The result is a matrix of: 42 Elections, 5 parties plus the electorate, over 641 seats.

Transcription

1 The First 43 British General Elections, This data set was put together over the course of a decade with the help of Bruce Tether and James Cornford (at Newcastle) Kevin Holohan, David Cutts, and Ron Johnston (At Bristol), Heather Eyre (at Leeds), John Pritchard (at Sheffield), William Field (who supplied the raw data) and Ron Johnston (who found the source for the data from ). The Data is of all general election results since 1832 but were simplified by assigning votes to nearest equivalent modern parties: Con, Lab, Lib, Nat, Other and abstentions. For the period : Chartists and Lib-Lab votes were labelled as Lab; votes were totalled to produce one per party per seat (so that there were no multi-member seats; university seats were ignored; then votes were redistributed to 1885 seats (i.e. Bristol s votes evenly distributed to the four seats of Bristol N, S, W and E using seat names as a guide to the allocation). A table is given below of how this allocation was done. For the period : Liberal Unionists votes were labelled as Con; votes were simplified as before and all then redistributed to 1918 seats using Kinnear s maps: the British voter, 1968 (for example Bristol South votes were redistributed to Bristol South and Central tables are given below). For the period : A similar process was followed, and the 25 new seats of 1945 allocated by hand, then redistributed to the seats of 1950 (see tables below). All the results by seat were then redistributed to 1955 by the final table below based on working with maps of boundaries by hand.. Next the results were redistributed to 1974 areas using maps and Stead s appendix in the 1974 Nuffield study. The results 9and all previous results were redistributed to 1983 seats using the BBC/ITN guide to the new seats of The results were redistributed to 1997 seats using Ron Johnston and colleagues algorithms based on the 1991 Census. Data for the period is deposited at the ESRC Data Archive. The result is a matrix of: 42 Elections, 5 parties plus the electorate, over 641 seats. The Seat which behaved most like the country as a whole over time since 1924 was Dover.

2 Table 1 Dover results 1924 to 1997 (bold when Labour win) Dover Parliamentary Constituency Results by 1997 area: 1997 Con Lab Lib 4302 Nat 0 Other 2567 Elect Con Lab Lib Nat Other Elect oct 1974feb Con Lab Lib Nat Other Elect Con Lab Lib Nat Other Elect Con Lab Lib Nat 0 0 Other Elect Con Lab Lib Nat Other Elect

3 Implications of the past for post-1997 Rebasing the results of the last 30 General Elections to 1997 constituencies does not greatly alter most election results (in two marginal cases a different party wins). The historic record illustrates that the closest parallels to 1997 were 1906 and However, the Liberals and Labour lost, respectively, in 1910 and In particular the 1945 victory had a similar geography to 1997 and similar middle class pro-labour swings. However, neither of these landslides was as large as that of 1997 and both saw abstentions fall rather than rise. If the defeats, and are projected onto 1997 Labour would maintain a large majority. In the event Labour maintained its majority in 2001 almost unchanged. Having votes by the same set of seats over a long time period allows inter election swings to be compared (by correlation). Before 1951 there were weak national swings may not be a good comparison to 1997 as a result (where the largest geographical swing was in abstentions). After 1964 the spatial relationship between the parties became distinctive. Con and Lib became consistently positively correlated. Of most interest is the lack of any great distinctive difference in the patterns between 1987, 1992 and The 1997 landslide victory was far more about seats than votes, such that a slight change in votes, all in the right direction, could have a great change on seats. British 1997 seats estimated to be won at general elections by the main three parties con lab lib o 1992

4 Middle England constituencies are particularly interest. Those which swing most easily between parties. Labour gained 152 constituencies from the Conservatives in 1997 containing 10.5 million electors. They gained only 0.85m more votes, abstentions rose by 0.84m, the Tory vote fell by 1.26m and the Liberal vote by 0.33m. The inter-election correlation s for these seats are far lower than for the country as a whole and the established relationships between the parties is also far looser over time. The share of the vote by party in these seats is almost identical to that in the same areas in However, only in 1865 did the Liberals almost win all these seats, then 70% in 1906, with Labour winning 65% in It is possible to imagine a year voting cycle of Labour/Liberal victories: 1832, 1865, 1906, 1945, 1966, 1997 (33, 41, 39, 21, 31 years) with a strengthening Conservative vote in between until the electorate snaps. It is equally possible to conclude that there are sufficient differences between the period prior to 1950 and now, such that we have no precedent for post 1997 possibilities. The historical precedent, if any, is that it takes a sustained period out of power (a generation) before the electorate in large numbers swing away from the Tories before they gradually return. As yet they have not returned.

5 Table 2: Lookup from seats to seats Split by: ID Name To: Chelsea City of London Finsbury Greenwhich Hackney Lambeth Marylebone Southwark Tower Hamlets Westminster Abingdon Andover Arundel Ashburton Ashton-under-Lyne Aylesbury Banbury Barnstable Bath Bedford Berwick-upon-Tweed Beverley Bewdley Birkenhead Birmingham Blackburn Bodmin Bolton Boston Bradford Bridgnorth Bridgwater Bridport Brighton Bristol Buckingham Burnley Bury Bury St. Edmunds Calne Cambridge Canterbury Carlisle Chatham Cheltenham Chester Chichester Chippenham Christchurch Cirenchester Clitheroe Cockermouth Colchester Coventry Cricklade Darlington Dartmouth Derby Devizes 402

6 1 60 Devonport Dewsbury Dorchester Dover Droitwich Dudley Durham East Retford Evesham Exeter Eye Frome Gateshead Gloucester Grantham Gravesend Great Grimsby Great Marlow Great Yarmouth Guildford Halifax The Hartlepools Harwich Hasting Helston Hereford Hertford Honiton Horsham Huddersfield Huntingdon Hythe Ipswich Kendal Kidderminster King's Lynn Kingston upon Hull Knaresborough Lancaster Launceston Leeds Leicester Leominster Lewes Lichfield Lincoln Liskeard Liverpool Ludlow Lyme Regis Lymington Macclesfield Maidstone Maldon Malmesbury Malton Manchester Marlborough Middlesbrough Midhurst Morpeth Newark-on-Trent 353

7 1 122 Newcastle-under-Lyme Newcasle-upon-Tyne Newport Northallerton Northampton Norwich Nottingham Oldham Oxford Penryn and Falmouth Peterborough Petersfield Plymouth Pontefract Poole Portsmouth Preston Reading Reigate Richmond Ripon Rochdale Rochester Rye St. Albans St. Ives Salford Salisbury Sandwich Scaraborough Shaftesbury Sheffield Shoreham Shrewsbury Southampton South Shields Stafford Stalybridge Stamford Stockport Stockton-on-Tees Stoke-on-Trent Stroud Sudbury Sunderland Tamworth Taunton Tavistock Tewkesbury Thetford Thrisk Tiverton Totnes Truro Tynemouth and North Shields Wakefield Wallingford Walsall Wareham Warrington Warwick Wednesbury 192

8 1 184 Wells Wenlock Westbury Weymouth and Melcombe Regis Whitby Whitehaven Wigan Wilton Winchester Windsor Wolverhampton Woodstock Worcester Wycombe York Bedfordshire Berkshire Buckinghamshire Cambridgeshire Cheshire, Eastern Cheshire, Mid Cheshire, Northern Cheshire, Southern Cheshire, Western Cornwall, Eastern Cornwall, Western Cumberland, Eastern Cumberland, Western Derbyshire, Eastern Derbyshire, Northern Derbyshire, Southern Devon, Eastern Devon, Northern Devon, Southern Dorset Durham, Northern Durham, Southern Essex, Eastern Essex, Northern Essex, Southern Essex, Western Gloucestershire, Eastern Gloucestershire, Western Hampshire, Northern Hampshire, Southern Herefordshire Hertfordshire Huntingdonshire Isle of Wight Kent, Eastern Kent, Mid Kent, Western Lancashire, Northern Lancashire, North-Eastern Lancashire, Southern Lancashire, South-Eastern Lancashire, South-Western Leicestershire, Northern Leicestershire, Southern Lincolnshire, Parts of Kesteven and Holland Lincolnshire, Parts of Lindsey Lincolnshire, Mid 327

9 1 246 Linconlnshire, Northern Lincolnshire, Southern Middlesex Norfolk, Eastern Norfolk, Northern Norfolk, Southern Norfolk, Western Northamptonshire, Northern Northamptonshire, Southern Northumberland, Northern Northumberland, Southern Nottingham, Northern Nottingham, Southern Oxfordshire Rutlandshire Shropshire, Northern Shropshire, Southern Somerset, Eastern Somerset, Mid Somerset, Western Staffordshire, Eastern Stafforshire, Northern Staffordshire, Southern Staffordshire, Western Suffolk, Eastern Suffolk, Western Surrey, Eastern Surrey, Mid Surrey, Western Sussex, Eastern Sussex, Western Warwickshire, Northern Warwickshire, Southern Westmorland Wiltshire, Northern Wiltshire, Southern Worcestershire, Eastern Worcestershire, Western Yorkshire, East Riding Yorkshire, North Reading Yorkshire, West Riding Yorkshire (West Riding), Eastern Yorkshire (West Riding), Northern Yorkshire (West Riding), Southern Beaumaris District of Boroughs Brecon Caernarvon District of Boroughs Cardiff District of Boroughs Cardigan District of Boroughs Carmarthen District of Boroughs Denbigh District of Boroughs Flint District of Boroughs Haverfordwest District of Boroughs Merthyr Tydfil Monmouth District of Boroughs Montgomery District of Boroughs Pembroke District of Boroughs Radnor District of Boroughs Swansea District of Boroughs Anglesey Breconshire Caernarvonshire 449

10 1 308 Cardiganshire Carmarthenshire Denbigshire Flintshire Glamorganshire Merionethshire Monmouthshire Montgomeryshire Pembrokeshire Radnorshire Aberdeen Ayr District of Burghs Dumfries District of Burghs Dundee Edinburgh Elgin District of Burghs Falkirk District of Burghs Glasgow Greenock Haddington District of Burghs Hawick District of Burghs Iverness District of Burghs Kilmarnock District of Burghs Kirkcaldy District of Burghs Leith District of Burghs Montrose District of Burghs Paisley Perth St. Andrews District of Burghs Stirling District of Burghs Wick District of Burghs Wigton District of Burghs Aberdeenshire Aberdeenshire, Eastern Aberdeenshire, Western Argyll Ayrshire Ayrshire, Northern Ayrshire, Southern Banffshire Berwickshre Bute Caithness Clackmannanshire and Kinross-shire Dumfriesshire Dunbartonshire Edingburghshire Elginshire and Nairnshire Fife Forfarshire Haddingtonshire Iverness-shire Kincardineshire Kirkcudbrightshire Lanarkshire Lanarkshire, Northern Lanarkshire, Southern Linlithgowshire Orkney and Shetland Peeblesshire Peeblesshire and Selkirkshire Perthshire

11 2 370 Renfrewshire Ross and Cromarty Rowburghshire Selkirkshire Stirlingshire Sutherland Wigtownshire Cambridge University London University Oxford University Aberdeen and Glasgow Universities Edinburgh and St. Andrews Universities

12 Table 3: Lookup from seats to seats Split by: ID NAME Battersea & Clapham; To: Battersea 1 55 Battersea & Clapham; 2 2 Clapham 2 55 Bethnal Green; North- 1 3 East 5 Bethnal Green; South- 1 4 West Camberwell; Dulwich Camberwell; North Camberwell; Peckham Chelsea London (City of) Deptford Finsbury; Central Finsbury; East Finsbury; Holborn Fulham Greenwich Hackney; Central Hackney; North Hackney; South Hammersmith Hampstead Islington; East Islington; North Islington; South Islington; West Kensington; North Kensington; South Lambeth; Brtxton Lambeth; Kennington Lambeth; North Lambeth; Norwood Lewisham Marylebone; East Marylebone; West Newington; Walworthy Newington; West Paddington; North Paddington; South St. George; Hanover Square St. Pancras; East St. Pancras; North St. Pancras; South St. Pancras; West Shoreditch; Haggerston Shoreditch; Hoxton Southwark; Bermondsey Southwark; Rotherhithe Southwark; West Strand Tower Hamlets; Bow & Bromley Tower Hamlets; Limehouse 49

13 1 51 Tower Hamlets; Mile End Tower Hamlets; Poplar Tower Hamlets; St. George Tower Hamlets; Stepney Tower Hamlets; Whitechapel Wandsworth Westminster Woolwich Ashton-Under-Lyne Aston Manor Barrow-In-Furness Bath Bedford Birkenhead Birmingham; Bordesley Birmingham; Central Birmingham; East Birmingham; Edgbaston Birmingham; North Birmingham; South Birmingham; West Blackburn Bolton Boston Bradford; Central Bradford; East Bradford; West Brighton Bristol; East Bristol; North Bristol; South Bristol; West Burnley Bury Bury St. Edmunds Cambridge Canterbury Carlisle Chatham Cheltenham Chester Christchurch Colchester Coventry Croyden Darlington Derby Devonport Dewsbury Dover Dudley Durham Exeter Gateshead Gloucester Grantham 398

14 1 107 Gravesend Great Grimsby Great Yarmouth Halifax Hanley Hartlepools (The) Hastings Hereford Huddersfield Hythe Ipswich Kidderminster King's Lynn Kingston Upon Hull; Central Kingston Upon Hull; East Kingston Upon Hull; West Leeds; Central Leeds; East Leeds; North Leeds; South Leeds; West Leicester Lincoln Liverpool; Abercromby Liverpool; East Toxteth Liverpool; Everton Liverpool; Exchange Liverpool; Kirkdale Liverpool; Sctoland Liverpool; Walton Liverpool; West Derby Liverpool; West Toxteth Maidstone Manchester; East Manchester; North Manchester; Northeast Manchester; Northwest Manchester; South Manchester; Southwest Middlesbrough Morpeth Newcastle Under Lyme Newcastle Upon Tyne Northampton Norwich Nottingham; East Nottingham; South Nottingham; West Oldham Oxford Penryn & Falmouth Peterborough Plymouth Pontefract Portsmouth Preston 210

15 1 163 Reading Rochdale Rochester St. Helens Salford; North Salford; South Salford; West Salisbury Scarborough Sheffield; Attercliffe Sheffield; Brightside Sheffield; Central Sheffield; Ecclesall Sheffield; Hallam Shrewsbury Southampton South Shields Stafford Stalybridge Stockport Stockton-on-Tees Stoke-on-Trent Sunderland Taunton Tynemouth Wakefield Walsall Warrington Warwich & Leamington Wednesbury West Bromwich West Ham; North West Ham; South Whitehaven Wigan Winchester Windsor Wolverhampton; East Wolverhampton; South Wolverhampton; West Worcester York Biggleswade Luton Abingdon Newbury Wokingham Aylesbury Buckingham Wycombe Chesterton Newmarket Wisbech Altrincham Crewe Eddisbury Hyde 236

16 2 220 Knutsford Macclesfield Northwich Wirral Bodmin Camborne Launceton St. Austell St. Ives Truro Cockermouth Egremont Eskdale Penrith Chesterfield High Peak Ilkeston Derbyshire; Mid Derbyshire; Northeast Derbyshire; South Derbyshire; West Ashburton Barnstaple Honiton South Molton Tavistock Tiverton Torquay Totnes Dorset; East Dorset; North Dorset; South Dorset; West Barnard Castle Bishop Aukland Chester-le-Spring Houghton-le-Spring Jarrow Durham; Mid Durham; Northwest Durham; Southeast Chelmsford Epping Harwich Maldon Romford Saffron Waldon Essex; South-East Walthamstowe Cirencester Forest of Dean Stroud Tewkesbury Thornbury Andover Basingstoke Fareham New Forest 349

17 1 278 Petersfield Leominster Ross Hertford Hitchin St. Albans Watford Huntingdon Ramsey Isle of Wight Ashford Dartford Faversham Isle of Thanet Medway St. Augustine's Sevenoaks Tunbridge Accrington Blackpool Bootle Chorley Clitheroe Darwen Eccles Gorton Heywood Ince Lancaster Leigh Middleton Newton North Lonsdale Ormskirk Prestwich Radcliffe-cum- Farnworth Rossendale Southport Stretford Westhoughton Widnes Bosworth Harborough Loughborough Melton Brigg Gainsborough Horncastle Louth Sleaford Spalding Stamford Brentford Ealing Enfield Harrow Hornsey

18 3 335 Tottenham Uxbridge Norfolk; East Norfolk; Mid Norfolk; North Norfolk; Northwest Norfolk; Southern Norfolk; Southwest Northamptonshire; East Northamptonshire; Mid Northamptonshire; North Northamptonshire; South Berwick-upon-Tweed Hexham Tyneside Wansbeck Bassetlaw Mansfield Newark Rushcliffe Banbury Henley Woodstock Rutland Ludlow Newport Oswestry Wellington (Shropshire) Bridgwater Somerset; East Frome Somerset; North Somerset; South Wellington (Somerset) Wells Burton Handsworth Kingswinford Leek Lichfield Staffordshire; Northwest Staffordshire; West Eye Lowestoff Stowmarket Sudbury Woodbridge Chertsey Epsom Guildford Kingston Reigate Wimbledon Chichester Eastbourne East Grinstead 464

19 3 391 Horsham Lewes Rye Nuneaton Rugby Stratford-on-Avon Tamworth Appleby Kendal Chippenham Crickdale Devizes Westbury Wilton Bewdley Droitwich Worcestershire; East Evesham Worcestershire; North Buckrose Holderness Howdenshire Cleveland Richmond (Yorks) Thirsk & Malton Whitby Barkton Ash Barnsley Colne Valley Doncaster Elland Hallamshire Holmfirth Keighley Morley Normanton Osgoldcross Otley Pudsey Ripon Rotherham Shipley Skipton Sowerby Spen Valley Caernarvon District Cardiff District Carmarthen District Denbigh District Flint District Merthyr Tydfil Monmouth District Montgomery District Pembroke/Haverford District Swansea District Swansea Town Anglesey 524

20 1 448 Breconshire Arfon Eifon Cardiganshire Carmarthenshire; East Carmarthenshire; West Denbighshire; East Denbighshire; West Flintshire Glamorganshire; East Gower Glamorganshire; Mid Rhondda Glamorganshire; South Merionethshire Monmouthshire; North Monmouthsire; South Monmouthsire; West Montgomeryshire Pembroke Aberdeen; North Radnorshire Aberdeen; South Ayr District/Burghs Dumfries District/burghs Dundee Edinburgh; Central Edinburgh; East Edinburgh; South Edinburgh; West Elgin District Falkirk District Glasgow; Blackfriars/Hutcheson t Glasgow; Bridgeton Glasgow; Camlachie Glasgow; Central Glasgow; College Glasgow; St. Rollox Glasgow; Tradeston Greenock Hawick District Inverness District Kilmarnock District Kirkcaldy District Leith District Montrose District Paisley Perth St. Andrews District Stirling District Wick District Aberdeenshire; East Aberdeenshire; West Argyll Ayrshire; Northern Ayrshire; Southern

21 1 504 Banffshire Berwickshire Bute Caithness Clackmannanshire & Kinrossshire Dumfriesshire Dunbartonshire Edinburghshire Elginshire & Nairnshire Fife; Eastern Fife; Western Forfarshire Haddingtonshire Invernessshire Kincardineshire Kirkcudbrightshire Lanarkshire; Govan Lanarkshire; Mid Lanarkshire; Northeastern Lanarkshire; Northwestern Lanarkshire; Patrick Lanarkshire; Southern Linlithgowshire Orkney & Shetland Peebleshire & Selkirkshire Perthsire; Eastern Perthshire; Western Renfrewshire; Eastern Renfrewshire; Western Ross & Cromarty Roxburghshire Stirlingshire Sutherland Wigtownshire 595

22 Table 4: Lookup from seats to seats Split by ID NAME To: Battersea North Battersea South Bermondsey Rotherhithe Bermondsey West Bermondsey Bethnal Green North East Bethnal Green South West Camberwell Dulwich Camberwell North Camberwell North West Camberwell Peckham Chelsea City Of London Deptford Finsbury Fulham East Fulham West Greenwich Hackney Central Hackney North Hackney South Hammersmith North Hammersmith South Hampstead Holborn Islington East Islington North Islington South Islington West Kensington North Kensington South Lambeth Brixton Lambeth Kennington Lambeth North Lambeth Norwood Lewisham East Lewisham West Paddington North Paddington South Poplar Bow And Bromley Poplar South Poplar St Marylebone St Pancras North St Pancras South East St Pancras South West Shoreditch Southwark Central Southwark North Southwark South East Stepney Limehouse Stepney Mile End Stepney Whitechapel And St George's Stoke Newington Wandsworth Balham And Tooting Wandsworth Central Wandsworth Clapham 444

23 1 56 Wandsworth Putney Wandsworth Streatham Westminster Abbey Westminster St George's Woolwich East Woolwich West Accrington Altrincham And Sale Ashton Under Lyne Barking Barnsley Barrow In Furness Bath Batley And Morley Bexley Birkenhead East Birkenhead West Birmingham Acock's Green Birmingham Aston Birmingham Deritend Birmingham Duddeston Birmingham Edgbaston Birmingham Erdington Birmingham Handsworth Birmingham King's Norton Birmingham Ladywood Birmingham Moseley Birmingham Sparkbrook Birmingham West Birmingham Birmingham Yardley Blackburn Blackpool Blackpool North Blackpool South Bolton Bootle Bournemouth Bradford Central Bradford East Bradford North Bradford South Brighton Bristol Central Bristol East Bristol North Bristol South Bristol West Bromley Burnley Bury Cambridge Carlisle Cheltenham Coventry Coventry East Coventry West Croydon North Croydon South

24 1 114 Dagenham Darlington Dartford Derby Dewsbury Dudley Ealing Ealing East Ealing West East Ham North East Ham South Eccles Edmonton Exeter Gateshead Gloucester Great Yarmouth Grimsby Halifax Harrow East Harrow West The Hartlepools Hastings Hendon North Hendon South Heston And Isleworth Hornsey Huddersfield Hythe Ilford Ilford North Ilford South Ipswich Kingston Upon Hull Central Kingston Upon Hull East Kingston Upon Hull North West Kingston Upon Hull South West Kingston Upon Thames Leeds Central Leeds North Leeds North East Leeds South Leeds South East Leeds West Leicester East Leicester South Leicester West Leigh Leyton East Leyton West Lincoln Liverpool East Toxteth Liverpool Edge Hill Liverpool Everton Liverpool Exchange Liverpool Fairfield Liverpool Kirkdale Liverpool Scotland 171

25 1 172 Liverpool Walton Liverpool Wavertree Liverpool West Derby Liverpool West Toxteth Manchester Ardwick Manchester Blackley Manchester Clayton Manchester Exchange Manchester Gorton Manchester Hulme Manchester Moss Side Manchester Platting Manchester Rusholme Manchester Withington Middlesbrough East Middlesbrough West Mitcham Morpeth Nelson And Colne Newcastle Under Lyme Newcastle Upon Tyne Central Newcastle Upon Tyne East Newcastle Upon Tyne North Newcastle Upon Tyne West Northampton Norwich Nottingham Central Nottingham East Nottingham South Nottingham West Oldham Oxford Plymouth Devonport Plymouth Drake Plymouth Sutton Portsmouth Central Portsmouth North Portsmouth South Preston Reading Richmond Surrey Rochdale Rochester Chatham Rochester Gillingham Romford Rossendale Rotherham St Helens Salford North Salford South Salford West Sheffield Attercliffe Sheffield Brightside Sheffield Central Sheffield Ecclesall Sheffield Hallam Sheffield Hillsborough Sheffield Park

26 1 230 Smethwick Southall Southampton Southend On Sea Southport South Shields Stockport Stockton On Tees Stoke On Trent Burslem Stoke On Trent Hanley Stoke On Trent Stoke Sunderland Sutton And Cheam Tottenham North Tottenham South Twickenham Tynemouth Wakefield Wallasey Wallsend Walsall Walthamstow East Walthamstow West Warrington Wednesbury Wembley North Wembley South West Bromwich West Ham Plaistow West Ham Silvertown West Ham Stratford West Ham Upton Wigan Willesden East Willesden West Wimbledon Wolverhampton Bilston Wolverhampton East Wolverhampton West Woodford Worcester York Bedfordshire Bedford Bedfordshire Luton Bedfordshire Mid Berkshire Abingdon Berkshire Newbury Berkshire Windsor Buckinghamshire Aylesbury Buckinghamshire Buckingham Buckinghamshire Eton And Slough Buckinghamshire Wycombe Cambridgeshire Cheshire Altrincham Cheshire Bucklow Cheshire City Of Chester Cheshire Crewe Cheshire Eddisbury 26 27

27 2 288 Cheshire Knutsford Cheshire Macclesfield Cheshire Northwich Cheshire Stalybridge And Hyde Cheshire Wirral Cornwall Bodmin Cornwall Camborne Cornwall Northern Cornwall Penryn And Falmouth Cornwall St Ives Cumberland Northern Cumberland Penrith And Cockermouth Cumberland Whitehaven Cumberland Workington Derbyshire Belper Derbyshire Chesterfield Derbyshire Clay Cross Derbyshire High Peak Derbyshire Ilkeston Derbyshire North Eastern Derbyshire Southern Derbyshire Western Devonshire Barnstaple Devonshire Honiton Devonshire South Molton Devonshire Tavistock Devonshire Tiverton Devonshire Torquay Devonshire Totnes Dorset Eastern Dorset Northern Dorset Southern Dorset Western Durham Barnard Castle Durham Bishop Auckland Durham Blaydon Durham Chester Le Street Durham Consett Durham Durham Durham Houghton Le Spring Durham Jarrow Durham Seaham Durham Sedgefield Durham Spennymoor Essex Chelmsford Essex Colchester Essex Epping Essex Harwich Essex Hornchurch Essex Maldon Essex Romford Essex Saffron Walden Essex South Eastern Essex Thurrock Gloucestershire Cirencester And Tewkesbury Gloucestershire Forest Of Dean Gloucestershire Stroud Gloucestershire Thornbury

28 1 346 Hampshire Aldershot Hampshire Basingstoke Hampshire Fareham Hampshire New Forest And Christchurch Hampshire Petersfield Hampshire Winchester Herefordshire Hereford Herefordshire Leominster Hertfordshire Barnet Hertfordshire Hemel Hempstead Hertfordshire Hertford Hertfordshire Hitchin Hertfordshire St Albans Hertfordshire Watford Huntingdonshire Isle Of Ely Isle Of Wight Kent Ashford Kent Canterbury Kent Chislehurst Kent Dartford Kent Dover Kent Faversham Kent Gravesend Kent Isle Of Thanet Kent Maidstone Kent Orpington Kent Sevenoaks Kent Tonbridge Lancashire Chorley Lancashire Clitheroe Lancashire Darwen Lancashire Farnworth Lancashire Fylde Lancashire Heywood And Radcliffe Lancashire Ince Lancashire Lancaster Lancashire Lonsdale Lancashire Middleton And Prestwich Lancashire Mossley Lancashire Newton Lancashire Ormskirk Lancashire Royton Lancashire Stretford Lancashire Waterloo Lancashire Westhoughton Lancashire Widnes Leicestershire Bosworth Leicestershire Harborough Leicestershire Loughborough Leicestershire Melton Holland With Boston Grantham Rutland And Stamford Brigg Gainsborough Horncastle Louth 222

29 1 404 Middlesex Acton Middlesex Brentford And Chiswick Middlesex Enfield Middlesex Finchley Middlesex Harrow Middlesex Hendon Middlesex Spelthorne Middlesex Twickenham Middlesex Uxbridge Middlesex Wood Green Norfolk Eastern Norfolk King's Lynn Norfolk Northern Norfolk Southern Norfolk South Western Daventry Kettering Peterborough Wellingborough Northumberland Berwick Upon Tweed Northumberland Hexham Northumberland Wansbeck Nottinghamshire Bassetlaw Nottinghamshire Broxtowe Nottinghamshire Mansfield Nottinghamshire Newark Nottinghamshire Rushcliffe Oxfordshire Banbury Oxfordshire Henley Shropshire Ludlow Shropshire Oswestry Shropshire Shrewsbury Shropshire The Wrekin Somerset Bridgewater Somerset Frome Somerset Taunton Somerset Wells Somersetshire Weston Super Mare Somersetshire Yeovil Staffordshire Burton Staffordshire Cannock Staffordshire Kingswinford Staffordshire Leek Staffordshire Lichfield Staffordshire Stafford Staffordshire Stone Suffolk (east) Eye Suffolk (east) Lowestoft Suffolk (east) Woodbridge Suffolk (west) Bury St Edmunds Suffolk (west) Sudbury Surrey Carshalton Surrey Chertsey Surrey Eastern Surrey Epsom Surrey Farnham Surrey Guildford Surrey Mitcham 484

30 1 462 Surrey Reigate Sussex (east) Eastbourne Sussex (east) East Grinstead Sussex (east) Lewes Sussex (east) Rye Sussex (west) Chichester Sussex(west) Horsham Sussex (west) Horsham And Worthing Sussex (west) Worthing Warwickshire Nuneaton Warwickshire Rugby Warwickshire Solihull Warwickshire Sutton Coldfield Warwickshire Tamworth Warwickshire Warwick And Leamington Westmorland Wiltshire Chippenham Wiltshire Devizes Wiltshire Salisbury Wiltshire Swindon Wiltshire Westbury Worcestershire Bewdley Worcestershire Evesham Worcestershire Kidderminster Worcestershire Stourbridge Yorkshire (east Riding) Buckrose Yorkshire (east Riding) Holderness Yorkshire (east Riding) Howdenshire Yorkshire (north Riding) Cleveland Yorkshire (north Riding) Richmond Yorkshire (north Riding) Scarborough And Whitby Yorkshire (north Riding) Thirsk And Malton Yorkshire (west Riding) Barkston Ash Yorkshire (west Riding) Colne Valley Yorkshire (west Riding) Doncaster Yorkshire (west Riding) Don Valley Yorkshire (west Riding) Elland Yorkshire (west Riding) Hemsworth Yorkshire (west Riding) Keighley Yorkshire (west Riding) Normanton Yorkshire (west Riding) Penistone Yorkshire (west Riding) Pontefract Yorkshire (west Riding)pudsey And Otley Yorkshire (west Riding) Ripon Yorkshire (west Riding) Rother Valley Yorkshire (west Riding) Rothwell Yorkshire (west Riding) Shipley Yorkshire (west Riding) Skipton Yorkshire (west Riding) Sowerby Yorkshire (west Riding) Spen Valley Yorkshire (west Riding) Wentworth Caernarvon District Of Boroughs Cardiff Central Cardiff East Cardiff South Merthyr Tydfil Aberdare Merthyr Tydfil Merthyr Newport 538

31 1 520 Rhondda East Rhondda West Swansea East Swansea West Anglesey Brecknockshire And Radnorshire Caernarvonshire Cardiganshire Carmarthenshire Carmarthen Carmarthenshire Llanelly Denbichshire Denbigh Denbighshire Wrexham Flintshire Glamorganshire Aberavon Glamorganshire Caerphilly Glamorganshire Gower Glamorganshire Llandaff And Barry Glamorganshire Neath Glamorganshire Ogmore Glamorganshire Pontypridd Merionethshire Monmouthshire Abertillery Monmouthshire Bedwellty Monmouthshire Ebbw Vale Monmouthshire Monmouth Monmouthshire Pontypool Montgomeryshire Pembrokeshire Aberdeen North Aberdeen South Ayr District Of Burghs Glasgow Gorbals Dundee Dunfermline District Of Burghs Edinburgh Central Edinburgh East Edinburgh North Edinburgh South Edinburgh West Glasgow Bridgeton Glasgow Camlachie Glasgow Cathcart Glasgow Central Glasgow Gorbals Glasgow Govan Glasgow Hillhead Glasgow Kelvingrove Glasgow Maryhill Glasgow Partick Glasgow Pollok Glasgow St Rollox Glasgow Shettleston Glasgow Springburn Glasgow Tradeston Greenock Kirkcaldy District Of Burghs Leith Montrose District Of Burghs 548

32 1 578 Paisley Stirling And Falkirk District Of Burghs Aberdeenshire And Kincardineshire Central Aberdeenshire And Kincardineshire Eastern Aberdeenshire And Kincardineshire Kincardine And Western Argyll Ayrshire And Bute Bute And Northern Ayrshire And Bute Kilmarnock Ayrshire And Bute South Ayrshire Banffshire Berwickshire And Haddingtonshire Caithness And Sutherland Dumfriesshire Dunbartonshire Fife Eastern Fife Western Forfarshire Galloway Inverness Shire And Ross And Cromarty Inverness Inverness Shire And Ross And Cromarty Ross And Cromarty Inverness Shire And Ross And Cromarty Western Isles Lanarkshire Bothwell Lanarkshire Coatbridge Lanarkshire Hamilton Lanarkshire Lanark Lanarkshire Motherwell Lanarkshire Northern Lanarkshire Rutherglen Linlithgowshire Midlothian And Peeblesshire Northern Midlothian And Peeblesshire Peebles And Southern Moray And Nairnshire Orkney And Shetland Perthshire And Kinross Shire Kinross And Western Perthshire And Kinross Shire Perth Renfrewshire Eastern Renfrewshire Western Roxburghshire And Selkirkshire Stirlingshire And Clackmannanshire Clackmannan And Eastern Stirlingshire And Clackmannanshire Western 611

33 Table 5: Lookup from seats to seats Split by ID50-51 NAME50-51 To: Bedford Bedfordshire; Mid Bedfordshire; South Luton Abingdon Newbury Reading; North Reading; South Windsor Wokingham Aylesbury Buckingham Buckinghamshire; South Eton & Slough Wycombe Cambridge Cambridgeshire Altrincham & Sale Bebington Birkenhead Cheadle Chester Crewe Knutsford Macclesfield Northwich Runcorn Stalybridge & Hyde Stockport; North Stockport; South Wallasey Wirral Bodmin Cornwall; North Falmouth & Camborne St. Ives Truro Carlisle Penrith & the Border Whitehaven Workington Belper Bolsover Chesterfield Derbyshire; North-East Derbyshire; South-East Derbyshire; West Derby; North Derby; South High Peak Ilkeston Devon; North Exeter Honiton Plymouth; Devonport 460

34 1 56 Plymouth; Sutton Tavistock Tiverton Torquay Torrington Totnes Dorset; North Dorset; South Dorset; West Poole Bishop Auckland Blaydon Chester-le-Street Consett Darlington Durham Durham; North-West Easington Gateshead; East Gateshead; West Hartlepools; The Houghton-le-Spring Jarrow Sedgefield South Shields Stockton-On-Tees Sunderland; North Sunderland; South Billericay Chelmsford Colchester Epping Harwich Maldon Saffron Walden Southend; East Southend; West Thurrock Bristol ;Central Bristol; North-East Bristol; North-West Bristol; South Bristol; South-East Bristol; West Cheltenham Cirencester & Tewksbury Gloucester Gloucestershire; South Gloucestershire; West Stroud & Thornbury Aldershot Basingstoke Bournemouth; E/Christchur Bournemouth; West Gosport & Fareham Isle of Wight New Forest 423