ECONOMIC RELATIONS BETWEEN AUSTRIA AND RUSSIA RUSSIA S ECONOMY CHANCES AND RISKS FOR AUSTRIAN COMPANIES
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1 ECONOMIC RELATIONS BETWEEN AUSTRIA AND RUSSIA RUSSIA S ECONOMY CHANCES AND RISKS FOR AUSTRIAN COMPANIES
2 KEY FACTS Area (sqkm): Russia: 17,075,400 Austria: 83, ,6 GDP (bn. EUR) : Russia: 1,333.3 Austria: Source: Economist 17 x Population (mln.): Russia: Austria: 8.6
3 GENERAL DEVELOPMENT Shrinking consumer spendings since 2013 Russian economy under pressure since 2014 Ukrainian crisis and sanctions drop in oil prices devaluation of national currency Attempt of approach to Europe 2016 Prolongation of EU-Sanctions until 2018 New US-Sanctions
4 TRADE DEVELOPMENT WITH AUSTRIA 2013 all time export high EUR 3.48 bn export dropped by -46 % Turnaround in Oct. 2016; Jan. Aug exports %, imports % Russia 16 th most important trading partner Trade volume between Austria and Russia ( , in bn. EUR) Σ 7,28 Σ 6,66 Σ 6,27 Σ 5,49 Σ 4,86 4,09 3,18 3,33 2,29 2,32 2,55 2,94 3,19 3,48 3,19 Σ 4,42 Σ 4,31 2,44 2,43 Σ 3,28 1,86 1,98 1,88 1,42 Source: Statistik Austria I-VIII 2017 Export Import
5 SPECIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN RUSSIA Import substitution and localization Preferential treatment of local tenderers North-Stream 2, Turkish-Stream and Sila Sibirii FIFA Football WC 2018 World Expo candidate Yekaterinburg 2025 Orientation to Asia pros and cons for Russia? Chinese companies invest in Russia Investments from Korea, also increasing from Taiwan Special economic zones and promotion of the Far East
6 STRUCTURE OF EXPORT AND IMPORT Most important export goods: machines & equipment (incl. electronics, car & train equipment), pharmaceutical products, metal & metal goods, food Most important import goods: mineral fuels, metals & metal goods, as well as wood and products made of wood 6% 7% 36% 37% 27% 87% Machines & equipment (incl. Electronics, car & train equipment) Pharmaceutical products Others Mineral fuels Metals & metal goods, wood Others
7 KEY EXTERNAL FACTORS AND INTERESTS SHAPING RUSSIA S WAY IN THE FUTURE Artic: oil reserves, strategic interests Increasing EU influence in CEE NATO Russia tensions Russia s international interests Interests in middle east: oil, foothold (Syria) External interests and policies affecting Russia Integration project Eurasian Economic Union Increasing Chinese influence in central Asia and Russia
8 St. Petersburg and Oblast Durisol Hoos HandelsgesmbH Magna Mayr-Melnhof Holz Pskow Tanngroup 500 AUSTRIAN COMPANIES IN RUSSIA Archangelsk Pulp Mill Holding GmbH Smolensk Voestalpine Shuya Egger Nizhniy Novgorod Magna Collini Syktyvkar Mondi OMNYA Eastern Europe Management GmbH Vladimir und Region Greiner Packaging Senoplast Klepsch Wienerberger (Kiprevo) Kazan FACC Wienerberger Kaliningrad Hipp Moskau and Region Agrana (Serpuchov) Backaldrin (Novoe Stupino) EVN (Moskau und Ljuberzy) Julius Blum GmbH (Domodedovo) Kronotec Consulting GmbH (Egorievsk) Murexin AG (Dubno) Kaluga MACO Magna Krasnodar Constantia Packaging Tambov Isoroc Tschaplygin Hawle Armaturenwerke Saransk Knill-Gruppe Wolgograd Benda-Lutz GmbH Ufa Lasselsberger GmbH Kronotec
9 RUSSIA LARGEST MEMBER OF EAEU 80% of the population are Russian citizens (146 of 183 mln.) 85% of the area is Russian national territory (17 of 20 mln. sqkm) over 85% of the total EAEU-GDP is produced in Russia (1.280 of bln. USD) Source: eaeunion.org 9
10 RUSSIA LARGEST MEMBER OF EAEU 80% of the population are Russian citizens (146 of 183 mln.) 85% of the area is Russian national territory (17 of 20 mln. sqkm) over 85% of the total EAEU-GDP is produced in Russia (1,280 of 1,480 bn. USD) Inhabitants 1.6% 9.8% 3.3% GDP 0.7% 0,4% 8.8% 3,7% 5.1% 80.3% 86.3% Russia Belarus Kazakhstan Armenia Kyrgyzstan Source: EIU Russia Belarus Kazakhstan Armenia Kyrgyzstan 10
11 RUSSIA AS MAIN INVESTOR OF THE EAEU EAEU: inbound FDI reaches USD 26.8 bn % in % of inbound FDI in EAEU from Russia USD 21 bn. Inbound FDI in Belarus USD 8.6 bn. Inbound FDI in Kazachstan USD 8.3 bn. Inbound FDI in Russia USD 5 bn. EAEU sectors inbound FDI fuel and engergy 43.3 % metallurgy 10.9 % Russia sectors inbound FDI chemical industry 35.1 % agroindustry 15.8 % transport & logistics 14.2 % 11
12 AUSTRIA AND THE EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION Trade turnover of Austria with the EAEU: 2010: EUR 6.2 bn. 2014: EUR 7.7 bn. 2016: EUR 5.3 bn. Import: EUR 3.15 bn. Export: EUR 2.15 bn. Austrian direct investment in the EAEU approx. EUR 6 bn. More than 700 Austrian companies in the EAEU 12
13 AUSTRIA AND THE EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION Austrian direct investment in the EAEU approx. EUR 6 bn. More than 700 Austrian companies in the EAEU Trade volume between EAEU and Austria (2015 Aug 2017, in bn. EUR) Σ 5.7 Σ 5.3 Σ * (Jan-Aug) *Kyrgyzstan member since 12th August 2015 Source: Statistik Austria Export Import 13
14 UPCOMING EVENTS 2017 Forum Eurasian Economic Union 14 November Forum Moscow city infrastucture 15 November Events abroad Press workshop Tourism St. Petersburg November Business Council Austria-Russia/Economic Mission Moscow/Kazan November Austrian Business Circles in Moscow, monthly networking Webinar Investments und Localization 6 December 14
15 EVENTS PREVIEW 2018 Interplastica Moscow January Prodexpo Moscow 5-9 February Sochi International Economic Forum February Exhibition Education and Career exhibition Moscow 2-4 March Workshop Northern Caucasian Food/Agri/Tourism/Energy Moscow April Austria Showcase Automotive Supply with AC-Cluster at GAZ June Economic Mission Far East Vladivostok/Chabarovsk/Kamchatka September Economic Mission NW-Russia St. Petersburg/Pskov/Riga September Exhibition Ecwatec Moscow September Austria Showcase Agriculture Moscow and Krasnodar November Exhibition Medtravelexpo Moscow 3-7 December 15
16 Thank you for your attention! Rudolf Lukavsky Head of ADVANTAGE AUSTRIA Moscow STAROKONYUSHENNY PEREULOK PCI-2 MOSCOW, RUSSIAN FEDERATION T F MOSKAU@ADVANTAGEAUSTRIA.ORG
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