1Q 2014 Greater Atlanta HBA Builder Developer Lender Council meeting Information presented by. Atlanta Job Growth
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1 1Q 2014 Greater Atlanta HBA Builder Developer Lender Council meeting Information presented by Eugene James, Regional Director connect on LinkedIn Atlanta Job Growth METRO ATLANTA ANNUAL RATE OF NON-AG NEW JOB FORMATION TOTAL EMPLOYMENT Dec 63,100 up 2.6% Jan 59,900 up 2.5% Up 1.4% Feb 42,600 up 1.8% Mar 51,500 up 2.2% Atlanta unemployment rate declined to 8.3% in Sept Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 Mar-09 Mar-08 Mar-07 Mar-06 Mar-05 Mar-04 Mar-03 Mar-02 Apr-01 Apr-00 1
2 Unemployment Rate & Consumer Confidence Index Unemployment Rate & Consumer Confidence Index Present Situation Unemployment rate Why it matters 10.0% 9.3% 8.6% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 5.8% 5.1% 4.4% 3.7% 3.0% Source: Conference Board, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics National Economic Overview Metrostudy, a Hanley Wood Company 2014 May 20, Year over Year Closings level Inventory up + 9% Closings volume level for 21 months at about 58,000 Includes single family detached, townhome and condo 58,200 March % TH/Condo Closings 13% TH/Condo Inventory Source: FMLS Only 2
3 Includes single family detached, townhome and condo 3.9 months 6 to 7 months was about normal Inventory and months supply have increased but demand remains ahead of supply 8,000 ATLANTA NEW HOME MARKET MARKET Quarterly Starts and Closings (move-ins) 7,000 6,000 Closings follow classic new home pattern. Closings grow each month into the spring and summer, decline in the second half of the year. Reflects extreme seasonality of real estate and construction. 5,000 4,000 3, % 3,000 2,000 3, % 1,000-1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 Quarterly Starts Quarterly Closings 3
4 Atlanta New Home Closings Price Trends 1Q Median New Home Price is $275,000 The Highest Price Ever Source: Metrosearch Property Analysis Check New Construction only Reports, Transaction Analysis, New, Resale, and Foreclosures By Housing Type Source: Metrosearch Property Analysis Run for new only. ATLANTA TOP COMMUNITIES RANKED BY CLOSINGS 1Q14 Subdivision Na me Ma rke t Are a Price R a nge Annua l Sta rts Annua l Sa le s 1 Lake Lanier/Cresswind Hall $153-$ Deaton Creek/Village Hall $184-$ Seven Hills Paulding $144-$ James Creek Forsyth $169-$ Sun City Peachtree Spalding $131-$ Oakley Township Fulton (South) $117-$ Bridgetowne Forsyth $110-$ TH/Avondale, Townes Gwinnett $142-$ Saddlebrook FO Forsyth $194-$ James Creek/Edgebrook Forsyth $301-$ Trillium Forest Gwinnett $160-$ Newnan Lakes Coweta $140-$ Arthur Hills/Creek Paulding $208-$ Palmetto Farms/Legacy Fulton (South) $125-$ Jamestown Forsyth $200-$
5 5/7/2014 Updated through March 2014 Metrostudy Permit Employment Population (Sorted by Permit (SF) Descending) Rank State Name Permit (SF) Change (SF) Permit (MF) Change (MF) Current Employment Job Growth # Job Growth % E-P Ratio Population (Estimate) 1 TX Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land 35,088 4,810 16, ,847,200 80, % 1.5 6,352,744 TX 2 TX Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX 21,269 2,684 17,945 2,742 3,145,700 92, % 2.4 6,887,537 3 GA Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta GA 15,194 4,642 9,428 3,990 2,427,100 51, % 2.1 5,574,225 4 DC Washington-Arlington-Alexandria 13,703 1,426 11,061 1,349 3,064,700 5, % 0.2 5,978,220 DC-VA-MD-WV 5 AZ Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ 12, ,689 3,111 1,850,700 39, % 2.1 4,430,607 6 NY New York-Northern New Jersey- Long Island NY-NJ-PA 10,365 3,412 32,298 11,461 8,667,000 89, % ,985,109 7 FL Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 9,811 2,117 5, ,092,200 33, % 2.1 2,277,414 8 TX Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, 9,494 1,209 9,800-2, ,900 32, % 1.7 1,912,746 TX 9 NC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 8,996 1,775 5, ,800 20, % 1.4 2,337, WA Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA 8, , ,801,600 43, % 2.4 3,606, NC Raleigh-Cary NC 8,018 1,194 3,440-2, ,300 19, % 1.7 1,219, TN Nashville-Davidson-- 7,505 1,686 4,400 2, ,200 25, % 2.2 1,765,552 Murfreesboro TN 13 IL Chicago-Naperville-Joliet IL-IN- WI 7,453 1,497 6,150 2,549 4,392,500 29, % 2.2 9,557, CO Denver-Aurora CO 7, , ,303,500 33, % 2.2 2,709, MN Minneapolis-St. Paul- Bloomington MN-WI 7,101 1,160 5, ,788,500 24, % 2.0 3,459, FL Tampa-St. Petersburg- 7, ,306-1,019 1,203,800 30, % 2.7 2,886,350 Clearwater FL 17 NV Las Vegas-Paradise NV 6, ,241 1, ,000 30, % 3.4 2,034, OK Oklahoma City OK 6,316 1, ,900 15, % 2.1 1,325, FL Jacksonville FL 6,243 1,109 1,619-1, ,000 19, % 2.4 1,397, PA Philadelphia-Camden- 6, , ,738,100 4, % 0.4 6,049,157 Wilmington PA-NJ-DE-MD 21 CA Riverside-San Bernardino- 6,028 1,224 2,582 1,159 1,247,000 32, % 3.8 4,414,524 Ontario CA 22 TX San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX 6, , ,000 17, % 1.9 2,294, FL Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach FL 5, ,701 6,237 2,417,700 72, % 3.7 5,860, OR Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 5, , ,049,700 27, % 2.8 2,321, MI Detroit-Warren-Livonia MI 5,323 1, ,840,900-4, % ,291, MA Boston-Cambridge-Quincy MA- NH 5, ,945 2, % 0.0 4,694, IN Indianapolis IN 4, ,754 1, ,400 20, % 2.6 1,955, MD Baltimore-Towson MD 4, , ,335,500 13, % 1.8 2,780, MO St. Louis MO-IL 4, , ,315,300 14, % 2.4 2,798, MO Kansas City MO-KS 4, ,798 1,969 1,001,900 7, % 1.0 2,057, VA Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport 3, , ,300-2, % ,722,167 News VA-NC 32 FL North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, 3, , ,800 8, % ,292 FL 33 SC Charleston-North Charleston SC 3, , ,600 3, % , ID Boise City-Nampa ID 3, , ,700 5, % , VA Richmond VA 3, , ,200 11, % 2.4 1,247, OH Columbus OH 3, , ,400 11, % 1.4 1,971, CA San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont 3, , ,125,200 47, % 4.6 4,527,850 CA 38 UT Salt Lake City UT 3, ,607 1, ,700 10, % 1.8 1,143, CA Sacramento--Arden-Arcade-- 3, ,700 16, % 4.1 2,227,651
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