Review of Maritime Transport 2016

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Transcription:

Review of Maritime Transport 2016 Release date 2 nd November 2016 www.unctad.org/rmt V.F.Valentine, UNCTAD, Trade Logistics Branch

Contents 1. World Seaborne Trade 2. Merchant Fleet 3. Freight Rates 4. Ports 5. Legal

Structure of international seaborne trade, 2015

Excerpts from the Ports Chapter Chapter 4

Ports they re all different

Container ports The top 20 container ports, declined in growth from 5.4% in 2014 to just 0.5% in 2015. A wider sample of the top 100 container ports however showed a more positive growth of 6.8% over the previous year.

Table 4.2. Top 20 container terminals and their throughput for 2013, 2014 and 2015 (Twenty-foot equivalent units and percentage change) Rank Port Name Country 2013 2014 2015 Percentage change 2014-2013 Percentage change 2015-2014 1 Shanghai China 33 617 000 35 290 000 36 540 000 4.98 3.54 2 Singapore Singapore 32 579 000 33 869 000 30 922 000 3.96-8.70 3 Shenzhen China 23 279 000 24 040 000 24 200 000 3.27 0.67 4 Ningbo & Zhoushan China 17 351 000 19 450 000 20 630 000 12.10 6.07 5 Hong Kong China 22 352 000 22 200 000 20 100 000-0.68-9.46 6 Busan Korea, Republic of 17 686 000 18 683 000 19 467 000 5.64 4.20 7 Guangzhou China 15 309 000 16 610 000 17 590 000 8.50 5.90 8 Qingdao China 15 520 000 16 580 000 17 430 000 6.83 5.13 9 Dubai Ports United Arab Emirates 13 641 000 15 200 000 15 590 000 11.43 2.57 10 Tianjin China 13 000 000 14 060 000 14 110 000 8.15 0.36 11 Rotterdam Netherlands 11 621 000 12 298 000 12 235 000 5.83-0.51 12 Port Klang Malaysia 10 350 000 10 946 000 11 887 000 5.76 8.60 13 Kaohsiung Taiwan 9 938 000 10 593 000 10 260 000 6.59-3.14 14 Antwerp Belgium 8 578 000 8 978 000 9 654 000 4.66 7.53 15 Dalian China 10 015 000 10 130 000 9 450 000 1.15-6.71 16 Xiamen China 8 008 000 8 572 000 9 180 000 7.04 7.09 17 Tanjung Pelepas Malaysia 7 628 000 8 500 000 9 130 000 11.43 7.41 18 Hamburg Germany 9 257 000 9 720 000 8 821 000 5.00-9.25 19 Los Angeles United States of America 7 868 000 7 868 000 7 868 000 0.00 0.00 20 Long Beach United States of America 6 648 000 6 648 000 6 648 000 0.00 0.00 Total top 20 294 245 000 310 235 000 311 712 000 5.43 0.48 Source: Various including Dynamar, July 2016 and Port of Rotterdam, Port Statistics. A Wealth of Information. Make it Happen (2016)

Table 4.3 Container Berth Productivity within selected developing Countries (2015) Terminal International Terminal Actual Port Country Region Operator Improvement Oman International Container Terminal HPH Sohar Oman Middle East 101% Luanda Container Terminal APMT Luanda Angola Africa 52% Tanzania Int'l Container Terminal Services HPH Dar es Salaam Tanzania Africa 37% Nam Hai Terminal Haiphong Vietnam Asia 22% DP World Maputo DP World Maputo Mozambique Africa 21% Tecon Suape Container Terminal ICTSI Suape Brazil South America 20% South Container Terminal DP World Jeddah Saudi Arabia Middle East 20% Shuaiba Area Container Terminal Shuaiba Kuwait Middle East 18% Jawaharlal Nehru Container Terminal DP World Nehru India Asia 18% Evergreen Container Terminal - LCB2 Evergreen Laem Chabang Thailand Asia 17% Manzanillo International Terminal SSA Marine Manzanillo Panama South America 16% Panama Ports Co. HPH Cristobal Panama South America 16% First Container Terminal Global Ports St. Petersburg Russian Federation Europe 14% Societe de Manutention du Terminal a Conteneurs Bolloré Group Cotonou Benin Africa 13% Terminal Petikemas Surabaya DP World Surabaya Indonesia Asia 11% Korea Express Busan Container Terminal China Shipping Group Busan Korea, Republic of Asia 9% South Harbor International Container Terminal (ATI) ICTSI Manila Philippines Asia 8% Aqaba Container Terminal APMT Aqaba Jordan Middle East 7% Walvis Bay Container Terminal Walvis Bay Namibia Africa 6% PSA Singapore Terminals PSA Singapore Singapore Asia 6% Terminal 2 - Rio Multitermais Container Terminal Rio de Janeiro Brazil South America 5% Dongbu Pusan Container Terminal Evergreen Busan Korea, Republic of Asia 3% Port Akdeniz Global Ports Holding Antalya Turkey Asia 2% APM Source: Terminals UNCTAD secretariat, Pecem derived from the Journal of Commerce APMT Port Productivity Database Pecem (2016) and other sources. Brazil South America 2%

World s leading ports by volume the 20 leading ports growth declined from 6.3% in 2014 to 0.9% in 2015. Of the seven largest ports to have experienced declines in throughput in 2015, Singapore was the only one not located in China. However, with fourteen of the top 20 leading ports located in China, some individual ports still managed to grow impressively, and one (Suzhou) even grew by double-digits.

Rank Port Name Country 2013 2014 2015 Percentage change 2014-2013 Percentage change 2015-2014 1 Ningbo & Zhoushan China 809 800 000 873 000 000 889 000 000 7.80 1.83 2 Shanghai China 776 000 000 755 300 000 717 400 000-2.67-5.02 3 Singapore Singapore 560 800 000 581 300 000 574 900 000 3.66-1.10 4 Tianjin China 500 600 000 540 000 000 541 000 000 7.87 0.19 5 Suzhou China 454 000 000 480 000 000 540 000 000 5.73 12.50 6 Guangzhou China 454 700 000 500 400 000 519 900 000 10.05 3.90 7 Qingdao China 450 000 000 480 000 000 500 000 000 6.67 4.17 8 Tangshan China 446 200 000 500 800 000 490 000 000 12.24-2.16 9 Rotterdam Netherlands 440 500 000 444 700 000 466 400 000 0.95 4.88 10 Port Hedland Australia 326 000 000 421 800 000 452 900 000 29.39 7.37 11 Dalian China 408 400 000 420 000 000 415 000 000 2.84-1.19 12 Rizhao China 309 200 000 353 000 000 361 000 000 14.17 2.27 13 Yingkou China 330 000 000 330 700 000 338 500 000 0.21 2.36 14 Busan Korea, Republic of 292 400 000 312 000 000 323 700 000 6.70 3.75 15 South Louisiana United States of America 241 500 000 264 700 000 265 600 000 9.61 0.34 16 Hong Kong China 276 100 000 297 700 000 256 600 000 7.82-13.81 17 Qinhuangdao China 272 600 000 274 000 000 253 100 000 0.51-7.63 18 Port Klang Malaysia 200 200 000 217 200 000 219 800 000 8.49 1.20 19 Shenzen China 234 000 000 223 300 000 217 100 000-4.57-2.78 20 Xiamen China 191 000 000 205 000 000 210 000 000 7.33 2.44 Total top 20 7974 000 000 8474 900 000 8551 900 000 6.28 0.91 Table 4.4 World leading ports by total volume (2015) Source: Port of Rotterdam, Port Statistics. A Wealth of Information. Make it Happen (2016)

Table 4.5 Average time bulk vessels spend waiting for, and alongside, a berth by country (2015) Quanity (tonnes in '000s) 2014 2015 Average of Waiting (days) Average of Working Time (days) Quanity (tonnes in '000s) Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from data supplied by Wilhelmsen Ships Service (2016) Note:.. indicates data unavailable Average of Average Working of Waiting Time (days) (days) Row Labels Sample Size Sample Size Australia 4 438 455 907 5.50 10.95 2 461 517 066 4.52 5.55 Brazil 1 533 252 707 6.44 12.08 1 537 258 899 5.17 2.04 Canada 151 17 779 5.08 2.58 36 3 327 2.33 2.69 China 599 76 347 3.73 2.74 1 470 183 976 1.81 2.42 Colombia 48 4 838 1.75 0.82 213 19 304 0.36 1.95 India 2 302 163 729 3.96 10.68 1 865 124 192 2.28 3.63 Indonesia 2 609 182 875 2.55 4.06 281 19 430 2.99 4.05 Korea, Republic Of........ 167 19 145 2.64 3.75 Netherlands 51 7 416 0.12 2.78 72 8 947 1.09 2.59 South Africa........ 994 89 376 2.32 2.33 Taiwan, Republic of China........ 107 8 858 0.68 3.40 United States 188 13 819 4.74 2.31 55 5 129 1.51 1.63 Grand Total 11 925 1 176 315 4.53 8.80 9 258 1 257 650 3.46 3.86

Table 4.6 Estimated cost of waiting for a berth at selected countries (2014-2015) Average of Waiting (days) 2014 2015 Estimated Cost of Average sample wait of Waiting (in '000s $) Sample Size (days) Estimated Cost of sample wait (in '000s $) Country Sample Size Australia 4 438 5.50 421 352 2 461 4.52 182 815 Brazil 1 533 6.44 188 822 1 537 5.17 73 630 Canada 151 5.08 13 594 36 2.33 702 China 599 3.73 43 636 1 470 1.81 26 087 Colombia 48 1.75 1 349 213 0.36 690 India 2 302 3.96 128 000 1 865 2.28 33 640 Indonesia 2 609 2.55 82 442 281 2.99 6 424 Korea, Republic Of...... 167 2.64 4 470 Netherlands 51 0.12 129 72 1.09 713 South Africa...... 994 2.32 19 067 Taiwan, Republic Of China...... 107 0.68 703 United States 188 4.74 12 785 55 1.51 757 Grand Total 11 925 4.53 892 379 9 258 3.46 349 699 Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from data supplied by Wilhelmsen Ships Service (2016) Note:.. indicates data unavailable The estimated cost of the sample wait is derived by taking the average daily charter rate over the year for the specific size of vessel carrying the cargo and multiplying this by the time. Both yearly figures involve different samples sizes and cannot be directly compared. The cost is part of the price (i.e. it excludes other factors e.g. crew wages, victualling, fuel oil etc.) of an underutilized asset and which will ultimately be borne by consumers as a higher transport cost component in the value of the final good.

How to overcome the global dearth in port statistics?

Automatic Identification Systems (AIS) Data Since 2002 the International Maritime Organization's International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) requires Automatic Identification Systems (AIS) to be fitted aboard international bound ships with gross tonnage (GT) of 300. The horizontal range is around 75km whereas the vertical range can be up to 400km making satellites mounted AIS receivers able to provide extra coverage out at sea

Figure 4.1. AIS Data signals sample by vessel type (2015) 2.8 million signals 1.6 million signals Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from AIS data supplied by MarineTraffic (2016)

Table 4.1 Vessel Calls by Region and Type (2015) Vessels Africa Asia Caribbean Europe North America Oceania South America Grand Total Cargo Carrying Bulk Carriers 9 486 69 150 3 684 17 048 10 553 14 051 13 403 137 375 Container Ship 20 418 180 705 16 729 64 900 14 620 7 188 17 669 322 229 Dry Cargo/Passenger 36 915 375 134 13 035 431 849 48 834 40 651 19 780 966 198 Tankers 9 160 127 312 6 599 62 721 10 387 3 306 10 312 229 797 Grand Total 75 979 752 301 40 047 576 518 84 394 65 196 61 164 1 655 599 Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from AIS data supplied by MarineTraffic (2016) Note: The regions listed have been defined by UNCTAD and for the purpose of this research the Caribbean region also includes meso American countries

Figure 4.2. Scale of Vessel Port calls for the Africa Region (2015) 76,000 recorded port calls in the Africa region. This map of AIS data shows that there is a significant amount of vessel traffic in the Gulf of Guinea. Luanda, Angola Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from AIS data supplied by MarineTraffic (2016) Luanda, Angola, is singled out as the second busiest port in the data sample, after Morocco, with almost 4,000 port calls (2,105 Dry cargo/passenger ships, 1,236 Tankers, 507 Container ships and 147 bulk carriers). Other leading ports in the data sample show significant levels of traffic in Durban (South Africa), Lagos (Nigeria), Port Said (Egypt), Alexandria (Egypt) and Suez (Egypt).

Figure 4.3 Port Calls in the Africa Region (2015) The AIS data represents 73 ports located in 37 countries. Note this figure includes the island of Saint Helena (British Overseas Territory). It does not include the 15 African landlocked countries nor Cape Verde or the Democratic Republic of Congo where data was not reported upon. Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from AIS data supplied by MarineTraffic (2016)

What of South Asia? (not in the RMT 2016) Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from AIS data supplied by MarineTraffic (2016)

Colombo, Sri Lanka (not in the RMT 2016) Colombo, Sri Lanka Bulk Carriers 177 Container Ship 3,400 Dry Cargo/Passenger 563 Tankers 209 Source: UNCTAD secretariat, derived from AIS data supplied by MarineTraffic (2016)

CONCLUSION The port industry grew in 2015, albeit at a significantly lower rate compared to the previous year. Most of the growth occurred in smaller ports. A continued downward pressure in trade should put pressure upon ports to release of statistics not previously seen as newsworthy could become more common. Improvements in port efficiency could add further fuel to this process and help bring down the cost of international trade. Further analysis on AIS data is ongoing in the future we hope to be able to report upon information such as ship dwell time, vessel carrying capacity as part of a larger study on port productivity.

Review of Maritime Transport 2016 Release date 2 nd November 2016 www.unctad.org/rmt www.unctadstat.org V.F.Valentine, UNCTAD, Trade Logistics Branch