Second Lead Author Meeting. Meeting Material

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1 Working Group I (WGI) - The Physical Science Basis Global warming of 1.5 C An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty Second Lead Author Meeting Exeter, United Kingdom 5-9 June 2017 Meeting Material WGI Technical Support Unit c/o Université Paris Saclay Immeuble Discovery Route de l Orme des Merisiers Saint-Aubin France +33 (0) tsu@ipcc-wg1.universite-paris-saclay.fr

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5 INTRODUCTION

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9 PROVISIONAL AGENDA

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11 Sunday, 4 June :30 Co-Chairs and TSU preparatory meeting (Mercure Southgate Hotel - Room Seymour Suite 1) 19:00 Co-Chairs and TSU Dinner (location TBD) Monday, 5 June UK MET Office 08:00-09:00 Registration 08:30-09:00 CLA and Co-Chairs Meeting 1 (Conference 3 & 4 Second Floor) OPENING PLENARY (Conference 1 & 2 second floor) 09:00-10:00 Welcome and Opening (UK Met Office & U. Exeter) Introduction to LAM2 Status of SR1.5, timeline, context within the AR6 cycle The Assessment Process (incl. writing and drafting, use of literature, review process) Meeting objectives and expectations Questions and Discussion 10:00-10:30 Break (Balcony Second Floor) PLENARY SESSION I (Conference 1 & 2 second floor) Chapter Presentations [10 min presentations from CLA(s) of each chapter on emerging science and overall vision for the chapter plus 5 min clarification questions] 10:30-10:45 Chapter 1: Framing and context 10:45-11:00 Chapter 2: Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5oC in the context of sustainable development 11:00-11:15 Chapter 3: Impacts of 1.5oC global warming on natural and human systems 11:15-11:30 Chapter 4: Strengthening and implementing the global response to the threat of climate change 11:30-11:45 Chapter 5: 1.5oC Sustainable development, poverty eradication and reducing inequalities

12 11:45-12:30 Discussion and Topics for LAM2 focus (eg BOGs) 12:30-14:00 Lunch (Balcony Second Floor) 13:30-14:00 Informal Q&A Session (Co-Chairs, Vice-Chairs and TSU) (Conference 1 & 2 Second Floor) CHAPTER SESSION I 14:00-15:30 Chapter 1 (Room FG4 Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (Room C2 1&2 Second Floor) Chapter 3 (Room C1 1&2 first floor) Chapter 4 (Room Conference 3 - Second Floor) Chapter 5 (Room FG5 Ground Floor) 14:00-15:30 Co-Chairs talk (Conference 1 & 2 Second Floor) 15:30-16:00 Break (Street) CHAPTER SESSION I continued 16:00-17:30 Chapter 1 (Room FG4 Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (Room C2 1&2 Second Floor) Chapter 3 (Room C1 1&2 First Floor) Chapter 4 (Room Conference 3 - Second Floor) Chapter 5 (Room FG5 Ground Floor) 17:30 Adjourn 17:30-19:00 UK Met Office Reception (Street) 19:15 Organized taxi transportation back to Mercure Southgate and Jury s Inn hotels Tuesday, 6 June University of Exeter 08:30-09:00 CLA and Co-Chairs Meeting 2 (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) CHAPTER SESSION II 09:00-10:30 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (XFi Building - Conference Room 1 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Conference Room 2 - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 09:00-10:00 Press Briefing (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) 10:30-11:00 Break (Atrium Ground Floor)

13 CHAPTER SESSION II continued 11:00-12:30 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (XFi Building - Conference Room 1 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Conference Room 2 - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 12:30-14:00 Lunch (Atrium Ground Floor) 13:30-14:00 Informal Q&A Session (Co-Chairs, Vice-Chairs, and TSU) (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) PLENARY SESSION II (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) 14:00 14:45 Stock Taking of Chapter Discussions and Identifying Cross-Chapter Issues 14:45 15:30 Use of Uncertainty Language 15:30-16:00 Break (Atrium Ground Floor) CHAPTER SESSION III 16:00-18:00 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (XFi Building - Conference Room 1 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Conference Room 2 - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 18:00 Adjourn Wednesday, 7 June University of Exeter 08:30-9:00 CLA and Co-Chairs Meeting 3 (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) CROSS-CHAPTER SESSION I 09:00-10:30 Topic X ((Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) Topic X (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) Topic X (Streatham Court-Room SC08 - Ground Floor) Topic X (TBC) Topic X (TBC) 10:30-11:00 Break (Atrium Ground Floor)

14 CROSS-CHAPTER SESSION I continued 11:00-12:30 Topic X ((Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) Topic X (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) Topic X (Streatham Court SC028 - Ground Floor) Topic X (TBC) Topic X (TBC) 12:30 Group photo (Forum Piazza) 12:30-14:00 Lunch (Forum Piazza) Joint Lunch with U. Exeter Grand Challenges in Science Communication students 13:30-14:00 Informal Q&A Session (Co-Chairs, Vice-Chairs, and TSU) (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) PLENARY SESSION III (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) 14:00-14:45 Stocktake of Cross-Chapter Session PLENARY SESSION IV (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) 14:45-15:45 Communication - Guest Lecture, Susan Hassol 15:45-16:00 Frequently Asked Questions, Glossary 16:00-16:30 Break (Atrium Ground Floor) CHAPTER SESSION IV 16:30-18:30 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (Streatham Court Room SC028 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 16: Land SR author selection (Co Chairs, Vice Chairs, TSUs) (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) 18:30 Adjourn 18:30-19:00 Refreshments 19:00-21:00 U. Exeter Grand Challenges in Science Communication (Forum Piazza) Public Event - Panel Discussion Climate Change: Does the 1.5 Degrees Target Make Sense?

15 Thursday, 8 June University of Exeter 08:30 CLA and Co-Chairs Meeting 4 (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) PLENARY SESSION V (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) 09:00-10:00 Summary for Policymakers Presentation Panel report on previous experience (SREX, AR5) Discussion 10:00-10:30 Break (Atrium Ground Floor) CHAPTER SESSION V 10:30-12:30 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (XFi Building - Conference Room 1 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Conference Room 2 - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 10:30-12:30 Land SR author selection (Co Chairs, Vice Chairs, TSUs) (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) 12:30-14:00 Lunch (Atrium Ground Floor) 13:30-14:00 Informal Q&A Session (Co-Chairs, Vice-Chairs and TSU) (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) CHAPTER SESSION V continued 14:00-16:00 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (XFi Building - Conference Room 1 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Conference Room 2 - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 16:00-16:30 Break (Atrium Ground Floor) 16:30-18:00 Chapter 1 (XFi Building - Seminar Room B - Ground Floor) Chapter 2 (XFi Building - Seminar Room C - Ground Floor) Chapter 3 (XFi Building - Conference Room 1 - Ground Floor) Chapter 4 (XFi Building - Conference Room 2 - Ground Floor) Chapter 5 (XFi Building - Seminar Room A - Ground Floor) 18:00 Adjourn 18:30 Organized taxi transportation to the Royal Albert Museum 19:00-20:00 Reception at the Royal Albert Memorial Museum hosted by Exeter City Council

16 Friday, 9 June University of Exeter 08:30-09:00 CLA and Co-Chairs Meeting 5 (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) PLENARY SESSION VI (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) Chapter Presentations [5 min presentations from CLAs on the progress/development of the chapter during LAM1, 10 min discussion] 09:00-09:15 Chapter 1: Framing and context 09:15-09:30 Chapter 2: Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5oC in the context of sustainable development 09:30-09:45 Chapter 3: Impacts of 1.5oC global warming on natural and human systems 09:45-10:00 Chapter 4: Strengthening and implementing the global response to the threat of climate change 10:00-10:15 Chapter 5: 1.5oC Sustainable development, poverty eradication and reducing inequalities 10:15-10:30 Discussion 10:30-11:00 Break (Atrium Ground Floor) CLOSING PLENARY (XFi Building - Henderson Lecture Theatre - Ground Floor) 11:00-12:30 Next Steps (First Order Draft, Review, SPM, Timeline) Closing Remarks 12:30 End of LAM2 12:30 Lunch at the Farmers Market SPM MEETING (Co Chairs/CLAs/TSUs) (Building One - Bateman Lecture Theatre - First Floor) 14:00-15:30 SPM meeting 15:30-16:00 Break (Atrium Ground Floor) 16:00-18:00 SPM meeting continued 18:00 Adjourn Saturday, 10 June 2017 SPM MEETING (Co Chairs/CLAs/TSUs) (Hotel Mercure Southgate Lounge Terrace) 9:00-12:30 SPM meeting

17 ROOM ASSIGNMENT

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19 Global warming of 1.5 C An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty Second Lead Author Meeting ROOM ASSIGNMENT UK MET OFFICE DAY 1 Activity Room name Floor Plenary Conference 1 & 2 Second Chapter 1 meetings FG4 Ground Chapter 2 meetings C2 1&2 Second Chapter 3 meetings C1 1&2 First Chapter 4 meetings Conference 3 & 4 Second Chapter 5 meetings FG5 Ground CLA / Co Chair meetings Conference 3 & 4 Second Coffee break morning Balcony Second Lunch Balcony Second Coffee break afternoon Street Ground Help desk Street Ground TSU office CG1 and CG2 (TBC) Ground Co Chair office FG6 Ground Vice Chair meeting office FG2 and FG3 Ground Co Chair talks Conference 1 & 2 Second Evening Reception Street Ground

20 Global warming of 1.5 C An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty Second Lead Author Meeting ROOM ASSIGNMENT UNIVERSITY DAYS 2 TO 5 Activity Room name Building Floor Plenary Henderson Lecture Theatre XFi Ground Chapter 1 meetings Seminar Room B XFi Ground Chapter 2 meetings Seminar Room C XFi Ground Chapter 3 meetings Conference Room 1 XFi Ground Chapter 4 meetings Conference Room 2 XFi Ground Chapter 5 meetings Seminar Room A XFi Ground Cross chapter meetings (1) Bateman Lecture Theatre Building One First Cross chapter meetings (2) Henderson Lecture Theatre XFi Ground Cross chapter meetings (3) SC028 Streatham Court Ground CLA / Co Chair meetings Bateman Building One First SPM Meeting (Friday PM) Bateman Building One First SPM Meeting (Saturday AM) Lounge Terrace Southgate Hotel Ground Press briefing Henderson Lecture Theatre XFi Ground Coffee breaks Atrium XFi Ground Lunches Atrium XFi Ground Help desk Next to Atrium & Main Entrance XFi Ground TSU office SC028 Streatham Court Ground Co Chair office Board Room XFi Ground Vice Chair meeting office Kolade Building One Second

21 University of Exeter Floor Map Buildings XFi and One

22 Henderson Lecture Theatre XFi Building Ground Floor Conference Rooms 1 & 2 XFi Building Ground Floor Seminar Rooms A, B & C XFi Building Ground Floor Board Room XFi Building Ground Floor

23 Bateman Lecture Theatre Building One 1 st Floor Kolade Teaching Room Building One 2 nd Floor Room SC028 Streatham Court Ground Floor

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25 PRACTICAL DETAILS

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27 Global warming of 1.5 C An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty Second Lead Author Meeting PRACTICAL INFORMATION Registration Registration to the meeting will be made on Monday when arriving in the UK Met Office where you will be receiving your badge for the week as well as a Participant kit. Due to security issues, all IDs will be checked upon arrival: please do not forget to bring your ID. Entry to the Met Office will not be permitted if you can t present your passport. Help Desk A help desk will be available during coffee breaks, break out group sessions and in the morning before the meetings start. Do not hesitate to visit us for any logistical or technical assistance. Location day 1 UK Met Office Met Office Street ground Floor Location Days 2 to 5 University of Exeter Next to XFi Building main entrance and Atrium Lunches and coffee breaks Buffet lunches and coffee breaks (one in the morning and one in the afternoon) will be provided by our hosts on each day. In the Met Office, they will be available on the Balcony, next to the Plenary room (2 nd floor). In the University, breaks and lunch buffets will be available in the Atrium except: On Wednesday, lunch will be served in the Forum Piazza where a joint lunch with University Exeter Grand Challenges in Science Communication students is organized; On Friday, a Farmers Market will be organized on the University campus (Forum Piazza) from 11 am to 3 pm. If you wish to buy food and have lunch there, cash will be needed.

28 Transportation from and to the hotels Transportation will be supplied each morning from the Mercure Southgate and the Jury s Inn hotels to the Met Office (on Monday) and the University (from Tuesday to Friday) by bus or taxis free of charge. The return trip from the Met office to the hotels will be organized but please be aware return trips from the University to the hotels will not be organized, except on Thursday evening (a bus will drive the participants to the Royal Albert Memorial Museum for the reception hosted by Exeter City Council). Three options to go back to the hotels from the university: Walking (see maps on flowing page) Public transportation (check details here: Taxi (we recommend using Apple Taxis, +44 (0) Apple Taxis also have an app available on the App Store (ios) / Google Play (Android)). Below the schedules for transportation. Please make sure you are on time. Date From To Departure Time Monday 5 June Mercure Southgate Met office 7h45 8h10 Participants Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Jury s Inn Met Office 7h45 8h10 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Met Office Mercure Jury s Inn Southgate and 19h00 All participants Tuesday 6 June Mercure Southgate Exeter University Xfi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Jury s Inn Exeter University - XFi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Wednesday 7 June Mercure Southgate Exeter University Xfi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Jury s Inn Exeter University - XFi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Thursday 8 June Mercure Southgate Exeter University Xfi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Jury s Inn Exeter University Xfi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Friday 9 June Univ. Exeter - XFi Mercure Southgate Royal Albert Memorial Museum Exeter University Xfi 18h30 8h00 8h30 All participants Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants Jury s Inn Exeter University - XFi 8h00 8h30 Co Chairs and CLAs (8h30 meeting) All other participants

29 Events Monday 5 June 17h30-19h00: Met office reception on the Met Street, ground floor Drinks and canapés will be served to the LAM2 participants and to invited Met Office staff. Posters on the latest Met Office s research will be displayed. Transportation back to the hotels will be supplied (see Transportation section). Wednesday 7 June 12h30-14h00: Joint lunch with University Exeter Grand Challenges students, Forum Piazza, University of Exeter Students will be invited to joint SR1.5 Authors for a joint lunch in the Forum Piazza located next to the XFi Building. Wednesday 7 June 19h00-21h00: Climate Change - does the 1.5 degree target make sense? SR1.5 Authors are invited to attend this public panel event being organized by the University of Exeter. A panel of experts including IPCC contributors will discuss the 1.5 degrees target with a public audience. Everyone is welcome to attend this event, at which will participate the following potential panelists: IPCC 1.5 SR CLAs: Ch1 Myles Allen Ch2 Joeri Rogelj Ch3 Ove Hoegh Guldberg / Daniela Jacob / Michael Taylor Ch4 Aromar Revi Ch5 Petra Tschakert University of Exeter: Ian Bateman Neil Adger Tim Lenton Saffron O Neill Catherine Mitchell Met Office: Cath Senior Peter Stott Chairperson: Oliver Morton Peter Gibbs Proposed agenda: doors open / opportunity for guests / panelists / scientists to interact event starts; introduction from University of Exeter host minute overviews per panelist with time for panel responses Q&A with audience, and discussion between panel opportunity for further interaction with event guests. Thursday 8 June 19h00-20h00: Reception, Royal Albert Memorial Museum, Exeter SR1.5 LAM2 participants are invited to attend a reception hosted by Exeter City Council where drinks and canapés will be offered. Transportation from the University to the Museum will be supplied (see transportation section). Friday 9 June 12h30-15h00 LAM2 participants who wish can have a quick lunch at the Farmers Market located on the campus. Cash required no credit cards. Wifi Wifi will be available in both locations. Log in details will be available on the back of the badge you will be receiving at registration.

30 XFi Building Royal Albert Memorial Museum Jurys Inn Hotel Mercure Southgate Hotel

31 Directions to the Mercure Southgate Hotel Google map link

32 Directions to Jurys Inn Hotel Google map link

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39 IPCC DOCUMENTS

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41 Confidentiality Guidance Note for Coordinating Lead Authors, Lead Authors and Review Editors of IPCC Reports during the AR6 Assessment Cycle This Guidance Note provides individuals, who serve as Coordinating Lead Authors (CLAs), Lead Authors (LAs) and Review Editors (REs) of IPCC Reports during the AR6 assessment cycle, with a set of recommendations on the issue of confidentiality to facilitate their work for IPCC, to ensure transparency and to avoid situations which could endanger the integrity of the work. It is the IPCC practice that all drafts are confidential and should not be cited, quoted or distributed (refer to Section 4.2 of Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work at This principle, which must be adhered to, is clearly stated when report drafts are sent out for expert and government review and also applies to the review comments and author team responses. However, upon completion of the Report, the drafts provided for formal review, the review comments submitted on those drafts, and the chapter team responses are made publicly available and are retained in an open archive. Lead Author Meetings (LAMs) are important steps towards the preparation and finalization of the assessment documents. They are therefore considered to be closed fora for discussions amongst the LAM invited participants only. As such, these discussions remain confidential and related documents including s and preliminary versions of text or figures are not public; they should not be cited, quoted or distributed. The TSU will provide chapter ing lists and teleconferencing options to facilitate communication. We recommend that for IPCC-related traffic you add to the signature of your a note that declares the content of the mail to be confidential and intended only for the addressee. One example is: This including any attachments is confidential and may be privileged. It is intended solely for the addressee. If you have received it by mistake, please notify the sender by and delete this message from your system. Any unauthorized use or dissemination of this in whole or in part is strictly prohibited. You are encouraged to consult with the legal advisors of your institution as to whether this is compatible with prior and local regulations. IPCC Secretariat c/o WMO 7 bis, Avenue de la Paix C.P: 2300 CH-1211 Geneva 2 Switzerland telephone / 54 / 84 fax / 13 IPCC-Sec@wmo.int

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