GROWTH TRENDS IN BRUNSWICK COUNTY

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1 GROWTH TRENDS IN BRUNSWICK COUNTY May 2018

2 BRUNSWICK COUNTY PLANNING DEPARTMENT Public Planning Services Development Approval Management (Project Approval/Subdivision/Zoning/Minor CAMA) Research, Demographics, and GIS/Mapping Special Plans, Studies, And Projects Long Range & Transportation Planning Board Facilitation (Planning Board, Board of Adjustment, Technical Review Committee) Recommendations on policy and regulatory ordinances Staff Experienced And Knowledgeable Customer Service Focused BRUNSWICK COUNTY GOVERNMENT COMPLEX (BUILDING I) 75 COURTHOUSE DRIVE BOLIVIA, NC 28422

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9 Brunswick County Part of the Wilmington & the Myrtle Beach, SC region Population: 130,897 (2017) Labor Force: 50,118 Unemployment Rate: 6.2% Six resort beaches Close proximity to Wilmington Port Strategically located between Wilmington and Myrtle Beach The county is over 820 square miles with 19 towns Fastest growing county in North Carolina and ranked as of the fastest growing in the country Developing over 2,000 acres for industrial development Strategically located between Myrtle Beach, SC and Wilmington, NC, Brunswick County is perfectly positioned for continued economic growth in tourism, manufacturing, distribution, and residential development.

10 BRUNSWICK COUNTY POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS Age Median Age: % over age % under 18 Income & Poverty Median Income: $46,955 Poverty Rate: 16.3% Elderly Rate: 6.1% Child Poverty Rate: 27.7% Ethnicity White: 83.8% Black or African American: 10.9% Hispanic or Latino Origins: 4.9%

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12 Population and Growth. By the Numbers Year Population Growth Rate Annual National Ranking , % 14 th , % 28 th , % 30 th , % TBA From Brunswick County s Population Increased 48.7% From Brunswick County s Population Increased 21.8% Source: US Census, 2010

13 RECENT RELEASES NORTH CAROLINA CENSUS POPULATION ESTIMATES NC Ranked 9 th most populous state in nation from 2016 to NC Ranked 5 th in Numeric Growth in nation. BRUNSWICK COUNTY Brunswick County added 4,544 people from 2016 to 2017; increasing the population to 130,897; Brunswick County s Growth Rate from 2016 to 2017 was 3.6; SOURCE US Census March 2018 Brunswick County is part of the Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Metro Area and it was ranked as the second-fastest growing metro area in the nation in Percent Change for 2016 & 2017; The NC Office of Budget & Management regularly releases County & State Population Projections.

14 RECENT RELEASES POPULATION ESTIMATES Brunswick County experienced a 10.4% population increase from 2013 to 2016; Brunswick County ranked 1st among NC Counties in Percent Population Change with an 18.9% population increase from the 2010 to 2016; Brunswick County ranked 9th among NC Counties in County Numeric Population Change by adding 20,319 persons from the 2010 to 2016; SOURCE NC Office of Budget & Management October 2, 2017 Municipal Population St. James is the fastest growing Municipality in Brunswick County with 44.71% increase from 2010 to 2016; Leland is the 2nd fastest growing Municipality in Brunswick County with 32.74% increase from 2010 to 2016; Sandy Creek experienced the lowest growth at 9.6% increase from 2010 to 2016.

15 STELLA E C SANDERS ASH-LITTLE RIVER Hickmans Crossroads Brunswick County Growth Patterns Prior 2004 HICKMAN THOMASBORO PIREWAY GWYNN CALABASH KINGTOWN BOUNDARYLINE VIRGINIA Freeland Thomasboro Iredell BEACH OLD OAK PEA LANDING CALABASH SUNSET BEACH WARD BLAND J B LITTLE PRONG New Britton Little Prong MELANIE Regan Longwood BONAPARTE LONG R D MAPLE PEARL BABSON Ash LONGWOOD RUSS Cedar Bay SHORELINE COX ALLIGATOR BIG NECK LUDLUM SUNSET E. MAIN PARKER Grissettown BALMORE Shady Forest 40TH MARLOW RUSSTOWN PROJECT SEASIDE STOUT GREEN BAY OLD GEORGETOWN ANGELS LEAK Exum Honey Pond EXUM OLD SHALLOTTE OAK Seaside HALE SWAMP W. FIRST VEREEN MYRTLEHEAD Mill Branch WHITE SHALLOTTE WATTS OCEAN AIRE INLAND FRINK WHITEVILLE E. FIRST TRYON CAMP BRANCH Russtown BEACH MCMILLY TODD MAIN PIGOTT GOOSE CREEK EYOTA Makatoka N. MULBERRY ROYAL OAK COPAS BRIERWOOD FOX WOODARD EGYPT Red Bug CIVIETOWN OAK SHELL POINT LOTT Jinnys Branch FEDERAL MT. PISGAH OXPEN MAKATOKA RED BUG OLD CC OCEAN KIRBY LULA Monogram GREGORY C VILLAGE POINT T HOLDEN BEACH TAFT GREEN SWAMP MIDDLE RIVER HEWETT Royal Middle Oak River BIG MACEDONIA Doe Creek Civie Fulford Town CEDAR GROVE QUILT STANLEY STANBURY KYLE ZION HILL SMITH SABBATH HOME 3RD OCEAN LANDFILL BENTON SUPPLY Supply NORTHWEST STONE CHIMNEY MAPLE CREEK HOLDEN BEACH OCEAN ISLE BEACH Oak Grove SEA AIRE BELL BEAUFAIN TOWN CREEK GALLOWAY LEWIS SWAMP BY PASS TOBE'S EVANS GILBERT OLD LENNON ANDREW JACKSON OLD OCEAN GREEN HILL Gores Landing OAK ISLAND A FOLLY HARBOR W. BEACH Gooseneck Flowers Corner Old Cumbee Place Secession New Hope W. YACHT NORTHWEST NECK BLUE BANKS LOOP CHERRYTREE BELL SWAMP GREEN LEWIS ALBRIGHT Lennon Crossroads Sandy Hill Mercer Landing Cedar Grove ADELAIDE Varnum Dixon Landing MALMO LOOP DANFORD MIDWAY SOUTHPORT-SUPPLY W. DOLPHIN KEITH SAW MILL SANDY RUN HESS OTIS BUTLER Batarora Rabontown ROCK CREEK E. BEACH MACO Bishop Henrytown Bell Swamp MILL CREEK MCKAY ROW LEWIS LOOP Suburb HEWETT E. YACHT Maco BOLIVIA Sunset Harbor Piney Grove Half Hell Antioch HOOPER PINECLIFF WILDWOOD IRWIN ANGELS GIFT TRAILWOOD LACKEY BENSON Town Winnabow Creek ST JAMES DOGWOOD Malmo TRADE GOODMAN MT. MISERY CEDAR HILL VILLAGE GEORGE II LANVALE FUNSTON LELAND Clairmont ST JAMES SOUTHPORT Yaupon Beach Long Beach CASWELL BEACH Fort Caswell BALD HEAD ISLAND E. OAK ISLAND E. BOILING SPRING W. RIDGE WACCAMAW Midway QUAIL DRAYTON AIRPORT Phoenix SNOWFIELD HIDEAWAY ADOBE SOUTH SHORE DANIELS INDUSTRIAL Eliah Mill Creek Hooper Hill Strawberry Hill Landing LEWIS SEA PINES MEBANE SUE CACTUS LENOIR CHERRY OLD MILL OLD FAYETTEVILLE KAY TODD GOVERNORS LEE BUCK E. MOORE CASWELL BEACH SWAIN LEWIS Lanvale Spring Hill Snowfield Eastbook ROYSTER Woodburn Easy Hill BLACKWELL EDEN WHELK SUNNY POINT W. BALD HEAD NAVASSA BETHEL DAWS CREEK N. HOWE BATTLESHIP N. OLDE TOWNE Funston Coolvale BELVILLE CENTRAL ARGONNE PLANTATION SHEPARD ORTON S. BALD HEAD RIVER CAPE CREEK Old Town Dark Branch Kendall Chapel BOILING SPRINGS LAKES

16 STELLA E C SANDERS ASH-LITTLE RIVER kmans Crossroads Brunswick County Growth Patterns HICKMAN THOMASBORO PIREWAY GWYNN CALABASH KINGTOWN BOUNDARYLINE VIRGINIA Freeland Thomasboro Iredell BEACH OLD OAK PEA LANDING CALABASH SUNSET BEACH WARD BLAND J B LITTLE PRONG New Britton Little Prong MELANIE Regan Longwood BONAPARTE LONG R D MAPLE PEARL BABSON Ash LONGWOOD RUSS Cedar Bay SHORELINE COX ALLIGATOR BIG NECK LUDLUM SUNSET E. MAIN PARKER Grissettown BALMORE Shady Forest 40TH MARLOW RUSSTOWN PROJECT SEASIDE STOUT GREEN BAY OLD GEORGETOWN ANGELS LEAK Exum Honey Pond EXUM OLD SHALLOTTE OAK Seaside HALE SWAMP W. FIRST VEREEN MYRTLEHEAD Mill Branch WHITE SHALLOTTE WATTS OCEAN AIRE INLAND FRINK WHITEVILLE E. FIRST TRYON CAMP BRANCH Russtown BEACH MCMILLY TODD MAIN PIGOTT GOOSE CREEK EYOTA Makatoka N. MULBERRY ROYAL OAK COPAS BRIERWOOD FOX WOODARD EGYPT Red Bug CIVIETOWN OAK SHELL POINT LOTT Jinnys Branch FEDERAL MT. PISGAH OXPEN MAKATOKA RED BUG OLD CC OCEAN KIRBY LULA Monogram GREGORY C VILLAGE POINT T HOLDEN BEACH TAFT GREEN SWAMP MIDDLE RIVER HEWETT Royal Middle Oak River BIG MACEDONIA Doe Creek Civie Fulford Town CEDAR GROVE QUILT STANLEY STANBURY KYLE ZION HILL SMITH SABBATH HOME 3RD OCEAN LANDFILL BENTON SUPPLY Supply NORTHWEST STONE CHIMNEY MAPLE CREEK HOLDEN BEACH OCEAN ISLE BEACH Oak Grove SEA AIRE BELL BEAUFAIN TOWN CREEK GALLOWAY LEWIS SWAMP BY PASS TOBE'S EVANS GILBERT OLD LENNON ANDREW JACKSON OLD OCEAN GREEN HILL Gores Landing OAK ISLAND A FOLLY HARBOR W. BEACH Gooseneck Flowers Corner Old Cumbee Place Secession New Hope W. YACHT NORTHWEST NECK BLUE BANKS LOOP CHERRYTREE BELL SWAMP GREEN LEWIS ALBRIGHT Lennon Crossroads Sandy Hill Mercer Landing Cedar Grove ADELAIDE Varnum Dixon Landing MALMO LOOP DANFORD MIDWAY SOUTHPORT-SUPPLY W. DOLPHIN KEITH SAW MILL SANDY RUN HESS OTIS BUTLER Batarora Rabontown ROCK CREEK E. BEACH MACO Bishop Henrytown Bell Swamp MILL CREEK MCKAY ROW LEWIS LOOP Suburb HEWETT E. YACHT Maco BOLIVIA Sunset Harbor Piney Grove Half Hell Antioch HOOPER PINECLIFF WILDWOOD IRWIN ANGELS GIFT TRAILWOOD LACKEY BENSON Town Winnabow Creek ST JAMES DOGWOOD Malmo TRADE GOODMAN MT. MISERY CEDAR HILL VILLAGE GEORGE II LANVALE FUNSTON LELAND Clairmont ST JAMES SOUTHPORT Yaupon Beach Long Beach CASWELL BEACH Fort Caswell BALD HEAD ISLAND E. OAK ISLAND E. BOILING SPRING W. RIDGE WACCAMAW Midway QUAIL DRAYTON AIRPORT Phoenix SNOWFIELD HIDEAWAY ADOBE SOUTH SHORE DANIELS INDUSTRIAL Eliah Mill Creek Hooper Hill Strawberry Hill Landing LEWIS SEA PINES MEBANE SUE CACTUS LENOIR CHERRY OLD MILL OLD FAYETTEVILLE KAY TODD GOVERNORS LEE BUCK E. MOORE CASWELL BEACH SWAIN LEWIS Lanvale Spring Hill Snowfield Eastbook ROYSTER Woodburn Easy Hill BLACKWELL EDEN WHELK SUNNY POINT W. BALD HEAD NAVASSA BETHEL DAWS CREEK N. HOWE BATTLESHIP N. OLDE TOWNE Funston Coolvale BELVILLE CENTRAL ARGONNE PLANTATION SHEPARD ORTON S. BALD HEAD RIVER CAPE CREEK Old Town Dark Branch Kendall Chapel BOILING SPRINGS LAKES

17 STELLA Brunswick County Current Growth Patterns E C SANDERS ASH-LITTLE RIVER Hickmans Crossroads HICKMAN THOMASBORO PIREWAY GWYNN CALABASH KINGTOWN BOUNDARYLINE VIRGINIA Freeland Thomasboro Iredell BEACH OLD OAK PEA LANDING CALABASH SUNSET BEACH WARD BLAND J B LITTLE PRONG New Britton Little Prong MELANIE Regan Longwood BONAPARTE LONG R D MAPLE PEARL BABSON Ash LONGWOOD RUSS Cedar Bay SHORELINE COX ALLIGATOR BIG NECK LUDLUM SUNSET E. MAIN PARKER Grissettown BALMORE Shady Forest 40TH MARLOW RUSSTOWN PROJECT SEASIDE STOUT GREEN BAY OLD GEORGETOWN ANGELS LEAK Exum Honey Pond EXUM OLD SHALLOTTE OAK Seaside HALE SWAMP W. FIRST VEREEN MYRTLEHEAD Mill Branch WHITE SHALLOTTE WATTS OCEAN AIRE INLAND FRINK WHITEVILLE E. FIRST TRYON CAMP BRANCH Russtown BEACH MCMILLY TODD MAIN PIGOTT GOOSE CREEK EYOTA Makatoka N. MULBERRY ROYAL OAK COPAS BRIERWOOD FOX WOODARD EGYPT Red Bug CIVIETOWN OAK SHELL POINT LOTT Jinnys Branch FEDERAL MT. PISGAH OXPEN MAKATOKA RED BUG OLD CC OCEAN KIRBY LULA Monogram GREGORY C VILLAGE POINT T HOLDEN BEACH TAFT GREEN SWAMP MIDDLE RIVER HEWETT Royal Middle Oak River BIG MACEDONIA Doe Creek Civie Fulford Town CEDAR GROVE QUILT STANLEY STANBURY KYLE ZION HILL SMITH SABBATH HOME 3RD OCEAN LANDFILL BENTON SUPPLY Supply NORTHWEST STONE CHIMNEY MAPLE CREEK HOLDEN BEACH OCEAN ISLE BEACH Oak Grove SEA AIRE BELL BEAUFAIN TOWN CREEK GALLOWAY LEWIS SWAMP BY PASS TOBE'S EVANS GILBERT OLD LENNON ANDREW JACKSON OLD OCEAN GREEN HILL Gores Landing OAK ISLAND A FOLLY HARBOR W. BEACH Gooseneck Flowers Corner Old Cumbee Place Secession New Hope W. YACHT NORTHWEST NECK BLUE BANKS LOOP CHERRYTREE BELL SWAMP GREEN LEWIS ALBRIGHT Lennon Crossroads Sandy Hill Mercer Landing Cedar Grove ADELAIDE Varnum Dixon Landing MALMO LOOP DANFORD MIDWAY SOUTHPORT-SUPPLY W. DOLPHIN KEITH SAW MILL SANDY RUN HESS OTIS BUTLER Batarora Rabontown ROCK CREEK E. BEACH MACO Bishop Henrytown Bell Swamp MILL CREEK MCKAY ROW LEWIS LOOP Suburb HEWETT E. YACHT Maco BOLIVIA Sunset Harbor Piney Grove Half Hell Antioch HOOPER PINECLIFF WILDWOOD IRWIN ANGELS GIFT TRAILWOOD LACKEY BENSON Town Winnabow Creek ST JAMES DOGWOOD Malmo TRADE GOODMAN MT. MISERY CEDAR HILL VILLAGE GEORGE II LANVALE FUNSTON LELAND Clairmont ST JAMES SOUTHPORT Yaupon Beach Long Beach CASWELL BEACH Fort Caswell BALD HEAD ISLAND E. OAK ISLAND E. BOILING SPRING W. RIDGE WACCAMAW Midway QUAIL DRAYTON AIRPORT Phoenix SNOWFIELD HIDEAWAY ADOBE SOUTH SHORE DANIELS INDUSTRIAL Eliah Mill Creek Hooper Hill Strawberry Hill Landing LEWIS SEA PINES MEBANE SUE CACTUS LENOIR CHERRY OLD MILL OLD FAYETTEVILLE KAY TODD GOVERNORS LEE BUCK E. MOORE CASWELL BEACH SWAIN LEWIS Lanvale Spring Hill Snowfield Eastbook ROYSTER Woodburn Easy Hill BLACKWELL EDEN WHELK SUNNY POINT W. BALD HEAD NAVASSA BETHEL DAWS CREEK N. HOWE BATTLESHIP N. OLDE TOWNE Funston Coolvale BELVILLE CENTRAL ARGONNE PLANTATION SHEPARD ORTON S. BALD HEAD RIVER CAPE CREEK Old Town Dark Branch Kendall Chapel BOILING SPRINGS LAKES

18 WHERE ARE WE GOING?

19 RECENT GROWTH INDICATORS I-140 Project Completion Revival of Zombie Developments 6,049 Units Approved since Approved Development Projects from 2015-Present Shift Development Patterns Increases Building Permit Activity Changes in Demographics Developments Project Shifts Smaller lots Smaller Homes More Multi-family Mixed-Use More Walkable Less Golf Assisted Living

20 Growth Influences Tourism Economy Situation Between 2 Thriving Metro Areas Availability of Infrastructure & Services (Water and Sewer/Schools/Parks) Demographics Transportation Changes in Society Development Types & Patterns (Single-Family vs. Multi-Family vs. Commercial Development)

21 Year Brunswick County Projected Population Population 0 50, , , , , (projected) 193, (projected) 156, (projected) 141, , , , , , , , ,278

22 GROWTH CHALLENGES & IMPACTS How to Mitigate Growth Impacts Jobs Transportation New Technologies Workforce Housing Aging Population Young Flight Community Needs vs. Wants Transportation Differences in Society Sprawl & Environmental Impacts Development Types & Patterns (Single-Family vs. Multi-Family)

23 RECENT INITIATIVES TO MITIGATE CHALLENGES & IMPACTS

24 DEVELOPMENT & PERMITTING PROCESS ENHANCEMENTS & STREAMLINING Project Planning Sessions Neighborhood Outreach Project Tracking & Online Permitting Responsive Approval Process Education/Training Flexibility & Exceptional Design

25 UNIFIED DEVELOPMENT ORDINANCE (UDO) REFINEMENTS Promotes Great Site Plans Provides Design Flexibility That Accommodates Exception Design And Great Site Features Allow Conservation, Cluster Subdivisions, Traditional Neighborhoods Encourage And Allow Best Management Practices & Exceptional Design (Green Growth Toolbox, LID, Exceptional Design, Etc.) Promote Recreation & Smart-growth Provides Incentives For Trail Network Development & Trail Connections

26 UDO TAKES THE CARROT APPROACH Provide flexibility in exchange for projects that provide quality development that incorporates exceptional design elements. Flexibility accommodate the varying needs of individual projects. Accessory Units (Granny Flats) Smaller Setbacks Narrower Buffers Parking Layout Alternatives Narrower Roads and ROW s Mixture of Residential and Non- Residential Types Increase in density 25% Demarest Company Landscape Architects, Copyright 2015, Used By Permission, All rights Reserved. Scott D. Stewart RLA ASLA Administrative Adjustments Special Use Permits EXCEPTIONAL DESIGN = LIVABLE COMMUNITIES = PROJECT FLEXIBILITY

27 WHAT IS EXCEPTIONAL DESIGN? Mixed-Use & Town Centers Site Preparation Minimize clearing and grading; Tree preservation Stormwater LID, Pervious Pavement, Create Useable Ponds Architectural Elements Green Building, Attractive Building Façade, Energy Star Natural Resource Conservation Workforce Housing Open Space, View Sheds, Recreation Space, Walkable

28 OTHER RECENT INITIATIVES TO ADDRESS CHALLENGES & IMPACTS Implementing the NC Wildlife Green Growth Toolbox Promote Economic Development New Transportation Projects Unified Development Ordinance (UDO) Refinements Hazard Mitigation Plan New Website -- The Historic Architecture of Brunswick County Historical Book ($40)

29 KEY INITIATIVES IN THE WORKS! Comprehensive Transportation Plan Update Brunswick County Trail Plan Implementation Exceptional Design Manual Shoreline Protection Agriculture Development Plan New Waterway Park Unified Development Ordinance (UDO) Update Collaborate with NC Wildlife & the Green Growth Toolbox The Brunswick County Data Book Update New FEMA Flood Maps & Flood Ordinance Updates

30 BRUNSWICK COUNTY TRAIL PLAN PROJECT ADOPTED MARCH 2017

31 PROJECT SCOPE County-wide Plan Identify existing Greenway, Walking Trails, Bike Routes, & Paddle Trails Network Not a typical plan very usable to everyone! Two components of the Plan oexisting Map oproposed Map

32 EXISTING MORE THAN A TRAIL MAP COUNTY WIDE MAP Side #1

33 PROPOSED MORE THAN A TRAIL MAP Conceptual Map Exact layouts TBD on case-by-case basis Not funded Off-road trail facilities with a hard surface encouraged The use of on-road bike lanes and natural surfaces are viable alternatives when hard surface off road facilities are not feasible Native plantings and wide corridors are encouraged Camping along paddle trails encouraged. Implementing the NC Wildlife Green Growth Toolbox

34 PROJECT REVEALED Most Existing Routes are On-Road East Coast Greenway Routes NC State Bike Route #3 Existing local bike routes Limited Existing Hard Surface Off-road Facilities Brunswick Forest Multi-Use Trail Brunswick Riverwalk at Belville Carroll Street Bike Trail Need to Widen Focus to includes Nature Trails Need for comprehensive source for Paddle Access Sites. Large Community wide Interest in Trails Exciting Destinations Variety of Existing Trail Types Exist Variety of User Types Variety User Needs Need for More Online Presence

35 NEXT STEPS Get The Word Out!!!! Town Adoptions Increase Online Presence

36 INTO THE FUTURE Promote Trail Trail Development Update to Proposed Map

37 QUESTIONS, THOUGHTS, FEEDBACK Kirstie Dixon Planning Director 910/

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