The Global Automated Border Control Market Part Forecasts & Analysis

Transcription

1 The Global Automated Border Control Market Part Forecasts & Analysis C. Maxine Most Principal Acuity Market Intelligence 10/19/10 findbiometrics Webinar February 19, 2014

2 About Acuity Market Intelligence Acuity consistently delivers thought- provoking, hype- free, data- driven insight and analysis Strategic Research Consultancy Founded in 2001 Focus on IdenNty including biometrics, mobility, eids, border control, egates Proven record of accurately forecasnng market trends Research Reports on Biometrics, epassports and evisas, and NaNonal IDs NEW REPORT: The Global ABC Industry Report: Airport egates & Kiosks 2

3 Today s Discussion Small Window into Comprehensive Forecasts & Analysis Analysis Constraints ABC SoluNon Types Defined ABC Market Dynamics Global ABC egate and Kiosk Market Forecasts Forecast Indicators Key Takeaways 3

4 Analysis Constraints EGates and Kiosks related to Border Control e.g. Passports and ImmigraNon. Gates and Kiosks use for security facilita<on such as automated boarding pass reading at security and at airplane gates are not included. 386 Airports included with annual internanonal passenger volume of 500K+ EvaluaNon of 5 ABC egate and Kiosk SoluNon Types Unit forecasts based on proprietary conserva<ve models Revenue forecasts based on average prices for egates and Kiosks adjusted regionally 4

5 ABC SoluNon Types Defined! SOLUTION(TYPES! Definitions)! Automated!Border!Control!Gates!including!any!Kiosks!delivered!as!part!of!the! ABC!eGates! configuration!deployed!at!arrivals!or!departure.! Automated!Border!Control!Kiosks!at!ARRIVALS!(or!for!DEPARTURE! PRECLEARANCE)!like!those!deployed!in!the!US!and!Canadian!Airports!for!Global! ABC!KIOSKS! Entry!and!NEXUS!programs.!ABC!KIOSKS!provide!essentially!the!same!function!as! an!abc!egate!but!without!any!physical!barrier.! Automated!Passport!Control!Kiosks!like!those!currently!deployed!in!the!US!and! Canadian!Airports!that!expedite!Arrivals!Immigration!checks.!APC!Kiosks!captures! APC!KIOSKS! information!before!arrival!at!border!control!agent s!desk!significantly!reducing! processing!time.!! Automated!Immigration!Control!Kiosks!for!DEPARTURE.!There!are!currently!no! AIC!KIOSKS!deployed.!These!would!be!part!of!an!Integrated!Immigration! AIC!KIOSKS! Processing!program!used!to!collect!biometrics!at!checkOin,!bag!drop,!or!security! and!designed!to!integrate!with!departure!egates!and!aib!egates.! Automated!Immigration!Boarding!Gates!for!DEPARTURE!designed!to!integrate! with!departure!aic!kiosks!and!abc!egates!and!confirm!that!the!individual!tied! AIB!eGates!! to!a!valid!credential!(e.g.!epassport)!via!the!aic!kiosk!abc!egate!is!the!same! individual!that!boards!aircraft!or!ship.!! 5

6 Airport Arrivals Example 6

7 Airport Departures Example 7

8 ABC Market Dynamics MulNple consntuencies with compenng and overlapping priorines. MulNple compenng approaches to be tested in the marketplaces over the next 3 to 5 years including segmentanon based on trust and risk. Expanding 2 nd and 3 rd generanon epassport pla`orm, parncularly in Europe where FP biometrics have become standard, are creanng opportunity for more widespread use of ABC programs and systems. Minimal interoperability among programs today based on regional or bilateral agreements. True reciprocity is limited. Broad consensus on the overall flow and operanonal capabilines required to create Intelligent ABC ImmigraNon Processing (IAIP) capabilines. Convergence of ABC ImmigraNon Processing and Passenger Processing is widely considered inevitable. 8

9 Global ABC egate & Kiosk Revenue 9

10 Global ABC egate & Kiosk Annual Units 10

11 Annual Revenue By Mode Airports $309,036,937 $288,753,563 $364,318,562 $516,195,749 $752,811,588 Land Borders $17,360,194 $17,230,440 $27,240,984 $46,960,852 $56,230,996 Seaports $7,827,592 $16,204,789 $27,983,785 $52,024,186 $62,713,048 TOTAL $334,224,723 $322,188,792 $419,543,330 $615,180,787 $871,755,633 11

12 Annual Units By Mode 2013 Installed Base Total Addressable market Airports 1,932 1,490 1,932 2,810 4,463 6,780 56,010 Land Borders ,242 Seaports ,163 TOTAL 2,497 1,563 2,073 3,195 5,128 7,820 72,416 12

13 Annual Revenue by SoluNon Type ABC egates $256,988,794 $189,035,980 $193,156,533 $242,890,687 $266,835,234 ABC KIOSKS $8,403,387 $8,047,446 $10,244,073 $10,441,261 $9,336,005 APC KIOSKS $58,752,591 $93,579,562 $134,267,031 $160,881,505 $190,514,436 AIC KIOSKS $2,096,445 $10,284,293 $23,969,349 $79,395,911 $137,604,092 AIB egates $7,983,506 $21,241,511 $57,906,344 $121,571,423 $267,465,866 TOTAL $334,224,723 $322,188,792 $419,543,330 $615,180,787 $871,755,633 13

14 Annual Units by SoluNon Type 2013 Installed Base Total Addressable market ABC egates ,889 ABC KIOSKS ,079 APC KIOSKS ,170 1,775 2,261 2,846 21,708 AIC KIOSKS ,607 AIB egates ,906 TOTAL 2,497 1,566 2,073 3,180 5,117 7,797 71,190 14

15 Annual Revenue by Region AFR 4,601,057 6,076,757 14,747,046 16,886,988 20,148,345 ASIA 72,159,570 74,557,649 95,626, ,013, ,386,572 CAR 5,948,143 6,866,535 11,810,431 16,704,941 15,303,785 EUR 115,808, ,921, ,383, ,756, ,238,821 LA 9,797,895 9,884,194 13,136,766 13,636,277 14,370,713 ME 77,986,132 53,426,512 52,143,481 58,244,558 64,965,418 NA 36,571,942 44,042,727 62,774,438 80,022, ,436,400 PAC 11,351,674 9,413,378 13,920,875 15,916,024 19,905,578 TOTAL $334,224,723 $322,188,792 $419,543,330 $615,180,787 $871,755,633 15

16 Annual Units by Region 2013 Installed Base Total Addressable market AFR ,806 ASIA ,137 1,851 17,572 CAR ,203 EUR ,159 2,077 3,655 30,339 LA ,763 ME ,380 NA ,060 8,792 PAC ,334 TOTAL 2,497 1,566 2,073 3,180 5,117 7,797 71,190 16

17 Forecast Indicators Global market value approaches $900M in 2018 growing at a CAGR of 20% On track to exceed $1.2 billion by 2020 Europe dominates market accounnng for nearly 40% of all revenues. Airport deployments dominate though they loose market share to Land Border and Seaport shrinking from 92% to 86% of annual revenue share over the forecast period. egates rapidly lose unit and revenue dominance due to limited Total Addressable Market (TAM) of ~8900 as APC, AIC and AIB egates provide significantly more deployment opportunines. Given the TAM, ABC egates will remain customized solunons (though built on standard modular components), while APC Kiosks, AIC Kiosks, and AIB egates - with much higher TAMs - rapidly evolve towards commodificanon. 17

18 Key Takeaways ABC egates and Kiosks represent the customer facing touch points to what promises to be a far more complex and highly interoperable 21st century border management IT infrastructure. Over Nme, this IT infrastructure will evolve into an even more comprehensive network that integrates both Passenger and ImmigraNon processing in a way that will fundamentally reshape the global travel experience. 18

19 Acuity s Latest Research The Global Automated Border Control Industry Report: Airport egates and Kiosks Comprehensive, data rich report 200 tables & charts Previously unavailable forecasts & stansncs Forecasts by Unit and Revenue o Global Market for egates and Kiosks o Regional Market for egates and Kiosks o SoluNon Type Markets Download a preview at mi.com/abcair_report.php 19