M A S T E R O F C E R E M O N Y. ALFREDO BABUN ACHILA/Air Canada

Transcription

1 BIENVENIDOS WELCOME

2 M A S T E R O F C E R E M O N Y ALFREDO BABUN ACHILA/Air Canada

3 W E L C O M E B Y I A T A PETER CERDÁ REGIONAL VICE PRESIDENT, THE AMERICAS IATA

4 V I D E O

5 T H E M A G I C O F A V I A T I O N ALEXANDRE DE JUNIAC DIRECTOR GENERAL & CEO IATA

6 W E L C O M E T O C H I L E GLORIA HUTT MINISTRA MINISTERIO DE TRANSPORTES & COMUNICACIONES CHILE

7 T H E G O V E R N M E N T P E R S P E C T I V E O N A V I A T I O N GLORIA HUTT MINISTER OF TRANSPORT, CHILE GUILLERMO DIETRICH MINISTER OF TRANSPORT, ARGENTINA VIVIANA ENCINA CNN

8 P R E G U N T A S P A R A L O S P A N E L I S T A S? SLIDO.COM #IATAWOC G R O W I N G D E M A N D F O R G L O B A L C O N N E C T I V I T Y HOLGER PAULMANN SKY AIRLINE FERNANDO POITEVIN LATAM MICHAEL KERKLOH MUNICH AIRPORT EZEQUIEL BARRENECHEA AEROPUERTOS ANDINOS DEL PERU ALVARO GONZALEZ OPAIN CARLOS OZORES ICF

9 E C O N O M I C S T A T E O F T H E A I R L I N E I N D U S T R Y JAMES WILTSHIRE HEAD OF POLICY ANALYSIS, IATA

10 % of revenue Beneficios altos y estables a escala mundial 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% Airline industry operating margin Source: IATA Economics using data from The Airline Analyst and airline releases Unadjusted margin Margin adjusted to remove seasonality

11 % change over previous year % change over previous year Ciclo prolongado por macroeconomía favorable Worldwide RPK growth and GDP growth Worldwide RPK growth World GDP growth Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, IMF World Economic Outlook, IATA forecasts

12 Ciclo actual ya lleva 8 años Worldwide RPK cycles, indexed to low point WE ARE HERE IN Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, IATA Statistics, IATA forecasts

13 US cents per tonne kilometer Tarifas subiendo, pero estables en términos reales Yields including ancillaries & cargo revenues, nominal and inflation-adjusted 90 Yield Inflation-adjusted yield Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, PaxIS+, Datastream, IATA forecasts

14 Subida de costos el principal desafío US$ per barrel % change over previous year Jet fuel price and growth in unit costs Unit cost growth Jet fuel price Source: IATA Economics using data from The Airline Analyst, Platts, IATA forecasts

15 % ATKs Factor de carga por encima del umbral de rentabilidad Breakeven and achieved weight load factors Load factor achieved Breakeven load factor Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, IATA Statistics, IATA forecasts

16 EBIT margin, % revenue Capital productivity, revenue/invested capital, US$ Compañías sudando activos y mejorando márgenes Components of return on capital 10 EBIT margin Capital productivity Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, McKinsey, The Airline Analyst, IATA forecasts

17 Otro año de beneficios sólidos en 2018 % revenues US$ billion Global commercial airline profitability EBIT margin Net post-tax profits Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, IATA estimates and forecasts

18 % revenues Diferencias entre regiones, pero cierta convergencia 16% EBIT margin by airline region of registration 14% % 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% N America Asia Pacific Europe L America Middle East Africa Source: IATA Economics using data from ICAO, The Airline Analyst, IATA forecasts

19 Pero amplia variación en beneficio por pasajero US$ Profit per passenger (US$) (e) 2018(f) Nth America Latin America Europe Asia Pacific Africa Middle East Industry Source: IATA 26

20 Mejorar la competitividad es clave Source: World Economic Forum 27

21 Reducir costos y mejorar infraestructura Source: World Economic Forum 28

22 Modelo de concesiones en América Latina es mejorable Source: ACI, FAA, IATA, ICAO 29

23 Number of unique city-pairs US$/RTK in 2014US$ Consumidores son los grandes ganadores Unique city-pairs and real transport costs Unique city pairs Real cost of air transport Source: IATA Economics using data from SRS Analyser, ICAO, HIS. IATA forecasts

24 Million Average months before next trip Libertad comercial es mejor política pro-consumidor Passenger numbers and months before next trip for world population 4,500 Airline passengers 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2, ,500 1,000 Number of months before average member of world population takes a flight Source: IATA Economics using data from IATA Statistics, UN, IATA forecasts

25 Resumen Industria en buen estado a nivel global, pero amplias variaciones regionales Amenazas incluyen: Macro populismo, proteccionismo y guerras comerciales; Costos falta de eficiencia en cadena de valor, impuestos; Regulación leyes que socavan modelo de negocios, impiden la innovación. América Latina ya tiene diversas desafíos para ganar en competitividad: Tasas e impuestos altos; Falta de capacidad en principales aeropuertos; Regulación contra-producente de protección al consumidor

26 Airline Industry Economics Advisory Workshop

27 P R E G U N T A S P A R A L O S P A N E L I S T A S? SLIDO.COM #IATAWOC M A N A G I N G D I S R U P T I O N I N T H E R E G I O N ENRIQUE CUETO LATAM AIRLINES GROUP PEDRO HEILBRON COPA AIRLINES GERMÁN EFROMOVICH AVIANCA HOLDINGS MARIO DELL ACQUA AEROLÍNEAS ARGENTINAS MARTIN EURNEKIAN CORPORACIÓN AMÉRICA SEBASTIÁN AGUIRRE CNN

28 P R E G U N T A S P A R A L O S P A N E L I S T A S? SLIDO.COM #IATAWOC B I G D A T A & I N N O V A T I V E T E C H N O L O G Y TOM MAES LUFTHANSA GROUP ALEX DE GUNTEN HEICO DANIEL CARBAJAL INTERNET WORLD TRADE GROUP ALEX COVARRUBIAS SITA