Junichi Ihara Consul General of Japan in Los Angeles 7 February 2011

Transcription

1 JAPAN TODAY Current Challenges and Japan-US Relations Junichi Ihara Consul General of Japan in Los Angeles 7 February 2011

2 Source: CIA Factbook, 2009 Land Area (1,000 km 2 )

3 Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) Population (Millions)

4 Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) 2009 GDP (Trillions at current exchange rates)

5 Japan s Population and Projections 127 million peak in million by year 2046 (Source: Japan National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)

6 Birthrates

7 Japan s Aging Demographic Profile Year 2055 (Source: Japan National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)

8 Ratio of Japanese Workers to Japanese Pensioners Source: Ministry of Health and Welfare, Japan; Graphic: BBC

9 Profile of Japan s Workforce (2008) female male lab or force/pop ulation (%) 15~19 20~24 25~29 30~34 35~39 40~44 45~49 50~54 55~59 60~64 65~ years of age (Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, GOJ)

10 % of Foreign Workers in Various Countries (2007) % pe ercent of tot tal labo or forc ce % 5.4% 0.3% France Germany Japan UK (Source: OECD)

11 Japan s GDP Deflator Index % CY (Source: Cabinet Office, Government of Japan)

12 Public Debt as % of GDP Japan 197% Italy 127% UK 84% France 92% USA 92% Source: OECD (Note: Estimates start after 2008)

13 Japan s Household Financial Assets vs. Government Debt Household Financial Assets Government Debt (Source: Bank of Japan; Ministry of Finance, Japan)

14 Past and Projected GDP Increase % 200% China 192% 150% India 140% 100% ASEAN 89% SK S.Korea 88% 50% 0% USA 50% Euro Zone 34% Japan 22% (Source: IMF)

15 Trade Volume under FTA

16 Japan s FTA In effect Singapore (2002) Malaysia (2004) Mexico (2004) Philippines (2006) Indonesia (2007) Chile (2007) Thailand (2007) ASEAN as a whole (2008) Vietnam (2008) Signed India (2010) Peru (2010) Under negotiation South Korea Australia

17 Organization of the Japanese National Government (Abbreviated) GOVERNMENT OF JAPAN DIET CABINET COURTS House of Representatives ( Lower House ) 480 seats 4-yr. terms Cabinet Office National Public Safety Commission (National Police Agency) Supreme, High, District, Family and Summary Courts, etc. House of Councillors ( Upper House ) 242 seats 6-yr. terms (Half elected every 3 years) Ministry of Foreign Affairs Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare Ministry of the Environment Ministry i of Defense 7 more ministries Legislative Executive Judicial

18 Political Context Twisted Parliament House of Representatives House of Councilors Governing Coalition Opposition Parties The Two Houses are controlled by different parties

19 Northern Islands Paracel Islands Takeshima Spratly Islands Senkaku Islands 19

20 Medium and Intercontinental ti t Range Ballistic Missiles 20

21 Senkaku Islands China 330km 170km 410km 170km Okinawa Taiwan Ishigaki Jima 21

22 U.S. Military Presence in East Asia In Japan In South thkorea Personnel Army 2,541 Navy 3,740 Air Force 12,398 Marines 17,009 Total 35, Fighter Jets Personnel Army Navy 19, Air Force 8,815 Marines 242 Total 29,086 The 7 th Fleet Personnel : 60,000 50~60 ships 350 aircrafts

23 U.S. Bases in Japan Sasebo Naval Base Misawa Air Base Futenma Air Station Kadena Air Base Camp Zukeran (Foster) Torii Station Yokota Air Base Yokosuka Naval Base Iwakuni Air Station

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25 Early 90s Current Economy Japan-U U.S. trade conflicts (automobile, semiconductor, etc.) China was still a struggling economy No major Japan-U.S. trade issues other than BSE China issues (trade imbalance, currency, etc.) Security The Cold War ended multi-polarization No immediate threat to Japan China s military rise North Korea s missiles and nuclear development

26 Carbon Intensity of Economy Metric Ton Equivalent CO2 Emissions per 1,000 US $ GDP China India USA Japan Source: Int l Energy Agency (2008)