Henry Wilkinson. Head of Intelligence & Analysis, Director, Risk Advisory

Transcription

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2 Henry Wilkinson Head of Intelligence & Analysis, Director, Risk Advisory

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4 John Anderson National Security Programs and Incident Response Federal Aviation Administration

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6 Discussion: Eric Kaler John Cauthen Henry Wilkinson John Anderson Senior Director, Security, Hawaiian Airlines Moderator Director of Aviation Security, MedAire Head of Intelligence & Analysis, Director, Risk Advisory National Security Programs and Incident Response Federal Aviation Administration

7 Open source intelligence and risk management Thank you

8 Session participants: Eric Kaler Andrew Nicholson Senior Director, Security, Hawaiian Airlines CEO, Osprey Flight Solutions

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10 Security Working Group (SeG) Program 3: Mandate: 1. Develop solutions to measure the security of the Aviation Transportation System 2. Propose KPI to manage improvements globally and where necessary 3. Recommend changes in regulatory structure to affect positive outcomes (IOSA/GADM)

11 Regulatory Data High degree of compliance, globally No value in establishing KPI Presented Annually at Security Forum and on IATA Security Site

12 Operational Data

13 Note about TAXONOMY, definitions Master descriptor Aircraft Access Control Hold Baggage Reconciliation Aircraft Security Search/Check Weapons/Armed Individuals Transportation Operational descriptor Aircraft not secured Unauthorized aircraft access (staff or other individuals) Staff with no, not-valid or not-visible identification card on board or in the vicinity of an aircraft Hold baggage acceptance (on/off airport) No-show or withdrawn passenger bag not off-loaded Bags loaded onto an incorrect aircraft Suspicious object found Deficient aircraft security search/check Weapon/ammunition in cabin Weapon/ammunition in hold (unauthorized or procedure violation)

14 Case Studies Open Source Data Solutions 14

15 Philippines Manila: Ninoy Aquino International Airport (RPLL/MNL) 100% increase in total incidents May-June % increase in aviation security incidents from October to November & December 2018 Tracking OSINT data across multiple incident types identifies trends and patterns Changes in the operational environment identified at specific date points Operators have the ability visualize and act prior to major regulatory shift Continued tracking after regulatory shift highlights new operating environment 26 Dec 18: US DHS & TSA announce Manila airport does not meet international aviation security standards set out by ICAO

16 IDF Air Activity over Lebanon vs. Airstrikes into Syria during past 6 Months Multiple OSINT data sources create a picture of the operating environment ADS-B transponder tracking Government press releases UN information reports Social media exploitation Traditional media feeds Tracking OSINT data within specific incident types identifies trends Patterns emerge within the predictive analysis which provides foresight Operators have the ability set thresholds related to precursor activity

17 IDF Activity over Lebanon Beirut (OLBA/BEY) Damascus (OSDI/DAM) SAM debris recovered RuAF Il-20 shoot-down Osprey Flight Solutions 2019

18 21 Jan 19: Remnants of a Syrian conventional SAM recovered in Zahle, Lebanon located 31 miles (50km) directly east of Beirut 21 January 2019 Airstrikes 07 Jan 19: US National Security Adviser meets with Israeli Prime Minister and talks cover Syria, Iran and Lebanon 11 January 2019 Airstrikes

19 26 Dec 18: Syria, Lebanon and Russia claim IDF airstrikes on Damascus threatened two civilian flights landing at Beirut airport December 2018 Airstrikes 29 Nov 18: IDF claims Iran providing weapons shipments to Hezbollah in Lebanon via Beirut airport 29 November 2018 Airstrikes

20 September - November 2018 Airstrikes 17 Sep 18: Accidental shoot-down of Russian military IL-20 aircraft by Assad-regime conventional SAM system over Eastern Mediterranean Sea Gap Analysis: Despite lull in airstrikes following Russian aircraft downing, IDF continued overflight of Lebanon and made public claims about missile facilities near Beirut airport during October-November 2018 Oct 18: Russian S-300 conventional SAM system component deliveries to Syria 19 Nov 18: Lebanon confirms it will not supply any Iranian airlines with fuel at Beirut airport in line with US sanctions on Iran

21 Future Vision Program 3 to recommend Global Key Performance Indicators (KPI) as Industry Recommendations, post on IATA Security Site IATA to promote at ICAO for States incorporation into national security programs IATA to promote with governments to consider data exchange As GADM Matures, inform standards, communicate global progress, continue development of the toolkit

22 What s it cost? What s in a name?

23 Steve Jackson s tribute Source: Naming proposal for the project: Steve Jackson AVSEC Toolkit 23