IPv6 Trends, Taiwan, Asia-Pacific and Worldwide: an update from 2014 TWNIC OPM Taipei, 21 June 2018 1
APNIC A global, open, stable and secure Internet that serves the entire Asia Pacific community 2
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Back in 2014 4
2014: Global IPv6 Capability 2.7%
2014: IPv6 Capability in TW 0.8%
Today 7
Today: IPv4 is nearly gone
Today: IPv4 is nearly gone Today s IPv4 free poll is around 1.6 /8 blocks Projected to fully exhaust within 3 years IPv4 address availability Rationing policies in AFRINIC, APNIC, LACNIC, RIPE NCC Market transfers in some regions, and between APNIC and RIPE/ARIN The time has come to move on from IPv4.
Today: IPv6 is growing fast Google APNIC Labs 2014
IPv6 routing vs IPv4 IPv6 BGP 55,000 IPv6 15,000 ASNs 8,000 15,000 IPv4 BGP 500,000 750,000 IPv4 ASNs 62,000 45,000 2014 2014 Source: APNIC Labs
Global IPv6 capability is now 18% APNIC Labs measurement system 10+ million samples per day, worldwide Measurement script (HTML5) embedded within Google Ad* Capable means has an IPv6 address % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web object Preference is slightly lower: 17.3% Other measures place it slightly higher at 20% Consider APNIC a low side count Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and below the world average
Drilling down 13
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BE 58.75% IN 57.27% US 44.42% GR 38.61% DE 38.43% UY 37.46% LU 28.74% BR 28.53% CH 28.28% FI 28.06% MY 27.53% JP 27.28% GB 26.01% IE 24.99% TT 24.51% FR 22.89% EE 22.79% CA 21.57% PT 19.03% NZ 18.42% Global Average = 18% EC 17.94% AU 17.16% VN 14.91% NO 14.43% TH 13.30% PE 13.28% MO 13.14% HU 12.72% NL 12.15% TW 12.01% RO 11.79% SA 11.41% SI 11.39% SE 11.17% MX 10.24% CZ 9.67% GT 9.65% PR 8.68% KR 8.08% AT 7.85% PL 7.81% ZW 7.64% LK 7.36% AR 7.27% SG 7.19% BO 5.26% DK 5.12% SK 4.00% ES 3.25% BA 2.92% EG 2.82% IL 2.42% GA 2.42% LV 2.37% AE 2.27% IR 2.21% IT 2.09% BT 1.78% BG 1.62% RU 1.56% CN 1.36% DO 1.12% KE 1.09% ZA 1.00%
Taiwan 25% 20% Taiwan 15% 10% 5% 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Taiwan, E Asia 25% 20% East Asia Taiwan 15% 10% 5% 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Taiwan, E Asia, Asia 25% 20% 15% Asia East Asia Taiwan 10% 5% 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Taiwan, E Asia, Asia, and the World 25% 20% 15% World Asia East Asia Taiwan 10% 5% 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Some cases 22
Australia, Taiwan, India, Viet Nam 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Australia Taiwan India Vietnam 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Australia 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Australia Telstra Internode 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Australia ASAS1221 - ASN-TELSTRA Telstra Pty Ltd ASAS4739 - INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd ASAS133612 - VODAFONE-AS-AP Vodafone Australia Pty Ltd ASAS4804 - MPX-AS Microplex PTY LTD ASAS7545 - TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Telecom Limited ASAS9443 - INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus Telecommunications 149 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
Australia: Telstra and Internode Telstra 464XLAT on Mobile, dualstack on Fiber Multiple APN deployment in phases, long test period iphone support delayed during rollout pending ios updates Internode dualstack on Fiber and xdsl First significant adopter of IPv6 in Australia Long tail of old CPE directly owned by customers Company acquired by iinet and subsequently TPG and run as independent ISP, but no longer prioritizing IPv6
India 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% India Reliance Bharti Mobile Hutchinson 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
India ASAS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited ASAS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services ASAS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited ASAS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service ASAS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 822 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
India Reliance 464XLAT on mobile, MAP-T and dual stack on Cable Clean build LTE (4G) deployment went live as IPv6 Dominant after highly aggressive promotion campaign Others followed: Hutchison, Airtel, Idea Bharti Airtel Dual stack on mobile
Viet Nam 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Vietnam VNPT FPT 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Viet Nam ASAS18403 - FPT-AS-AP The Corporation for Financing Promoting Technology ASAS45899 - VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp ASAS7552 - VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group ASAS24086 - VIETTEL-AS-VN Viettel Corporation IPv6 IPv4
Viet Nam FPT PPPoE dual stack deployment on Cable and Fiber 6PE in MPLS core (RFC4798) https://blog.apnic.net/2017/08/16/fpt-telecoms-ipv6-journey VNPT Followed FPT after experiences integrated into national plan 6PE/6VPE and dual stack, planning move to IPv6-only (464XLAT) https://blog.apnic.net/2018/06/06/vnpts-deployment-of-ipv6-asuccess/
Other cases 33
United Kingdom 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% United Kingdom Sky BT Orange 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
United Kingdom ASAS5607 - BSKYB-BROADBAND-AS ASAS2856 - BT-UK-AS BTnet UK Regional network ASAS12576 - ORANGE-PCS ASAS13285 - OPALTELECOM-AS TalkTalk Communications Limited ASAS5089 - NTL ASAS6871 - PLUSNET UK Internet Service Provider ASAS9105 - TISCALI-UK ISP Network, UK 292 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
United Kingdom Sky Dualstack on Cable and Fiber In-house MAP-T for own CPE Deployment phased by CPE versions, applied nationally https://blog.apnic.net/2018/04/04/connecting-5-million-users-to-ipv6/ BT 464XLAT on mobile
Uruguay 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Uruguay Antel 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Uruguay ASAS6057 - Administracion Nacional de Telecomunicaciones ASAS19422 - Telefonica Moviles del Uruguay SA ASAS11664 - Techtel LMDS Comunicaciones Interactivas S.A. IPv6 IPv4
Malaysia 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Malaysia TMNet Maxis DIGIIX CelcomNet UMobile 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Malaysia ASAS4818 - DIGIIX-AP DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd. ASAS4788 - TMNET-AS-AP TM Net, Internet Service Provider ASAS9534 - MAXIS-AS1-AP Binariang Berhad ASAS10030 - CELCOMNET-AP Celcom Internet Service Provider ASAS9930 - TTNET-MY TIME dotcom Berhad ASAS38466 - UMOBILE-AS-AP U Mobile Sdn Bhd IPv6 IPv4
Back to Taiwan 41
Taiwan 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Taiwan TANET HINET EMOME chunghwa 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Taiwan (2018) 40% 35% 30% 25% Taiwan TANET HINET EMOME chunghwa 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Taiwan ASAS17421 - EMOME-NET Mobile Business Group ASAS3462 - HINET Data Communication Business Group ASAS24158 - TAIWANMOBILE-AS Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. ASAS9674 - FET-TW Far EastTone Telecommunication Co., Ltd. ASAS131591 - AMBIT-AS-TW Ambit Microsystem Corporation ASAS24157 - VIBO-NET-AS Taiwan Star Telecom Corporation Limited.(Former Vibo Telecom Inc.) 51 other ASN IPv6 IPv4
Taiwan Recent signs of activity from two major ASN in the Chinese region of Taiwan HINET Chunghwa Telecom (Landline, FTTx, xsdl) EMOME (mobile division of Chunghwa) Representing almost 50% of Taiwanese samples Early stages of a very rapid deployment Signs of competitive tension in IPv6?
What s next? 46
How much longer? Sigmoid curves https://hbr.org/2013/11/the-pace-of-technology-adoption-is-speeding-up 47
The next five years?
Conclusions IPv6 deployment is happening globally Ongoing sustained and accelerating growth Evidence of competitive pressure Hard to predict where and when We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6 We have emerging Internet Economies with a lot of IPv6 A new digital divide? Lack of capital investment for deployment Lack of competitive incentive? Plan now, or pay later
Finally 50
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Later APRICOT 2019 / APNIC 47 Daejeon, Republic of Korea 18 to 28 February 2019 APNIC 48 Chang Mai, Thailand 5 to 12 September 2019 53
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