Results of Tourism Activity

Transcription

1 Reporting Date: August 24, 2016 Results of Tourism Activity Mexico, June 2016 Jardín en Hacienda San Gabriel, Morelos. Cascada Cola de Caballo, Nuevo León. Saltillo, Coahuila. Zócalo de Campeche. Undersecretariat of Planning and Tourism Policy

2 Million tourists Million visitors International visitors Chart 1. Bank of Mexico reported that the arrival of international travelers in the first half of 2016 was 47.0 million, which represents an increase of 9.4. In June 2016, 7.7 million travelers arrived, 8.9 more than the number registered in the same month last year (7.1 million travelers). This is the highest level for June since Chart 1. Monthly Arrival of International Visitors Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México International tourists Million visitors * NOTE: In the charts, the sum of monthly data may not correspond to the cumulative period, due to rounding. Chart 2. The arrival of international tourists in the first half of 2016 was 17.0 million, an increase of 8.6. In June 2016, international tourists arrivals reached 2.9 million, which represents an annual increase of 6.6. This is the highest number for June since Chart 2. Monthly Arrival of International Tourists Million tourists Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. 1

3 Million dollars 1, , , , , , , , , , ,407.5 Millon dollars 1, , , , , , ,684.0 Foreign Currency Income by International visitors Chart 3. The income of foreign exchange from international visitors for the first half of 2016 was 10,063 million, an increase of 743 million dollars compared to of 2015, an increase of 8.0. The figure recorded by Banxico is the largest for the month of June since ,500 2,300 2,100 1,900 1,700 1,500 1,300 1, Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. Tourism Balance by International visitors Chart 4. The balance of international visitors in the first half of 2016 recorded 5,382 million, an amount 17.8 above of the observed in the same period of The balance is composed of the foreign exchange earnings of international travelers minus total spending of national travelers abroad. 1,200 1,100 1, Chart 3. Montly Income of Foreing Currency to Mexico from International Visitors , Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México Chart 4. Monthly Result of Tourism Balance from International Visitors 1, Million dollars , , Million dollars , ,

4 Dollars Average Expenditure of International tourists by air Chart 5. The average monthly expenditure of international tourists by air was dollars during 2016, a reduction of 19.5 dollars (-2.0) compared to Among the factors explaining this evolution are: the appreciation of the dollar against the Mexican peso. 1,050.0 Chart 5. Average Expenditure (international tourists by air) 1, Dollars Jan Feb Mar Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. Apr May Jun Foreign Visitors by air (main countries of residence) Chart 6. In of 2016, the arrival of foreign aircoming visitors who reside in the United States, accounted for From Latin America and the Caribbean, the country of residence with the highest number of foreign arrivals into México was Argentina with 2.4 of total. Note: Figures refers to events because the same person may have entered the country in more than one occasion. "Other" includes the remaining countries, the "unspecified" and the "Foreigners with residence in Mexico" Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB U.S. Canada United Kingdom Argentina

5 Passengers Passengers 608,091 1,959, ,490 2,158, , , , , ,689 77, ,119 77, ,269 50, ,166 68, , , ,958 31, , , , ,071 Foreign passengers arriving by Air (American) Chart 7. American residents who arrived by air to Mexico increased 13.2 in of 2016 in comparison to the same period 2015, reaching 5.1 million passengers who arrived mainly by Cancun Airport, followed by Mexico City Airport. 2,500,000 2,000,000 Chart 7. American Residents per Airport Passengers ,483,469 1,500, ,075, ,000, ,000 0 Cancún, Q. Roo Ciudad de México (AICM) Los Cabos, B.C.S. Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Guadalajara, Jal. Others Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. Foreign passengers arriving by Air (Canadian) Chart 8. Canadian residents who arrived by air to México were 0.9 lower during January- June of 2016 in comparison with the same period of 2015, reaching 1,064,612 passengers who arrived mainly by Cancun Airport, followed by Puerto Vallarta Airport. Chart 8. Canadian Residents per Airport 700, ,000 Passengers 500, ,074, , ,064, , , ,000 0 Cancún, Q. Roo Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Los Cabos, B.C.S. Ciudad de México (AICM) Huatulco, Oax. Others Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB.

6 Million tourists Rate Percentage of Hotel Occupation Chart 9. The percentage of hotel occupation of a group of 70 resorts in the six-month period of 2016 was 60.6, 0.9 percentage points higher in comparison to the same period last year. 62 Chart 9. Percentage of Hotel Occupation NOTE : The occupation is a weighted average. Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by the Mexico s Tourism Information Statistics National System, DataTur. Arrival of tourists to Hotels Chart 10. During of 2016, the arrival of domestic tourists to hotel rooms was over 25.8 million tourists (75.0), the remaining arrivals (25.0) correspond to foreign tourists Chart 10. Arrivals of tourist to hotel rooms (75.0) (25.0) Domestic Foreing Total Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by the Mexico s Tourism Information Statistics National System, DataTur. 5

7 Thousands people Thousands people Air Transportation Chart 11. The number of passengers arriving by air during of 2016 was 29.8 million passengers, representing two million 892 thousand passengers additional (10.7) in comparison to the same period last year. Chart 11. Total Passengers 6, Million passengers 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 4,927 4,404 4,473 4,700 4,598 4,611 4,690 3,955 5,309 4,861 5,221 5,059 5,463 5,094 4,082 4,836 4,557 5, ,000 Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). Chart 12. The number of passengers arriving by air on domestic flights during of 2016 was 19.3 million passengers, representing 2.1 millions of additional passengers (12.0), in comparison to the same period of the last year. 4,000 Chart 12. Passengers in Domestic Flights Million passengers ,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 3,052 3,4563,463 3,365 3,208 3,680 3,471 2,774 2,951 3,0033,107 3,058 2,705 2,432 2,888 3,150 3,230 3, ,500 Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). 6

8 Thousands people Chart 13. In of 2016, the number of passengers arriving by air on international flights increased 8.5, with 10.5 million passengers, exceeding for thousands passengers the amount of of ,900 1,650 1,400 1,874 Chart 13. Passengers on International Flights 1, ,758 1,699 1,654 1,602 1,749 1,782 1,699 1,595 1,632 1,623 1,523 1,505 1,408 1,607 1,962 Million passengers ,150 1, Preliminary figures. Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services. Chart 14. According to seasonally adjusted series, the Quarterly Indicator of Tourism Activity grew 3.2 in the 1Q16 compared to the same period With this result, tourism GDP growth accumulated five consecutive quarters in a row above the national GDP growth. By component, services increased 3.8 y-o-y, while goods rose 1.1 y-o-y in the same period Chart 14. Quarterly Indicator of Tourism Activity I II III IV 2016 I Bienes Servicios PIB Turístico Seasonally adjusted. Source: National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)

9 Employed People Tourism Employment* Chart 15. In the second quarter of 2016, the population employed in the tourism sector of Mexico surpassed three million 892 thousand jobs, which represents a high record for the series since 2006 and represented 8.4 of total employment. Chart 15. Tourism Employment 4,000,000 3,892,090 3,750,000 3,500,000 3,250,000 3,000,000 I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV Fuente: INEGI y SECTUR. Chart 16. Tourism employment increased 5.5 in the second quarter of 2016 compared to the same period of Meanwhile, the employed population nationwide grew 2.2 in annual terms in the second quarter of Chart 16. Tourism employment (percentage change over the same quarter of the previous year) I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV Fuente: INEGI y SECTUR. * NOTE: Direct jobs based on the National Survey of Occupation and Employment (ENOE) subsectors related to tourism.

10 Main airports Figure 1. In January-Jun 2016 the airports with the highest number of foreign passengers were: Cancún (3,741,655); Ciudad de México (1,678,252); Puerto Vallarta (767,603); Los Cabos (767,531); y Guadalajara (421,954); which represents 90.2 of all foreign passengers. Airport on Quintana Roo State International Passengers var Cancún 3,515,673 3,741, Airport on Baja California Sur State International Passengers Los var Cabos 662, , Airports on Jalisco State International Passengers var Puerto Vallarta 688, , Guadalajara 350, , Airport on Mexico City International Passengers var Cd. México 1,441,158 1,678, Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. Note: Figures refers to events because the same person may have entered the country in more than one occasion. From this date only the residence of international passengers is considered and the nationality of the passengers is not longer used. 11

11 Arrivals Thousand people Maritime transportation Chart 17. During of 2016, the number of cruise passengers was 3.2 million passengers; this is an increase of 3.8 in comparison to the same period of last year. Chart 17. Monthly Arrival of Passengers by Cruise January- May Thousand pasengers , , Source: Directorate General of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). Chart 18. The number of cruise s arrivals in of 2016 increased by five, reaching 1.2 thousands, an increase of 0.4 with respect to the same period of previous year. Chart 18. Monthly Cruise's Arrivals January- May Arrivals , , Source: Directorate General of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). 12

12 Main ports Figure 2. In of 2016 the ports that received the highest number of passengers were the following: Cozumel, Ensenada and Majahual; representing 77.5 of total arrivals in the six months. Ensenada var Passengers 350, , Arrivals Cozumel var Passengers 1,871,175 1,919, Arrivals Cabo San Lucas var Passengers 188, , Arrivals Puerto Vallarta var Passengers 150, , Arrivals Majahual var Passengers 265, , Arrivals Source: Directorate General of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). 13

13 14 Subject RESULTS OF TOURISM ACTIVITY Unit of measurement Year (January-December) Accumulated () / /15 International travelers balance (Banco de México) Inbound traveler expenditures Million dollars 13, , , , , Outbound traveler expenditures Million dollars 9, , , , , International travelers balance Million dollars 4, , , , , International travelers to Mexico (Banco de México) Number of travelers (Thousand) International visitors Thousand 78, , , , , International tourists Thousand 24, , , , , Long-stay tourists Thousand 14, , , , , Border tourists Thousand 9, , , , , Same-day travelers Thousand 53, , , , , In border area travelers Thousand 49, , , , , In cruises travelers Thousand 4, , , , , Inbound travelers expenditure (Million dollars) International visitors Million dollars 13, , , , , International tourists Million dollars 11, , , , , Long-stay tourists Million dollars 11, , , , , Border tourists Million dollars Same-day travelers Million dollars 2, , , In border area travelers Million dollars 1, , , In cruises travelers Million dollars Average expenditure (dollars) International visitors Dollars International tourists Dollars Long-stay tourists Dollars Border tourists Dollars Same-day travelers Dollars In border area travelers Dollars In cruises travelers Dollars Quarterly Indicator of Tourism Activity* (index 2008=100, seasonally adjusted series) INEGI. First Quarterly Tourism GDP Annual percentages N.D. Goods Annual percentages N.D. Services Annual percentages N.D. Internal tourism consumption Annual percentages N.D. Domestic tourism consumption Annual percentages N.D. Inbound tourism consumption Annual percentages N.D. Arrival of passengers on domestic and international flights (ASA) Total Passengers arriving by air Thousands 46, , , , , International flights Thousands 15, , , , , Domestic flights Thousands 30, , , , , Foreign countries by air and country of residence (Unidad de Política Migratoria) United States of America Thousands 6, , , , , Canada Thousands 1, , , , , Movements cruise (SCT, Dirección General de Puertos) Passenger in cruices Thousands 4, , , , , Cruise's arrivals Number 1, , , , , Hotel business** (SECTUR) Percentaje of hotel accupation Percentage Arrival of tourists to hotel rooms Thousands 47, , , ,643, ,841, Number of tourist jobs*** (SECTUR based on ENOE) Tourism employment Thousands 3, , , , , * Annual percentage change data for the last quarter of the current year compared to the last quarter of the previous year. 25/08/2016 ** A report from the Hotel Occupancy monitored weekly in 70 centers. s in percentage points in the case of hotel occupancy. *** Quarterly figures, excluding induced employment. Fuentes: Banco de México. ASA e INEGI, UPM, SCT, SECTUR.

14 15 Macroeconomic Indicators International According to WTO s Barometer for July 2016 (UNWTO), Mexico remained in the 9 th position in the classification of international tourist arrivals, while it moved up to 16 th place from 17 th in foreign exchange earnings from international visitors in In the recent Ranking published by the World Tourism Organization, it pointed out that in the first four months of 2016, international tourist arrivals reached 348 million international, 18 million tourists more than the number registered in the same period of 2015 and equivalent to an annual growth of 5.3. In response to the forecasts provided by the WTO in its latest Barometer publication, the positive results observed in the first quarter of 2016 are expected to extend to May-August 2016, due to northern hemisphere holiday season. It is expected to around 500 million tourists to travel abroad. National In the second quarter 2016, real GDP grew 1.5 y-o-y in seasonally adjusted terms. According to original series, some components of GDP related to tourism such as air transport services, temporary accommodation services and preparation of food and beverages registered annual growth of 18.9, 2.0 and 2.9 respectively in the second quarter of 2016 In June, headline inflation remained below the central bank s target of 3.0 of at 2.5.

15 16 Macroeconomic Indicators Gross Domestic Product Inflation Entity Constant prices (percent change) ( dec/dec) International Monetary Fund OCDE Banco de México Survey Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit 2.6 a a N.a. Not available. Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2016); OECD, Economic Outlook (2016/05); Banco de México, Expectations Survey Economic Specialists Private Sector (01/08/16); Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público, Pre-General Criteria for Economic Policy 2017 (April, 2016) Macroeconomic Perspective on Key Indicators of Mexico KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF MEXICO Entries I General Economic Activity and Services Identified with Tourism Gross Domestic Product. Millions of current pesos 14,550,014 15,626,907 16,118,031 17,256,000 18,127,178 18,482,682. Constant prices annual variations in Tertiary activities - Air Transportation (481). Millions of current pesos 24, , , , , , Constant prices annual variations in Temporary Lodging Services (721). Millions of current pesos 137, , , , , , Constant prices annual variations in Food and Beverages Preparation Services (722). Millions of current pesos 160, , , , , , Constant prices annual variations in Quarterly Indicators of Tourism Activity Tourism Gross Domestic Product. Constant prices annual variations in Internal Tourism Consumption. Constant prices annual variations in Domestic tourism consumption. Constant prices annual variations in Ibound tourism consumption. Constant prices annual variations in Tourism Employment People Employed in the Tourism Sector* 3,409,804 3,536,686 3,628,195 3,640,970 3,803,442 3,845,089 Total number of IMSS-Insure Workers an Unemployement Rate Employees insured by IMSS (average of the period) 15,153,643 15,856,137 16,409,302 16,990,724 17,724,222 18,067,868.Permanent 13,101,612 13,637,937 14,123,077 14,570,291 15,170,986 15,471,791.Non-permanent (urban and field) 2,052,031 2,218,200 2,286,225 2,420,433 2,553,236 2,596,077 Unemployment National Rate ** (closing of the period). Total Percentage of PEA Exchange Rate and Prices*** National Price Index (closing of the period) Consumer (percent variation) Air transport (percent variation) Hotel (percent variation) Package Tourist Services (percent variation) Restaurants (percent variation) Exchange Rate (peso / dollar). Average of the period Business Cycle Indicators and Consumer Confidence (montly difference****). Coincident Indicator Forward Indicator Confidence Consumer Index