Melbourne Public Transport Needs vs Promises

Transcription

1 Melbourne Public Transport Needs vs Promises Institution of Transportation Engineers Thursday 21st August :30 6:00 pm Jacobs Theatrette 452 Flinders St Melbourne Professor Graham Currie Institute of Transport Studies Monash University

2 This paper examines Melbourne public transport needs, progress & promises Needs Progress? Promises 2

3 Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Needs 3. Progress? 4. Promises 3

4 Buses ARE Melbourne s public transport for most residents, which is a problem. Over two thirds of Melbourne can only be serviced by bus 2.16M Melbournians lived In areas where buses were bus was the only means of access to public transport. 0.98M lived within access distance of rail services Port Phillip Bay kilometres Western Port

5 because there arent many Over two thirds of Melbourne can only be serviced by bus 2.16M Melbournians lived In areas where buses were bus was the only means of access to public transport. 0.98M lived within access distance of rail services Port Phillip Bay Weekday Service Frequency (2006) Peak Off Peak AV. MELBOURNE 40m 50m kilometres Weekday Service Span Weekday Western Port AV. MELBOURNE 06:46-18:53

6 The bus network on weekdays.. Weekday Bus Services Source: Currie (2003) Source: Currie (2003)

7 contrasts somewhat with weekends Sunday Bus Services Source: Currie (2003)

8 In general our bus service level is poor compared to world practice Source: Pan D (2013) Key Transport Statistics of World Cities Journeys Sept

9 Melbourne has BIG PT inequity as a result many high need/no service areas Service Supplied (Green) Highest Social Need Areas (Red) Source: Delbosc A and Currie, G. (2011) Using Lorenz Curves to Assess Public Transport Equity JOURNAL OF TRANSPORT GEOGRAPHY Volume 19, Issue 6, November 2011, Pages Source: Currie, G. (2010) Quantifying spatial gaps in public transport supply based on social needs, JOURNAL OF TRANSPORT GEOGRAPHY 18 (2010)

10 Tram services are struggling in growing traffic congestion Source: VCEC (2006) Inquiry into Managing Transport Congestion 10

11 Melbourne is the worlds biggest streetcar system 180 Tram Track Km in Mixed Traffic Melbourne Toronto German Cities French Cities UK Cities USA Cities Source: Currie G and Shalaby A (2007) Success and Challenges in Modernising Streetcar Systems Experience in Melbourne and Toronto Transportation Research Record No 2006 Transportation Research Board Washington DC ISSN pp

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13 City/ System Mixed Traffic service impedes performance Average Operating Speeds World Tram/Light Rail Systems Skagen, 40 Guadalajara, Toulouse, 31 Washington, Laon, Stuttgart, Melbourne Tram Reliability Hong Kong, Strasbourg, New York, M annheim, Los Angeles, Rotterdam, Tunis, % of services are considered to be NOT running on time Hong Kong, M ainz, Heidelberg M unich, Riga, Berlin, Oslo, Paris, Budapest, On time defined as arriving more than 1 min early of more than 6 mins late 17 Zwickau, Constanta, Amsterdam, Creil, Vienna, Zagreb, Genève M ELBOURNE Torino, Melbourne (15/16 kph) Source: Track Record 14 Toronto, Tallinn, Würzburg, M ilano, Lisbon, Source: UITP Databank Average Speed (KPH)

14 Our railway uses old infrastructure with poor resilience/reliability Average Speed (Kph) Breakdowns in Service (000 kms) Melbourne 33 Melbourne 15 Sydney 50 Singapore 45 Best Practice 100 Hong Kong Perth Singapore Hong Kong Never Recorded Av. Speed (Kph) Av. Speed (Kph)

15 ...yet expanding rail, thus making it more complex, has been our approach to mass transit expansion

16 Unplanned disruptions are common; e.g. reported signal faults; 1,900 p.a. (5+/day) Reported Signaling Disruptions 1,900 signal failures p.a. (12 months to August 2013) 5.2 per day Biggest Locations: Flinders Street Station 89 North Melbourne 71 Newport 51 Metro Trains "We are installing advanced computer technology which improves control of the signalling system, but our field equipment is outdated and requires replacing," Source: Adam Carey, The Age, Signal failures are causing chronic rail delays 23/10/

17 Melbourne rail demand growth has been impressive by any standard; but overcrowding has grown with it History of Rail Patronage - Melbourne Rail Demand M trips p.a Source: Department of Transport/ Public Transport Victoria Annual Reports Year

18 Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Needs 3. Progress? 4. Promises 18

19 Since 2001 PT service increased 46% (62% bus/ 30% rail) Change in Service Supplied - Melbourne Change In Service Provided (Vkms p.a.) Rail Tram Bus Total 62% 46% 30% Bus Total Rail % Tram e Source: Department of Transport/ Public Transport Victoria Annual Reports Year 19

20 BUT something happened in 2010; we went from GO to STOP in improved service Change in Service Supplied - Melbourne Change In Service Provided Rail Tram Bus Total 62% 46% 30% Bus Total Rail % Tram e Source: Department of Transport/ Public Transport Victoria Annual Reports Year 20

21 while Melbournes population has been booming Metropolitan Population Population Growth (M) (+22%) Year Year 21

22 per head of population, service has grown then declined Relative Service Level Per Head Service Supplied Service Levels (Vkms supplied) Per Capita e Source: Department of Transport/ Public Transport Victoria Annual Reports Year 22

23 Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Needs 3. Progress? 4. Promises 23

24 How do PAST commitments match needs? Liberal Election Commitments New PT Authority DELIVERED $900M rail asset renewal/maintenance program DELIVERED? UNCLEAR New Rail Station at Southland NOT DELIVERED 40 New Trains on Suburban Network PROBABLY DELIVERED PSO s - DELIVERED Expand Rail Capacity Take Trams out of Traffic Expand Bus Network 24

25 How do FUTURE commitments match needs? Liberal Budget Commitments Melbourne Rail Link (Metro and Airport Rail Link) [2026] Cranbourne-Pakenham Rail Corridor Project [2019] (Level Crossing Removals) [Lab/Lib] Regional Rail Link [2014-5] Free Tram Zone; Zone1-2 Fare reduction [2015] Plan Melbourne Lots of nice words but no commitments Labor (Plan 10000) Melbourne Metro [?] 50 level crossing removals More station car parking Expand Rail Capacity Take Trams out of Traffic Expand Bus Network 25

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