Incremental Auction Review

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1 Incremental Auction Review Incremental Auction Senior Task Force February 6, 2017 Joe Bowring John Hyatt

2 Summary A significant amount of replacement capacity is obtained through the RPM Incremental Auctions. With very few exceptions, the auction clearing price in Incremental Auctions is below the auction clearing price in the associated BRA. The First Incremental Auction price is on average 42 percent below the associated BRA price. The Second Incremental Auction price is on average 47 percent below the associated BRA price. The Third Incremental Auction price is on average 53 percent below the associated BRA price

3 First IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Annual) ATSI - Annual ATSI-CLEVELAND - Annual BGE - Annual COMED - Annual DPL-SOUTH - Annual EMAAC - Annual MAAC - Annual NORTH - Annual PEPCO - Annual PPL - Annual PSEG - Annual PS-NORTH - Annual RTO - Annual SWMAAC - Annual

4 First IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Limited) ATSI - Limited ATSI-CLEVELAND - Limited BGE - Limited COMED - Limited DPL-SOUTH - Limited EMAAC - Limited MAAC - Limited PEPCO - Limited PPL - Limited PSEG - Limited PS-NORTH - Limited RTO - Limited SWMAAC - Limited

5 First IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Summer Extended) ATSI - Summer Extended ATSI-CLEVELAND - Summer Extended BGE - Summer Extended COMED - Summer Extended DPL-SOUTH - Summer Extended EMAAC - Summer Extended MAAC - Summer Extended PEPCO - Summer Extended PPL - Summer Extended PSEG - Summer Extended PS-NORTH - Summer Extended RTO - Summer Extended SWMAAC - Summer Extended

6 Second IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Annual) ATSI - Annual ATSI-CLEVELAND - Annual BGE - Annual COMED - Annual DPL-SOUTH - Annual EMAAC - Annual MAAC - Annual NORTH - Annual PEPCO - Annual PPL - Annual PSEG - Annual PS-NORTH - Annual RTO - Annual SWMAAC - Annual

7 Second IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Limited) ATSI - Limited ATSI-CLEVELAND - Limited BGE - Limited COMED - Limited DPL-SOUTH - Limited EMAAC - Limited MAAC - Limited PEPCO - Limited PPL - Limited PSEG - Limited PS-NORTH - Limited RTO - Limited SWMAAC - Limited

8 Second IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Summer Extended) ATSI - Summer Extended ATSI-CLEVELAND - Summer Extended BGE - Summer Extended COMED - Summer Extended DPL-SOUTH - Summer Extended EMAAC - Summer Extended MAAC - Summer Extended PEPCO - Summer Extended PPL - Summer Extended PSEG - Summer Extended PS-NORTH - Summer Extended RTO - Summer Extended SWMAAC - Summer Extended

9 Third IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Annual) ATSI - Annual ATSI-CLEVELAND - Annual DPL-SOUTH - Annual EMAAC - Annual MAAC - Annual MAAC+APS - Annual PEPCO - Annual PSEG - Annual PS-NORTH - Annual RTO - Annual SWMAAC - Annual

10 Third IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Limited) ATSI - Limited ATSI-CLEVELAND - Limited DPL-SOUTH - Limited EMAAC - Limited MAAC - Limited PEPCO - Limited PSEG - Limited PS-NORTH - Limited RTO - Limited SWMAAC - Limited

11 Third IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change (Summer Extended) ATSI - Summer Extended ATSI-CLEVELAND - Summer Extended DPL-SOUTH - Summer Extended EMAAC - Summer Extended MAAC - Summer Extended PEPCO - Summer Extended PSEG - Summer Extended PS-NORTH - Summer Extended RTO - Summer Extended SWMAAC - Summer Extended

12 2018/2019 First IA compared to BRA Percent Price Change Base Base DR/EE Capacity Performance

13 PJM Sell Offer History PJM Sell Offer Cleared in Auction Weighted Weighted Delivery Year Auction Product Type MW Average Price MW Average Price 2012/2013 FIRST Annual $ $ /2013 SECOND Annual 3,522.3 $ ,376.8 $ /2013 THIRD Annual 2,729.8 $ ,990.9 $ /2014 FIRST Annual 3,263.8 $ ,494.9 $ /2014 SECOND Annual 4,987.0 $ ,602.1 $ /2014 THIRD Annual 1,099.2 $ $ /2015 FIRST Limited 3,147.8 $ ,702.4 $ /2015 SECOND Annual 2,039.8 $ ,635.3 $ /2015 THIRD Annual $ $ /2016 FIRST Annual 2,126.2 $ ,876.0 $ /2016 FIRST Summer Extended 28.9 $ NA 2015/2016 SECOND Annual 1,098.2 $ $ /2017 FIRST Annual $ $ /2017 FIRST Limited 1,022.6 $ $ /2017 SECOND Annual 4,561.7 $9.39 4,307.7 $ /2017 THIRD Annual 5,223.4 $9.44 4,818.0 $ /2018 FIRST Annual 4,035.0 $ ,709.9 $ /2018 SECOND Summer Extended $ $ /2018 SECOND Annual 3,144.7 $ ,926.8 $ /2019 FIRST Base 3,666.5 $ $

14 PJM Buy Bid History PJM Buy Bid Cleared in Auction Weighted Weighted Delivery Year Auction Product Type MW Average Price MW Average Price 2012/2013 FIRST Annual $ $ /2013 THIRD Annual 11.6 $ $ /2014 THIRD Annual $ $ /2015 FIRST Summer Extended 97.0 $ $ /2015 SECOND Limited $ $ /2015 THIRD Limited 1,755.6 $ ,499.2 $ /2016 FIRST Limited 60.1 $ $ /2016 SECOND Limited $ $ /2016 THIRD Limited 2.0 $ $ /2017 FIRST Limited $ $ /2017 SECOND Limited 14.0 $ $ /2017 THIRD Limited $ $ /2018 FIRST Limited $ $

15 Monitoring Analytics, LLC 2621 Van Buren Avenue Suite 160 Eagleville, PA (610)

Incremental Auction Review

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