1H17 RESULTS PRESENTATION VILLA WORLD LIMITED 15 FEBRUARY 2017

Transcription

1 RESULTS PRESENTATION VILLA WORLD LIMITED 15 FEBRUARY

2 AGENDA INTRODUCTION Craig Treasure, MD & CEO COMPANY OVERVIEW Craig Treasure, MD & CEO RESULTS Paulene Henderson, CFO MARKET CONDITIONS Craig Treasure, MD & CEO OUTLOOK Craig Treasure, MD & CEO ANNEXURES 2

3 COMPANY OVERVIEW Villa World acquires, develops and markets residential land and house and land estates. Villa World is a leading east coast residential developer with development and construction operations across New South Wales, Queensland and Victoria; and is proudly an ASX 300 company. Villa World offers well-located land only product; as well as affordable to mid-priced house and land packages under a no-variations, turnkey model. Today, more than 40,000 Australians call a Villa World address their home. Villa World s turnkey house and land model maintains a solid position across its core customers in the retail market (comprising owner occupiers including first home buyers), as well as predominantly local investors. Villa World s land estates are also sold to contract builders. Villa World has delivered a track record of earnings growth and strong fully franked dividends under an experienced and proven management team. Villa World is committed to achieving its long-term goal of being recognised as a leading Australian property company. Villa World has refined its strategy around three key themes: focus, grow and lead. These themes provide clear direction for Villa World s approach to its development portfolio, sales, operational delivery and capital management. 3

4 COMPANY OVERVIEW Portfolio and Acquisitions Strategy Portfolio diversified by product type, price point and geography (across and within east coast States). Targeting a portfolio of 5-6 years sales: 6,386 lots 1 ; equivalent to 5.4 years sales 2 Seeking to grow the portfolio, through disciplined and targeted acquisitions to: Grow New South Wales predominantly through partnering 218 lots 3 acquired in Replenish Queensland 1,052 lots acquired in Grow Victoria 226 lots acquired in Targeting NSW 20% / QLD 40% / VIC 40% geographical mix as cycles, markets and opportunities allow. 4% / 72% / 24% respectively Utilising capital efficient structures (including joint ventures and capital lite): 71% wholly owned, 29% capital efficient structures 1 Donnybrook englobo sale adjusted down from 510 lots to 2 lots (at 50% share). 2 Based on 16 sales of 1,185 lots. 3 Including 93 lots pursuant to a project management arrangement with Greenfield Development Corporation in Oran Park, SW Sydney. Commercial terms agreed and development application lodged for initial ~90 lots, subject to finalising formal documentation and satisfaction of conditions. INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER

5 COMPANY OVERVIEW Sales and Delivery Strength GUIDANCE SALES PER at least HOMES BUILT LAND DELIVERED INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER

6 RESULTS SUMMARY Compound EPS growth of 14.9% GUIDANCE 37.5 REVENUE $(M) NPAT $(M) EPS (CPS) GUIDANCE DIVIDEND (CPS) GUIDANCE INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER

7 RESULTS Profit & Loss ($m) 1H16 ($m) % Strong sales momentum (average of 112 per month) and excellent delivery resulted in strong revenue growth. Revenue % Underlying Gross Margin % Underlying Gross Margin (%) 25.9% 27.5% -6% Significant Items Gross Margin % Gross Margin (%) 26.1% 27.5% -5% Revenue from Joint Ventures and Associates % Gross margin of $54.7 million (26.1%). Project management fees - ongoing revenue stream. Strong profit, combined with strong carried forward sales, result in an increased full year guidance. Interim dividend of 8 cps. Guidance of full year dividend of 18.5 cps, representing a yield of ~7.7%, fully franked. - Development and project management fee % - Share of profits % EBITDA % Statutory net profit before tax % Tax Expense (8.4) (8.1) Statutory net profit after tax % cps 1H16 cps % EPS % Dividend (cps) 3 fully franked % 1 All aspects of the Silverstone proceedings w ere conlcuded in, w ith $0.5 million released back into profit 2 Basic earnings per share based on w eighted averages shares on issue of 112,728,788 (1H1: 110,344,277) 3 Ex dividend date 8 March 2017; Record date 9 March 2017; Payment date 31 March

8 RESULTS Operational Performance Performance 1H16 Change Sales (lots) % Mean rate of sale pcm - HY % Number of projects contributing to profit % Settlements (# lots) 2 - inc. Joint Ventures % Settlements (# lots) - ex. Joint Ventures % - House and Land (# lots) % - Land Only (# lots) % - Englobo Sale (# lots) 1 1 n/m n/m - House and Land (%) 53% 68% - Land Only (%) 47% 32% Revenue - property sales ($m) % - House and Land ($m) % - Land Only ($m) % - Englobo ($m) n/m n/m Sales strengthened to an average of 112 sales per month. With projects at various points in the life cycle selling during the remainder of 17, the Company expects to better its 16 sales performance of 1,185 sales. $191.6 million sales carried forward 1 into 2H17 (554 lots) (1H16: $107.7 million / 311 lots). Strong sales coupled with efficient delivery, resulted in a growing number of settlements. Revenue mix remains weighted towards house and land 66% (1H16: 76%). QLD was the main contributor to revenue 84% (1H16: 86%). Average revenue per lot reflective of product mix. Price growth of 2-5% (like for like) at select estates. - House and Land (%) 66% 76% - Land Only (incl englobo) (%) 34% 21% Revenue - property sales ($k/lot) % - House and Land % - Land Only (ex englobo) % 1 Sales - executed contracts, not necessarily unconditional. 2 Accounting Settlements require cash settlement in New South Wales. In Queensland and Victoria an unconditional sales contract and for land only, land registration; for house and land, land registration and a certificate of building completion is required. 3 Underlying Gross M argin is exclusive of provision for litigation. 1 Total sales value (including GST) for conditional and unconditional contracts not yet recognised as revenue, inclusive of proportional share of joint ventures. 8

9 RESULTS Balance Sheet Balance Sheet ($m) 16 ($m) Assets Cash Receivables Inventories Investments accounted for using the equity method Other Total Assets Liabilities Trade and other payables Land acquisitions payable Interest bearing liabilities Other Total Liabilities Net Assets Net tangible assets NTA ($ / Share) Net Debt Net Debt : Equity (%) 38.8% 50.8% Gearing % 25.6% Look Through Gearing % 27.2% Interest Cover x 6.06 x Capitalised borrowing costs (% of Inventory) 2.99% 2.63% Gearing target of 15 30%. Interest cover strong. Undrawn facility $65.1 million and strong cash flows. $190m Diversified debt facility with long term, staggered maturity. $140 million ANZ facility $10 million maturing on 16 August 2018 $80 million maturing on 1 March 2019 $50 million maturing on 30 October $50 million Westpac facility maturing on 31 March Ongoing consideration will be given to capital management strategies, including the diversification and maturity of the Company s debt facilities. 1 (Interest bearing liabilities - cash)/(total assets - cash) 2 Gearing when joint ventures are proportionally consolidated. 3 Interest Cover = EBITDA / net cash interest (per Club facility) 9

10 RESULTS Cash Flow 1H16 ($m) 1H16 ($m) Cash flows from operating activities Receipts from customers (inc. GST) Receipts from the transfer of development rights Payments to suppliers and employees (inc. GST) (132.5) (128.6) Cash generated from operating activities Payments for land acquired (66.6) (53.1) Net Interest paid (2.8) (3.4) Borrowing costs (0.0) (0.3) Corporate Tax Paid 1 (5.1) - GST (Paid) / Refund (8.5) (6.3) Net cash inflow / (outflow) from operating activities Strong cash flow from operating activities enabled the Company to: Pursue growth opportunities through the development of existing portfolio Reinvest in the business through value accretive acquisitions Continue the payment of strong dividends Maintain a strong balance sheet. Net cash (outflow) / inflow from investing activities (3.0) (1.9) Cash flows from financing activities Net borrowings (repaid) / drawn (17.8) (45.8) Proceeds from exercise of options Payments for shares acquired by Employee Share Scheme Trust (0.4) - Dividends paid (11.4) (11.0) Net cash (outflow) / inflow from financing activities (25.5) (56.8) Net (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 5.8 (15.2) Cash & cash equivalents at the beginning of the financial year Cash & cash equivalents at the end of half year The Company utilised all carried forw ard tax losses, and began paying cash tax in 2H16. 10

11 MARKET CONDITIONS Residential market drivers expected to remain positive NATIONAL 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 5.6% QLD Key drivers remain in place: 6.0% 1.6% $20,000 First home buyer grants Interest rates NSW Consumer confidence, driven by employment. 5.0% 1.7% $10,000 VIC 5.9% 2.1% $10,000 Source: 1 National Statistics - RBA snapshot (updated 7 December 2016) 2 State Unemployment Rates - Queensland Treasury, Labour Force, December 2016 (based on ABS , released 19 January 2017) 3 State Population Growth - Regional Population Growth, (based on ABS , released 30 March 2016) 4 FHB Grants Queensland Treasury, Office of State Revenue New South Wales, State Revenue Office Victoria INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER

12 MARKET CONDITIONS NEW SOUTH WALES Consistent with diversification strategy, the Company has acquired 4 well-located projects offering 218 lots in SW Sydney and the Illawarra. Intention to grow predominantly through partnering and capital lite. Civil construction has commenced at Allure (NW Sydney), with first house and land settlements expected in 2H18. Housing construction has commenced at Harmony and Concourse (SW Sydney); sales to commence upon completion of construction with first house and land settlements expected in 2H17. QUEENSLAND Strong sales across all active projects in SE-QLD and Hervey Bay in, benefitting from positive economic conditions and jobs growth. Median house price in Sydney is now double that of Brisbane expected to result in increased interstate migration. New flagship projects to be released in 17 (Seascape, Arundel Springs and Killara), with first settlements anticipated in 2H17. Anticipate growth in volumes and prices into 18. Acquisition of 750 lots (50% share) in Greenbank adds to strong pipeline of future projects first settlements expected in 2H18. VICTORIA Positive residential market conditions continue benefitting from very strong population and jobs growth. High level of sales and settlements across land, and house and land product, with strong carried forward sales at Cardinia Views and Sienna. Market conditions anticipated to remain strong going into 18. Consistent with diversification strategy, the Company has acquired 2 well-located projects offering 226 lots in N and NE Melbourne. Intention to grow through targeted acquisitions. 12

13 2017 OUTLOOK 17 GUIDANCE INCREASED Full year guidance increased to $37.5 million (from $35.4 million), representing NPAT growth of 11% (16: $33.7 million). EPS of 33.1 cps (16: 30.6 cps). Guidance based on: Strong carried forward sales of $191.6 million (554 lots), with 86% of contracts (479 lots valued at $161.0 million) expected to settle in 2H17 Strong sales, averaging 112 per month. With projects at various points in the life cycle selling during the remainder of 17, the Company expects to better its 16 sales performance of 1,185 sales Development program on track, with disciplined project execution and delivery. 17 PROFIT MIX Gross margin of 24-26%. Joint ventures to contribute $3.4 million (comprising development fees and share of profit) strong ROI. STRATEGIC RESTOCKING TO BUILD MEDIUM TERM EARNINGS PROFILE Replenish the medium term pipeline, to maintain 5 years sales. Focus on east coast growth corridors. Targeting NSW 20% / QLD 40% / VIC 40% geographical mix as cycles, markets and opportunities allow. Expected cash outflow for acquisitions of $60 85 million in 17 plus $40 million in capital lite. CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Continuing focus on diversification of funding and extension of tenure to support the Company s growth objectives. CONTINUED SHAREHOLDER RETURNS 17 dividend expected to be 18.5 cents per share fully franked. Dividend policy of paying out 50-75% of annual NPAT, paid semi annually. 13

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15 QUESTIONS 15

16 PORTFOLIO MAP Growth Pipeline INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER

17 PORTFOLIO TABLE Growth Pipeline Project Name Region Suburb State Status Calendar Year Acquired Yield Unsettled Lots Contracted Lots Unsold Lots H 2H17 1H 2H18 1H 2H19 1H 2H Starting Price Land Little Creek 1 Regional QLD Kirkwood QLD Construction $190k+ Waterline Bayside BrisbaneThornlands QLD Construction 2013 & $320k+ Affinity Bayside BrisbaneThornlands QLD Complete 2015 & $308k+ Riva N-Brisbane Joyner QLD Complete $262k+ [], Caboolture 1 N-Brisbane Caboolture QLD Planning LO $179k+; H&L $400k+ Killara, Logan Reserve Logan Logan Reserve QLD Construction LO $200k+ Arundel Springs 1 Gold Coast Arundel QLD Construction LO $315k+; TH $460k+ Bella Vista Estate 10 Illawarra NSW Albion Park NSW DA $380k+ Sienna Rise NW-Melbourne Plumpton VIC Planning $245k+ [], Wollert N-Melbourne Wollert VIC Planning $205k+ Cascades on Clyde 1 SE-Melbourne Clyde VIC Construction , LO $220k+; H&L $384k+ Cardinia Views SE-Melbourne Pakenham VIC Construction $185k+ Subtotal - Land 4,485 2, ,422 House and Land Augustus 2,3 Regional QLD Hervey Bay QLD Construction $339k+; LO $142k+ Emerald Park 4 N-Brisbane Burpengary QLD Construction $425k+ Park Vista 2,6 N-Brisbane Mango Hill QLD Complete 2010 & LO remaining $243k+ The Nest 4 N-Brisbane Fitzgibbon QLD Construction $366k+ Meadows N-Brisbane Strathpine QLD Planning $461k+ Haven on Greens, Griffin 2,4 N-Brisbane Griffin QLD Construction $495k+; LO $262k+ Silvan Rise N-Brisbane Dakabin QLD DA $471k+ Era Bayside BrisbaneCapalaba QLD Complete $537k+ Ellabay 2 Bayside BrisbaneRedland Bay QLD Complete $548k+; LO $279k+ Seascape 2 Bayside BrisbaneRedland Bay QLD Construction TH $448k+; LO $263k Chambers Ridge (previously Cottonwood) Logan Park Ridge QLD Planning $429k+ Parkside 7 Gold Coast Coomera QLD Complete 2014 & $484k+ Seabright Gold Coast Jacobs Well QLD Construction $426k+ Essence NE-Melbourne South Morang VIC DA $430k+ Lavinia 4 N-Melbourne Greenvale VIC Construction $483k+ Roxburgh Park Central 4 N-Melbourne Roxburgh Park VIC Construction $407k+ Sienna 2 NW-Melbourne Plumpton VIC Construction $468k+; LO $243k+ Harmony 4 SW-Sydney Cobbitty NSW Construction $676k+ Concourse 4 SW-Sydney Oran Park NSW Construction $689k+ Allure NW-Sydney Box Hill NSW Construction $715k+ Subtotal - House and Land 3,416 2, ,729 Total (wholly owned projects) Contract Build Rochedale Grand S-Brisbane Rochedale QLD Construction $314k Subtotal Total (projects contributing to Revenue) 8,068 4, ,274 Joint Ventures [], Donnybrook (51% share) N-Melbourne Donnybrook VIC Planning TBC Englobo parcel, Donnybrook (51% share) 7 N-Melbourne Donnybrook VIC Planning Contracted Rochedale Grand (50% share) S-Brisbane Rochedale QLD Construction $396k+ [], Greenbank (50%) Logan Greenbank QLD DA TBC The Chase (Development 8 SW-Sydney Oran Park NSW Planning TBC Subtotal 1,579 1, ,558 Total (all categories) 9,647 6, , Completed in Notes: 5 Planning - Residential use allowed. Progressing with any necessary approvals from relevant authorities. Low risk. 1 Predominantely land only. 6 Remaining lots to be sold as land only. 2 Predominantly house and land. 7 Conditional contract to sell ~67.9 ha. Yield decreased from 510 lots to 2 lots (51% share). The JV intends to retain and develop the remaining parcel of land (~206.1 ha). 3 The long term strategy at this project is to continue developing the land, with the balance sold as an englobo parcel when the market demand for the site presents itself. 8 Commercial terms agreed and development application lodged for initial ~90 lots, subject to finalising formal documentation and satisfaction of conditions. 4 Contracted under Put and Call option. Land paid out of settlement proceeds from third party sales. 9 Projects completed in - 90 settlements over 6 projects - Lacosi, Circa, Griffin (englobo), Mt Cotton, The Sanctuary and Emminence. 10 Purchased with 36 pre-sales. 17

18 ACQUISITIONS Continuing to replenish growth portfolio Project Name Location State Region Product # Lots Purchase Price ($m) Harmony (capital lite) Cobbitty NSW SW Sydney H&L 10 $4.0m Concourse (capital lite) Oran Park NSW SW Sydney H&L 28 $8.8m The Chase (development agreement) i Oran Park NSW SW Sydney H&L 93 tba Silvan Rise Dakabin QLD N-Brisbane H&L 108 $7.0m Chambers Ridge (adjoining site) ii Park Ridge QLD Logan H&L 140 $7.3m [], Greenbank (50% share) Greenbank QLD Logan H&L 750 $27.5m Essence, South Morang South Morang VIC NE-Melbourne TH 60 $4.4m [], Wollert Wollert VIC N-Melbourne LO 166 $7.7m Bella Vista Estate Albion Park NSW Illawarra LO 87 $14.3m (inc GST) Emerald Park Burpengary QLD N-Brisbane H&L 54 $8.4m Acquisitions 1496 (i) Announced on 17 August Commercial terms agreed and development application lodged for initial ~90 lots, subject to finalising formal documentation and satisfaction of conditions. (ii) Previously named Cottonw ood 18

19 COMMITMENTS Land Acquisition Spend - by Funding Type ($ million) The adjacent chart shows $97.2 million in anticipated total cash outlay for land through to 31 December 2019 comprising: $26.2 million 1 recorded as land acquisitions payable on the balance sheet at 31 December 2016 $48.5 million in capital lite acquisitions to be settled through third party settlement proceeds not yet shown on the balance sheet as a payable as land is not yet registered $22.5 million in joint venture land commitments HY17 1HY18 2HY18 1HY19 2HY19 1HY20 Funded by working capital & debt - Committed at 31 December 2016 Capital lite funded at cash settlement of lots - Registered Capital lite funded at cash settlement of lots - Committed Joint Venture Land commitments (VW share only) In total, the $97.2 million in anticipated total cash outlay for land through to 31 December 2019 will be funded as follows: $44.8 million from operating cash flow and existing debt facilities $52.4 million funded from third party settlement proceeds ( capital lite model). 1 $3.9 million capital lite purchases which have registered and will be funded through settlement proceeds. $22.3 million to be funded through strong operating cash flows and existing debt facilities. 19

20 SHARE REGISTER Shareholders at 31 December 2016 Unisuper1 6% Westpac2 6% BROAD, SUPPORTIVE SHAREHOLDER BASE 50.1% of shares held by Top 20 investors 25+ institutions on the share register Brazil 6% IFM 5% Other 50% Directors 1% Other Top 20 26% 1 Held through Quest and Discovery Asset Management. Quest ceased to be a substantial holder on 7 February Westpac ceased to be a substantial holder on 25 January