Expanding Capacity of the Panama Canal

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1 Expanding Capacity of the Panama Canal TRB 2006 Summer Conference La Jolla, California July 9-11, 2006 Rodolfo Sabonge Director, Corporate Planning and Marketing

2 We are all part of the Global Transportation System that sustains Globalization It only works well if all the pieces have enough capacity - we are all interdependent

3 World Seaborne Trade Shipping Trends Canal Traffic Long-Term Forecast Third Set of Locks Project

4 World Seaborne Trade Source: UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport 2005

5 Million Tonne Miles World Seaborne Trade

6 Source: Clarksons Research, 2006

7 World Seaborne Trade Shipping Trends

8 Evolution of the world TEU carrying capacity % % 1.34% 26.35% 5.05% % 81.15%.6M TEUs 1.6M TEUs 2.8M TEUs 68.60% June (Including newbuildings on order) 33.49% 2.7M TEUs 37.34% 40.50% 4.9M TEUs 3.8M TEUs 3.4M TEUs 31.32% 29.17% 8.1M TEUs Source: Clarksons Reserach Other % TEUs Panamax % TEUs Post Panamax % 28.18% 12.1M TEUs

9 Port TEU movements Million TEUs transhipment empties full DVB/ Drewry

10 World Seaborne Trade Shipping Trends Canal Traffic

11 Average PCUMS Tonnage of Commercial Transits 4,832 9,931 18,940 22,064 FY 1955 FY1975 FY 1995 FY 2005

12 PCUMS Net Tons per Market Segment (in millions - FY / 2007 proj) (estimate) (proj.) Containerships Dry Bulk Liquid Bulk General Cargo Reefers Cruise Vehicle carriers Others

13 International Ports Connected through the Panama Canal Osaka Nagoya Shanghai Kwangyang Qingdao Pusan Tokyo Keelung Shimizu Yantian Yokohama Hong Kong Kobe Colombo Chabang Hakata Kaohsiung Singapore Brisbane Sydney Tanjung Priok Doniambo Melbourne Source: ACP and ComPairData, 2006 Seattle Oakland Los Angeles Long Beach Manzanillo (Mx) Auckland Bremerhaven Rotterdam Tilbury Felixstowe Hamburg Halifax Thamesport Dunkerque NJ/NY Boston Zeebrugge Wilmington Le Havre Newport News Antwerp Charleston Baltimore Port Said.. Miami Savannah New Orleans Everglades Marseilles Colon Veracruz Kingston Manzanillo La Spezia Puerto Limón Cartagena Maracaibo Balboa La Guaira Guanta Buenaventura Puerto Cabello Manta Guayaquil Callao Arica Santos Iquique Paranagua Coquimbo Itajai Antofagasta Valparaíso San Antonio San Vicente Tahiti Transit the Canal Feeder services that don t transit the Canal

14 55% Growth of Panamax Vessel Transits 100 (30.5m) + Beam FY1995 Projected FY2006 % of Total Transits 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 27.1% 3, % 29.0% 30.7% 4,125 3,816 3, % 4, % 4, % 4, % 38.5% 4,566 4, % 5, % 44.5% Proj Fiscal Year 5,633 6,160

15 Main Factors Affecting Canal Capacity Visibility Restrictions Vessel in Locks Chamber Vessel Entering Gaillard Cut

16 < 80 BEAM Impact and Requirements by Vessel Type and Size Gatun Lockagein OneHour Requires 4 Locomotives Assisted by 3 Tugs 1 Pilot No Transit Restriction PANAMAX Gatun Lockage in 2 Hours Requires 6-8 Locomotives Assisted by 7-10 Tugs 2-3 Pilots Daylight one-way traffic through Gaillard Cut, and daylight transit through the locks of vessels 900 in length

17 Transits Requesting Reservation Slots 100% % of transits 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Could not get reservation slot Transited with reservation 1.0% 2.5% 40.2% 41.1% 9.0% 11.6% 20.2% 18.0% 16.2% 31.0% 45.5% 47.1% 51.3% 55.1% 58.4% 59.7% 10% 0% Slots Available Per Year up to march march 2006

18 Average Canal Waters Time With reservation Without reservation Canal Waters Time (hrs) Available Slots

19 World Seaborne Trade Shipping Trends Canal Traffic Long-Term Forecast

20

21

22

23 World Seaborne Trade Shipping Trends Canal Traffic Long-Term Forecast Third Set of Locks Project

24 Dimension of Vessels and Post Panamax Locks Existing Lock Post Panamax Conceptual Lock 4800 TEU TEU Length 305m (1,000 ) Ship length 294.3m (965 ) Length 427m (1,400 ) Ship length 385.8m (1,265 )

25 Containerships of more than 9,000 TEU on order Size 9,200 9,900 10,300 12, ,000+ L oa L bp * 366 B H T scant GT 107, ,000 * * * dwt 110, ,000 * * * Rows 18 / / / / / 19 * Exact numbers not known 1 New Panamax

26 Water Saving Basins WSB 1 WSB 2 WSB 3

27 Pacific side lock alignment and access channel

28

29

30 CONCEPTUAL DESIGN OF THIRD SET OF LOCKS

31

32 Cost Estimates for the Project (in million U.S. dollars) Water Saving Basins New Locks 2, Access Channels for the new Locks Navigational Channels Water Reservoir Improvements Inflation during construction Total Investment 530 5,250 Estimates include contingencies

33 Canal Expansion: A National Decision Approval by the Board of Directors. Approval by the Cabinet Council. Approval by the Legislative Assembly on-going. Citizens approval through a national referendum.

34 Expanding Capacity of the Panama Canal TRB 2006 Summer Conference La Jolla, California July 9-11, 2006 Rodolfo Sabonge Director, Corporate Planning and Marketing

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