South Australian Centre for Economic Studies June 2016 Economic Briefing Report 28 June, 2016

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1 Steve Whetton, Executive Director, SA Centre for Economic Studies South Australian Centre for Economic Studies June 216 Economic Briefing Report 28 June, 216

2 Per cent Global GDP Growth 1 8 Developing Countries 6 4 World Economy 2-2 High Income Countries Year World Bank data

3 Per cent Annual Growth in Real GDP, Real GDI and Real DFD Real GDI 6 5 Real DFD 4 3 Real GDP Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter ended

4 Growth in Key Components of Australian GDP Mar 215 to Mar 216 Annual Percentage Change Contribution to GDP Growth Final Consumption Expenditure General Government Households Gross Fixed Capital Formation Private Dwelling Business Investment Public Domestic Final Demand.8.8 Exports of Goods and Services Imports of Goods and Services Gross Domestic Product Real Gross Domestic Income.6 n.a.

5 Per cent Annual Growth in Australian Export Volumes Seas. Adj Goods Services Mar5 Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter ended

6 Per Cent Annual Growth in Australian Export Values Seas. Adj Goods Services -4 Mar5 Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter ended

7 Index International Commodity Prices 25 Bulk commodities (b) 2 Base Metals 15 Non-Rural (a) 1 5 Rural May6 May7 May8 May9 May1 May11 May12 May13 May14 May15 May16 Month RBA data

8 Index Terms of Trade Mar96 Mar98 Mar Mar2 Mar4 Mar6 Mar8 Mar1 Mar12 Mar14 Mar16 Month

9 $ billion Australian Private New Capital Expenditure by Industry 25 Mining 2 15 Other Selected Industries 1 5 Manufacturing Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter

10 $ billion Actual and Expected Private New Capital Expenditure, Australia /12 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/ Mining Manufacturing Other selected industries Total

11 Index Established House Prices Brisbane Sydney 11 Perth 9 7 Melbourne Adelaide 5 Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter

12 Per cent Per cent Australian Employment Growth Employment to Population Ratio (RHS) Total Employment Full-time Growth May6 May7 May8 May9 May1 May11 May12 May13 May14 May15 May16 Month Ended

13 ' Persons South Australian Employment Levels Seasonally Adjusted Trend May11 May12 May13 May14 May15 May16 Month

14 Per cent South Australian Employment Growth Total employment -4 Full-time employment -6 May6 May7 May8 May9 May1 May11 May12 May13 May14 May15 May16 Year Ended (Month)

15 Expenditure on South Australia s State Final Demand Final Consumption Expenditure Mar 215 to Mar 216 Annual Percentage Change Contribution to GSP Growth General Government Households Gross Fixed Capital Formation Private Dwellings Business Investment Public State Final Demand 1. 1.

16 Australia, $ billion South Australia, $ billion Private Sector Business Investment Australia South Australia Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter

17 $ billion Value of South Australian Building Approvals Total Building.3.2 New Residential Building.1 Residential Alterations/Additions Non-Residential Building. Apr6 Apr7 Apr8 Apr9 Apr1 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Month

18 Per cent Annual Growth Real Goods & Services Exports, SA Services Goods -5-1 Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Quarter ended

19 Per cent Growth in Selected Real Domestic Demand Components Private Business Investment Household Consumption Expenditure Total Private Dwellings Investment -15 Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Year Ended (Quarter)

20 $ billion Preliminary Real Construction Work Done, South Australia Total Construction Engineering Construction 1. Residential Building.5 Non-Residential Building. Mar6 Mar7 Mar8 Mar9 Mar1 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Quarter

21 Ratio Australian Household Saving Ratio Mar96 Mar98 Mar Mar2 Mar4 Mar6 Mar8 Mar1 Mar12 Mar14 Mar16 Quarter

22 Index Index of Employment Levels WA QLD VIC 11 SA NSW 15 1 TAS 95 9 May6 May7 May8 May9 May1 May11 May12 May13 May14 May15 May16 Month

23 Steve Whetton, Executive Director, SA Centre for Economic Studies South Australian Centre for Economic Studies June 216 Economic Briefing Report 28 June, 216

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