SAMPLE SAMPLE. Metro Housing Starts Forecast Chartbook October

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1 2.5 Metro Housing Starts Forecast Chartbook October

2 Table of Contents (Metro Housing Starts Forecasts and Economic Indicators) State Metro Area Page AL Birmingham-Hoover AL 4 AR-MO Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers AR-MO 6 AR Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway AR 8 AZ Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ 10 AZ Tucson AZ 12 CA Bakersfield CA 14 CA Fresno CA 16 CA Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim CA 18 CA Modesto CA 20 CA Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura CA 22 CA Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario CA 24 CA Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade CA 26 CA San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward CA 28 CA San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara CA 30 CA San Diego-Carlsbad CA 32 CA Stockton-Lodi CA 34 CO Colorado Springs CO 36 CO Denver-Aurora-Lakewood CO 38 CO Fort Collins CO 40 CO Greeley CO 42 CT Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford CT 44 FL Cape Coral-Fort Myers FL 46 FL Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach FL 48 FL Jacksonville FL 50 FL Lakeland-Winter Haven FL 52 FL Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach FL 54 FL Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island FL 56 FL North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton FL 58 FL Ocala FL 60 FL Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford FL 62 FL Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville FL 64 FL Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent FL 66 FL Port St. Lucie FL 68 FL Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL 70 GA Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell GA 72 IA Des Moines-West Des Moines IA 74 ID Boise City ID 76 IL-IN-WI Chicago-Naperville-Elgin IL-IN-WI 78 IN Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson IN 80 KY-IN Louisville/Jefferson County KY-IN 82 KY Lexington-Fayette KY 84 LA Baton Rouge LA 86 LA New Orleans-Metairie LA 88 MA-NH Boston-Cambridge-Newton MA-NH 90 MA Worcester MA-CT 92 MD Baltimore-Columbia-Towson MD 94 ME Portland-South Portland ME NAHB/HousingEconomics. All rights reserved.

3 MI Detroit-Warren-Dearborn MI 98 MI Grand Rapids-Wyoming MI 100 MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington MN-WI 102 MO-KS Kansas City MO-KS 104 MO Springfield MO 106 MO-IL St. Louis MO-IL 108 MS Jackson MS 110 NC Asheville NC 112 NC-SC Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC-SC 114 NC Durham-Chapel Hill NC 116 NC Greensboro-High Point NC 118 NC Raleigh NC 120 NC Wilmington NC 122 NC Winston-Salem NC 124 NE-IA Omaha-Council Bluffs NE-IA 126 NY-NJ-PA New York-Newark-Jersey City NY-NJ-PA 128 NM Albuquerque NM 130 NV Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise NV 132 NV Reno NV 134 OH Cleveland-Elyria OH 136 OH Columbus OH 138 OH Dayton OH 140 OH-KY-IN Cincinnati OH-KY-IN 142 OK Oklahoma City OK 144 OK Tulsa OK 146 OR-WA Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro OR-WA 148 PA-NJ Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton PA-NJ 150 PA Pittsburgh PA 152 PA-NJ-DE-MD Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington PA-NJ-DE-MD 154 RI-MA Providence-Warwick RI-MA 156 SC Charleston-North Charleston SC 158 SC Columbia SC 160 SC Greenville-Anderson-Mauldin SC 162 SC Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach SC-NC 164 TN Knoxville TN 166 TN-MS-AR Memphis TN-MS-AR 168 TN Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin TN 170 TX Austin-Round Rock TX 172 TX Brownsville-Harlingen TX 174 TX Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX 176 TX El Paso TX 178 TX Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land TX 180 TX McAllen-Edinburg-Mission TX 182 TX San Antonio-New Braunfels TX 184 UT Ogden-Clearfield UT 186 UT Provo-Orem UT 188 UT Salt Lake City UT 190 VA Richmond VA 192 VA-NC Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC 194 VA-DC-MD-WV Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV 196 WA Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA 198 WI Madison WI 200 WI Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis WI NAHB/HousingEconomics. All rights reserved.

4 Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC Housing History and Forecast Total Housing Starts (Ths.) Change 23.1 % % Single-Family Housing Starts (Ths.) Change 12.7 % -7.5 % Share 60.8 % 71.8 % Multifamily Housing Starts (Ths.) Change 43.7 % % Share 39.2 % 28.2 % Starts per Thousand Population Key Indicators Real Metro GDP (Bil. 2009$) $83.1 $82.5 $85.6 nd Share of Employment Nonfarm Employment (Ths.) Manufacturing Change 1.3 % 0.2 % 0.9 % 0.8 % % Unemployment rate 6.1 % 5.6 % 4.9 % 4.4 % % Population (Ths.) 1,707 1,718 1,725 1, % Change 0.5 % 0.7 % 0.4 % 0.4 % Federal Govt. Real Personal Income (Bil $) $71.2 $72.7 nd nd % Median Price Existing SF Homes (Ths.) $191.4 $194.6 $202.2 $ % Freddie Mac House Price Index Change % *Note: Historical data appearing in column for 2016 are figures from the most recent quarter of 2016 available Single-Family Housing Starts Per Thousand Population Multifamily Housing Starts Per Thousand Population NAHB/HousingEconomics October 2016

5 Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA-NC 25.0% Price Appreciation % 1 5.0% -5.0% % 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% % -% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% Employment Growth Population Growth 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% % 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% -0.2% -0.4% Price Appreciation, Employment Growth, and Population Growth are calculated based on annual averages. Starts per thousand population. Source: Bureau of Census, Moody's Economy.com, National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). Employment mix is calculated as the industry share of total non-agricultural employment. Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Census, Federal Housing Finance Agency, National Association of Realtors, Moody's Economy.com October NAHB/HousingEconomics

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