Investment case. Real estate market outlook. Rivergate House
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- Alexis Bailey
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2 Investment case 01 Wilburn Wharf at a glance 03 The case for Manchester 05 Economic snapshot 07 Northern Powerhouse 08 Population growth 09 Manchester education 11 Global connectivity 12 National connectivity 13 Regeneration Real estate market outlook 19 Supply 21 Demand 23 Sales market 24 Rental market Rivergate House 25 Overview 27 Location map 35 Floor plans 44 Specification 45 Developer
3 INVESTMENT CASE Piccadilly Station Piccadilly Gardens Town Hall Great Northern Manchester Central Hilton Universities WILBURN WHARF AT A GLANCE Spinningfields Old Granada Studios Metrolink Deansgate Station Built for living A new luxury waterside residential community just minutes from Manchester s central business district MOSI St. John s Centrally located Castlefield Walking distance from Spinningfields the Canary Wharf of the North Middlewood Locks St. John s Close to key transport hubs including Deansgate, Castlefield and Oxford Road Quick access to MediaCityUK and the Salford Quays business and leisure area RIVERGATE HOUSE Wilburn Wharf Regents Park River Irwell Primed for growth Well-positioned to leverage the growth and regeneration of Manchester city centre Key part of a wider plan to regenerate Manchester s waterways and provide much-needed new residential capacity in the heart of the city Sainsbury s MediaCityUK, Salford Quays 2
4 INVESTMENT CASE THE CASE FOR MANCHESTER Economic prosperity and a growing population are driving a strong case for investment in the UK s second city. A case further boosted by the UK government s Northern Powerhouse strategy, which puts Manchester at the heart of GBP7 billion of investment in infrastructure, education, employment and culture. 4
5 INVESTMENT CASE ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT Gross Value Added (GVA) is a measure of the value of goods and services produced in an area, industry or sector. Strong labour market performance saw 5.4% annual growth in private sector office jobs, ahead of London s 3.8% Manchester is a leading hub for a number of important industries: Business is booming throughout Manchester, whose GVA (Gross Value Added) now surpasses that of the Northeast (GBP42 billion), West Yorkshire (GBP43 billion) and Merseyside (GBP25 billion). 32% GVA forecast to grow 32% to GBP75.2 billion by % Annual GDP growth of 3.5%, ahead of the UK average (2.8%) 57,000 jobs have been created in Central Manchester since ,000 new jobs will be created by 2024, with 36,000 more office jobs expected in Central Manchester over the next decade Disposable income of Manchester residents is forecast to grow by 28% over the next decade GBP56 billion GVA per annum Annual GVA growth - Greater Manchester Manchester s employment outlook 97,500 businesses 1.39 million workers 1.39M Greater Manchester accounts for 40% of economic activity in the Northwest 40% % annual working population (millions) Source : GMFM 6
6 NORTHERN POWERHOUSE POPULATION GROWTH INVESTMENT CASE In 2014, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne announced plans to invest GBP7 billion into business, culture and infrastructure in the North of England. The Northern Powerhouse scheme will focus on the cities of Liverpool, Leeds, Sheffield and Newcastle, with Manchester at its heart. GBP7 BILLION further investment in the North The UK s fastest growing city The City of Manchester saw 17.8% population growth between 2003 and 2013 more than double the national average over the same period. An urban population explosion 570 Manchester City Population Growth Forecast (2012 Greater Manchester Forecasting Model) 550 Investing GBP6 billion in the North s roads, to reduce congestion and enhance connectivity New modern trains and 20% more capacity to tackle overcrowding Developing new highspeed rail links to reduce journey times from London to Birmingham and between Northern cities Doubling the number of Northern cities to benefit from the government s superfast broadband programme Growth In thousands City centre growth Growth across Greater Manchester Already a world leader in research and now a new GBP235 million Sir Henry Royce Materials Research Institute based in Manchester, with centres in Leeds, Liverpool and Sheffield A devolution deal with Greater Manchester and the UK s first metro-wide elected mayor outside London from 2017 A Great Exhibition in the North to showcase the best Northern art, culture and design GBP78 million funding for The Factory Manchester, a new theatre and exhibition space City centre employment will surpass 400,000 jobs by 2025 Central Manchester s population is expected to grow to over 560,000 by 2025 That s 50,000 new residents who will need city centre housing in the next decade The city centre is expanding outward to accommodate this demand Currently home to 2.73 million residents Expected to attract more than 500,000 new residents by 2025 The UK s largest employment catchment area outside of London Over 7 million residents within an hour s drive 8
7 INVESTMENT CASE MANCHESTER EDUCATION Manchester has grown into a prestigious global centre for education, with over 100,000 students enrolled at the city s four major universities. Attracting international students International students at the University of Manchester make up 23% of the total student population More and more overseas students are choosing to stay in the city after graduation Chinese student numbers in Manchester grew 45% over the past five years Investing in education GBP500 million of forthcoming capital investment Active Building Schools for the Future and Academies programmes Rebuilding, refurbishing or replacing 33 schools across Greater Manchester Brain gain Students are increasingly remaining in the city after graduation The city is targeting investment in business sectors that create graduate opportunities More than 70% of Manchester Metropolitan University graduates stay in the Northwest after graduation 40% growth in Manchester s year-old demographic since
8 GLOBAL CONNECTIVITY Large-scale investment has seen Manchester develop into a hub for global travel The GBP1 billion regeneration of Manchester Airport is set to deliver five million square feet of development opportunities for offices, hotels, advanced manufacturing and logistics businesses, creating some 16,000 jobs. From June 2016, a new Hainan Airlines route from Beijing to Manchester Airport will be the first direct connection from China to a UK destination outside of London. The route is forecast to provide a GBP50 million boost to Manchester s economy. The GBP130 million China Cluster project at Manchester will provide a commercial base for Chinese businesses entering the UK. The cluster will be located at the Airport s proposed GBP800 million business hub, Airport City. New York Manchester Geneva Dubai Hong Kong Singapore Beijing Third-busiest national airport after Heathrow and Gatwick Named Best UK Airport 2015 by the Globe Travel Awards 24% passenger growth since 2010 Pass through rate hit 22 million passengers in 2014 Almost 100,000 tonnes of freight in 2013 A new direct route to Hong Kong was launched in December 2014 NATIONAL CONNECTIVITY Excellent rail services have been a key factor driving Manchester s prosperity, and are set to further improve with the arrival of the new proposed High Speed 2 (HS2) and TransNorth routes in 2017 and ECCLES ALTRINCHAM P MANCHESTER AIRPORT 250 P+R Ladywell Weaste MEDIACITYUK Harbour City Anchorage Stretford St Werburgh s Road Langworthy Old Trafford Firswood EAST DIDSBURY Broadway Chorlton INTEGRATED PUBLIC TRANSPORT P 302 P+R Salford Quays Exchange Quay Pomona Trafford Bar Cornbrook Deansgate- Castlefield St Peter s Square Piccadilly Gardens We ve had to tailor the infrastructure to that which young people demand they re more interested in lifestyle choices, making choices about where they want to live as well as where they want to work. - Sir Howard Bernstein, Manchester City Council CITY ZONE Market Street New Islington ABRAHAM MOSS Queens Road No trams call at Victoria Central Park Victoria Monsall PICCADILLY Shudehill Holt Town BURY Rochdale Railway Station ASHTON- UNDER-LYNE ROCHDALE TOWN CENTRE Most of Manchester s population use the city s excellent tram and bus network for both commuting and getting around in their leisure time. The network is so comprehensive, Manchester is ranked in the top ten cities in Europe for transport connectivity by the European Cities Monitor. Wilburn Wharf is close to Deansgate, a key Metrolink interchange station, through which five of Manchester s six major tram lines pass. P+R P+R INVESTMENT CASE 12
9 INVESTMENT CASE REGENERATION Manchester has a strong history of successful regeneration activity. This long-term programme of regeneration continues to this day. With GBP8.2 billion invested in property in the city over the past decade, Manchester is ranked as the UK s number one regional city by CBRE. With the extensive infrastructure and public space investment that has gone alongside this, Manchester continues to be transformed.
10 SPINNINGFIELDS The Canary Wharf of the North In the early 2000s, work began to create a new central business district for Manchester. Since then Spinningfields has emerged as one of the city s key employment hubs. The centre of Manchester s thriving financial services industry, Spinningfields continues to grow in both size and influence. Spinningfields alone provides working space for over 20,000 employees Recent years have seen the area develop further as a retail and leisure district MIDDLEWOOD LOCKS Strategically located at the Salford gateway to Spinningfields across the River Irwell, Middlewood Locks will transform a 24-acre area, creating a new centre for connectivity, creativity and culture in the heart of the city. Attractive modern waterside development centred around three canal basins 2,000 new homes, restaurants, a park, shops, a gym, and a hotel 500,000 square feet of Grade A office space St. John s will turn the perceptions of city centre living on its head. INVESTMENT CASE Revenue from retail and leisure at Spinningfields increased 400% between 2008 and 2014 ST JOHN S The success of Spinningfields has inspired further growth and regeneration in central Manchester. The neighbouring area of St John s is now set for extensive redevelopment that will further transform the area. A creative village will be established in the heart of the city. Redevelopment of the former Granada Studios site 2.8 million square feet of new mixed-use space Will feature offices, housing, events space, revitalised public realm, riverside parks, hotels, arts venues, independent shops, cafés, bars and restaurants Includes a GBP78 million government investment in The Factory Manchester, a uniquely flexible new arts space 16
11 INVESTMENT CASE LOCAL REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK The outlook for property investment across Manchester is fundamentally strong, and is wellsupported by local economic and population growth as well as significant incoming investment.
12 INVESTMENT CASE SUPPLY Manchester s housing market is primed for investment. While the residential construction pipeline is growing, the effect of years of undersupply will take many years to overcome. 4,500 5,000 NET COMPLETIONS ( ) 2,175 NEW UNITS IN 2016 ANNUAL SHORTFALL 55,000 SHORT OF TARGET Manchester averaged just 4,500 net completions per annum between 2010 and 2015 This is less than half the 9,654 forecast as required, creating a current annual shortfall of over 5,000 homes On top of this, the backlog from several years of undersupply has now reached over 40,000 homes, putting further pressure on supply Anticipated Central Manchester delivery in 2016 is 2,175 new units, far below what s needed despite being unparalleled in any other UK regional city Given the current pipeline, construction is expected to fall well short of the target of 55,000 new homes delivered by 2027 as set out in the city s Core Strategy Manchester s residential development pipeline 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Completed un-completed Average With supply unlikely to catch up with demand for several decades, property prices will continue to rise significantly, especially in the city centre. 20
13 INVESTMENT CASE DEMAND Greater Manchester s expanding economy and growing population will drive residential demand over the next decade. Healthy demographics Workers are moving into higher wage brackets Housing demand continues to soar, driven by an influx of people seeking a better lifestyle and more for their money. Greater Manchester s population is expected to grow by 128,000 in the next 10 years 50,000 new residents are forecast in the city centre alone over the same period 110,000 new jobs to be created in Greater Manchester by 2025 A 14,000 decrease in manufacturing jobs and a 31,200 increase in professional, scientific and technical services is forecast for the next decade Disposable income is forecast to grow by 28% over the next decade In 2015, the Economist Intelligence Unit again named Manchester the UK s best city in which to live as part of its annual Global Liveability Survey Manchester is the seventh-cheapest place to live in the UK, despite being one of its largest cities Employment growth in Central Manchester will see the area surpass 400,000 jobs over this time Household growth projected at 6% over the next five years Estimates put Manchester s total new housing demand at around 10,000 additional homes per annum over the next decade Household growth continues to soar ,132,800 1,155,100 1,178,900 1,203,100 1,226,500 1,249,300 22
14 SALES MARKET RENTAL MARKET INVESTMENT CASE Manchester s robust and steadily growing sales market continues to show excellent price and transaction growth. Manchester apartment Forecasts put price prices grew by 6% growth at 20% over 6% in the 12 months to 20% the next three years Manchester December 2015 has the highest average yields in the UK 1/3 The average apartment in Manchester is just over a third of the price of a London apartment 13.6% Apartment prices are 13.6% below their pre-recession peak 50% Half of properties are let within only 5 days 28% At 28%, Manchester has a higher proportion of private renters than London (26%) 63% 6.02% 33.5% 63% of city centre households are rented, which is 24% above the UK average Over a third of residents are young professionals, ahead of London (28%) and Birmingham (24.1%) 10% Over 10% of renters are sharers, reflecting the city s young professional demographic Average rental values in Manchester Manchester apartment price growth Average price (Flats) 1400 Average price (Flats) Estimates Dec - 05 Apr - 06 Aug - 06 Dec - 06 Apr - 07 Aug - 07 Dec - 07 Apr - 08 Aug - 08 Dec - 08 Apr - 09 Aug - 09 Dec - 09 Apr - 10 Aug - 10 Dec - 10 Apr - 11 Aug - 11 Dec - 11 Apr - 12 Aug - 12 Dec - 12 Apr - 13 Aug - 13 Dec - 13 Apr - 14 Aug - 14 Dec - 14 Apr - 15 Aug - 15 Dec beds 2 beds 3 beds 24
15 RIVERGATE HOUSE RIVERGATE HOUSE Rivergate House at Wilburn Wharf is a stunning new development that will redefine the emerging residential and commercial zone along the city centre stretch of Manchester s River Irwell. This new-build waterfront residence is set to deliver some of the first high-quality homes in this growing new neighbourhood, and represents excellent investment value in the heart of this thriving twentyfirst century city. / Four-block development around the historic Wilburn Street Basin / Range of spacious and stylish 1/2/3-bedroom apartments / Car parking available for many units / Concierge for residents on site / 2,464 square feet of ground floor commercial space for retail amenities / Phase 1 completion September 2016 / Up to 75% LTV financing available
16 T R A F F O R D R D RIVERGATE HOUSE SALFORD University of Salford Salford Crescent A6 A60 42 Salford Central Manchester Arena Victoria Central Shopping District Northern Quarter A62 M602 3 RIVERGATE HOUSE Spinningfields MANCHESTER China Town A57 Regents Park Hilton Castlefield Piccadilly 10 mins MediaCityUK 15 mins Deansgate Oxford Road SALFORD QUAY A56 A 57 Manchester Aquatics Centre UP PER BRO OK ST A6 PRI NCE SS RD Railway Old Trafford To Manchester Airport Manchester University Railway station Metrolink Metrolink stop 10 minute walk radius 15 minute walk radius 28
17 LIVING/ DINING RIVERGATE HOUSE A16.07 Images shown are indicative artist s impressions and for representation purposes only A
18 RIVERGATE HOUSE LIVING/ DINING Images shown are indicative artist s impressions and for representation purposes only 32
19 RIVERGATE HOUSE BEDROOM AND BATHROOM Images shown are indicative artist s impressions and for representation purposes only A16.07 A
20 FIRE FIGHTING SHAFT STEP UP G/F 1/F 4/F A4.08 A4.09 A4.01 A4.02 A1.01 A1.02 BIN STORE TANK ROOM FIRE FIGHTING SHAFT FIRE FIGHTING SHAFT ENTRANCE LOBBY POST BOXES VOID TO ENTRANCE LOBBY CAR PARKING A1.05 A1.04 A1.03 A4.07 A4.06 A4.05 A4.04 A4.03 2/F 3/F 5/F A2.01 A2.02 A3.01 A3.02 A5.08 A5.09 A5.01 A5.02 FIRE FIGHTING SHAFT FIRE FIGHTING SHAFT VOID TO ENTRANCE LOBBY VOID TO ENTRANCE LOBBY A2.05 A2.04 A2.03 A3.05 A3.04 A3.03 A5.07 A5.06 A5.05 A5.04 A bed 2 bed 3 bed 36
21 6/F 8/F A6.08 A6.09 A6.01 A6.02 A8.08 A8.09 A8.01 A8.02 A6.07 A6.06 A6.05 A6.04 A6.03 A8.07 A8.06 A8.05 A8.04 A8.03 7/F 9/F A7.08 A7.09 A7.01 A7.02 A9.08 A9.09 A9.01 A9.02 A7.07 A7.06 A7.05 A7.04 A7.03 A9.07 A9.06 A9.05 A9.04 A bed 2 bed 3 bed 38
22 10/F 12/F A10.08 A10.09 A10.01 A10.02 A12.08 A12.09 A12.01 A12.02 A10.07 A10.06 A10.05 A10.04 A10.03 A12.07 A12.06 A12.05 A12.04 A /F 13/F A11.08 A11.09 A11.01 A11.02 A13.08 A13.09 A13.01 A13.02 A11.07 A11.06 A11.05 A11.04 A11.03 A13.07 A13.06 A13.05 A13.04 A bed 2 bed 3 bed 40
23 14/F 16/F A14.08 A14.09 A14.01 A14.02 A16.08 A16.09 A16.01 A16.02 A14.07 A14.06 A14.05 A14.04 A14.03 A16.07 A16.06 A16.05 A16.04 A /F 17/F A15.08 A15.09 A15.01 A15.02 A17.08 A17.09 A17.01 A17.02 A15.07 A15.06 A15.05 A15.04 A15.03 A17.07 A17.06 A17.05 A17.04 A bed 2 bed 3 bed 42
24 A18.08 A18.09 A18.01 A /F Internal finishes Walnut veneer apartment entrance and internal doors Chrome ironmongery Satinwood finish to internal skirtings and architraves White emulsion to walls with feature wall in living areas and bedrooms Electrical and communication LED downlights to hallways, living areas, bathrooms and en-suites Pendant light fittings to bedrooms Provision for BT, Sky HD and Virgin Media to living areas and bedrooms (not BT) Dedicated Hyperoptic, fibre-optic internet provision Brushed nickel sockets and switches A18.07 A18.06 A18.05 A18.04 A18.03 Flooring Walnut laminate to hallways and living areas Heating A19.08 A19.09 A19.01 A19.02 Carpets to bedrooms Tiling to bathrooms and en-suites Adax Neo slim-line electric panel heaters with central timer Chrome towel rails to bathrooms and en-suites Carpet to upper level living areas and stairs in duplex penthouses Safety and security Kitchens Secure residents entrances 19/F Porcelanosa fitted kitchens in a range of finishes Handleless door and drawer fronts Square-edged work surfaces with matching, full-height splashbacks Integrated electric oven, ceramic hob and concealed hood Automated door entry system Smoke detectors to kitchens and entrance halls Sprinkler system Concierge facilities 24/7 A19.07 A19.06 A19.05 A19.04 A19.03 Integrated fridge-freezer and automatic dishwasher Stainless steel 11/2 bowl sink unit with Hansgrohe mixer tap Under unit lighting External Double glazed windows Double glazed doors to private roof terraces (Penthouses only) A20.05 A20.01 Bathrooms and en-suites Allocated car parking spaces (optional) Villeroy and Boch sanitaryware with concealed cistern WCs FIRE FIGHTING SHAFT Kaldewei steel baths 20/F Hansgrohe brassware Rainhead shower to en-suites Glazed shower screens Tiled walls incorporating feature wall Full height/width mirror above vanity shelves Subject to variations in accordance with the Contract Terms. See Identification Plan contained in the Disclosure Documents for area(s). The development is not completed and due to a variety of circumstances, some finishes and inclusions may not be offered in some units. Subject to precise terms of contract and associated documentation, finishes and inclusions subject to change without notice. A20.04 A20.03 A bed 2 bed 3 bed 44
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