Indonesia Country Report 2017

Transcription

1 Indonesia Country Report 2017 SYAFIQ HADI 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Resorts World Sentosa Singapore May 2017

2 Contents Economic Review Steel Performance & Apparent Steel Consumption Steel Consuming Sectors Review of 2016 Performance Outlook for SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 2

3 % Economic Review: Macroeconomic Indonesia GDP Indicator Unit GDP %, yoy Export %, yoy (1.2) (2.0) (1.7) F Import %, yoy (2.4) (5.8) (2.3) Trade Mil. USD (1,669) (4,077) (2,199) 7,671 8,783 Balance Exchange IDR/USD 9,718 10,445 11,876 13,392 13,305 Rate Source: Bank of Indonesia, Indonesia Statistic Bureau 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 3

4 Economic Review: Inflation & Bank of Indonesia Rates % 9.0 Inflation vs Bank of Indonesia Rates Inflation BI Rate Source: Bank of Indonesia, Indonesia Statistic Bureau 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 4

5 Economic Review: Growth by Sectors Business Sector Unit Agriculture, forestry, fishery %, yoy Mining & quarrying %, yoy Manufacturing industry %, yoy Electricity & gas procurement %, yoy Water procurement, waste management, recycling %, yoy Construction %, yoy Wholesale & retail, cars and motorcycles repairment %, yoy Transport & warehousing %, yoy Accomodation & food provision %, yoy Information & communication %, yoy Financial services & insurance %, yoy Real estate %, yoy Company services %, yoy Government administration, defense, mandatory social security %, yoy Education services %, yoy Health & social activity services %, yoy Other services %, yoy GDP %, yoy Source: 6.03 Indonesia 5.56 Statistic 5.01Bureau Source: Bank of Indonesia, Indonesia Statistic Bureau 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 5

6 % Steel Performance: Crude Steel (1/2) 100% Crude Steel Utilization 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 38% 45% 54% 57% 47% 10% 0% 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 6

7 Million Tons Million Tons Steel Performance: Crude Steel (2/2) Slabs Consumption Production Import Export Consumption Increase Billets Consumption Production Import Export Consumption Decrease 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 7

8 Million Tons Apparent Steel Consumption Apparent Steel Consumption Production Import Export Apparent Steel Consumption SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 8

9 Million Tons Million Tons Steel Performance: HRC/P HR Coils Consumption Production Import Export Consumption Increase HR Plates Consumption Production Import Export Consumption Increase 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 9

10 Million Tons Steel Performance: CRC/S 3.00 CRC/S Consumption Production Import Export Consumption SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 10

11 Million Tons Million Tons Steel Performance: Sections & Bars 1.20 Sections Consumption Decrease 2.50 Bars Consumption Decrease Production Import Export Consumption Production Import Export Consumption SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 11

12 Million Tons Steel Performance: Wire Rods 1.60 Wire Rods Consumption Production Import Export Consumption SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 12

13 Steel Consuming Sectors: HRC/P 100% HRC/P Consuming Sectors 90% 80% 34% 37% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 7% 6% 27% 28% 1% 1% 13% 10% 2% 1% 16% 18% General Structures & Others Shipbuildings Rerollings Oil & Gas Pipes Comm. Pipes & Tubes Boiler & PV Automotive 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 13

14 Steel Consuming Sectors: CRC/S 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% CRC/S Consuming Sectors 12% 10% 7% 8% 5% 5% 2% 2% 43% 46% 1% 1% 1% 1% 31% 25% Coil Centers & Others TMBP Pipes & Tubes HomeOfficeElectrical App. GI Sheets + Zincalumes Enamels Drums Automotive 0% SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 14

15 Review of 2016 Performance Generally, Indonesia economic performance showed an improvement in the last consecutive 3 years, that was marked by well maintained of inflation. The apparent steel consumption increased significantly (10%) higher than the year 2015 meanwhile crude steel production was decrease last year due to the increasing of billet import. Major industrial sectors in the year 2016 were dominated by construction, automotive, shipbuilding and GI Sheet SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 15

16 Outlook for 2017 Indonesia economic growth in 2017 as Bank Indonesia forcasted is 5.4%. that will be supported mainly by the infrastructure projects. Crude steel production rate is forecasted higher than previous years due to operation again of some iron and steel making plants. Government infrastructure projects will be the main driver sector to improve the steel consumption. Global oversupply production especially in China is still a major challege to Indonesian steel industry. Krakatau Steel Nippon Steel Sumikin and Krakatau Osaka Steel will be in fully production. Krakatau Steel Hot Strip Mill no. 2 will be commissioned in SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 16

17 THANK YOU 2017 SEAISI Conference & Exhibition Indonesia Country Report 17