Pomerania Tri-City Real Estate Market

Transcription

1 Pomerania Tri-City Real Estate Market

2 Tri-City (Gdansk, Gdynia, Sopot) Tri-City Agglomeration: M 1,2 people; Core Tri-City Area: 414 km; TRI-CITY WARSAW Transportation: Fast Urban Railway, trams, buses.

3 Gdynia Gdansk Lech Walesa Airport Port of Gdynia and Port of Gdansk A1 Motorway, S6 and S7 Expressway Railway Sopot Baltic Sea Gdańsk

4 Developed road & railway network Slupsk S6 GDANSK S22 A1 Olsztyn S7 Szczecin 5 Torun Bialystok A1 A2 Poznan S7 Borders of voivodships Main roads A2 A2 WARSAW Roads under construction --- Railway network Gdansk Warsaw 3h 35m* Gdansk Krakow 6h 25m* * A1 Motorway Gdansk Warsaw 2 h 45m* Gdansk Krakow 5h 13 m* * Pendolino train

5 Direct Flight Connections to All Major European Airports Lech Walesa International Airport serves connections with the most important European cities; Among all Polish airports, Gdansk offers the greatest number of air connections with the Scandinavian countries.

6 Number of passengers 4,6 million passengers in 2017; Most popular airlanes in 2017: Warsaw, London, Oslo, Stockholm, Copenhagen, Frankfurt, Munich, Dortmund, Cracow, Turku. 2,9 mln 3,3 mln 3,7 mln 4,0 mln 4,6 mln

7 Sea Ports in Gdansk and Gdynia All kinds of cargo; Direct calls from China; Biggest vessels in the world call at Gdansk; Biggest container hub in the Baltic Sea; 112 cruise ships in Source: Own materials Source: Own materials Source: DCT Gdańsk

8 Mix of architecture

9

10 Growing economy

11 Growing economy GDP Growth: 4,5% (2016); Business Services- 41 centres, people; IT 67 centres, software developers; Logistics growing hub for CEE; Shipbuilding 2 bilion Euro sales annualy; Tourism.

12 Office market

13 Office stock by completion year (m2) 15% 10% 24% 51% 0-5 years 6-10 years years over 16 years Source: Colliers International 2018, The largest office markets in Poland, Market Insights 2018

14 Completions Tri-City Source: JLL, PORF, Q4 2017

15 TriCity is at the third place among regional markets in Poland regarding total stock 5% 22% The total stock in TriCity amounts to almost m2 73% Gdańsk Gdynia Sopot Source: Colliers International 2018, The largest office markets in Poland, Market Insights 2018

16 New supply (m2) f Source: Colliers International 2018, The largest office markets in Poland, Market Insights 2018 *f forecast

17 Gross take-up Tri-City Source: JLL, PORF, Q4 2017

18 Demand main sectors IT & TELECOMS 15% FINANCE INSURANCE 21% PROFESSIONALS SERVICES 16% RETAIL 14% Source: Colliers International 2018, The largest office markets in Poland, Market Insights 2018

19 Demand by deal size (m2) 35% 16% 49% < Source: Colliers International 2018, The largest office markets in Poland, Market Insights 2018

20 Rent City Rent/EUR/m2/month Warszawa Kraków 13,2-15,5 Wrocław 13-15,5 TriCity 12-15,5 Katowice 12,2-14,5 Poznań 13,5-17 Łódź 12-13,5 Lublin Szczecin Source: Colliers International 2018, The largest office markets in Poland, Market Insights 2018

21 Industrial market

22 Stock evolution Source: JLL, Q4 2017

23 Demand (net take-up and renewals) Source: JLL, Q4 2017

24 Main business sectors in % 5% 4% 24% 60% 3PL Retail Production FMCG E-commerce Source: Colliers International 2018, Warehouse real estate market, Market Insights 2018

25 Leasing agreements structure in % 39% 59% Effective rental rates for modern industrial space in Tricity were in the range of EUR/m2/month. new deals renegotiations expansions Source: Colliers International 2018, Warehouse real estate market, Market Insights 2018

26 Residential market

27 New flats with building permits Source: JLL/ Central Statistical Office of Poland (GUS) According to GUS nomenclature, flat refers both to units in multifamily houses as well as units in single family houses

28 Flats, the construction of which has started Source: JLL/ Central Statistical Office of Poland (GUS) According to GUS nomenclature, flat refers both to units in multifamily houses as well as units in single family houses

29 New flats with permission to use Source: JLL/ Central Statistical Office of Poland (GUS) According to GUS nomenclature, flat refers both to units in multifamily houses as well as units in single family houses

30 Sales Source: JLL/ rednet Property Group/ REAS Numbers refer to units in multifamily houses solely

31 Prices on the primary market Source: JLL/ National Bank of Poland (NBP)

32 Prices on the secondary market Source: JLL/ National Bank of Poland (NBP)

33 Retail market

34 Retail market distribution at present Retail format GLA (m2) Share of the sector No. of schemes Shopping centres 560,000 66% 24 Retail parks 157,300 18% 5 Retail warehousing 134,000 14% 16 Outlet centres 16,700 2% 1 Total 868, % 46 Source: JLL, April 2018

35 The age of shopping centres 7% 33% 30% 30% 0-5 years 6-10 years years over 15 years Source: Colliers International, Shopping centers in agglomerations, Q2 2017

36 Development of retail space within shopping centre format Source: JLL

37 Growing tourism

38 Growing tourism Growing number of tourists in Pomerania reaching 9 mln visitors Source: PROT

39 Growing tourism 7% 6% 10% 37% 16% 19% of the tourists are of foreign origin 24% Other Germany Norwegians Swedes British Russians Source: Statistical Office in Gdańsk, May 2017

40 Hotel market

41 Hotels Hotels in Pomerania by categories in * hotels 4* hotels 3* hotels Source: Own elaboration based on Local Data Bank [

42 Hotels Bed places in touristic accomodation in Pomerania number of bed places Source: Own elaboration based on Local Data Bank [

43 Hotels The utilization rate of accommodation in all tourist establishments [%] Poland Pomerania Source: Own elaboration based on Local Data Bank [

44 Hotels The utilization rate of accommodation in hotels in Pomerania [%] * hotels 4* hotels 3* hotels Source: Own elaboration based on Local Data Bank [

45 Contact us: Mikołaj Trunin Deputy Director T: T: E: Anna Rajzer Project Manager - Logistics T: T: E: anna.rajzer@investinpomerania.pl Monika Cirocka PR&Marketing Specialist T: T: E: monika.cirocka@investinpomerania.pl Anna Huryn PR&Marketing Specialist T: T: E: anna.huryn@investinpomerania.pl