THE FUTURE OF AVIATION: THE FUTURE IS NOW!

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2 THE FUTURE OF AVIATION: THE FUTURE IS NOW!

3 The Future is Now Eric Laliberté Director General, Space Utilization Canadian Space Agency

4 The Future is Now Safety and Flight Ops Conference IATA Eric Laliberté Director General Space Utilization

5 The Age of Mega Constellations Telesat OneWeb SpaceX Titre ici / Title here Date ici / Date here 6

6 Space and Airspace Credit: NASA Credit: NASA Titre ici / Title here Date ici / Date here 7

7 Space Weather Research Titre ici / Title here Date ici / Date here 8

8 Space Weather Forecasting Titre ici / Title here Date ici / Date here 9

9 Space Technologies Artificial Intelligence High Throughput Telecommunication Optical Communication Titre ici / Title here Date ici / Date here 10

10 The Future is Now! Time to change perspective! Titre ici / Title here Date ici / Date here 11

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13 The Passenger Experience Steve Lee CIO Changi Airport

14 NEXXT ä Nina Brooks, Director, Passenger and Facilitation, IATA ä Hasse Joergensen, Manager, Passenger, IATA

15 A vision for the future of air travel and technologies

16 Traffic Growth

17 100 biggest airports: many will need to expand Runway and passenger terminal capacity assessment for airports with more than 20 million passengers per year

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19 Emerging Concepts

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23 The journey

24 nextt.iata.org aci.aero/nextt

25 Artificial Intelligence Mark Roboff Vice President, Aerospace & Automotive SparkCognition

26 TM Unleashing AI in Aviation Mark Roboff Vice President Aerospace & Automotive SparkCognition, Inc All rights reserved.

27 Software is Eating the World and A.I. is Eating Software

28 The history of modern AI

29 Why AI 3.0 Is Justifiably a Big Deal Data Sensor Proliferation Physical Actuation Compute Cloud CPUs/ASICs Smarts at the Edge Algorithms Deep Learning Reinforcement Learning Automated Model Building Capabilities Improve at a Tremendous Pace

30 Three Applications Maintenance Advisor Leveraging natural language question and answer against aircraft service manuals to provide the right instructions to finish the right job. The Personal Assistant + Augmented Reality That were advised as little as one year ago would be a long way off Merging the AI driven personal assistant with an augmented reality to provide over the shoulder support in completing maintenance or operational tasks. The Cognitive Cockpit Embedding AI in the avionics stack to help pilots maneuverer safely and regain control in the event of a crisis. I Will Now Demo

31 Prescriptive Assistance for Humans

32 Cognitive Prognostics -- AI +AR

33 Safety Through Autonomy

34 About SparkCognition: Our CEO and Leadership Team u Leader in Artificial Intelligence research, technology and development, multiple business-award winning Founder & CEO Amir Husain u Serial Entrepreneur & Inventor with 24 awarded and over 40 patents pending, many of which have been acquired by Google and Citrix u On the Board of Advisors for IBM Watson u One of five members of UT Austin Dept. of CS 50 year Alumni Showcase Generals, Professors, Government Advisors & Business Leaders Member, Board of Directors General John R. Allen USMC, (Ret.) Chief Science Officer Professor Bruce Porter Chairman UTCS GM Defense Chief Operating Officer Wendy R. Anderson Randy Printz Deputy Chief of Staff, US SECDEF Fmr CEO ClearCube & COO Adaptec EVP Strategy David Asher Financial Services & USG VP Engineering Randy Groves Fmr CTO Dell Computer

35 SparkCognition s Focus: The Intersection of AI, Analytics, and Industrial KEY AREAS WHERE AI IS IMPACTING INDUSTRY Bring Predictability to Operations Accurately assess risk across the enterprise Predict disruptive events and recover gracefully Improve safety of workers for lasting behavioral changes Enhance cyber security resilience and response Derive accurate forecasting and planning of market, demand and supply Optimize Capacity and Maximize Output Maximize asset utilization by improving reliability and quality control Increase yield of existing assets Shorten product development time Address Workforce Issues Capture subject matter expert knowledge to address aging workforce and skills shortage Deliver knowledge in-context through effective interfaces

36 Analytics and Optimization have been critical to the turnaround Capacity Optimization Revenue Management Pricing Prediction Customer Segmenting We Know, It s No Accident that Most Planes are Full Today

37 Our Charter Application in Aerospace AI+Analytics for Maintenance Optimization Prediction Diagnostic Optimization Advisory Sensor / system data to provide early warning system Build Models automatically Secure end-points from cyber attacks Identifying relevant correlations between sensor activity and system failures/warnings Explainable AI Optimize performance, corrective actions and maintenance Link probable repair to diagnostics procedures Determine next best actions for allocation of equipment, resources and location Technician assist through repair and diagnostics Connect maintenance technician with engineering assist UI/UX Integrate insights into handsfree visual device Interact with machines and remote support technicians Collect data in the field using scanners Security

38 Thank You SparkCognition, Inc All rights reserved.

39 Commercialization of Space Dorothy Reimold Deputy Associate Administrator, Commercial Space Transportation FAA

40 Commercialization of Space IATA OPS Conference April 19, 2018 Di Reimold Deputy Associate Administrator (A)

41 U.S. Commercial Space Licensing Requirements An entity must obtain a license: To launch a launch vehicle from the United States; To operate a launch site within the United States; To reenter a reentry vehicle in the United States; or To operate a reentry site within the United States. A U.S. citizen or an entity organized under the laws of the United States must obtain a license: To launch a launch vehicle outside the United States; To operate a launch site outside of the United States; To reenter a reentry vehicle outside of the United States; or To operate a reentry site outside of the United States. FAA does not license launches or reentries the Government carries out for the Government NASA and the Department of Defense typically carry out their own launches. The US Government has an option to choose commercial launch services Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

42 FAA License Process Overview Application acceptance License/Permit determination Pre-application Consultation Evaluation Launch/Reentry Ops Environmental Review Monitoring Policy Review Payload Review Financial Responsibility Public Safety Review Safety Inspection FAA has 180 days to respond to a complete enough application for a license, 120 days for a permit National Airspace System (NAS) Integration Federal Aviation 76 Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

43 U.S. Spaceports Commercial/Government/Private Active and Proposed Launch Sites * Poker Flat Research Range Sea Launch Platform Equatorial Pacific Ocean Pacific Spaceport Complex Alaska Key FAA-Licensed Non-Federal Launch Site U.S. Federal Launch Site * Owned by University of Alaska Geophysical Institute * Sole Site Operator California Spaceport Mojave Air and Space Port Edwards AFB Vandenberg AFB White Sands Missile Range Blue Origin Launch Site Spaceport America * Oklahoma Spaceport Midland Spaceport * McGregor Houston Spaceport SpaceX * Launch Site (under construction) Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport Cecil Field Spaceport Wallops Flight Facility -Kennedy Space Center -Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Spaceport Florida Reagan Test Site Kwajalein Atoll, Marshall Islands Other spaceports have been proposed for: Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, and Hawaii. Updated February 2016 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

44 Expanding Commercial Capabilities Virgin Galactic Sierra Nevada Corp Boeing Rocket Lab USA Blue Origin OrbitalATK SpaceX Bigelow Aerospace Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

45 SpaceX SpaceX has revitalized U.S. market share in global commercial launch services Falcon Heavy vehicle debut in February 2018 Autonomous Flight Termination System on U.S. Launch February 2017 NASA Commercial Crew Test Flight Scheduled for latter part of 2018 Proposed mission around Moon in 2018 BFR Concept Announcement (Big Falcon Rocket) Falcon 9 liftoff April 8, 2016 (CRS-8 to ISS) Cape Canaveral First stage barge landing April 8, 2016 Refurbishing a first stage from Falcon 9 [photo from Jan 2016] Falcon 9 launch of SES 10 satellite, March 30, 2017 [32 nd launch of F9] Dragon capsule after reentry, CRS-10 mission (launched Feb 19) March 19, 2017 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

46 Virgin Group Virgin Galactic s SpaceShipTwo suborbital vehicle for space flight participants Around 700 tickets sold as of early Ticket price raised to $300,000 in Virgin Orbit s Launcher One orbital vehicle for small satellites Price goal of less than $10 million per launch, up to 500 kg payload to Low Earth Orbit SpaceShipTwo (VSS Unity), unpowered glide test May 1, Carries 6 space flight participants Air-launched at 50,000 feet (15km) to altitude of 100km from White Knight II aircraft. LauncherOne (concept art). Two-stage, LOX-kerosene rocket, air-launched from a at 35,000 feet (9km). Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

47 Orbital ATK Variety of suborbital and orbital vehicles Pegasus XL has done over 40 launches since ,000 pounds (450 kg) payload to low Earth orbit Launches from the U.S., Marshall Islands, and Spain Space Launch Vehicles of Orbital ATK Vehicles for orbital space launch Pegasus XL launch profile Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

48 FAA Priority: Airspace Integration Current Approach: Accommodation Generally, the FAA protects aircraft against potential hazards posed by launch and reentry vehicles using preemptive airspace closures (i.e., segregated airspace) Relatively large, static volumes of airspace (i.e., aircraft hazard areas) are closed in advance of a launch, reentry, or amateur rocket operation to protect air traffic from hazards of vehicle failures, including falling debris Future Approach: Integration Launch and reentry vehicles and aircraft will share airspace Air traffic management will focus on preventing collisions between vehicles and aircraft (i.e. separation) rather than collisions between aircraft and falling debris (i.e. segregation) Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

49 Goal: Reduce, Respond, Release Apply flexible planning tools and advanced analysis techniques to safely reduce the amount of airspace that must be closed to other users in advance of a launch or reentry operation Automate safety calculations and data transfer to allow ATC to effectively respond to contingencies and maintain safety during operations Automate data ingest and transfer to allow ATC to quickly release airspace to normal operations once it is no longer affected Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

50 Space Data Integrator (SDI) Project Purpose: Demonstrate the benefits of automating the manual processes currently used by the FAA Joint Space Operations Group during commercial launch and reentry operations Approach: Develop a prototype launch and reentry space vehicle data integrator capability that provides time accurate data for: Automated situational awareness Monitoring of space launch/reentry vehicle transitions through the NAS Notice and response to off-nominal scenarios Status: Define requirements for near term operational capabilities that will integrate commercial launch and reentry vehicle data into current FAA systems Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

51 SDI Status Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

52 Potential Regulatory Path Public Safety Moratorium Expires, Industry Standards Developed Occupant Safety Public Safety Routine Commercial Space Travel Mission Assurance Occupant Safety Public Safety Certificates Production Airworthiness Air Carrier Pilot Instruction Mechanic Dispatch Parts Current FAA Licensing Future Licensing of Human Spaceflight FAA Certification Time Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

53 Space Learning Group (SLG) Background and Milestones International Civil Aviation Organization SLG assessment of midterm and long-term issues *ICAO and UNOOSA establish series of aerospace symposia, and collaborate on SLG *1st Symposium - educational forum *2015 SLG establishes Terms of Reference Group name changes to: Suborbital Commercial Spaceflight Learning Group (SCSLG) *3rd Symposium - UN Report on Commercial Space Transportation Global Air Navigation Industry Symposium * State letter - Survey on Suborbital Commercial Space Transportation and Airspace Integration Space Learning Group SLG organized United Nations International Civil Office of Outer Aviation Organization Space Affairs *2016 *2nd Symposium - ICAO President identifies pressing issues that need to be addressed in the near term Deliver High-level Operational Vision Document by Q1 or Q2 13 th Air Navigation Confer Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

54 FAA Commercial Space International Goals The 2013 National Space Transportation Policy directs the Secretary of Transportation and other appropriate agencies to: Advocate internationally for the adoption of United States Government safety regulations, standards, and licensing measures to enhance global interoperability and safety of international commercial space transportation activities. The FAA is promoting its commercial space transportation regulations and practices for adoption by other countries to: 1) Assist U.S. industry activity outside the United States; 2) Provide U.S. international leadership; 3) Establish international relationships; and 4) Prepare for future interoperability between countries Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

55 AST s International Cooperation Bilateral discussions with about 18 countries Countries have different tactical reasons to seek bilateral cooperation Desire for globally harmonized regulations Developing new spaceports to attract U.S. and international vehicles Accommodating new domestic launch vehicles Privatization of existing vehicles At least 8-10 countries are actively considering or developing new regulatory frameworks for commercial space transportation safety Countries are thinking about point to point travel Economic Benefits Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

56 Existing and Proposed Global Spaceports Pacific Spaceport Complex Alaska (US) Front Range Mojave Spaceport Air and Space Port (US) Vandenberg AFB; California Spaceport (US) Spaceport America; White Sands Missile Range (US) Midland Spaceport (US) Poker Flat (US) Brownsville (US) Oklahoma Spaceport (US) Houston Spaceport (US) Wallops Flight Facility; Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport (US) Cecil Spaceport (US) Kennedy Space Center; Cape Canaveral AFS; Spaceport Florida (US) Roosevelt Roads (Puerto Rico) Spaceport Curacao (Curacao) Guiana Space Center (Fr. Guiana) Alcantara Shiloh Spaceport (US) Andoya (Norway) UK (Multiple) Ital y Kiruna (Sweden) Palmachim AFB (Israel) Plesetsk (Russia) Dombarovsky (Russia) Semnan (Iran) Baikonur (Russia) Jiuquan (China) Vostochny (Russia) Taiyua n Xichang (China) (China) Abu Dhabi (UAE) Satish Dhawan Space Center (India) Singapore Spaceport (Singapore) Sohae (North Korea) Tanegashima (Japan) Uchinoura (Japan) Naro (South Korea) Wenchang (China) Woomera (Australia) Musudan-ri (North Korea) Pacific Missile Range Facility (US) Kona Spaceport Reagan Test Site, Kwajalein Atoll (US) Key Existing Orbital Spaceport Proposed Orbital Spaceport Proposed Suborbital Spaceport Existing Suborbital Spaceport New Zealand Spaceport (NZ) Source: FAA February 2018 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation February

57 Why Is This All Important? Space Transportation has long been the stuff of dreams In the U.S., there is a renewal of the importance of space both for national interests and commercial advantage The National Space Council NASA s Partnerships with Commercial Entities to Supply the International Space Station U.S. Companies Proving the Feasibility of Reuse Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

58 Worldwide Orbital Launch Events, Government Military 100 Orbital Launches Source: FAA January 2018 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

59 FAA-Licensed and Permit Launches FAA licensed launches of geosynchronous (GSO) payloads FAA licensed launches of non-geosynchronous (NGSO) payloads Launches conducted under FAA Experimental Permits 25 FAA licensed suborbital launches FAA-licensed launches (145 GEO, 106 NGSO, 24 Suborbital) 44 Permit launches (all suborbital) Includes 58 launches for U.S. Government (NASA [ISS], NOAA, DOD, others) Source: FAA/AST January 2018 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

60 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Commercial Orbital Launches, Market Share, Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April Japan India Ukrai ne Source: FAA/AST February 2018 Includes Geosynchronous Orbit and Non-geosynchronous orbits launches that are internationally competed, commercially sponsored, or FAA-licensed. Since 1989, DOT/FAA has licensed 58 launches of U.S. Government payloads (including 8 in 2017) U.S. total includes U.S.-manufactured vehicles. Rocket Lab USA launches from New Zealand included in US total. Multinational denotes Sea Launch.

61 Commercial Money Revenue from global space activity was about $260 billion in If you want to make money in space, think Satellite Services Delivering direct to home television via satellite totaled $97.7 billion in revenue. U.S. Share of Global Revenue Satellite Services 40% U.S. Ground Equipment 42% U.S. Launch 40% U.S. ($2.2 billion) Satellite Manufacturing 64% U.S. 74% of U.S. revenue is from government contracts The U.S. won 59% of new GEO commercial satellite orders in 2016, Europe 29% Source: Satellite Industry Association, July 2017 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

62 2017 Revenue from orbital commercial launches 33 total commercial launches Ariane 5 can launch two GEO payloads per launch US total includes US Government payloads Source: The Annual Compendium of Commercial Space Transportation: 2018 FAA Office of Commercial Space Transportation January 2018 Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

63 Forecast Federal Aviation Administration FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY; PROPRIETARY DATA AST Commercial Space Transportation Thursday, April 19,

64 Information FAA Office of Commercial Space Transportation (AST) Room 331, 800 Independence Ave, SW Washington, DC Regulations for Commercial Space Transportation Annual Compendium of Commercial Space Transportation FAA/AST international website Introduction to U.S. Export Controls for the Commercial Space Industry (2017) DOC and FAA Federal Aviation Administration AST Commercial Space Transportation April

65 Closing Remarks and Video Recap Gilberto Lopez Meyer Senior Vice President, Safety and Flight Operations IATA

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