Noise Oversight Committee

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1 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Audio recordings are made of this meeting

2 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 1 Review and Approve Draft Meeting Minutes Minutes from January 21 Noise Oversight Committee Meeting Minutes from March 18 Noise Oversight Committee Meeting

3 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 2 Review of Operations Report Summary March 2015 April 2015

4 Technical Advisor s Report Summary MSP Complaints March April ,976 9, ,939 7,855 20,000 Complaints Households , Complaints 10,000 5, Households 0 0 J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M

5 Technical Advisor s Report Summary Total MSP Aircraft Operations March April ,119 32, ,227 33, Aircraft Operations 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 33,048 31,371 29,772 29,033 36,227 35,119 33,827 34,377 32,686 35,659 37,306 36,689 33,085 34,595 31,256 32,613 5,000 0

6 Technical Advisor s Report Summary Air Carrier Jet Operations March April ,661 30, ,051 31,518 Air Carrier Jet Fleet Composition March April Regional Jet Modified Stage 3 Other Regional Jet Modified Stage 3 Other % <0.0% 53.2% 45.8% <0.0% 54.2% % <0.0% 49.2% 50.8% <0.0% 49.2%

7 1,000, , , , , , , , , ,000 0 Source: Metropolitan Airports Commission s Finance Department Monthly Passenger and Operations Reports 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Operations 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 0 MSP Passenger Data Regional Air Carrier Operations and Passengers Passengers Operations ,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Passengers Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Operations Major Air Carrier Operations and Passengers Passengers Operations Passengers

8 Technical Advisor s Report Summary All Nighttime Operations Nighttime Aircraft Operations (10:30pm 6:00 am) March April ,967 1, ,725 1,527 Nighttime Runway Use Percentages All Nighttime Use Percentages Runway March 2015 April 2015 All Nighttime Use Percentages Runway March 2015 April 2015 Arrivals 4 0% 0% 12L 10.6% 14.8% 12R 31.7% 30.7% 17 0% 0% 22 0% 0% 30L 42.5% 34.5% 30R 15.2% 19.4% 35 0% 0.6% Departures 4 0% 0% 12L 16.4% 13.9% 12R 33.6% 30.8% % 11.1% 22 0% 0% 30L 24% 27.4% 30R 12.6% 16.8% 35 0% 0%

9 Technical Advisor s Report Summary Operations Scheduled Actual March 2015 Nighttime Scheduled Vs Actual Carrier Jet Operations 10:30 pm 6:00 am AAL DAL FDX FFT NKS SCX SWA UAL UPS AWE ASA Other Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual A D A D A D A D A D A D A D A D 22:30 23:00 00:00 01:00 02:00 03:00 04:00 05:00 Airline Code Airline Name Scheduled Modified Stage 3 Actual Modified Stage 3 Scheduled Manufactured Stage 3 Actual Manufactured Stage 3 Scheduled Total Actual Total AAL American ASA Alaska AWE US Airways DAL Delta FDX Fedex FFT Frontier Airlines NKS Spirit SCX Sun Country SWA Southwest UAL United UPS UPS Other Other Total

10 Technical Advisor s Report Summary Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Scheduled Actual Operations April 2015 Nighttime Scheduled Vs Actual Carrier Jet Operations 10:30 pm 6:00 am AAL DAL FDX FFT NKS SCX SWA UAL UPS AWE ASA Other A D A D A D A D A D A D A D A D 22:30 23:00 00:00 01:00 02:00 03:00 04:00 05:00 Airline Code Airline Name Scheduled Modified Stage 3 Actual Modified Stage 3 Scheduled Manufactured Stage 3 Actual Manufactured Stage 3 Scheduled Total Actual Total AAL American ASA Alaska AWE US Airways DAL Delta FDX Fedex FFT Frontier Airlines NKS Spirit SCX Sun Country SWA Southwest UAL United UPS UPS Other Other Total

11 Runway 17 Departure Analysis Summary March April Runway 17 Carrier Jet Departures Compliance with Runway 17 Carrier Jet Departure Procedure 4,128 3, % 99.7%

12 Eagan-Mendota Heights Departure Corridor Analysis Summary March April Runways 12L and 12R Carrier Jet Departures Carrier Jets Remaining in Corridor 2,808 3, % 87.1%

13 Crossing-in-the-Corridor Analysis Summary Carrier Jet Departures Crossing in the Corridor Nighttime (23:00 06:00) Carrier Jet Departures Crossing in the Corridor Daytime (06:00 23:00) March 72 (61%) 831 (31%) April 49 (34%) 1,181 (31%)

14 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 3 Presentation: The Metropolitan Airports Commission: An Overview Jeff Hamiel, MAC Executive Director/CEO

15 The Metropolitan Airports Commission and MSP International Airport Jeff Hamiel, CEO Metropolitan Airports Commission Noise Oversight Committee

MAC: A Different Approach to Government We provide and promote safe, convenient, environmentally sound, cost competitive aviation services for our customers.

16 MAC: A Different Approach to Government We provide and promote safe, convenient, environmentally sound, cost competitive aviation services for our customers. Public corporation created by Minnesota Legislature Owns and operates airports within 35 miles of downtown St. Paul and Minneapolis MSP International Airport Six general aviation airports User-fee based funding Limited property taxing authority unused since 1960s Noise Oversight Committee

17 Board Makeup Gov. appoints chairman and 12 commissioners (8 metro, 4 outstate) Minneapolis and St. Paul mayors each appoint one Noise Oversight Committee

18 Although nearly 20,000 jobs are directly tied to MSP Airport operations, only 600 people are employed by the Metropolitan Airports Commission. Noise Oversight Committee

19 Noise Oversight Committee The MAC Airport System

20 Conservative Financial Approach Conservative forecasting: nowhere to turn except reserves or short-term financing Financial model predicated only on originating and destination passengers Maintain six-month reserve AA- bond rating Airline cost per enplanement among the lowest in the nation Noise Oversight Committee

21 Cost Per Enplaned Passenger Airport Forecast 2014 ($) Washington Dulles John F. Kenney New York Newark Miami Los Angeles LaGuardia New York San Francisco Boston Chicago O Hare Denver Philadelphia Washington Reagan Las Vegas Seattle Dallas Fort Worth San Diego Houston Bush Intercontinental Detroit Portland 9.98 Baltimore 9.50 Minneapolis St. Paul 6.68 Orlando 5.88 Phoenix 5.87 Atlanta 5.61 Tampa 5.58 Fort Lauderdale Hollywood 5.55 Salt Lake City 4.09 Charlotte Douglas 0.94 Airline costs per boarding passenger are significantly less at MSP than at most large hub airports Average Noise Oversight Committee

22 2015 MAC Finances Operating revenues: Operating expenses: Gross debt service: $303 million $164 million $128 million Outstanding debt: $1.5 billion Noise Oversight Committee

23 Minneapolis-St. Paul International 17 th busiest airport in North America (passengers) 11 th busiest in operations Delta Air Lines 2 nd largest hub Noise Oversight Committee

24 What people are saying about our airport Most Efficiently Managed Airport - North America Air Transport Research Society, 2013 Best Food & Beverage Program in North America Airports Council International-North America, 2013 Best Overall Airport Concessions Program Airport Revenue News, 2014 Airport with the Most New Routes anna.aero, airline network news & analysis, 2014 Third Best Airport in North America Travel & Leisure Magazine, 2014

25 Air Service Success Measures Major, stable Delta hub Additions since 2008: Alaska Air, 2008 Southwest Airlines, 2009 Great Lakes, 2011 Spirit, 2012 Air France, 2013 Condor, 2014 Competitive incentives program Noise Oversight Committee

26 MSP Passengers 38,000,000 37,000,000 36,000,000 35,000,000 34,000,000 33,000,000 32,000,000 31,000,000 30,000,000 29,000, Noise Oversight Committee

MSP Aircraft Operations 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0

27 MSP Aircraft Operations 600, , , , , , Noise Oversight Committee

28 Noise Oversight Committee Industry Consolidation

29 A Return to Airline Profitability Shareholder equity vs. market share Big 4 (American, Delta, Southwest, United) expected to earn $10 billion+ in 2014, and $15 billion or more in 2015 Profits driven by: Disciplined capacity control Newer, right-sized aircraft High travel demand Low fuel costs Ancillary revenues Noise Oversight Committee

30 Near-Term MSP Challenges Lack of queueing space at Terminal 1 Inefficient security checkpoint layout Insufficient Terminal 1 parking facilities Expiring retail leases Capacity constraints at Terminal 2 Noise Oversight Committee

restaurant locations Three-gate expansion of Terminal 2 New Quick Ride Ramp

31 2015 Improvement Highlights Consolidation of security checkpoints 1 thru 4 into single new checkpoint Rebid of most retail and more than a dozen restaurant locations Three-gate expansion of Terminal 2 New Quick Ride Ramp Explore development of airport hotel Aircraft viewing area Noise Oversight Committee

32 Noise Oversight Committee MSP Economic Impacts

33 MSP Employment Impacts MSP=76,340 Jobs Noise Oversight Committee

34 Visitor Spending Impacts MSP=$1.9 Billion in Visitor Spending Noise Oversight Committee

35 More Information Follow us on Facebook and Twitter: Download our app: FlySmart TM Noise Oversight Committee

36 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 4 Presentation: MSP 2035 Long Term Comprehensive Plan (LTCP) Update Neil Ralston, MAC Airport Planner

37 2035 Long Term Comprehensive Plan 20 May 2015 Noise Oversight Committee (NOC) Briefing

Development Alternatives Environmental Considerations

38 Recap of LTCP Purpose Planning Progress Aviation Activity Forecast Facility Requirements Analysis Development Alternatives Environmental Considerations Stakeholder Outreach Timeline Briefing Agenda MSP 2014 Aerial Photo 2

39 Purpose Update view of future facility needs Serve as the road map to guide our development strategy and shape our 7 Year Capital Improvement Program Assesses when facility improvements are needed LTCP Purpose 3

40 AVIATION ACTIVITY FORECAST 4

41 Forecast Elements Passenger activities Originations & enplanements Aircraft operations/fleet mix Design Day flight schedules Other activities Air Cargo Tonnage Air Cargo, Air Taxi, General Aviation & Military aircraft operations Unconstrained Milestone years 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035 Forecast Basis 5

42 2035 LTCP Passenger Forecast ( ) Revenue Passenger Enplanements (millions) PEAK PEAK Originations ~9m in 2014 ~15m by % AAG Enplanements ~17m in 2014 ~27m by % AAG Surpass historical peak before 2020 Source: HNTB Forecast AAG = Average Annual Growth Rate 6

43 2035 LTCP Aircraft Operations Forecast ( ) Aircraft Operations (Thousands) PEAK 511k operations in k in % AAG peak not exceeded in forecast period Source: HNTB Forecast AAG = Average Annual Growth Rate 7

Design Day Aircraft Departures 800 700 600 500 400 300

2018 2023 2028 2033 Year WB (DGV+) WB (DGIV) 757 class

(<51 seats) Turboprop Daily Aircraft Departures by

operations Significant growth in narrowbody (NB)

44 Design Day Aircraft Departures LTCP Aircraft Fleet Mix Forecast Year WB (DGV+) WB (DGIV) 757 class NB(>=150 seats) NB (<150 seats) RJ (>=51 seats) RJ (<51 seats) Turboprop Daily Aircraft Departures by Type Continual reduction in small regional jet (RJ) operations Significant growth in narrowbody (NB) aircraft operations Some growth in widebody (WB) Source: HNTB Forecast 8

45 2035 LTCP Forecast Wrap Up Enplanements/Departure % Historical Forecast Enplanements per Departure 79 in in by 2035 Key Takeaways Airlines will move more passengers with fewer but larger aircraft Airfield will be adequate through planning horizon Year 9

46 FACILITY REQUIREMENTS 10

47 LTCP Facility Requirements Analysis Facility Requirements Assessing capability of existing facilities to meet projected demand Two Scenarios (Book Ends) Full Airlines Remain Full Airlines Relocate 11

48 Existing Supply 106 T1 14 T2 120 Total Gates Aircraft Gate Assessment Includes reconfiguration of regional gates to accommodate larger aircraft Includes new gates at Terminal Scenario Existing gate supply largely adequate 12

49 Aircraft Gate Requirements 2035 Full Airlines Remain Terminal 1 12 new narrowbody gates Terminal 2 5 new narrowbody gates Full Airlines Relocate Terminal 1 No new gates Terminal 2 19 narrowbody gates 13

baggage claim Full Airlines Relocate Terminal 1 Processors largely adequate through 2035; excess capacity Terminal 2 Processors

50 Terminal Requirements Summary Full Airlines Remain Processors at both terminals largely adequate through early 2020s Facility shortfalls post 2020: Terminal 1 inbound baggage claim & outbound baggage cart staging Terminal 2 ticketing positions & inbound baggage claim Full Airlines Relocate Terminal 1 Processors largely adequate through 2035; excess capacity Terminal 2 Processors require significant expansion T1 Terminal Gap Analysis Airlines Remain Source: Ricondo & Associates Facility Shortfall Facility Adequacy 14

Landside Requirements Summary Full Airlines Remain Terminal 1 Parking

departures and arrivals curbs Terminal 2 Curb shortfall mid 2020s Full

shortfall Terminal 2 Parking shortfall: 8,500 spaces by 2035 Curb shortfall T1

51 Landside Requirements Summary Full Airlines Remain Terminal 1 Parking shortfall: 5,000 spaces by 2020; 12,000 spaces by 2035 Shortfalls on both departures and arrivals curbs Terminal 2 Curb shortfall mid 2020s Full Airlines Relocate Terminal 1 Parking shortfall mid 2020s Arrival curb shortfall Terminal 2 Parking shortfall: 8,500 spaces by 2035 Curb shortfall T1 Landside Gap Analysis Airlines Remain Source: Ricondo & Associates Facility Shortfall Facility Adequacy 15

52 DEVELOPMENT ALTERNATIVES 16

Development Alternatives Determining the practical capacity of the Terminal 1 Complex Balancing airside, terminal, and landside capacity Maintaining level of

53 Development Alternatives Determining the practical capacity of the Terminal 1 Complex Balancing airside, terminal, and landside capacity Maintaining level of service standards Considering alternatives in terms of: Constraints Capabilities Capital costs Performance An incremental approach to the full Airlines Relocate scenario 17

54 WORK IN PROGRESS Airlines Relocate Scenario Incremental 2035 Phase T1 Gate Concept 1 Concept Elements Parking Expansion Outbound Roadway Realignment Hotel Development Infield De Icing Pad Delta Maintenance Facility 18

55 WORK IN PROGRESS Airlines Relocate Scenario Incremental 2035 Phase T1 Gate Concept 2 Concept Elements Parking Expansion with Infield Exit Plaza Outbound Roadway Realignment Hotel Development Infill De Icing Pad Delta Maintenance Building 19

56 WORK IN PROGRESS Airlines Relocate Scenario Incremental 2035 Phase T1 Arrivals Curb Concept 1 Concept Elements Create outer public arrivals curb Relocate commercial vehicles Reconfigure/expand Ground Transportation Center 20

57 WORK IN PROGRESS Airlines Relocate Scenario Incremental 2035 Phase T2 Gate Concept Concept Elements 12 new gates Terminal building infills Curb extension 21

58 Environmental Considerations Noise Contours 2014 Actual Condition (Baseline) 2035 Recommended Development Condition Air Quality Water Quality Climate Adaptation Recycling/Reuse/Waste Reduction Land Use Compatibility 22

59 STAKEHOLDER OUTREACH STRATEGY 23

60 LTCP Stakeholder Outreach Strategy Phase 1: Prior to Completion of Draft LTCP Municipal Planning Departments Plan Commissions/City Councils if helpful Other External Stakeholders (FAA, MnDOT, Met Council, NOC) Internal Tenant Groups Pre Draft Public Information Meeting Targeting end of July Phase 1 Stakeholder Outreach Meetings Agency/Group Date Completed Noise Oversight Committee (NOC) 1:30pm Terminal 2 Users Group 11:00am FAA 1:30pm City of St. Paul Planning Staff 1:00pm City of Bloomington Planning Staff 9:00am Airside Operations Staff 7:00am Engineers Society of St. Paul 12:00pm City of Edina Planning Staff 3:00pm City of Eagan Planning Staff 10:30am Customer Service Action Council (CSAC) 10:00am City of Richfield Planning Staff 9:00am City of Mendota Heights Planning Staff 2:00pm Metropolitan Council Planning Staff 3:30pm City of Apple Valley Planning Staff 9:00am Scheduled Noise Oversight Committee (NOC) 1:30pm City of Burnsville Planning Staff 1:30pm Terminal 1 AMC 2:00pm Mendota Heights Airport Relations Commission 7:00pm St. Paul Planning Commission 8:30am City of St. Louis Park Council Study Session 6:30pm Minneapolis Intergovernmental Relations Committee 1:30pm 24

LTCP Stakeholder Outreach Strategy Phase 2: Formal Draft LTCP Public Review Written comment period (45 days) Targeting mid August through early

61 LTCP Stakeholder Outreach Strategy Phase 2: Formal Draft LTCP Public Review Written comment period (45 days) Targeting mid August through early October Two (2) Public Information Meetings Targeting mid September Phase 3: LTCP Final Draft/Adoption Additional stakeholder outreach as needed 25

62 LTCP Timeline Forecasts Facility Requirements Development Alternatives Recommended Development Program Environmental Considerations Draft LTCP Report Stakeholder Outreach JAN FEB MAY Public Review Stakeholder Outreach Incorporate Feedback into Final Plan Adopt Final Plan JANUARY JULY AUGUST SEPTEMBER OCTOBER DECEMBER 26

63 Questions & Open Dialogue 27

64 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 5 Complaint Density Mapping The 2015 NOC Work Plan includes a topic on Complaint Density Mapping. Aircraft noise complaint data are summarized, mapped and published monthly in the Technical Advisor s Report (pages 1 and 2).

65 Complaint Density Mapping (continued) It is difficult to see complaint locations and land use features on the current map of complaint locations in the Technical Advisor s Report.

66 Complaint Density Mapping (continued) A new complaint density map, using a grid, shows the density of residences submitting noise complaints. The colors on the map show the number of households ( Complainants ) submitting complaints and corresponds to the legend. The percentage of total monthly complaint is labeled for each square. The areas with no coloring or labels do not have any complaints. Note: The FAA has sole authority for determining where aircraft fly according to standard air traffic control procedures. Noise complaints are not considered when making these decisions.

67 Complaint Density Mapping (continued) Requested Action NOC COMMITTEE MEMBERS APPROVE THE NEW COMPLAINT DENSITY GRAPHIC TO REPLACE THE EXISTING COMPLAINT MAP ON PAGE 2 OF THE MONTHLY TECHNICAL ADVISOR S REPORT, BEGINNING IN THE MAY 2015 REPORT.

68 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 6 Runway Use System Report The 2015 NOC Work Plan includes the development of a Runway Use System (RUS) Report. The proposed RUS Report begins with a description of the RUS and describes the factors that contribute to runway use determinations at MSP.

69 Runway Use System Report (continued) Airport runway configuration options are described and displayed: North Flow (N) Most efficient use of airspace South Flow (S) Straight North Flow (N*) Straight South Flow (S*)

70 Runway Use System Report (continued) Airport runway configuration options are described and displayed: Opposite Direction (O) Mixed Flow A (MA) Mixed Flow B (MB)

71 Runway Use System Report (continued) Percent of all monthly arrivals Percent of all monthly departures A summary table of the monthly runway use is provided for the following time periods: All hours MSP nighttime (10:30 p.m. 6:00 a.m.) Morning transition period (6:00 a.m. 7:30 a.m.) Evening transition period (9:00 p.m. 10:30 p.m.)

72 Runway Use System Report (continued) Additionally, a summary of the count and percent use of RUS high priority runways give a high level view of the preferred runway use.

73 Runway Use System Report (continued) Dynamic factors make it difficult to produce a cumulative monthly report, because they change so frequently. The report appendix shows an hourly breakout of airport operations (takeoffs and landings), airport runway configuration changes, surface winds and winds aloft information for each day of the month. Runway configuration and wind directions are labeled only where changes occur. Operations per hour Surface winds by hour Winds Aloft by hour

74 Runway Use System Report (continued) Requested Action NOC COMMITTEE MEMBERS APPROVE THE FORMAT OF THE MONTHLY MSP RUNWAY USE REPORT, REQUEST STAFF TO PRODUCE A MONTHLY REPORT, AND PUBLISH THE REPORT ON THE WEBSITE.

75 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 7 Review of the April 28, 2015 Public Input Meeting On April 28, 2015 at 7:00 pm MAC Noise Program Office staff conducted the second quarter 2015 public input meeting at the Richfield Municipal Building, 6700 Portland Avenue South. Three people attended the meeting, two individuals made comments at the meeting. The comments and associated responses can be foundonthemacnoiseprogram swebsite, atwww.macnoise.com. Specifically, comments/questions focused on: Departure overflights west of the airport Remote Monitoring Tower locations Purpose and goals of the NOC The next quarterly public input meeting is planned for July 28, 2015, 7:00 p.m., at the MAC General Offices.

76 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 8 FAA to Re Evaluate Method for Measuring Effects of Aircraft Noise The FAA announced it will start surveying people living near airports in the next 2 3 months to get a sense of how they feel about aircraft noise. It will be the most comprehensive study using a single noise survey ever undertaken in the United States. (FAA) Communities around 20 US airports will be surveyed via mail and telephone. The FAA will not disclose which airports will be chosen. They hope to finish gathering data by the end of 2016 and will then analyze the results to determine whether to update its methods for determining exposure to noise (current threshold set at 65 db Day Night Average Sound Level). If changes are warranted, the FAA will propose revised policy and related guidance and regulations, subject to interagency coordination, as well as public review and comment. The MAC noise program office will be publishing a news article on the website to share this information with the public.

77 Noise Oversight Committee May 20, 2015 Item 9 Public Comment Period The next NOC Meeting is scheduled for July 22, 2015 at 1:30 p.m. at the MAC General Offices at th Avenue South, Minneapolis.

Noise Oversight Committee

Noise Oversight Committee July 22, 2015 Audio recordings are made of this meeting 1 Noise Oversight Committee July 22, 2015 Item 1 Review and Approve Draft Meeting Minutes Minutes from May 20, 2015 Noise