Future Network Manager Methods

Transcription

1 Future Network Manager Methods Workshop on Emerging Technologies Sonke Mahlich Project Manager, EUROCONTROL ATC Global Beijing, 12. Sep. 2016

2 Network Management A global scope with regional challenges Future Network Manager Methods 2

3 Network Management in Europe Future Network Manager Methods 3

4 Network Management in Europe European Dimensions: 69 Control Centres 520 Airports Flights per day 2,27 Mio Passengers per Day Think Global - Act Local Future Network Manager Methods 4

5 Operational Shortcomings before SESAR Uncertainty in Traffic Prediction at time of slot allocation Lack of reactivity of the ATFM system in execution phase Local airspace solutions ignoring network effects Network not aware of Airport Planning ATC not aware of Network Performance Fragmentation Uncertainty Lack of Awareness Future Network Manager Methods 5

6 Evolution of Network Management SESAR* Objectives for : Performance driven high Airspace Users involvement in decision making From airspace-based to trajectory-based operations Collaborative Network Management up to the execution phase Strong Network View on Capacity Management Dynamic airspace management with enhanced civil/military cooperation Network Management supported by rolling Network Operations Plan (NOP) * SESAR: the Single European Sky ATM Research Program Future Network Manager Methods 6

7 Key Enabler: Trajectory Prediction ICAO FPL include only limited information of the 4D trajectory Key parameters are missing (exact position, altitude, performance data, ETO) Current Limitations: Inconsistent Trajectories AU Profile NM Profile ATC Profile ICAO FPL Current shortcomings: Different views of profiles Rejections of valid FPL Demand impredictability Reduced Network performance Future Network Manager Methods 7

8 Extended Flight Plan (EFPL) Airspace Users share full 4D trajectory picture via the EFPL Analysis of flights from airlines, cargo, low cost, regional and charter: Climb rate prediction error reduced from 150ft/min to 30ft/min 15% reduced flight plan rejections Potentially, 10% reduction of false medium-term conflicts detection Increased accuracy of estimated times over Future Network Manager Methods 8

9 Trajectory Based Operations Trajectory Information Sharing & Negotiation Managing trajectory using Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) A unique reference for planning and execution of the flight One Shared Profile for all applications Reference Trajectory Shared view of Traffic Demand Benefits: Airspace Users All Restrictions Network Mgnt Predictability of traffic demand Better use of ATM resources More precise flow management Less impact on AU operations 4D profiles + Additional Data Future Network Manager Methods 9

10 Short-term ATFCM Measures (STAM) Regulations only for major overloads Minor overloads resolved locally Tool set: Level cap, minor rerouting, minor delay Coordination with Network Manager STAM Congestion? (hourly counts) Let s say Yes In fact no congestion Too Late! Updates of the Plans (STAM) FMP Occupancy counts Hot Spot Detection Network View Support to CDM Airspace Users Benefits: Reduction of ATFCM Regulations (-40%) Closing Gap between ATFCM and ATC Very positive cost benefit ratio (1:15) Network Mgnt Future Network Manager Methods 10

11 Target Time Management DNM Profile TTA Congested location CTOT ICAO FPL Involve Airport, Flight Crew and ATC Network Mgnt Target Time of Arrival Benefits: Predictability of entry times => improved efficiency of ATFCM measures Can be overall fuel-neutral 2-5% capacity increase possible enroute In-Block punctuality and departure predictability improved by 10-30% Significant reduction of reactionary delays Future Network Manager Methods 11

12 User Driven Prioritization (UDPP) Airspace User Needs Prioritize important flights Reduce cost of delays Equity & Transparency Flexibility Capacity Shortfall Pro-active repositioning of flights Airspace Users Network Impact Network Mgnt Benefits: Minimise the IMPACT or COST of ATFM delay on Airspace User operations ess Slot Swapping Prototype to identify viable solutions 4600 saved per average slot swapping User Priorities Future Network Manager Methods 12

13 Network Operations Plan (NOP) Aircraft En-Route & approach ATC planning Air-Ground Datalink Management Primary gateway for all users and providers to visualise and understand the ATM environment NOP for common Situation Awareness: Network Demand and Capacities ATFCM scenarios Airport data METdata Aeronautical Information Management NOP the platform for CDM: A common Reference All Nw Ops actions through CDM Service Oriented Architecture: SWIM enabled service oriented architecture Set of functions/tools allowing access and modification of the NOP and the Network Situation Airport Airside Ops AOC/WOC ATM Future Network Manager Methods 13

14 Summary Benefit Mechanism Network Management Functions Trajectory Based Operations => Improved demand predictability & accuracy => Common reference for negotiation Dynamic Airspace Configuration => Higher granularity => finer solutions => Optimum use of available airspace STAM and Target Time Mgt => Minimise the impact on users operations User Driven Prioritization Process => Reduce impact based on business needs Network Operations Plan => Common situation awareness and support to Collaborative Decision Making Future Network Manager Methods 14