Predsjednica Republike Hrvatske

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1 Predsjednica Republike Hrvatske Predstavljanje prijedloga mjera populacijske politike Republike Hrvatske Zagreb, 11. lipnja 2018.

2 Ciljevi predstavljanja prijedloga populacijske politike Potaknuti javnu raspravu Učvrstiti svijest o nužnosti trenutnog djelovanja Preokrenuti demografske trendove

3 Svrha predstavljanja prijedloga Poticaj Vladi RH u razradi cjelovitog paketa mjera demografske revitalizacije Postizanje što šireg društvenog konsenzusa Aktiviranje svih nacionalnih resursa

4 Trenutno demografsko stanje Hrvatska je u izvanrednom demografskom stanju Broj stanovnika Republike Hrvatske već je manji od 4 milijuna, uz vrlo krajnje nepovoljne projekcije za sljedećih 30+ godina Parcijalne demografske mjere nisu dovoljne, traže se trenutne, odlučne, sustavne i koordinirane mjere

5 Projekcija demografskih kretanja Uz sadašnji trend do 2051.: Hrvatska će izgubiti više od stanovnika Doći će do ubrzanog demografskog starenja smanjenje radno sposobnog stanovništva s 2,9 milijuna (2011.) na 1,8 milijuna (2051.) Doći će do izumiranja velikog broja seoskih naselja Projekcija do

6 godine Republika Hrvatska imala je stanovnika. = stanovnika

7 UN World Population Prospects, The 2017 Revision Projekcija broja stanovnika do : the populations of another 2016.godine 51 countries >> or 4 areas of the stanovnika world are expected to decrease between 2021.godine 2017 and >> Several 700 stanovnika countries are expected to see their populations 2031.godine decline >> by 3 more than stanovnika 15 per cent by 2050, including Bulgaria, Croatia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, 2041.godine >> stanovnika Republic of Moldova, Romania, Serbia, Ukraine and the United 2051.godine >> stanovnika States Virgin Islands. Prema projekciji, od do godine, Republika Hrvatska izgubit će oko stanovnika. = stanovnika

8 Uzroci nepovoljnog demografskog trenda Nizak natalitet do kraja približno više umrlih nego rođenih Masovno iseljavanje stvarni broj 2,6 puta veći od službene statistike oko od do 2017., a procjenjuje se da je samo u iselilo oko

9 Uzroci iseljavanja 1. Opća društvena klima 2. Stanje gospodarstva Radni, materijalni i socijalni status 3. Problem blokiranih 4. Subjektivni razlozi 5. Obrazovni sustav koji ne prati potrebe modernog gospodarstva 6. Stanje javne uprave

10 Prijedlog mjera populacijske politike - glavna područja 1. Gospodarske mjere 2. Mjere obiteljske politike 3. Mjere za rješavanje problema blokiranih građana 4. Mjere useljavanja

11 Gospodarske mjere Smanjenje troška rada povećanje neto plaća Daljnja reforma fiskalne politike, poreznog sustava i sustava neporeznih opterećenja poslovanja Reforma javne uprave i njena puna digitalizacija Usredotočenost na izvozno orijentirano gospodarstvo Aktivno privlačenje izravnih, inozemnih ulaganja Usklađivanje obrazovnog sustava s potrebama modernog gospodarstva Regulatorna giljotina Ljudski kapital

12 Mjere za rješavanje problema blokiranih Ovršni postupak vratiti u nadležnost sudova isključiti posrednike koji generiraju troškove Uvođenje instituta apsolutne zastare Izmjena Zakona o stečaju potrošača Ograničiti zatezne kamate ne mogu nadmašiti glavnicu Preispitati zakonitost, regulirati rad tvrtki za naplatu potraživanja

13 Mjere obiteljske politike Mjere obiteljske politike možemo svrstati u tri segmenta: 1. Financijske naknade i olakšice, stalne i jednokratne 2. Usluge skrbi o djeci 3. Vrijeme predviđeno za obiteljske dopuste, slobodne dane i slično

14 Mjere obiteljske politike s pronatalitetnim učinkom Delimitirati rodiljne i roditeljske naknade za drugih 6 mjeseci Naknada za drugo i svako sljedeće dijete 20% prosječne plaće Vrtić za svako dijete Produženi boravak i besplatni prijevoz za školsku djecu Dostupnost zdravstvene zaštite Obitelji prijateljska poduzeća, dodatne mjere (obiteljske kartice, olakšice itd.)

15 Mjere useljavanja Useljavanje/povratak iseljeništva Osnaživanje Središnjeg državnog ureda za Hrvate izvan Republike Hrvatske Izmjene Zakona o hrvatskom državljanstvu Kontinuirano povećanje upisnih kvota na sveučilišta i širenje prakse izvan okvira Sveučilišta u Zagrebu Programi razmjene srednjoškolskih učenika, on-line učenja hrvatskog jezika, work&travel radne dozvole Aktivna promocija kroz izabrana DKP-ove Useljavanje izvan populacije hrvatskog iseljeništva: Ciljano useljavanje u skladu s potrebama tržišta rada

16 Instrumenti provedbe predloženih mjera Ministarstvo / potpredsjednik Vlade / Ured Vlade za demografsku revitalizaciju EU fondovi programiranje financijske perspektive uz uključivanje lokalne i regionalne samouprave Kampanja pozitivnog ozračja

17 Koliko košta budućnost?

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