Increasing Short-Term Throughput on the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge

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1 Increasing Short-Term Throughput on the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge Kevin Carstens, EIT Committee: Anurag Pande, Ph.D., Chair Robert Bertini, Ph.D., P.E. Cornelius Nuworsoo, Ph.D. June 2017 Source: FHWA Source: my.calpoly.edu Source: mtc.ca.gov

2 Presentation Outline Introduction Time-Demand-Capacity Analysis Strategy Analysis by Mode Recommendations Source: suwalls.com 2 of 26 Presentation Outline

3 3 of 26 Introduction Introduction

4 Background Existing Services Private vehicle Bus AC Transit WestCAT Lynx SolTrans 200 Train (BART) Ferry (WETA) Not considered: Amtrak Thruway Greyhound Marin/Sonoma 4 of 26 Introduction

5 Background Existing Congestion Private vehicle Bridge has worst Bay Area congestion Bus Often standing room only Source: citylab.com BART Often at crush conditions Ferry Leaves passengers behind Source: gjel.com 5 of 26 Introduction

6 Background Long-Range Plans Proposed second: Bay Bridge Transbay Tube 30+ years away Solution needed now Source: structuremag.org Source: sf.streetsblog.org 6 of 26 Introduction

7 Time-Demand-Capacity (TDC) Analysis 7 of 26 TDC Analysis

8 Data Introduction Demand data: Private vehicle: hourly data and occupancy BART: 15 minute origin-destination data Bus and ferry: per-trip data Capacity data: Capacity per vehicle Timetables for transit Seat capacity for private vehicle 8 of 26 TDC Analysis

9 0:00 0:30 1:00 1:30 2:00 2:30 3:00 3:30 4:00 4:30 5:00 5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 16:30 17:00 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30 21:00 21:30 22:00 22:30 23:00 23:30 Persons Demand Westbound person throughput by mode Private Vehicles (Non-HOV) Private Vehicles (HOV) BART AC Transit WETA WestCAT Lynx SolTrans Time of Day (24 hr) 9 of 26 TDC Analysis

10 0:00 0:30 1:00 1:30 2:00 2:30 3:00 3:30 4:00 4:30 5:00 5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 16:30 17:00 17:30 18:00 18:30 19:00 19:30 20:00 20:30 21:00 21:30 22:00 22:30 23:00 23:30 Persons Demand Eastbound person throughput by mode Private Vehicles BART AC Transit WETA WestCAT Lynx SolTrans Time of Day (24 hr) 10 of 26 TDC Analysis

11 Strategy Analysis by Mode 11 of 26 Strategy Analysis

12 Strategy Analysis - Cars: Parking: Currently: 4 lots with 503 stalls MTC and this thesis: 8 more lots with 1341 stalls BART parking 12 of 26 Strategy Analysis

13 Strategy Analysis - Cars: Ridesharing: Partner with TNCs for station access Vanpool/minibus apps (e.g. Chariot) Casual carpool apps (e.g. Scoop) Source: chariot.com 13 of 26 Strategy Analysis

14 Strategy Analysis - Cars: Carpooling: Enhanced casual carpooling Shifting attitudes on carpooling Increased enforcement Increased HOV patrols Citizen reporting Tolling: Electronic tolling at Bay Bridge Toll Plaza Eastbound tolling Bidirectional tolling Downtown San Francisco cordon Congestion pricing 14 of 26 Strategy Analysis

15 Strategy Analysis Buses/HOVs: Service expansions: AC Transit WestCAT Lynx Soltrans 200 Queue jumps: West Grand Avenue MacArthur Blvd Powell Street Source: MTC 15 of 26 Strategy Analysis

16 Strategy Analysis - BART: Improve train capacity (7, 8, or 9 car trains to 10) 15 cars = 1,050 seat capacity = 3,000 crush capacity Improve station capacity Alter service Skip-stop metro service Express service Source: AECOM 16 of 26 Strategy Analysis

17 Strategy Analysis - Planning: Change corporate cultures Promote telecommuting Reduce need for car at workplace Land-use planning Bring jobs to residents and residences to jobsites Transit-oriented development Long-term strategy, but needs to start now 17 of 26 Strategy Analysis

18 18 of 26 Recommendations Recommendations

19 Recommendations Strategies analyzed by individual components Costs/benefits provided when available Costs/benefits estimated when not Costs/benefits binned for comparison Cost by quantitative value (including net gain) Benefit by qualitative value 19 of 26 Recommendations

20 20 of 26 Recommendations

21 Recommendations Priority 1: Implement Now 1a Upgrade West Grand Avenue Onramp to Bus Lane Standards Base Proposal 1b Upgrade West Grand Avenue Onramp to Bus Lane Standards I-580 Eastbound Onramp to Maritime Avenue Intersection Extension 1c Upgrade West Grand Avenue Onramp to Bus Lane Standards Extension Past Maritime Avenue Intersection 2b HOV Improvements at Powell Street and I-80 in Emeryville Powell Street Onramp Conversion to HOV and Adding More Movements to Access the Onramp 2c HOV Improvements at Powell Street and I-80 in Emeryville Convert Right Lane of I-80 to HOV from Powell Street Onramp to Existing HOV 5i Commuter Parking Partner with Ridesharing Apps for Station Access 6a Partner with Developers of Ridesharing Mobile Applications Vanpools/Minibuses 9b Increased Enforcement Citizen Reporting System 10 Electronic Tolling at the Bay Bridge Toll Plaza 14b Eastbound Tolling Convert the Bay Bridge Toll Plaza into a Bidirectional Facility 15 Changing Corporate Cultures 16 Land-Use Planning Changes 21 of 26 Recommendations

22 Recommendations Priority 2: Implement Soon 4a Expand Bus Service AC Transit 4b Expand Bus Service WestCAT 5a Commuter Parking I-80 and Buchanan Street 5b Commuter Parking I-880 and Fruitvale Avenue 5c Commuter Parking I-880 and High Street 5d Commuter Parking I-580 and Fairmont Drive/Foothill Boulevard 5e Commuter Parking I-580 and Golf Links Road/98 th 7 Enhanced Casual Carpooling 8 Shifting Attitudes on Carpooling 11a BART Capacity Increases Improving Train Capacity 11b BART Capacity Increases Improving Station Capacity 12a Altered BART Service Skip-Stop Metro Service 12b Altered BART Service Express Service 22 of 26 Recommendations

23 Recommendations Priority 3: Implement When Feasible HOV Improvements at Powell Street and I-80 in Emeryville Park-and- 2d Ride Lot 3 MacArthur Onramp Bus Lane 5f Commuter Parking SR-24 and Telegraph Avenue/56 th Street 5h Commuter Parking BART Parking Capacity Increases Partner with Developers of Ridesharing Mobile Applications Casual 6b Carpools 9a Increased Enforcement Adding HOV Facility Patrols 13 Congestion Pricing 14a Eastbound Tolling Downtown San Francisco Cordon Priority 4: Recommend Against Implementation HOV Improvements at Powell Street and I-80 in Emeryville Convert 2a Right Lane of I-80 to HOV from Before West Frontage Road Onramp to Powell Street Onramp 4c Expand Bus Service - SolTrans 5g Commuter Parking I-580 and Broadway/Piedmont Avenue 23 of 26 Recommendations

24 24 of 26 Acknowledgements Acknowledgements

25 Acknowledgements Sources/References: (eight pages available upon request) Data providers: Kevin Chen (MTC), Brendan Monaghan and Duncan Watry (BART), Michael Eshleman (AC Transit), Scott Houston (WETA), Julia Schnell (WestCAT), Philip Kamhi (STA), Wingate Lew (Caltrans) Guidance and funding: Ashley Nguyen and Andrew Fremier (MTC) Committee: Dr. Anurag Pande (chair), Dr. Robert Bertini, Dr. Cornelius Nuworsoo Support: My wife Alisha, my family, and my friends 25 of 26 Acknowledgements

26 Questions? Source: npr.org 26 of 26 Conclusion

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