Gerald R. Ford International Airport Authority Master Plan Update A World Class Gateway

Transcription

1 Gerald R. Ford International Airport Authority Master Plan Update A World Class Gateway Master Plan Advisory Committee (MPAC) Meeting No. 2 Presentation Updated April 19, 2017

2 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

3 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

4 Introductions» GFIAA Staff» Master Plan Consultants» MPAC Members» Others in Attendance Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

5 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

6 Master Plan Process Pre-Planning Investigation Phase Solutions Phase Implementation Phase Visioning Aviation Activity Forecast Facility Requirements Alternatives Development & Evaluation Facilities Implementation Plan Airport Inventory Preliminary ALP We are Here Airside Landside Evaluate Alternatives Environmental Considerations Airport Layout Plan Airport Review DOT Review Executive Summary Study Documentation Airport Survey GA Access FAA Review Handouts Exec Summary Aerial Imagery Survey Utilities Airport Approval Chapters Sustainability Agency Review Agency Review MP Advisory Committee Meeting Agency Review FAA Approval ALP Set AGIS/eALP Pilot Program MP Advisory Committee Meeting Data/Imagery Validation Airport & Airspace Analysis ealp MP Advisory Committee Meeting Public Workshop Public Workshop Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

7 Master Plan Purpose An airport master plan is a comprehensive study of an airport and usually describes the short-, medium-, and long-term development plans to meet future aviation demand. - FAA Advisory Circular 50/5070-6B Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

8 The Sponsor s Plan» The Master Plan is the Sponsor s plan for executing long-term vision» The FAA does not approve the Master Plan although the FAA does expect the Airport to officially adopt the document» The Airport Master Plan often includes ultimate development which are actions anticipated beyond the normal 20-year time frame of the Master Plan Marc Newson Ltd., 2016 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

9 Master Plan Purpose» Strategic development vision» Balances needs of Airport, community, environment» Airport Layout Plan (ALP) required to obtain grants» Helps improve financial sustainability Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

10 MPAC Role» Facilitate public involvement program» Disseminate information from MPAC meetings through networking» Serve in technical and public advisory roles Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

11 Public Involvement» Master Plan Advisory Committee» Public Meetings and Workshops» Public Announcements/Legal Notices/ List» Website Maintenance and Social Media» Authority Board Briefings Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

12 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

13 History Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

14 Vicinity Map Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

15 NPIAS Classification CY 2015 Small Hub Rank Airport Name LOC ID City State Service Level Hub Size CY 2015 CY 2015 % of US Enplanements 1 Bob Hope BUR Burbank CA P S 1,973, % 2 Memphis International MEM Memphis TN P S 1,873, % 3 Will Rogers World OKC Oklahoma City OK P S 1,803, % 4 Theodore Francis Green State PVD Warwick RI P S 1,763, % 5 Richmond International RIC Highland Springs VA P S 1,740, % 6 Charleston AFB/International CHS Charleston SC P S 1,669, % 7 Reno/Tahoe International RNO Reno NV P S 1,669, % 8 Louisville International-Standiford Field SDF Louisville KY P S 1,640, % 9 Tucson International TUS Tucson AZ P S 1,549, % 10 Spokane International GEG Spokane WA P S 1,515, % 11 Norfolk International ORF Norfolk VA P S 1,515, % 12 Lihue LIH Lihue HI P S 1,491, % 13 Boise Air Terminal/Gowen Field BOI Boise ID P S 1,487, % 14 Kona International at Keahole KOA Kailua Kona HI P S 1,485, % 15 Guam International GUM Tamuning GU P S 1,420, % 16 El Paso International ELP El Paso TX P S 1,381, % 17 Tulsa International TUL Tulsa OK P S 1,359, % Note: All Michigan enplanements represent 2.4% of the total U.S. enplanements for CY 2015 Source: FAA, Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International BHM Birmingham AL P S 1,325, % 19 Gerald R Ford International GRR Grand Rapids MI P S 1,280, % 20 Albany International ALB Albany NY P S 1,276, % 21 Long Beach /Daugherty Field/ LGB Long Beach CA P S 1,220, % 22 Orlando Sanford International SFB Sanford FL P S 1,209, % 23 Greater Rochester International ROC Rochester NY P S 1,177, % 24 Des Moines International DSM Des Moines IA P S 1,156, % 25 James M Cox Dayton International DAY Dayton OH P S 1,041, % Note: This table only shows the largest 25 Small Hub Airports out of the total 72 identified for Calendar Year (CY) Note: As of CY 2015, the largest Large Hub Airport is Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (ATL) with 49,340,732 enplanements, or 6.172% of the total US enplanements. Source: FAA Passenger Enplanement (Boarding) and All-Cargo Data for US Airports, 2017 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

16 Airspace Air Route Traffic Control Centers (ARTCC) Boundaries Grand Rapids TRACON Boundary (Terminal Radar Approach Control) Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

17 Airspace GFIA is an unrestricted facility, open to all airport traffic GFIA has Class C airspace while the Airport Traffic Control Tower (ATCT) is open from 5:30 am -12:00 am. GFIA has Class E airspace while the ATCT is closed from 12:00 am -5:30 am Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

18 Runway 8L/26R Length- 5,000 ft. Width- 100 ft. Pavement- Asphalt/Grooved in Excellent Condition Runway 8R/26L Length-10,001 ft. Width- 150 ft. Pavement- Concrete/Grooved in Good Condition Runway 17/35 Length- 8,501 ft. Width- 150 ft. Pavement- Concrete/Grooved in Good Condition The The Airfield Airfield Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

19 Main Level Inventory Slide 9: Terminal Main spaces, concourses, levels and uses, amenities 254,758 sq. ft (pre 2017) 297,480 sq. ft (post 2017) The Terminal Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

20 Inventory Second Level The Terminal Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

21 28 th St 28 th St 36 th St Patterson Ave 36 th St Kraft Ave Thornapple River Dr CSX Railroad 44 th St 44 th St Oostema Blvd 52 nd St Landside- Regional Patterson Ave 52 nd St Connectivity 60 th St Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps Kraft Ave Thornapple River Dr 48th St

22 On Airport Access Main Airport Entrance Arched Gateway Entrance Oostema Blvd Ross Dr Walsh Dr Patterson Ave Van Laar Dr Terminal Curbside Pederson Ct Ross Dr and Van Laar Dr Intersection Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

23 Parking North Lot 1,171 spaces Economy / Aux. Lot 2,742 spaces Oostema Blvd Walsh Dr East Lot 555 spaces Cell Phone Lot 25 spaces Airport Employee Lot 461 spaces Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps Parking Structure 4,211 spaces, including 206 Valet spaces (Level 1)

24 Rental Car Facilities Walsh Dr Oostema Blvd Fuel Farm Dr Ross Dr Enterprise Van Laar Dr Budget Patterson Ave Pederson Ct Avis Rental Car Ready/Return National /Alamo Hertz Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

25 Northern Jet Management Eagle Hangar Northern Jet Management East Hangar Total Leased Space = 676,912 sq. ft of all Hangars and Office Space Northern Jet Management Offices East Corporate Aviation Area Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

26 Alticor/Amway (Bldg. 409, 410, 412) Total Lease=406,523 sq. ft Tresstar/Universal Forest (Bldg. 408) Total Lease=61,100 sq. ft L3 Communications (Bldg. 413) Total Lease=33,182 sq. ft AeroMed (Bldg. 407) Total Lease=51,700 sq. ft Steelcase (Bldg. 406) Total Lease=94,000 sq. ft Bissell (Bldg. 414) Total Lease=88,360 sq. ft West Corporate Aviation Area Island Investments (Bldg. 405) Total Lease=32,900 sq. ft Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

27 Signature T-Hangars (Bldg. 201 H,I,J, and K) Total Lease=32,9301 sq. ft Signature TechnicAir Building (Bldg. 200) Total Lease=200,000 sq. ft J I H K Signature North FBO Facilities Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

28 Signature Flight Support FBO Terminal (Bldg. 437-only) Total Lease=4,711 sq. ft Signature FBO Hangar (Bldg. 403) Total Lease=548,588 sq. ft Signature FBO Hangar (Bldg. 436-only) Total Lease=18,750 sq. ft Signature South FBO Facilities Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

29 East Cargo Area Bldg. 207 Apron = 6,386 sq. yd (57,477 sq. ft) UPS Cargo Building (Bldg. 208-UPS Leased Space only) Total Lease= 250,000 sq. ft, Inventory Slide 15 Cargo FedEx and UPS FedEx Cargo Building (Bldg. 207-FedEx Leased Space only) Total Lease=694,489 sq. ft FedEx Cargo Apron (FedEx Leased Apron Space only) =31,051 sq. yd (279,462 sq. ft) Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

30 West Cargo Area Building 401 (Leased by Global Air, Swissport, and some of the Airlines for Belly Cargo) Total Lease=23,235 sq. ft Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

31 Airport Traffic Control Tower (ATCT) Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

32 Air Rescue and Fire Fighting (ARFF) Station (Bldg. 205) Total Area=21,000 sq. ft Support Facilities-ARFF Air Rescue and Fire Fighting (ARFF) Station (4 Vehicle Bays) 2 Oshkosh 1500, 1 Rosenbauer 1500, and 1 Airport Shuttle Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

33 Support Facilities- Field Maintenance Field Maintenance (Bldg. 402-only) Total Area=21,525 sq. ft Field Maintenance (Bldg. 420 only) Total Area=52,000 sq. ft Field Maintenance Salt and Sand Domes (Bldg. 422 and 423 only) Field Maintenance Barns (Bldg. 301 and 303-only) Total Area Combined= 23,400 sq. ft Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

34 West Fuel Farm Total Lease= 58,500 sq. ft West Side Fuel Farm Aircraft Fuel Storage Tanks Capacity Tenant Fuel Type Tank (gal.) Amway/Alticor Jet A Underground 15,000 Amway/Alticor Jet A Underground 15,000 Amway/Alticor Jet A Underground 15,000 Signature Flight Support AvGas Aboveground 10,500 Signature Flight Support AvGas Underground 10,000 Signature Flight Support AvGas Underground 10,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Aboveground 15,500 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 10,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 10,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 15,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 15,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 15,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 15,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 15,000 Signature Flight Support Jet A Underground 20,000 Steelcase Jet A Aboveground 10,000 Steelcase Jet A Aboveground 10,000 Total AvGas Fuel Tank Capacity 30,500 Total Jet A Fuel Tank Capacity 195,500 Total AvGas and Jet A Fuel Tank Capacity 226,000 East Fuel Farm (Unleased) Support Facilities-Fuel Farm Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

35 Kent County Road Commission Weather Station Remote Transmitter RADAR Other Facilities Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

36 Utilities-Water Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

37 Other Non-Aviation Facilities West Michigan Aviation Academy (Bldg. 102) Total Lease=235,224 sq. ft Stormwater Treatment System Kent Intermediate School District Building (Bldg. 424) Total Lease=113,338 sq. ft GFIA Viewing Park (Image Source: Gerald R Ford International Airport, 2017) Thornapple Pointe Golf Course Total Lease= acres (5,867,532 sq. ft) Introductions Purpose Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

38 Land Use Development Sites

39 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

40 REQUIREMENTS AND USE OF A FORECAST Terminal Area Forecast» Basis for Facility Requirements 2,500,000» Must be approved by FAA 2,000,000 1,500,000» Independent Assessment of 1,000,000 FAA Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) 500,000 Within 10% of TAF in Five Years Within 15% of TAF in Ten Years - Annual Enplanements Year Forecast Historic Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

41 US Enplanements Total Enplanements of all US Airports 900,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, ,000, * Total Enplanements Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

42 GFIA Historical-Total Enplanements 1,400,000 9/11 Recession Recovery 1,300,000 1,200,000 1,100,000 1,000, , , , , Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

43 GFIA Historical- Load Factors 90 Recession Recovery Load Factor % GFIA Load Factor US Domestic Load Factor Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

44 GFIA Historical-Enplanements by Month 140, , , , ,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 October November December January February March April May June July FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 August September FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 Source: Gerald R Ford International Airport, 2017; RS&H, 2017 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

45 GFIA Non-stop Destinations Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

46 Top 25 International Destinations Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

47 GFIA HISTORICAL Air Cargo Freight and Mail EXHIBIT 3-7 GFIA HISTORIC AIR CARGO (POUNDS) ( ) 100,000,000 Recession Recovery 95,000,000 90,000,000 85,000,000 80,000,000 75,000,000 70,000,000 SOURCE: GERALD R. FORD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

48 GFIA HISTORICAL Airport Operations By Type EXHIBIT 3-8 GFIA HISTORIC OPERATIONS BY TYPE ( ) 140,000 Recession Recovery 120, ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, Total Mil Air Carrier Air Taxi & Commuter Total GA Total Operations SOURCE: FAA TAF 2016, PUBLISHED JANUARY, 2017 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

49 GFIA Service Region Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

50 Historical Enplanements for West Michigan Airports 1,400,000 9/11 Recession Recovery 1,200,000 1,000, , , , , * Grand Rapids (GRR) Lansing (LAN) Kalamazoo (AZO) Muskegon (MKG) Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

51 Historical Market Share for West Michigan Airports 90.00% 9/11 Recession Recovery 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% April, % 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Grand Rapids (GRR) Lansing (LAN) Kalamazoo (AZO) Muskegon (MKG) Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

52 GFIA Forecasts of Socioeconomic Variables Socioeconomic Variable GFIA Service Area Michigan United States Population 1,218,838 9,959, ,506,940 % Growth % 5.0% 19.31% Employment 748,789 5,518, ,870,817 % Growth % 17.0% 29.0% Personal Income Per Capita $43,472 $42,681 $48,134 % Growth % 136.5% 133.8% Gross Regional Product (Billions) $61.0 $474.7 $18,428 % Growth % 142.6% 170.1% SOURCE: WOODS & POOLE, INC., 2016, DATA BASE 2014 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

53 GFIA Top Ten Metro Areas With Fastest Growing GRP Metropolitan Area GRP ( ) 1. San Jose, CA 43.6% 2. Austin, TX 37.1% 3. Nashville, TN 34.1% 4. San Antonio, TX 33.2% 5. Charlotte, NC 33.1% 6. Grand Rapids, MI 30.9% 7. San Francisco, CA 29.3% 8. Raleigh, NC 29.2% 9. Columbus, OH 28.9% 10. Dallas, TX 28.7% U.S. Source: Average The Right Place, Inc. 20.5% SOURCE: THE RIGHT PLACE, INC. Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

54 GFIA Economic Trends Summary Many Positive Factors Economic development infrastructure (The Right Place) Growth in Regional GRP GFIA proximity to 400 businesses Dominance of manufacturing near Airport Increasing interface between manufacturing and technology Striving to become World Gateway New Business Growth Switch Synergy within West Michigan Seventeen universities and colleges Public/private philanthropic resources Dedication to expansion of public transportation Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

55 GFIA RISK FACTORS Factors Affecting Aviation Demand The Forecasts identify five general risk factors that could impact future enplanement demand: 1.Stability in the Airline Industry 2.United States Economic Condition 3.National Security 4.Price of Jet Fuel 5.Pilot Shortages Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

56 GFIA AIR CARGO FORECAST 110,000, ,000, ,000,000 95,000,000 Air Cargo (pounds) 90,000,000 85,000,000 80,000,000 75,000,000 70,000,000 65,000,000 60,000, Year SOURCE: RS&H ANALYSIS, 2017 Historic Forecast Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

57 GFIA Operations 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, Historic GA Operations Historic Military Operations Air Carrier Operations Forecast Total GA Operations Forecast Military Operations Forecast Air Carrier Operations Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

58 Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) Year Enplanements ,312, ,447, ,477,718 2,500,000 Terminal Area Forecast ,505, ,533, ,562,165 2,000, ,589, ,615, ,641, ,668, ,697, ,726, ,755,768 Annual Enplanements 1,500,000 1,000, ,785, ,815, ,844, , ,874, ,904, ,935, ,967, ,999,870 Consolidated Average Growth Rate 2.13% Forecast 2020 Year Historic Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

59 GFIA Comparison of FAA Terminal Area Forecasts 2,200,000 2,000,000 Annual Enplanements 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, , Baseline TAF 2015 Preliminary TAF 2016 TAF 2016 Historic SOURCE: FAA TAF 2016, PUBLISHED JANUARY 2017 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

60 GFIA FORECAST SCENARIOS Socioeconomic Basis FAA TAF Reflects FAA Forecast model BASE CASE Reflects strong growth in forecast regional personal income per capita and regional employment LOW SCENARIO Correlates with rate of growth of Michigan personal income per capita HIGH SCENARIO Strong correlation with rates of growth in regional population, personal income, and gross domestic product Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

61 GFIA FORECAST SCENARIOS Primary Forecast Assumptions FAA TAF Rate of growth for next 20 years is approximately equal to the rate of growth for the last 25 years BASE CASE LOW SCENARIO HIGH SCENARIO Assumes larger aircraft on routes, more frequencies, continued competition between airlines with competitive fares, increases in non-stop destinations, recognizes new business growth, initiation of international activity Assumes a slow down in regional population, employment and personal income that would result in less profitability for airlines with slowly rising fares and a reduced rate of growth in airline frequencies and new market service Sustained growth in population, employment, and income that results in incentives for new carriers to enter Grand Rapids market, new non-stop service, increased airline profitability, fare competition, increased personal and business trips, and earlier initiation of international service Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

62 Base Case Scenario Year Enplanements ,312, ,361, ,410, ,461, ,512, ,565, ,612, ,653, ,694, ,732, ,771, ,811, ,852, ,893, ,931, ,970, ,009, ,049, ,090, ,132, ,175,394 Consolidated Average Growth Rate 2.56% Annual Enplanements 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , Base Case Enplanement Forecast Year Forecast Historic Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

63 Low Scenario Year Enplanements ,312,644 2,500,000 Low Enplanement Scenario ,352, ,382, ,410, ,434,769 2,000, ,457, ,479, ,501, ,522, ,542, ,562, ,582, ,602,764 Annual Enplanements 1,500,000 1,000, ,621, ,640, , ,658, ,676, ,693, ,710, ,727, ,744, Year Consolidated Average Growth Rate 1.43% Forecast Historic Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

64 High Growth Scenario Year Enplanements ,312, ,365,150 3,000,000 High Growth Enplanement Scenario ,419, ,476, ,535,608 2,500, ,597, ,660, ,727, ,796, ,868, ,008, ,108, ,193, ,258,995 Annual Enplanements 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,326, ,390, ,456, , ,517, ,580, ,645, ,698,286 Consolidated Average Growth Rate 3.45% Forecast 2020 Year Historic Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

65 COMPARISON - GFIA Forecasts & FAA TAF 2,800,000 2,600,000 2,400,000 2,200,000 Enplanements 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, Low Growth Scenario Base Case High Growth Scenario TAF 2016 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

66 GFIA COMPARISON Historical/Future Growth Rates GFIA Historical and Forecast Growth Period Annual Growth Rate % (last ten) 2.68% (best ten) 3.60% % % Base Case Forecast (next ten) 3.00% High Scenario Forecast (next ten) 4.25% Year Base Case Forecast would achieve previous best 10-year growth rate 2025 Year Forecast High Scenario achieves Base Case 10-year forecast 2024 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

67 Average Growth Rate Comparisons ( ) Average Growth Rates ( ) Average Growth Rate United States Total Enplanements 2.15% Average Growth Rate Small Hubs Large Hubs El Paso International 1.36% Hartsfield-Atlanta International 2.07% Tulsa International 1.75% Los Angeles International 2.38% Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International 1.97% Chicago O'Hare International 1.88% Gerald R. Ford International 3.00% Dallas-Fort Worth International 1.91% Albany International 2.10% John F. Kennedy International 2.35% Long Beach/Daugherty Field 6.43% Denver International 2.67% Orlando Sanford International 4.48% San Francisco International 2.63% SOURCE: FAA TAF 2016, PUBLISHED JANUARY 2017 FOR ALL AIRPORTS EXCEPT GFIA; GFIA, RS&H ANALYSIS, Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

68 GFIA Arrivals and Departures by Hour, :00 1:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 5:00 6:00 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 Arrivals Departures Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

69 GFIA Arrivals and Departures by Hour, :00 1:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 5:00 6:00 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 Arrivals Departures Flights Added Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

70 GFIA Arrivals and Departures by Hour, :00 1:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 5:00 6:00 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 Arrivals Departures Flights Added Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

71 GFIA Arrivals and Departures by Hour, :00 1:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 5:00 6:00 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 Arrivals Departures Flights Added Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

72 GFIA Arrivals and Departures by Hour, :00 1:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 5:00 6:00 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 Arrivals Departures Flights Added Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

73 GFIA Busy Hour and Day Forecast Busy Hour Year Busy Day Arrivals Arrivals Departures Combination Arrivals/ Departures RS&H ANALYSIS, 2017 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

74 Base Case Scenario and TAF Comparison Base Case Forecast Comparison with FAA Terminal Area Forecast Category Base Case TAF 2016 Base Case TAF 2016 Base Case TAF 2016 Base Case TAF 2016 Base Case TAF 2016 Enplanements 1,312,644 1,312,757 1,565,796 1,562,165 1,771,523 1,697,356 1,970,322 1,844,750 2,175,394 1,999,870 Commercial Operations 41,456 41,456 46,093 43,862 50,178 47,099 52,760 50,997 54,725 55,059 GA Based Aircraft GA Operations 38,209 38,209 42,191 39,861 45,499 40,379 48,394 40,912 51,501 41,541 Total Operations 79,665 79,665 88,284 83,723 95,677 87, ,154 91, ,226 96,600 Comparison with TAF (Percent Base Case Forecast of TAF 2016)(1) Enplanements 100.0% 100.2% 104.4% 106.8% 108.8% Commercial Operations 100.0% 105.1% 106.5% 103.5% 99.4% GA Based Aircraft 100.0% 105.1% 112.6% 116.5% 121.9% GA Operations 100.0% 105.8% 112.7% 118.3% 124.0% Total Operations 100.0% 105.4% 109.4% 110.1% 110.0% Source: RS&H Analysis for fiscal years, 2017 Note: Percent is calculated by Base Case divided by TAF 2016 Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

75 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

76 AGIS Status Completed Items» Imagery acquired 08/08/2016» Airside survey completed 09/09/2016» Obstruction surveys completed 01/06/2017» Base Mapping completed 01/27/2017» Orthophotography completed 1/11/2017 Samples of 3 Orthophotography

77 AGIS Status Remaining Items» Attribute field verification task-coincide with geodetic control so that there is only 1 mobilization» Geodetic Control establishment and survey-to take place after approval of Geodetic Control Plan by NGS» Conversion of cadastral, future data and Exhibit A data-to be done once paper ALP finalized Sample of data through AGIS viewer

78 Airport Property Map - Exhibit A Update Airport Exhibit A to Meet FAA Standard Operating Procedure (SOP) 3.00» Prompted by FAA to update property information» All Airport information up-to-date but no recent boundary survey Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps

79 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

80 Jul Airport Vision Project Schedule Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Pre-Planning Investigation Phase Solutions Phase Implementation Phase Kickoff Meeting Working Paper 1 Working Paper 2 Existing Conditions Aviation Activity Forecast Environmental FAA Review Facility Requirements Working Paper 3 Working Paper 4 Working Paper 5 Identify Alternatives Working Paper 6 Evaluate Alts Working Paper 7 Considerations Aerial Photo Survey Obstruction Analysis FAA Review AGIS Study Plan AGIS System Data Entry Recycling Plan Select Alternatives Working Paper Financial Feasibility and Implementation 8 Plan Working Paper 9 Airport Layout Plan & Exhibit A FAA Review ALP Working Paper 10 Master Plan Study Doc Study Doc MP Advisory Committee Meetings # 1 # 2 # 3 Airport Board Briefings # 1 # 4 # 5 # 6 # 2 # 3 # 4 Public Involvement Workshops Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps # 1 # 2

81 AGENDA Introductions Master Plan Process Review Report on the Master Plan Update Facility Inventory Report on the Master Plan Update Forecasts and FAA Process Report on Project Survey Efforts/AGIS/Exhibit A Schedule Review Master Plan Update Next Steps

82 NEXT STEPS to Fall 2017» Await FAA Approval of Forecasts» Develop Facility Requirements and begin Alternatives Evaluation» Board Briefing in May-June, 2017» Hold MPAC Meeting # 3 Tentative Schedule is June 22, 2017» Complete Alternatives Evaluation» Hold MPAC Meeting #4 and Public Information Meeting #1 on the night of September 28, 2017.» Finalize Exhibit A Introductions Process Inventory Forecast Survey Schedule Next Steps