Presented to TTAC by Robert B. Case, PhD, PE January 6, 2016

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1 A draft report by Rob Case, James Clary, Rob Jaques, Theresa Jones, David Pritchard, and Seth Schipinski Presented to TTAC by Robert B. Case, PhD, PE January 6, 2016

2 Monon Rail-Trail in Indianapolis wikimedia.org 2 funcityfinder.com

3 multi-mode; multi-use guide.alibab.com usa.streetsblog.org doingindy.com snipview.com 3

4 Facilities being named for trail Google maps 4

5 Economic Development Google maps Google maps amamascorneroftheworld.com 5

6 Focus Walking and biking healthy and enjoyable Why don t more people walk & bike? slower, more dangerous, less comfortable Rail-trails faster, safer, more pleasant Focus: rail-trails: inactive rail right-of-ways 6

7 Purpose to help local government improve the existing active transportation network in Hampton Roads in a cost-effective way, by: locating inactive rail right-of-ways and analyzing the costs and benefits of converting them to multi-use trails 7

8 Inactive Rail Right-of-Ways in Hampton Roads Atlantic & Danville Bayville Bruce Road Churchland Churchland High Courthouse Larkspur Norfolk Southern VB Penniman Seaboard (Ph. 3) Southern Tyre Neck Virginian- East Virginian- West 8

9 Candidate Rail-Trails Note: Any path(s) in the Norfolk-Southern rightof-way must conform with LRT plans, e.g. constructing station access paths for LRT. 9

10 Quantitative Analysis Effectiveness of Candidate Rail-Trails 1. Estimating impact on usage of active transportation 2. Estimating rail-trail impact on real estate values 3. Estimating cost of candidate rail-trails 10

11 1. Estimating impact of each candidate rail-trail on usage of active transportation in trail vicinity 11

12 HRTPO staff built usage model based on 14 counties containing 6 rail-trails Rail Trail Location From To Length (miles) 1 Minuteman Commuter Bikeway Boston Alewife T Station Depot Park 10 2 Monon Trail Indianapolis 10th St & Massachusetts Ave E 169th & N Meridian St 18 3 Former Mpls. & St Louis R/R (4 trail names) Minneapolis Mississippi E 27th St. Chaska Blvd 23 4 Porter Rockwell Trail Salt Lake City N Frontage Road Pioneer Ave 13 5 Cape Henry Trail Virginia Beach Jade St First Landing SP Entr / Shore Dr 2 6 Washington & Old Dominion Trail Northern Virginia N 21st St (Purcellville) S Shirlington Rd (Alexandria) 45 Of the 5,272 block groups (BGs) in these 14 counties, model compares BGs near the trail to BGs away from the trail. County Subject Rail-Trail in County 1 Middlesex County, MA Minuteman Commuter Bikeway 2 Marion County, IN Monon Trail 3 Hamilton County, IN Monon Trail 4 Hennepin County, MN Minneapolis Rail Trails (4 trails) 5 Carver County, MN Minneapolis Rail Trails (4 trails) 6 Salt Lake County, UT Porter Rockwell Trail 7 Utah County, UT Porter Rockwell Trail 8 City of Va. Beach, VA Cape Henry Trail 9 Loudoun County, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 10 Fairfax County, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 11 Arlington County, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 12 City of Alexandria, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 13 City of Fairfax, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 14 City of Falls Church, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 12

13 HRTPO active trans commuting model Low income persons are more likely to use active trans to work. Rail-trails appear to positively impact the usage of active trans by low-income and medium-high income workers. 13

14 Actual Persons using Active Transportation to Work Census,

15 Existing Usage of Active Trans 15

16 Induced Usage of Active Trans Note: Any path(s) in the Norfolk-Southern rightof-way must conform with LRT plans, e.g. constructing station access paths for LRT. 16

17 Total Usage of Active Trans- Build Note: Any path(s) in the Norfolk-Southern rightof-way must conform with LRT plans, e.g. constructing station access paths for LRT. 17

18 2. Estimating impact of each proposed rail-trail on home values in trail vicinity 18

19 Impact on Home Values Based on studies of existing trails: Austin: 9% increase in value of residences adjacent to rail-trail (low) Indianapolis: 14% increase in value of residences within 0.5 mile (high) 19

20 Impact on Home Values- Austin Experience (low) Potential Total Increase in Value of Homes Adjacent to Trail 20

21 Impact on Home Values- Indianapolis Experience (high) Potential Total Increase in Value of Homes within 0.5 mi of Trail 21

22 3. Estimating the cost of each proposed rail-trail 22

23 Cost of Candidatesexcluding ROW and bridges based on per-mile cost estimates of sections of Capital Trail Name Length (miles) Construction, Low Construction, High Total Cost Atlantic & Danville 2.96 $850,000 $980,000 $1,529,000 Bayville 0.85 $244,000 $282,000 $440,000 Bruce Rd 2.24 $643,000 $742,000 $1,157,000 Churchland 4.25 $1,220,000 $1,407,000 $2,196,000 Churchland High 0.95 $273,000 $315,000 $491,000 Courthouse 1.52 $437,000 $504,000 $786,000 Larkspur 1.22 $351,000 $404,000 $631,000 Norfolk Southern VB $3,028,000 $3,493,000 $5,450,000 Penniman 3.21 $922,000 $1,063,000 $1,658,000 Seaboard (Ph. 3) 6.34 $1,820,000 $2,099,000 $3,275,000 Southern $3,023,000 $3,486,000 $5,439,000 Tyre Neck 3.41 $979,000 $1,129,000 $1,762,000 Virginian- East $3,215,000 $3,708,000 $5,785,000 Virginian- West $4,762,000 $5,492,000 $8,569,000 23

24 Qualitative Analysis Environment of Candidate Rail-Trails First Map- Public Facilities Existing Public Transportation Routes Federal Facilities Parks Schools Second Map- Demographics and Networks Existing Public Transportation Routes Existing Own-Pavement Bike Facilities Population Employment 24

25 Layers used for Public Facilities qualitative analysis map of each candidate rail-trail 25

26 Layers used for Demographics & Networks analysis map of each candidate rail-trail 26

27 Example Public Facilities Map Churchland Candidate Rail-Trail 27

28 Example Demographics & Networks Map Churchland Candidate Rail-Trail 28

29 Discussion of each candidate Ownership Status e.g. current usage for water line Plans Qualitative analysis Quantitative analysis 29

30 Project History Sept. 2 Nov. 4 Nov. 13 Jan. 6 Stakeholder Kickoff Meeting TTAC Update Mid-Project Meeting Invited 50 stakeholders plus 100 interested citizens Draft Presentation to TTAC 30

31 Next Steps Public, Stakeholder Review Send comments by Friday January 22 to Final report for approval TTAC: Wednesday March 2 HRTPO: Thursday March 17 31

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