MASTER PLAN UPDATE. Planning Advisory Committee (PAC) FRESNO YOSEMITE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. Meeting #2

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1 MASTER PLAN UPDATE Planning Advisory Committee (PAC) FRESNO YOSEMITE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Meeting #2 May 4, 2017

2 Today s Agenda o Progress update o Summary of existing facilities o Preliminary forecasts o Intro to facility requirement o Stakeholder input & ideas o Next steps

3 Assignment Using your note cards, write down two top take aways from today discussion: o Things that are most important to you to include in the master plan o Something new you didn t know o Questions you hope the master plan will address We will collect and read at the end of the meeting

4 PAC #5 PAC #1 PAC #2 PAC #3 PAC #4 Airport Master Plan Process We are Here Aerial Survey & Mapping Notes: Study Introduction working paper (WP) on the website. Inventory and Environmental Setting WPs will be up shortly. Draft activity forecasts are being prepared and evaluation of facility requirements (airside and landside) has begun. Implementation Plan Pre-Planning, Study Design, Secure Grants Inventory Existing Conditions Activity & Demand Forecasting Capacity Analysis & Facility Requirements Alternative Concepts & Environmental Overview Financial Plan Final Documents & Plan Adoption ALP Plan Set Stakeholder Engagement & Planning Advisory Committee Public Workshop # Months Public Workshop #2 Public Workshop #3

5 Inventory of Existing Conditions

6 First a distinction Notes: These represent the airlines, and their aircraft, currently operating at FAT.. Commercial aviation scheduled passenger and cargo airlines Q400 B A320 Embraer 175 B B757 CRJ 200 MD80 CRJ 700 B757

7 First a distinction Military aviation Department of Defense aircraft F-15 Eagle CANG 144 th Fighter Wing C-130 Hercules F/A-18 Hornet Naval Air Station Lemoore CH47 Army Guard TASMG

8 First a distinction General Aviation (GA) everything else Personal, Business & Training Corporate & Charter Emergency Services

congestion and cost at other airports Direct to Guadalajara is

9 Where do our passengers come from? o Throughout Central California and the Central Coast Avoiding congestion and cost at other airports Direct to Guadalajara is a draw o Mostly from 6 counties Monterey Fresno, Madera, Mariposa, Merced, Kings, and Tulare

o 29% chose other airports mostly LAX (14%) and SFO (8%) Merced Co. Madera Co. Madera Clovis Fresno Co.

10 2014 Passenger Market Study o Evaluated originating passengers within a 50 mile radius of FAT o Includes 6 counties and 68 towns and cities o 86% of those passengers came from 10 cities o 71% of passengers chose FAT Mariposa Co. o 29% chose other airports mostly LAX (14%) and SFO (8%) Merced Co. Madera Co. Madera Clovis Fresno Co. Fresno Kingsburg Sanger Reedley Hanford Lemoore Visalia Tulare Tulare Co. Kings Co. Source: FAT Market Leakage Analysis, RS&H, Nov.2015

Other Commercial Service Airports o FAT 8 airlines, ±780,000 annual enplanements o LAX 66 airlines, ±36M enplanements Legend Fresno Yosemite International Airport SMF Other Commercial Service

11 Other Commercial Service Airports o FAT 8 airlines, ±780,000 annual enplanements o LAX 66 airlines, ±36M enplanements Legend Fresno Yosemite International Airport SMF Other Commercial Service Airports Previous or Limited Commercial Service SCK OAK SFO 50 mi. reference MOD SJC MCE FAT o SFO 48 airlines, ±24M enplanements MRY VIS o Visalia (VIS) and Modesto (MOD) no longer provide commercial service o Merced (MCE) provides very limited commercial service (Boutique Air) SBP SBA BFL LAX BUR LGB ONT SAN

12 Enplanements Where do our passengers go? o Anywhere in the world via 11 non-stop destinations o On 8 airlines SEA PDX 11 non-stop destinations Alaska AeroMexico Allegiant Delta SkyWest United Express SLC DEN American Volaris SFO FAT LAS 800, , , , , , , , , ,000 Historical Annual Enplanements 778, , , , , , Year LAX SAN PHX GDL DFW

13 Regional GA Airports 14 airports w/in 50 miles o FAT has the longest runway, best instrument approaches, and the only ATC Tower Notes: ATC = Air Traffic Control.

14 Regional GA Airports 4 w/ runways > 5000 o FAT has the longest runway, best instrument approaches, and the only ATC Tower o 5,000 + jet capable runways at Hanford (HJO), Madera (MAE), Merced (MCE), and Visalia (VIS) Notes: Some models of corporate/business jet type can operate on runways less than 5,000 but for general planning purposes, 5,000 represents a common operational metric for most operators.

Regional GA Airports Market of 900 based aircraft o FAT has the longest runway, best instrument approaches, and the only ATC Tower 28 o 5,000 + jet capable runways at Hanford (HJO) Madera

15 Regional GA Airports Market of 900 based aircraft o FAT has the longest runway, best instrument approaches, and the only ATC Tower 28 o 5,000 + jet capable runways at Hanford (HJO) Madera (MAE) Merced (MCE) Visalia (VIS) o Total of ±900 based aircraft FAT = 21% FAT+FCH = 35% o Sierra Sky Park (E79) is a fly- 2 in residential community

Pilot/Aircraft Owner Surveys o Three different surveys were distributed: FAT Based Aircraft FCH Based Aircraft Transient Pilot Surveys o Common response themes: FAT is attractive to

16 Pilot/Aircraft Owner Surveys o Three different surveys were distributed: FAT Based Aircraft FCH Based Aircraft Transient Pilot Surveys o Common response themes: FAT is attractive to business/corporate aviation because of facilities, services, location and ATC. Business flying will likely be greater in 2017 than FCH is attractive to personal flyers and those looking for a sense of community, avoiding the complexities of ATC and security at FAT, and lower costs. Hangar availability and price, fuel price, and FBO services are highly important to all aircraft owners/operators. Noted deficiency in FAT hangar space for jet aircraft. Costs at FAT and FCH appear higher than some other airports in the region. The condition of the general aviation ramp at FAT is of significant concern o Info is consistent with forecast assumptions and informs the evaluation of facility requirements at FAT.

168 / Sierra freeway Chestnut Ave Clovis Ave The Airport o 2,160 acres Groundwater recharge area Leaky Acres California Highway Patrol o Instrument approaches to all runway ends W Dakota Ave GAP

17 168 / Sierra freeway Chestnut Ave Clovis Ave The Airport o 2,160 acres Groundwater recharge area Leaky Acres California Highway Patrol o Instrument approaches to all runway ends W Dakota Ave GAP Facility o 80-90% of traffic is westerly Commercial development Commercial development Golf Course Rogers Helicopters Air Methods US Forest Service 2,160 public spaces 430 employee spaces CANG N E McKinley Ave 2016 aerial photo Commercial development

18 Passenger Terminal Original Construction 2006

19 Passenger Terminal o ± 161,000 sf of usable space o 21 different use types o Analyzing adequacy of each Concessions Airport Operations Public Circulation Queue Area TSA Screening Hold Room Airline Operations

Passenger Terminal 16 17 Ground Boarding 14 Common-use Gates 2 International Hardstands 14 14B 15B 15 FAA Radio Antennas 12 11 Boarding

20 Passenger Terminal Ground Boarding 14 Common-use Gates 2 International Hardstands 14 14B 15B 15 FAA Radio Antennas Boarding bridge to be added in International Aircraft Hardstands Rental Car Ready/Return FIS Employee Parking Cell Lot

Primary GA Area o 2 major fixed base operators (FBOs) o ± 202,000 sf of hangar area o 72,000 gallons fuel storage Notes: FBOs are private businesses that provide service to aircraft operators such as

21 Primary GA Area o 2 major fixed base operators (FBOs) o ± 202,000 sf of hangar area o 72,000 gallons fuel storage Notes: FBOs are private businesses that provide service to aircraft operators such as hangar rentals, fuel sales, line service, maintenance and concierge services. ARFF = Aircraft Rescue and Fire Fighting facility o Condition of apron pavement is a concern o Narrow apron width for larger wingspans o Limited transient overnight hangars Approx. Airport Boundary ATC Tower ARFF Signature Ross Aviation Office Complex San Joaquin Valley College

22 Preliminary Forecasts of Aviation Activity

23 Why Prepare an Aviation Demand Forecast o Provide the airport a baseline against which to measure the future performance of various airport facilities Airfield facilities evaluated against takeoffs and landings Terminal facilities evaluated against number of peak hour passengers Landside facilities evaluated against passengers and employee demand o Inform the need for new facilities or expanded facilities o Inform the financial capacity of the airport to fund capital improvements and operating expenses

24 What Drives the Forecast Demand o Economic characteristics Regional industries Gross domestic product (GDP) Gross regional product (GRP) o Demographic characteristics Per capita income Employment rates Population o Geographic attributes of the region Proximity to other airports Population centers Tourism attractions o Aviation industry changes Airline profitability Airline consolidation Price of aviation fuel 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Socioeconomic Growth Rates for the Fresno Combined Statistical Area (CSA), the State, and the Nation 1.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% Population Employment Per Capita Income Source: Woods & Poole, Fresno CSA California United States Notes: The CSA includes Fresno and Madera counties.

25 What is the Methodology for the Forecast Review historic airport traffic and airfares Review historic socioeconomic and demographic data Obtain forecast socioeconomic and demographic data Conduct econometric statistical analysis Develop market and route analysis, including airline interviews Annual passenger and cargo tonnage forecasts Prepare market scenarios Review aircraft operations data: passengers, cargo, general aviation Annual aircraft operations Review aircraft utilization and technology trends Incorporate airline schedule data Planning day flight schedules (peak hour demand) Incorporate airline strategy and air service development Work task Work output

26 Millions of passengers The Passenger Forecast Anticipates 2 Million Passengers in Historic : Annual average rate: +2.5% Projected : Annual average rate: +2.1% Domestic passengers International passengers Connecting passengers Source: InterVISTAS Consulting, Inc.

27 Mail and Freight Tonnage, Thousands of Metric Tonns Tonnage per Movement, Metric Tons Air Cargo Tonnage is Anticipated to Grow Steadily Historic : Average annual rate: -1.6% Projected : Average annual rate: +1.9% Freight & Mail Tonnage Tonnage per Movement Source: InterVISTAS Consulting, Inc.

28 Thousands The Aircraft Operations Forecast Anticipates 115 Thousand Operations in Historic : Average annual rate -5.1% 127 Projected : Average annual rate +0.8% Commuter and Air Taxi Air Carrier - Passenger Air Carrier - Freighter Military General Aviation Source: InterVISTAS Consulting, Inc.

facility requirements o Submit the forecast to the Federal Aviation Administration for their

29 Next Steps In The Forecast Process o Review April results when available and refine the forecast estimate for calendar year 2017 o Prepare planning day flight schedules to inform the analysis of facility requirements o Submit the forecast to the Federal Aviation Administration for their review and approval FAA will compare the recommended FAT forecast to their Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)

30 Upcoming Facility Requirements

31 <-- Arriving Passengers -- Departing Passengers --> 0:00 0:40 1:20 2:00 2:40 3:20 4:00 4:40 5:20 6:00 6:40 7:20 8:00 8:40 9:20 10:00 10:40 11:20 12:00 12:40 13:20 14:00 14:40 15:20 16:00 16:40 17:20 18:00 18:40 19:20 20:00 20:40 21:20 22:00 22:40 23:20 Terminal and Parking Facility Requirements will be Based on Peaking Characteristics Rolling Hour Arriving and Departing Passengers: July 2016 Note: this represents the typical time of day when the most passengers will be in the terminal building i.e., both arriving and departing passengers Departing Arriving Source: InterVISTAS Consulting, Inc.

32 <-- Arriving Flights -- Departing Flights --> 0:00 0:30 1:00 1:30 2:00 2:30 3:00 3:30 4:00 4:30 5:00 5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 16:30 17:00 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30 21:00 21:30 22:00 22:30 23:00 23:30 Aircraft Operational Profiles Inform the Requirement for Gates and Airfield Capacity Notes: Represents passenger airline operations only. 10 Rolling Hour Arriving and Departing Operations: July Departing Arriving Source: InterVISTAS Consulting, Inc.

33 Terminal o Expandability o Gates and boarding bridges o Airline needs o Ticket lobby o Concessions o TSA security screening o US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Federal Inspection Service (FIS) o Baggage screening and makeup FIS empties into ticketing lobby

34 Surface Transportation o Passenger parking o Employee parking o Rental cars o Transportation network companies (TNC) including Uber and Lyft o Curb front circulation o Roadway access o Transit and multimodal connectivity

Airfield 40-45 Airspace Clearance B737-700 Tail Height 41 E-175 Tail Height 32

Navigation aids o Airspace protection o Military operations o Air cargo o

35 Airfield Airspace Clearance B Tail Height 41 E-175 Tail Height 32 o FAA standards o Aircraft fleet mix o Runway length o Taxiway geometry o Navigation aids o Airspace protection o Military operations o Air cargo o General aviation ATCT o Air traffic control tower o Aircraft rescue and firefighting (ARFF)

City and County Zoning (2017) Community resources Natural resources o Utilities Capacity Condition FRESNO COUNTY

36 Other 2012 ALUCP (being updated in 2017) o Compatible land use FAA standards and guidance CA Airport Land Use Compatibility Plan (ALUCP) Airspace Safety Noise (exposure contours being updated 2017) o Environmental compatibility City and County Zoning (2017) Community resources Natural resources o Utilities Capacity Condition FRESNO COUNTY Residential Commercial Industrial Manufacturing Agriculture, Recreation, Conservation Note: Composite/condensed zoning classifications.

37 Thoughts, questions, comments?

38 Next Steps o Finalize Working Paper #2 Inventory May 2017 o Finalize Working Paper #3 Environmental Setting May 2017 o Submit forecasts to FAA (Working paper #4) May 2017 o Finalize aerial mapping June/July 2017 o Analyze facility requirements o Next PAC meeting July/August

39 Thank You Please contact the following with comments, questions or concerns regarding the Master Plan Study Mark Davis Airports Planning Manager City of Fresno (559) Pam Keidel-Adams Kimley-Horn Kevin Clarke Kimley-Horn

MASTER PLAN UPDATE. Planning Advisory Committee (PAC) FRESNO YOSEMITE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. Meeting #4

MASTER PLAN UPDATE. Planning Advisory Committee (PAC) FRESNO YOSEMITE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. Meeting #4 MASTER PLAN UPDATE Planning Advisory Committee (PAC) FRESNO YOSEMITE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Meeting #4 December 14, 2017 Today s Agenda o Welcome o Introductions o Progress update o Alternatives analysis