intra-ME 1.6 Africa

9 Capacity Changes Among Top Airlines ASKs; Middle East Domiciled Carriers Dec vs. Dec Billions % % 29% % -5% 6% 27% 12% -28% -2% 5% 1% 16%

10 Capacity Changes Among Top Carriers Carriers domiciled outside region; Middle East ASKs Dec vs. Dec Billions % new 12% New Qantas service: Daily A380s from MEL and SYD to DXB, continuing to LHR -6% -13% -12% -7% New services to DXB, AUH, DOH, DMM, and RUH 3% -15% -5% new -2% % -1% 21% 2 166% 0.2 0

11 Largest Capacity Changes - Airlines Weekly seats to/from/within Middle East Thousands

12 Equipment Usage December seats to/from/within Middle East; all airlines % 13% Dec Dec Millions % 6% % -44% -2% 5% -11% -19% 96% -6% 41% -89%

13 Capacity Changes by Business Model Seats; Middle East Domiciled Carriers Dec vs. Dec Millions % Dec Dec % % Gulf 3 Other Flag Carriers Low Cost Others

14 Middle East Capacity Gulf 3 December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic flows 16% 14% 12% 8% 6% % 15. 4% 2% 1.2% 1.5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per

15 Gulf 3 Capacity, (December) ASK development Emirates, Qatar, and Etihad Billions Emirates Qatar Etihad CAGR = 13.5% CAGR = 16.6% CAGR = 16.7%

16 Gulf 3 growth rates by airline Dec vs. Dec. 2012; all traffic flows to/from/within Middle East % 25% 25% 25% % 15% 12.1% 10.5% 8.4% 15% 10.3% 12.7% 13.8% 15% 5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 0.6% 1.9% Seats per 5% 0.5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 2.2% Seats per 5% 5.1% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Emirates Qatar Etihad 2.7% Seats per

17 Gulf 3 flows to/from/within the Middle East Seats; December 2013 vs. December % 8% Millions % 29% % 12% 18% 9% 18% 39%

18 Equipment Usage Gulf 3 December ASKs Billion July 2012 July % Billions % 4% -4% 7% -12% -5-19% -2% 39% 669% 1% -5%

19 Flag Carriers capacity Growth December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic flows % 15% 15% 15% 7.7% 6.6% 5% -1.1% 0.3% 1.5% 0.3% 1.4% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per 5% 4.6% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 3. Seats per 5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length -1.2% 0.4% Seats per -5% -5% -5% -3.9% -3.6% -4.6% Flag carriers* Saudia Flag carriers ex. Saudia * Does not include G3

20 -12% 9% 4% 2% 1% Capacity Changes by Airline Flag Carriers Seats; Dec vs. Dec % Dec Dec Millions % Operated in Dec. 2012, but did not publish schedule Voluntary liquidation % 24% %

21 Middle East Capacity Low-cost airlines December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic flows 2 15% % 16.1% 5% Stage Length 3.3% -5% Flights Seats ASKs -0.8% Seats per

22 LCC Capacity by Airline ASKs; December 2013 vs. December % 8% Billions % % Flydubai Air Arabia Flynas Jazeera

23 LCCs growth rates by airline Dec vs. Dec. 2012; all traffic flows to/from/within Middle East 3 25% 27.1% 3 25% % % 18.7% % 15% % 16.5% 5% 5.7% 5% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% - Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 0. Seats per Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 0.7% 0. Seats per Flydubai Air Arabia Flynas %

24 LCC flows to/from/within the Middle East Seats; December 2013 vs. December % Millions % 48% 38% 53% 0 Middle East South Asia CIS Africa Europe

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