User Forum Capacity Planning with DDR2 & NEST. Thierry Champougny / Laszlo Elbert / Stephanie Vincent

Transcription

1 User Forum 2013 Capacity Planning with DDR2 & NEST Thierry Champougny / Laszlo Elbert / Stephanie Vincent Expert Operation Planning 24/01/2013

2 General view Capacity Planning functions, provided by NEST tool needs accurate traffic forecast data, provided by DDR2 Statfor Flights Intentions Capacity Planning DDR2 Env Traffic Forecast Routing Options Historical Traffic NEST Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

3 DEMAND DATA REPOSITORY DDR Objective: support the Network Planning Process with common references about Forecast Traffic Demand, at any planning iteration DDR Phase 1 in operation DDR Phase 2, In Beta test Operation since 15 January years 1 year 6 months Day -7 Day -1 Day T 0 Airspace & route network design Strategic planning Long term Seasonal planning Pre-tactical planning Tactical Management Real time Special events Execution Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

4 Outside Eurocontrol airline schedules from Innovata 98% of airlines worldwide main sources of flight intentions airport slot data from EUACA approximately 180 coordinated airports Inside Eurocontrol Collection, Processing and Storage of all Flight Intention sources INNOVATA EUACA EUACA Long term till pre-tactical Planning forecasts Consolidation of flight intentions from different sources Enrichment of flight data with historical traffic Consolidation of EUACA Flight Intentions Enrichment of flight data using PREDICT D+1 till D+6 Pre-tactical forecasts Central location for all forecasts Storage and Presentation of final data (historical, planning & pre-tactical forecasts, airspace design project ) pre-tactical forecasts Inside Eurocontrol internet SITA line Outside Eurocontrol DDR2 Web Portal CHMI Legend Function DNM / OPL DNM / NTS DNM / PRI ANSP able to generate/download: D+1 to few years ahead forecasts historical traffic samples Tools like NEST to analyse and visualize data FMPs able to visualise / download flight lists & entry counts from PREDICT relating to pre-tactical forecasts that exploit DDR2 flight intentions from EUACA DDR2 data flow, processes and DNM cooperation summary TC - V2.0 Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum /08/2012 4

5 Flight Intentions from airports EUACA THE EUROPEAN AIRPORT COORDINATORS ASSOCIATION (EUACA) IS THE TRADE ASSOCIATION OF AIRPORT COORDINATORS AND SCHEDULES FACILITATORS Coordinated airport slots for 180 airports Coordinated, facilitated, data collection Daily feed Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

6 Flight intentions from schedules Consolidated schedules from INNOVATA (weekly) + Volunteers: British Airways Easyjet Lufthansa Air France Turkish Airlines Ryanair TUIfly KLM LOT Transavia SAS Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

7 Example: Olympic games traffic prediction EGKK Arrivals 26/07/ Flight Plan Actual DDR2 Forecast 02/07 DDr2 Forecast 11/07 DDR2 Forecast 24/ Correlation against Flight Plan 02/07/2012: 90.8% 24/07/2012: 93.0% Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

8 Use Case 1. ATFCM operational planning 2. ANSP improved planning of rosters 3. Planning for special events 4. Validation of AO schedule against airport slot 5. ATFCM pre-tactical refinements 6. More collaborative pre-tactical ASM (level 2) 7. Aircraft Operator flight planning Summary of benefits Sector productivity Better use of sector capacity Better assignment of ATCOs with respect to sector validations Better use of sector capacity Better use of sector capacity Better use of sector capacity Flight efficiency Potential* Potential* Potential* More direct routes from better use of CDRs Better informed route planning** Cost effectiveness ANSP cost savings from better match of ATCOs to demand Improved planning reduces tactical draw on resources ANSP cost savings from better match of ATCOs to demand Involvement in the ATM CDM Delay Reduced delay by planned capacity better aligned to demand Reduced delay Reduced delay from fewer disruptions Potential reduced airborne holding (delay) Reduced delay Reduced delay Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum *Potential as likely trade-off between re-routing/level routing/level capping and delay, **Depends on aircraft operator re-routing routing strategy

9 DDR2 Web portal Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

10 NEST overview SAAM Airspace Design, analysis & presentation Environment data edition Traffic assignment 3D/4D display Layers Flexible tool NEVAC Capacity Planning & Analysis Data integrity Data consistency Intuitive interface Scenario Rigorous tool NEST a European Airspace Design & Capacity Planning Tool combining all good features of both SAAM & NEVAC Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

11 NEST: Traffic forecast analysis, Graphs Sector / TV List ACC Opening Scheme Right click on Browser Daily Sector Traffic ACC Config List P3H Saturation ACC Regulations Daily ACC Traffic Daily summary of max hourly count & total delay Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

12 NEST tool Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum

13 Overall conclusion DDR2 improves the seasonal prediction accuracy (operationally used by PREDICT and under ANSP testing by DDR2 Web portal) NEST is merging SAAM (Airspace Design) and NEVAC (Capacity planning) functionalities under intuitive, easy to use single tool. Capacity planning activity benefits from the combination of DDR2 and NEST Capacity Planning, DDR2 & NEST / User Forum