Regional Safety Update Gerardo Hueto Assistant Director SFO ASPAC
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1 Regional Safety Update Gerardo Hueto Assistant Director SFO ASPAC Singapore Aviation Safety Seminar March 2017 Accidents Update: As at 30 Sep
2 Outline Statistics: Accidents and Precursors Safety Focus: Top Risks Addressing Risks
3 Safety Performance: All Accidents per Million Sectors Accidents Update: As of 13 Jan 2017
4 All Accident Rate for IOSA Operators vs. Non-IOSA (includes Jet & Turboprop aircraft) Period: 2012 to 2016
5 All Accident Rate per Region of Operator NAM LATAM/CAR As at 13 Jan 2017 EUR World IATA Members Accidents Update: 1.79 As at Sep June Issued 1 September AFI MENA CIS NASIA ASPAC
6 All Accidents Overview 2016 (Jan Dec) As of: 13 January 2016 Total Accidents 65 Accidents with IATA Members 33 Total Jet Hull Losses 13 Total Turbo-Prop Hull Losses 8 Total Fatal Accidents 10 Fatalities 268
7 Safety Performance: Fatality Risk (Full-Loss Equivalents per Million Sectors)
8 NAM Fatality Risk per Region of Operator LATAM/CAR As at 13 Jan 2017 EUR World IATA Members Accidents Update: 0.10 As at Sep June Issued 1 September AFI MENA CIS NASIA ASPAC
9 Jet Safety Performance: Fatality Risk (Full-Loss Equivalents per Million Sectors)
10 Jet Fatality Risk per Region of Operator NAM LATAM/CAR As at 13 Jan 2017 EUR World IATA Members Accidents Update: 0.00 As at Sep June Issued 1 September AFI MENA CIS NASIA ASPAC
11 Turboprop Safety Performance: Fatality Risk (Full-Loss Equivalents per Million Sectors)
12 Turboprop Fatality Risk per Region of Operator NAM LATAM/CAR As at 13 Jan 2017 EUR World IATA Members Accidents Update: 0.55 As at Sep June Issued 1 September AFI MENA CIS NASIA ASPAC
13 Fatality Risk Note: (1) The area of the bubble indicates the number of fatalities associated with the particular accident category, the value is displayed (2) Fatality Risk: number of full-loss equivalents per 1 million flights (3) Accidents not involving fatalities are displayed on this graph as black circles
14 Top Risks Focused on Fatalities Historic: Loss of Control In Flight (LOC-I) Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT) Approach and Landing Accidents (ALAR) Emerging: Mid Air Collision (MID) Due to LHDs and TCAS RAs
15 Focus on LOC-I 2010: US CAST Airplane State Awareness After Colgan Accident Airplane state awareness defined in two categories: Attitude (roll and pitch angles and rates): often leads to LOC-I via unrecovered roll excursion Energy (airspeed, vertical speed, altitude, power setting, and configuration): often leads to LOC-I via unrecovered stall Joint Safety Analysis Team: Analysis of 18 events
16 Summary of Significant Themes Across All Events Formosa Airlines Saab 340 x x x x x x x 7 Korean Air F x x x x x x 6 Flash Airlines x x x x x x x x 8 Adam Air x x x x x x x x x x 10 Kenya Airways x x x x x x x 7 Aeroflot-Nord x x x x x x x x x x x 11 Gulf Air A320 x x x x x x 6 Icelandair (Oslo) x x x x x x 6 Armavia A320 x x x x x x x 7 Icelandair (Baltimore) x x x x x x x x x 9 Midwest Express 717 x x x x x x x 7 Colgan Air DHC-8-Q400 x x x x x x x x x x 10 Provincial Airlines DHC-8 x x x x x x x 7 Thomsonfly x x x x x x x x 8 West Caribbean MD-82 x x x x x x x x x x 10 XL Airways A320 x x x x x x x x x 9 Turkish Airlines x x x x x x x 7 Empire Air ATR-42 x x x x x x x 7 Overall
17 SE 192 Low Airspeed Alerting Incorporate existing service bulletins to install low airspeed aural alerting in the U.S. fleet SE 194 SOP Effectiveness and Adherence Review and update SOPs to align with latest CAST, manufacturer, and ICAO recommendations Assess and revise SOPs based on feedback from data monitoring programs SE 196 Enhanced Upset Recovery Training, Including Approach-to-Stall New approach-to-stall recovery procedures and realistic scenarios, including autoflight ON Upset prevention & recovery, including unreliable airspeed
18 SE 197 Training for Non-Normal Situations Focus on flying the airplane first SE 198 Scenario-Based Training for Go- Arounds Go-arounds for other than decision height Complicating factors (trim, light weight, entry into clouds) SE 199 Enhanced Crew Resource Management Focus on pilot monitoring duties
19 Rapid positive change is possible if these Safety Enhancement Initiatives are implemented IATA is promoting the implementation with airlines and ICAO Regional Aviation Safety Groups APRAST PARAST MIDRAST
20 Thank You
21 Accident List 2016 Month Region Operator A/C Type Propulsion Severity Fatality IATA IOSA Jan EUR West Atlantic Sweden CRJ200 Jet HL Jan LATAM Passaredo Transportes Aereos ATR72 Turboprop SD Jan MENA Zagros Airlines MD-80 Jet HL Feb LATAM GOL Linhas Aereas B Jet SD - Yes Yes Mar NAM UPS Airlines B Jet SD - Yes Yes Mar ASPAC True Aviation Bangladesh An-26 Turboprop HL Mar ASPAC Aircraft Sales & Services B1900 Turboprop SD Mar LATAM TAM A321 Jet SD - Yes Yes Mar MENA Flydubai B Jet HL 62 Yes Yes Mar EUR Cityjet RJ-85 Jet SD - Yes Yes Mar NAM JetBlue Airways E190 Jet SD - Yes Yes Mar CIS Halyk Air F100 Jet SD - No No
22 Accident List 2016 Month Region Operator A/C Type Propulsion Severity Fatality IATA IOSA Apr EUR Air Vallee F50 Turboprop SD - No No Apr LATAM TAME E190 Turboprop SD - Yes Yes Apr NAM EVAS Air Charters B1900 Turboprop SD - No No Apr ASPAC Batik Air B Jet SD - No No May EUR Turkish Airlines B Jet SD - Yes Yes May NASIA MIAT - Mongolian Airlines B Jet SD - Yes Yes May NAM American Airlines A321 Jet SD - Yes Yes May EUR Air France A320 Jet SD - Yes Yes May MENA EgyptAir A320 Jet HL 66 Yes Yes May CIS Silk Way Airlines An-12 Turboprop HL May ASPAC Korean Air B Jet SD - Yes Yes May MENA Saudia A320 Jet SD - Yes Yes May EUR Vueling Airlines A320 Jet SD - Yes Yes
23 Accident List 2016 Month Region Operator A/C Type Propulsion Severity Fatality IATA IOSA Jun AFI South Supreme Airlines An-30 Turboprop SD - No No Jun NAM UPS MD-11 Jet HL - Yes Yes Jun CIS Ayk Avia An-32 Turboprop HL - No No Jun MENA Mahan Air BAE146 Jet SD - Yes Yes Jun ASPAC Air India A319 Jet SD - Yes Yes Jun AFI Busy Bee Congo Do228 Turboprop SD - No No Jun ASPAC Singapore Airlines B Jet HL - Yes Yes Jul ASPAC Nok Air DHC8-400 Turboprop SD - No No Jul EUR Germania A321 Jet SD - Yes Yes Jul MENA Royal Air Maroc ATR72 Turboprop SD - Yes Yes Aug MENA Emirates Airlines B Jet HL - Yes Yes Aug EUR ASL Airlines Hungary B Jet HL - No No Aug ASPAC T was Air B Jet SD - Yes Yes
24 Accident List 2016 Month Region Operator A/C Type Propulsion Severity Fatality IATA IOSA Aug CIS Krasavia Yak-42 Jet SD - No No Aug CIS Aviastar-TU Tu-204 Jet SD - No No Aug NAM Southwest Airlines B Jet SD - No No Sep ASPAC Trigana Air Service B Jet HL - No No Sep MENA Iran Air F100 Jet SD - Yes Yes Sep NAM Commutair DHC8-200 Turboprop SD - No Yes Sep ASPAC Yeti Airlines Jetstream 41 Turboprop SD - No No Sep ASPAC Cebu Pacific Airlines ATR72 Turboprop SD - No No Sep MENA Iran Air A Jet SD - Yes Yes Sep LATAM Southern Air Charter B1900 Turboprop SD - No No Oct EUR Vueling Airlines A320 Jet SD - Yes Yes Oct CIS Polar Airlines An-26 Turboprop HL - No No Oct LATAM Sterna Linhas Aereas A300 Jet SD - No No
25 Accident List 2016 Month Region Operator A/C Type Propulsion Severity Fatality IATA IOSA Oct EUR White Airways ATR72 Turboprop SD - Yes Yes Oct LATAM FlyMex 328JET Jet SD - No No Oct AFI Ethiopian Airlines DHC8-400 Turboprop HL - Yes Yes Oct NAM American Airlines B Jet HL - Yes Yes Oct NAM FedEx DC-10 Jet HL - Yes Yes Oct ASPAC Trigana Air Services DHC-4T Turboprop HL 4 No No Nov NAM American Airlines B Jet SD - Yes Yes Nov LATAM LAMIA Bolivia RJ-85 Jet HL 71 No No Dec NAM Key Lime Air Metro III Turboprop HL 1 No No Dec ASPAC Pakistan International Airlines ATR 42 Turboprop HL 47 Yes Yes Dec MENA Safi Airways B Jet SD - Yes Yes Dec EUR SAS CRJ900 Jet SD - Yes Yes Dec LATAM Aerosucre Colombia B Jet HL 5 No No
26 Accident List 2016 Month Region Operator A/C Type Propulsion Severity Fatality IATA IOSA Dec ASPAC Wings Air ATR72 Turboprop SD - No No
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