Beta Radiation in the United States Following the Fukushima Disaster. by Bobby1

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Beta Radiation in the United States Following the Fukushima Disaster by Bobby1 This is a statistical study of beta radiation in the United States following the Fukushima nuclear disaster. Its purpose is to assess the levels of beta radiation compared to an average background level, and its change over time. The data was obtained from the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Radnet customized search. Health risks from beta radiation are due primarily through internal exposure to beta particles. Beta particles cause biological damage when they enter the body through inhalation, ingestion, absorption though the skin, or through a cut in the skin. (http://www.psr.org/resources/health-risks-releases-radioactivity.pdf) Some of the radioactive isotopes which comprise beta particles, which may currently be found in the US, include: Isotope Half-life Iodine-131 8 days Barium-140 12.7 days Strontium-89 5.5 days Strontium-90 29.1 years Tellurium-129m 33.6 days Cesium-134 2.1 years Cesium-137 30 years The data presented below involve concentrations of radioactive particles in air. The accumulation in soil and water is cumulative. Bioaccumulation in milk, meats, plants and human beings create increasing nonlinear effects. On the other hand, the relatively short half-lives of the isotopes involved (with the exception of Strontium-90 and the Cesium isotopes) lead to the decay, over time, in the intensity and health effects of these beta particles.

The levels of Gross Beta radiation (from air filters, expressed in pci/m 3 ) for the period March 15-May 23 were obtained for each of the years 2010 and 2011. The 2010 values for the corresponding month were considered to be background levels of beta radiation in the context of this study. The latest value for collection end date that was available at the time of this study was May 23, 2011. Tests of statistical significance were performed for the time periods March 15-31, April 1-30, and May 1-23. The null hypothesis (which was rejected in all cases) was that the values of gross beta radiation in 2011 did not increase over background. Each observation was weighted by the reciprocal of the number of observations for each city. The significance levels were obtained from optimal discriminant analysis. Time period US beta radiation level N p < March 15-31 5.09x background 1093.001 April 1-30 2.01x background 1877.001 May 1-23 1.15x background 1173.011 Levels of beta radiation were also studied for selected individual locations in the US. This table represents the multiplier over background level for each city and month. City March multiplier April multiplier May multiplier Anchorage AK 4.17x 3.32x 1.23x Fairbanks AK 2.06x 3.37x 1.14x Birmingham AL 1.69x 1.20x.86x Little Rock AR 1.95x 1.16x 1.02x Phoenix AZ 9.81x 3.31x.63x Tucson AZ 18.20x 3.07x 1.92x Eureka CA 53.05x 19.82x 6.46x Los Angeles CA 5.23x 2.19x 1.11x Sacramento CA 6.83x 2.45x 1.24x

San Diego CA 11.42x 2.59x 1.53x Riverside CA 6.91x 2.94x 1.09x San Francisco CA 1.48x 2.43x.85x Denver CO 3.96x 1.29x 1.42x Hartford CT 2.07x 2.96x.82x Jacksonville FL 6.38x.82x.93x Orlando FL 8.13x 1.07x.77x Honolulu HI 23.98x 1.38x.94x Hilo HI 12.49x 1.23x 1.10x Des Moines IA 5.35x 3.09x 1.96x Idaho Falls ID 8.15x 3.53x.95x Aurora IL 2.27x 3.06x 1.10x Indianapolis IN 4.49x 1.80x 1.47x Topeka KS 2.09x 1.27x 1.33x Lexington KY 2.90x.92x.77x Baton Rouge LA 2.68x.77x.80x Worcester MA 1.77x 2.12x.79x Baltimore MD 2.06x 1.85x.76x Portland ME 1.23x 1.76x.39x Detroit MI 2.27x 1.99x 1.00x Duluth MN 1.07x 1.78x.86x Jefferson City MO 2.18x 1.41x 1.04x Jackson MS 3.16x 1.07x.92x Billings MT 1.82x 1.04x.58x Charlotte NC 1.82x 1.10x.81x Bismarck ND 1.53x 1.33x 1.23x Omaha NE 4.82x 3.52x 1.38x Trenton NJ 1.61x 2.17x.61x Santa Fe NM 1.12x 2.37x 1.39x Las Vegas NV 6.20x 2.40x 1.12x Albany NY 2.01x 2.11x.79x Cincinnati OH 2.35x 1.89x 1.42x Cleveland OH 1.91x 1.62x 1.28x Portland OR 2.16x.64x.32x Pittsburgh PA 1.59x 2.01x 1.21x Columbia SC 2.64x 1.35x 1.02x

Pierre SD 2.13x 1.70x 1.42x Dallas TX 2.29x 1.78x.74x Houston TX 2.03x 1.77x.44x San Angelo TX 1.97x 1.54x 1.61x Salt Lake City UT 16.77x 3.61x 1.94x Lynchburg VA 4.33x 1.56x.82x Virginia Beach VA 2.90x 1.34x.66x Olympia WA 1.28x 1.75x.87x Charleston WV 1.88x 1.10x 1.39x It is also of interest to see the increase over the 2010 background level in absolute terms. The following table represents the absolute increase in 2011 gross beta (measured in pci/m 3 ) over background for each city. City March increase April increase May increase Anchorage AK.0135.0051.0005 Fairbanks AK.0105.0104.0006 Birmingham AL.0053.0030 -.0017 Little Rock AR.0069.0017.0002 Phoenix AZ.1521.0337 -.0055 Tucson AZ.1034.0136.0053 Eureka CA.0209.0056.0017 Los Angeles CA.0356.0067.0006 Sacramento CA.0327.0058.0010 San Diego CA.0779.0078.0026 Riverside CA.0490.0111.0006 San Francisco CA.0395.0042 -.0004 Denver CO.0255.0021.0024 Hartford CT.0071.0110 -.0009 Jacksonville FL.0327 -.0016 -.0005 Orlando FL.0455.0006 -.0023 Honolulu HI.0559.0011 -.0002 Hilo HI.0445.0009.0004 Des Moines IA.0298.0162.0044

Idaho Falls ID.0325.0144 -.0003 Aurora IL.0131.0229.0009 Indianapolis IN.0255.0071.0026 Topeka KS.0123.0031.0022 Lexington KY.0111 -.0007 -.0016 Baton Rouge LA.0088 -.0019 -.0013 Worcester MA.0054.0083 -.0014 Baltimore MD.0100.0067 -.0019 Portland ME.0015.0047 -.0041 Detroit MI.0097.0080.0000 Duluth MN.0006.0045 -.0008 Jefferson City MO.0098.0045.0003 Jackson MS.0141.0007 -.0007 Billings MT.0144.0004 -.0045 Charlotte NC.0052.0009 -.0016 Bismarck ND.0051.0023.0009 Omaha NE.0347.0271.0022 Trenton NJ.0065.0095 -.0034 Santa Fe NM.0012.0112.0025 Las Vegas NV.0433.0094.0007 Albany NY.0094.0097 -.0015 Cincinnati OH.0107.0079.0024 Cleveland OH.0069.0043.0012 Portland OR.0075 -.0027 -.0058 Pittsburgh PA.0056.0076.0012 Columbia SC.0143.0047.0003 Pierre SD.0093.0047.0018 Dallas TX.0112.0077 -.0020 Houston TX.0080.0072 -.0056 San Angelo TX.0078.0043.0047 Salt Lake City UT.1119.0230.0066 Lynchburg VA.0268.0063 -.0017 Virginia Beach VA.0093.0024 -.0034 Olympia WA.0228.0024 -.0005 Charleston WV.0067.0009.0028

The top 15 increases in gross beta radiation for the selected cities are shown below. This will provide an index of the highest amounts of beta radiation caused by emissions from the Fukushima plant. City March beta level increase Phoenix AZ.1521 Salt Lake City UT.1119 Tucson AZ.1034 San Diego CA.0779 Honolulu HI.0559 Riverside CA.0490 Orlando FL.0455 Hilo HI.0445 Las Vegas NV.0433 San Francisco CA.0395 Los Angeles CA.0356 Omaha NE.0347 Sacramento CA.0327 Jacksonville FL.0327 Idaho Falls ID.0325 Arizona, Utah, and California had the highest amounts of airborne beta radiation. But Hawaii and, surprisingly, Florida also had high readings. These figures will be assumed to be proportional to the dry deposition of radioactive particles. Additionally, rain and snow also contribute greatly to the amount of radiation deposited on soil. This is called wet deposition. The following table summarizes the total March rainfall for cities in Florida and west of the Rockies:

City March 15-31 Rainfall (inches) Phoenix AZ 0.06 Tucson AZ 0.02 Eureka CA 8.02 Los Angeles CA 3.80 Sacramento CA 4.10 San Diego CA 1.32 Riverside CA 1.41 San Francisco CA 4.72 Jacksonville FL 1.84 Orlando FL 4.02 Honolulu HI 0.17 Hilo HI 6.53 Idaho Falls ID 0.74 Las Vegas NV 0.17 Portland OR 3.83 Salt Lake City UT 0.99 Olympia WA 3.58 Summarizing the March deposition of beta particles, we have the following states ranked in decreasing order of dry deposition: 1. Arizona 2. Utah 3. California 4. Hawaii 5. Florida The following states are estimated to have the highest amount of March wet deposition: 1. California 2. Hawaii 3. Florida 4. Washington

5. Oregon The areas with higher amounts of dry deposition of beta particles are likely to suffer relatively higher amounts of contamination in topsoil and vegetation. Radioactive particles would tend to collect on the surfaces of green leafy vegetables. Areas with high amounts of wet deposition would have higher amounts of beta particles deposited from rain, and especially snow. This would find its way into groundwater, and drinking water supplies for cities. The contamination levels are likely to be greater in areas with high elevations. April saw a sharp dropoff in beta radiation in Florida and some other areas. The highest amounts were located in the following cities: City April beta level increase Phoenix AZ.0337 Omaha NE.0271 Salt Lake City UT.0230 Aurora IL.0229 Des Moines IA.0162 Idaho Falls ID.0144 Tucson AZ.0136 Santa Fe NM.0112 Riverside CA.0111 Hartford CT.0110 May had a further dropoff, with many areas indistingishable from background. Some areas, especially in the west and Midwest, were elevated, and the beta radiation increases over the whole US were still statistically significant.

City May beta level increase Salt Lake City UT.0066 Tucson AZ.0053 San Angelo TX.0047 Des Moines IA.0044 Charleston WV.0028 Indianapolis IN.0026 San Diego CA.0026 Santa Fe NM.0025 Cincinnati OH.0024 The reduction in levels of beta radiation should not be assumed to continue in the future, as long as the Fukushima nuclear power plant emits radioactive substances into the atmosphere. A large Iodine-131 release occurred on May 22-23 (which did not enter into this analysis), and the Wallow fire in Arizona has increased beta levels for many areas of the country.