Unemployment by constituency, July 2014

Unemployment by constituency, July 2014 RESEARCH PAPER 14/40 16 July 2014 This paper contains labour market figures for parliamentary constituencies, as well as a summary of the latest national and regional statistics. The number of people claiming Jobseeker s Allowance decreased by 36,300 between May 2014 and June 2014, to 1.04 million people aged 18 or over, the lowest level since October 2008. The unemployment rate was 6.5% in March-May 2014. The ILO measure of unemployment was 2.12 million people, down 121,000 from the previous quarter and down 383,000 from the previous year. The number of people in employment was 30.64 million in March-May 2014, up 254,000 from the previous quarter and up 929,000 from the previous year. The employment rate was 73.1% and is now higher than its pre-recession peak of 73.0% in March-May 2008. 400 300 200 100 0-100 -200 +254 Employment Aged 16+ Change on previous quarter Thousands -121 Unemployment Aged 16+ -67 Inactivity Aged 16-64 Aliyah Dar David Hough

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Contents 1 Employment and unemployment national 1 Claimant Count and unemployment 1 Employment 2 Inactivity 3 Vacancies 3 Earnings 3 2 Analysis and maps of the JSA claimant count by constituency 4 Rises and falls for constituencies 4 Universal Credit 4 Highest and lowest claimant rates 9 3 Key figures for constituencies 10 Table 1: JSA claimants and rates by constituency, alphabetical listing 10 4 Information about sources, methods and copyright 29 4.1 Sources and copyright 29 4.2 Unemployment rate methodology 29 4.3 Notes and abbreviations 30 The denominators used to calculate the constituency claimant rates shown in this paper were updated in June 2014, in line with new data from the 2011 Census and constituency population estimates for mid-2012. Rates shown in editions of Unemployment by Constituency from June 2014 onwards may not be comparable with those shown in previous editions. Publication Unemployment by Constituency is published every month, on the same day that the Office for National Statistics publishes new data on the labour market (a Wednesday in the middle of the month). The next edition will be published on 13 August 2014. Email alert On the day that new labour market statistics are published, an email alert is sent out to every Member with the latest headline unemployment figures for their constituency. Members staff can also sign up for this email please contact David Hough on x6933 (or email: houghd@parliament.uk) to be added to the list. Requests for further information and feedback For further information or statistics on the labour market, Members and their staff can contact Feargal McGuinness on x4904. If you have any comments or suggestions about Unemployment by Constituency, please contact Feargal McGuinness on x4904.

RESEARCH PAPER 14/40 1 Employment and unemployment national Statistics on Jobseeker s Allowance (JSA) claimants are one part of a large selection of labour market data released on a monthly basis. 1 This section highlights some of the key national figures in the latest labour market release. Claimant Count and unemployment The number of people claiming JSA decreased by 36,300 between May 2014 and June 2014, to 1.04 million people aged 18 or over. 2 This is the lowest monthly claimant count since October 2008. There are 418,900 fewer people claiming JSA than in June 2013, the largest annual decrease since December 1997. 3 The number of male claimants decreased by 22,300 between May 2014 and June 2014 to 668,100. The number of female claimants decreased by 14,000 to 376,200. 3.0 2.5 2.0 Millions of people unemployed UK, seasonally adjusted People available for and looking for w ork (ILO definition) ILO unemployment was 2.12 million in March-May 2014, down 121,000 from the previous quarter and down 383,000 from the year before. 4 The unemployment rate was 6.5% (the percentage of the economically active population who are unemployed), down 0.4% points on the previous quarter and 1.3% points on the same period last year. This compares to a pre-recession low of 5.2% in March-May 2008 and a post-recession high of 8.4% in late 2011. 1.5 1.0 0.5 People claiming Jobseeker's Allow ance 0.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Measuring unemployment: two sets of statistics are used to assess the health of the labour market: The claimant count: the number of people claiming Jobseeker s Allowance. This is the most up to date information and is available for local areas, but can be affected by changes to benefit rules. ILO unemployment: the standard international measure, which includes everyone looking for and available for work, whether or not they are claiming Jobseeker s Allowance. This is measured using surveys; data for constituencies and local authorities have a time lag and are subject to more sampling variation. There were 1.17 million men unemployed in March-May 2014, down 95,000 from the previous quarter. 956,000 women were unemployed, down 25,000 from the previous quarter. 817,000 young people aged 16-24 were unemployed in March-May 2014, down 64,000 from the previous quarter and down 141,000 from the previous year. The unemployment rate for this age group is 17.8% down from 20.9% last year. 1 The latest labour market release is available from the ONS website. This section is based on data from this release and local labour market statistics from NOMIS. Data in this section are seasonally adjusted. 2 Figures for claimants aged 18+ are seasonally adjusted to remove the effects of changes to the claimant count that tend to happen every year. JSA data for constituencies later in this paper are not seasonally adjusted. Section 2 looks at patterns and trends in the non-seasonally adjusted constituency data. 3 The JSA claimant count excludes a small number of new jobseekers who are claiming Universal Credit rather than Jobseeker s Allowance. Further details are given in section 4. 4 Much of the data in this section, such as ILO unemployment and employment, are based on estimates from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). As these are liable to sampling variability, small changes in the figures should be interpreted with caution as they may be a result of sampling error. More information on sampling variability is available from table A11 of the labour market statistical section of the ONS website. 1

RESEARCH PAPER 14/40 749,000 people had been unemployed for longer than 12 months at March-May 2014, a fall of 57,000 from the previous quarter and 166,000 lower than a year earlier. 415,000 people had been unemployed for longer than two years, 15,000 fewer than the previous quarter and 59,000 lower than a year ago. On a country and regional basis the unemployment rate was highest in the North East (9.6%) and lowest in the South East (4.4%) in March-May 2014. The unemployment rate decreased over the year in all regions. The largest annual percentage falls in unemployment were in the West Midlands (down 2.4% points) and the East Midlands (down 2.0% points). However, note regional unemployment estimates are more volatile than for the UK. Employment 30.64 million people were in employment in March-May 2014. 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Total unemployed Long term unemployment Millions, UK, seasonally adjusted ILO definition of unemployment Unemployed for at least 12 months 0.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unemployment by country and region March-May 2014 ILO unemployment rates North East Yorkshire and The Humber West Midlands London North West Scotland Northern Ireland Wales United Kingdom East Midlands East of England South West South East 5.0% 4.4% 5.6% 5.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 7.4% 9.6% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Employment was up 254,000 from the previous quarter and 929,000 more people were in employment than a year ago. This is the largest annual increase since comparable records began in 1972. Employment, annual change to March-May 2014 Thousands +929 The employment rate (the proportion of the population aged +480 +285 16-64 in work) was 73.1% in +164 March-May 2014 and is now higher +47 +117 than its pre-recession peak of 73.0% in March-May 2008. It was All people Men Women up 0.5% points from the previous quarter and 1.7% points from the previous year. +765 +527 +402 Full time Part time The female employment rate was 68.1% in March-May 2014. The male employment rate was 78.1%. The number of men in employment increased by 121,000 over the past quarter and 527,000 over the past year, to 16.42 million in March-May 2014. The number of women in employment was 14.23 million, 133,000 more than in the previous quarter and 402,000 more than in the same period last year. 2

RESEARCH PAPER 14/40 22.44 million people were working full-time in March-May 2014, up 231,000 on the previous quarter and 765,000 more than a year earlier. The number of people working part-time was 8.20 million, up 24,000 on the previous quarter and 164,000 more than a year ago. 1.36 million people were working in parttime jobs because they could not find a full-time job, down 61,000 on the previous quarter and 86,000 from the same period last year. 4.58 million people were self-employed in March-May 2014, an increase of 78,000 on the previous quarter and 404,000 on the same period last year. The number of people working as employees was up 190,000 on the previous quarter and up 552,000 on the previous year, at 25.83 million. Inactivity The number of people aged 16-64 who are economically inactive (not in work and not looking for work) was 8.78 million in March-May 2014, down 67,000 from the previous quarter and down 258,000 compared to the previous year. The proportion of the population aged 16-64 who were inactive (the inactivity rate) was 21.7%. This equals the troughs of late 1989 and early 1990, when the inactivity rate was at its lowest point since comparable records began in 1971. The inactivity rate for men was 16.2%, unchanged compared to the previous quarter and 0.6% points lower than the previous year. The inactivity rate for women was 27.2% in March-May 2014, the lowest rate since comparable records began in 1971. 3.26 million men aged 16-64 were inactive, about the same as in the previous quarter. The number of women aged 16-64 who were inactive was down 72,000 at 5.51 million. Vacancies There were 648,000 job vacancies in the three months to June 2014, 30,000 more than in the previous quarter and 117,000 higher than a year ago. This is the highest number of vacancies in the economy since the three months to June 2008. Earnings Average weekly total pay in Great Britain rose by 0.3% in March-May 2014 compared with the same period the year before. Real average weekly earnings Regular pay (excluding bonuses) was up May 2014 prices, adjusted for CPI inflation 0.7%. The Consumer Price Index increased by 1.5% between May 2013 and May 2014. Average weekly total pay in the private sector increased by 0.2% over this period. In the public sector total pay rose by 0.6%. Regular pay (excluding bonuses) rose by 0.9% in the private sector and by 0.6% in the public sector. 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 Including bonuses Excluding bonuses 400 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 3

RESEARCH PAPER 14/40 2 Analysis and maps of the JSA claimant count by constituency Statistics on Jobseeker s Allowance (JSA) claimants are released monthly for each constituency. Unlike the national figures shown earlier in the paper, these figures are not seasonally adjusted and so reflect changes to the claimant count that tend to happen every year. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the number of people in the UK claiming Jobseeker s Allowance in June 2014 was 1.02 million, down 69,700 from the previous month. National data taking seasonal factors into account show that the claimant count fell by 36,300 between May and June, to 1.04 million. 5 The table in Section 3 shows figures for each constituency on this non-seasonally adjusted basis, along with figures for countries and regions (at the end of the table). Rises and falls for constituencies Over the last year, between June 2013 and June 2014, the claimant count decreased in all constituencies. Over the month to June 2014, the claimant count decreased in 648 constituencies and increased in two constituencies Dundee West and Dundee East. Universal Credit The claimant count figures presented in this paper do not include people claiming Universal Credit. From April 2013, single unemployed people without children attending certain jobcentres are claiming Universal Credit rather than JSA. Section 4.3 lists the Jobcentres affected, along with the date Universal Credit was rolled out in each area. The table below shows Universal Credit claimants by constituency. In total, 5,880 people were claiming Universal Credit at 30 April 2014. This will include people who continue to receive Universal Credit having entered employment. Universal Credit claimants by constituency at 30 April 2014 Constituency Caseload Constituency Caseload Oldham West and Royton 880 St Helens North 40 Ashton-under-Lyne 790 Ross, Skye and Lochaber 30 Wigan 710 Harrogate and Knaresborough 40 Oldham East and Saddleworth 660 North East Somerset 30 Warrington North 590 West Lancashire 20 Warrington South 530 Kensington 10 Makerfield 480 Leigh 10 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey 300 Weaver Vale 10 Hammersmith 210 Halton 10 Rugby 180 Bolton West 10 Denton and Reddish 110 Manchester Central 10 Stalybridge and Hyde 70 Alyn and Deeside 10 Bath 70 Other 100 Figures are rounded to the nearest ten. Source: DWP, Universal Credit - experimental official statistics to April 2014 5 Figures on the number of claimants of Jobseeker s Allowance are affected by changes to benefit rules see Section 4.3 of a discussion of recent changes, which affect (a) lone parents; (b) long-term claimants (especially young people) and (c) some new jobseekers who are receiving Universal Credit rather than Jobseeker s Allowance. 4

RESEARCH PAPER 14/40 Highest and lowest claimant rates The tables show the constituencies ranking highest and lowest in terms of the claimant rate and claimant numbers. Claimant rate Number of claimants Claimant rate Number of claimants 1 Foyle 12.9% 1 1 1 Birmingham, Ladywood 7,102 2 Birmingham, Ladywood 12.4% 1 1 2 Leeds Central 5,653 3 Belfast West 11.9% 1 1 3 Foyle 5,608 4 Birmingham, Hodge Hill 11.7% 1 1 4 Birmingham, Hodge Hill 5,224 5 Belfast North 11.1% 1 1 5 Belfast North 4,910 6 Bradford West 9.9% 1 1 6 Bradford West 4,591 7 Middlesbrough 9.5% 1 1 7 Belfast West 4,542 8 Bradford East 8.7% 1 1 8 Tottenham 4,410 9 Wolverhampton South East 8.7% 1 1 9 Bradford East 4,285 10 Nottingham North 8.6% 1 1 10 Nottingham East 4,135 : : : : : 641 North Dorset 0.8% 1 1 641 Derbyshire Dales 361 642 South Cambridgeshire 0.8% 1 1 642 West Dorset 357 643 Stratford-on-Avon 0.8% 1 1 643 Gordon 347 644 Kenilworth and Southam 0.7% 1 1 644 North East Hampshire 339 645 Westmorland and Lonsdale 0.7% 1 1 645 Henley 333 646 Henley 0.7% 1 1 646 Stratford-on-Avon 330 647 Mid Sussex 0.7% 1 1 647 Kenilworth and Southam 288 648 North East Hampshire 0.7% 1 1 648 Westmorland and Lonsdale 283 649 Gordon 0.6% 1 1 649 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine 270 650 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine 0.5% 1 1 650 Orkney and Shetland 210 Claimant rate is calculated as the number of claimants divided by the estimated economically active population aged 16-64. Claimants aged 18-24 Number Number 1 Birmingham, Hodge Hill 1,375 1 1 1 Birmingham, Ladywood 2,915 2 Foyle 1,365 1 1 2 Foyle 2,020 3 Birmingham, Ladywood 1,355 1 1 3 Leeds Central 1,985 4 Leeds Central 1,325 1 1 4 Birmingham, Hodge Hill 1,975 5 Bradford West 1,180 1 1 5 Bradford West 1,730 6 Belfast North 1,165 1 1 6 Belfast North 1,725 7 Belfast West 1,145 1 1 7 Belfast West 1,690 8 Nottingham North 1,055 1 1 8 Birmingham, Perry Barr 1,625 9 Sheffield, Brightside and Hillsborough 1,050 1 1 9 Bradford East 1,575 10 Bradford East 1,005 1 1 10 Middlesbrough 1,530 : : : : : : 641 Wokingham 60 5 3 =639 North Dorset 65 =641 Mid Sussex 60 5 3 =639 Kenilworth and Southam 65 =641 North East Hampshire 60 5 4 643 South West Devon 60 644 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine 55 1 4 =643 West Dorset 60 645 Na h-eileanan An Iar 50 3 4 =643 North East Hampshire 60 =645 Orkney and Shetland 50 3 4 =643 Gordon 60 =645 Henley 50 3 3 647 Orkney and Shetland 45 648 Kenilworth and Southam 45 2 3 =647 Stratford-on-Avon 45 =648 Westmorland and Lonsdale 45 2 3 =647 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine 45 650 Harrogate and Knaresborough 40 1 1 650 Westmorland and Lonsdale 40 Figures for claimants aged 18-24 and claims of duration are rounded to the nearest five. East Devon also had 65 claimants of duration 9

Aberavon W 1,244-480 -27.8 4.2% 182 370-200 -35.1 230-30 -11.5 305-30 -9.0 Aberconwy W 822-235 -22.2 3.2% 290 225-60 -21.1 170-25 -12.8 220-45 -17.0 Aberdeen North S 1,228-442 -26.5 2.3% 409 210-140 -40.0 240-35 -12.7 225-95 -29.7 Aberdeen South S 723-241 -25.0 1.3% 563 135-80 -37.2 160-30 -15.8 125-55 -30.6 Airdrie and Shotts S 2,385-745 -23.8 5.5% 86 650-195 -23.1 400-75 -15.8 800-220 -21.6 Aldershot E 863-601 -41.1 1.5% 527 175-180 -50.7 225-75 -25.0 210-70 -25.0 Aldridge-Brownhills E 1,034-482 -31.8 2.8% 336 275-155 -36.0 210-55 -20.8 310-165 -34.7 Altrincham and Sale West E 869-415 -32.3 1.8% 482 170-135 -44.3 205-75 -26.8 245-45 -15.5 Alyn and Deeside W 1,029-494 -32.4 2.4% 389 235-180 -43.4 215-40 -15.7 290-35 -10.8 Amber Valley E 1,117-480 -30.1 2.5% 371 305-145 -32.2 200-75 -27.3 285-145 -33.7 Angus S 1,212-593 -32.9 2.9% 325 345-190 -35.5 250-70 -21.9 295-130 -30.6 Arfon W 1,100-302 -21.5 3.9% 202 280-120 -30.0 240-20 -7.7 360-40 -10.0 Argyll and Bute S 1,068-535 -33.4 2.6% 362 200-185 -48.1 315-50 -13.7 330-150 -31.3 Arundel and South Downs E 405-226 -35.8 0.9% 631 95-55 -36.7 105-60 -36.4 80-55 -40.7 Ashfield E 1,756-765 -30.3 3.6% 238 505-345 -40.6 325-85 -20.7 535-175 -24.6 Ashford E 1,222-546 -30.9 2.1% 422 290-160 -35.6 235-55 -19.0 355-125 -26.0 Ashton-under-Lyne E 1,479-1,235-45.5 3.4% 273 240-495 -67.3 305-110 -26.5 545-255 -31.9 Aylesbury E 894-473 -34.6 1.5% 521 185-130 -41.3 215-75 -25.9 165-120 -42.1 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock S 2,279-755 -24.9 5.3% 99 510-330 -39.3 430-60 -12.2 775-190 -19.7 Banbury E 610-407 -40.0 1.0% 621 160-85 -34.7 120-65 -35.1 85-100 -54.1 Banff and Buchan S 693-358 -34.1 1.5% 526 200-75 -27.3 130-40 -23.5 135-115 -46.0 Barking E 3,024-1,327-30.5 5.3% 98 710-365 -34.0 520-175 -25.2 900-340 -27.4 Barnsley Central E 1,969-968 -33.0 4.7% 137 440-395 -47.3 360-75 -17.2 710-230 -24.5 Barnsley East E 1,844-1,136-38.1 4.3% 173 435-445 -50.6 340-125 -26.9 725-240 -24.9 Barrow and Furness E 1,457-341 -19.0 3.5% 249 420-165 -28.2 260 10 4.0 485-100 -17.1 Basildon and Billericay E 1,447-819 -36.1 3.3% 280 315-350 -52.6 285-75 -20.8 480-160 -25.0 Basingstoke E 955-580 -37.8 1.5% 515 185-195 -51.3 205-90 -30.5 160-130 -44.8 Bassetlaw E 1,515-527 -25.8 3.0% 312 415-215 -34.1 250-80 -24.2 485-65 -11.8 Bath E 775-376 -32.7 1.8% 485 175-110 -38.6 170-55 -24.4 220-105 -32.3 Batley and Spen E 2,155-1,041-32.6 4.1% 187 620-355 -36.4 320-200 -38.5 645-185 -22.3 Battersea E 1,550-654 -29.7 2.2% 417 225-160 -41.6 350-75 -17.6 555-185 -25.0 Beaconsfield E 521-269 -34.1 1.1% 605 100-65 -39.4 135-55 -28.9 115-45 -28.1 Beckenham E 605-311 -34.0 1.3% 559 150-25 -14.3 125-85 -40.5 150-100 -40.0 Bedford E 2,400-992 -29.2 4.7% 132 485-315 -39.4 495-110 -18.2 815-290 -26.2 Belfast East N 2,779-225 -7.5 6.2% 55 625-145 -18.8 510-5 -1.0 975 50 5.4 10

Belfast North N 4,910-513 -9.5 11.1% 5 1,165-245 -17.4 875 0 0.0 1,725-15 -0.9 Belfast South N 2,955-510 -14.7 5.0% 111 710-195 -21.5 445-40 -8.2 940-35 -3.6 Belfast West N 4,542-974 -17.7 11.9% 3 1,145-395 -25.6 870-65 -7.0 1,690-290 -14.6 Bermondsey and Old Southwark E 3,109-1,126-26.6 4.1% 191 515-235 -31.3 700-95 -11.9 1,090-275 -20.1 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk S 1,324-430 -24.5 2.9% 324 400-130 -24.5 280-50 -15.2 370-115 -23.7 Berwick-upon-Tweed E 881-378 -30.0 2.5% 388 180-150 -45.5 225-30 -11.8 285-110 -27.8 Bethnal Green and Bow E 3,387-1,518-30.9 5.0% 113 675-435 -39.2 710-170 -19.3 1,185-450 -27.5 Beverley and Holderness E 1,196-432 -26.5 2.5% 379 345-155 -31.0 255-70 -21.5 375-105 -21.9 Bexhill and Battle E 777-381 -32.9 1.8% 475 190-105 -35.6 205-55 -21.2 185-150 -44.8 Bexleyheath and Crayford E 1,060-581 -35.4 2.4% 393 270-145 -34.9 195-80 -29.1 260-205 -44.1 Birkenhead E 2,345-888 -27.5 5.8% 68 675-285 -29.7 400-45 -10.1 685-200 -22.6 Birmingham, Edgbaston E 3,076-796 -20.6 6.6% 42 595-275 -31.6 585-100 -14.6 1,165-175 -13.1 Birmingham, Erdington E 3,802-1,139-23.1 8.3% 14 865-415 -32.4 775-165 -17.6 1,525-225 -12.9 Birmingham, Hall Green E 3,899-1,037-21.0 8.0% 17 905-380 -29.6 615-70 -10.2 1,465-210 -12.5 Birmingham, Hodge Hill E 5,224-1,296-19.9 11.7% 4 1,375-435 -24.0 755-105 -12.2 1,975-320 -13.9 Birmingham, Ladywood E 7,102-1,597-18.4 12.4% 2 1,355-505 -27.2 1,200-130 -9.8 2,915-490 -14.4 Birmingham, Northfield E 2,983-1,110-27.1 6.3% 51 725-420 -36.7 500-145 -22.5 1,135-370 -24.6 Birmingham, Perry Barr E 4,040-1,063-20.8 8.2% 16 850-340 -28.6 750-75 -9.1 1,625-320 -16.5 Birmingham, Selly Oak E 2,346-726 -23.6 4.9% 122 570-270 -32.1 425-95 -18.3 830-160 -16.2 Birmingham, Yardley E 3,096-1,008-24.6 6.4% 49 615-345 -35.9 600-75 -11.1 1,185-250 -17.4 Bishop Auckland E 1,737-950 -35.4 4.3% 169 430-410 -48.8 370-75 -16.9 685-305 -30.8 Blackburn E 2,335-968 -29.3 5.2% 106 575-370 -39.2 415-105 -20.2 575-360 -38.5 Blackley and Broughton E 3,388-1,390-29.1 7.0% 32 760-385 -33.6 500-175 -25.9 1,025-355 -25.7 Blackpool North and Cleveleys E 1,735-605 -25.9 4.6% 146 325-220 -40.4 385-35 -8.3 515-250 -32.7 Blackpool South E 2,336-916 -28.2 6.2% 56 495-290 -36.9 500-75 -13.0 690-325 -32.0 Blaenau Gwent W 2,285-885 -27.9 7.3% 27 640-355 -35.7 380-60 -13.6 920-330 -26.4 Blaydon E 1,387-533 -27.8 3.2% 284 330-195 -37.1 280-100 -26.3 435-105 -19.4 Blyth Valley E 1,862-711 -27.6 4.6% 141 530-220 -29.3 330-75 -18.5 670-260 -28.0 Bognor Regis and Littlehampton E 951-610 -39.1 2.0% 441 195-140 -41.8 240-130 -35.1 225-170 -43.0 Bolsover E 1,273-675 -34.7 2.8% 339 360-245 -40.5 195-70 -26.4 360-125 -25.8 Bolton North East E 2,501-704 -22.0 5.6% 78 575-160 -21.8 460-60 -11.5 750-160 -17.6 Bolton South East E 2,705-963 -26.3 5.9% 65 640-285 -30.8 455-85 -15.7 905-180 -16.6 Bolton West E 1,313-599 -31.3 2.7% 345 310-185 -37.4 270-60 -18.2 405-70 -14.7 Bootle E 3,211-1,341-29.5 6.9% 34 810-450 -35.7 580-155 -21.1 1,220-575 -32.0 Boston and Skegness E 1,595-528 -24.9 3.4% 267 415-170 -29.1 330-60 -15.4 505-95 -15.8 11

Bosworth E 827-642 -43.7 1.6% 507 225-190 -45.8 150-130 -46.4 225-130 -36.6 Bournemouth East E 1,366-638 -31.8 2.6% 368 235-185 -44.0 275-110 -28.6 340-110 -24.4 Bournemouth West E 1,139-625 -35.4 2.3% 405 235-165 -41.3 255-90 -26.1 290-95 -24.7 Bracknell E 760-622 -45.0 1.3% 568 100-210 -67.7 195-85 -30.4 185-120 -39.3 Bradford East E 4,285-1,187-21.7 8.7% 8 1,005-550 -35.4 715-40 -5.3 1,575-205 -11.5 Bradford South E 2,981-957 -24.3 6.2% 54 770-340 -30.6 525-70 -11.8 1,090-200 -15.5 Bradford West E 4,591-1,025-18.3 9.9% 6 1,180-450 -27.6 705-40 -5.4 1,730-160 -8.5 Braintree E 920-531 -36.6 1.8% 473 235-140 -37.3 205-55 -21.2 230-120 -34.3 Brecon and Radnorshire W 556-253 -31.3 1.7% 488 150-75 -33.3 125-40 -24.2 150-85 -36.2 Brent Central E 4,096-1,411-25.6 5.8% 69 645-275 -29.9 905-185 -17.0 1,440-280 -16.3 Brent North E 1,755-613 -25.9 2.7% 351 320-100 -23.8 365-105 -22.3 460-115 -20.0 Brentford and Isleworth E 1,621-556 -25.5 2.3% 410 285-135 -32.1 335-65 -16.3 430-80 -15.7 Brentwood and Ongar E 621-450 -42.0 1.4% 558 125-135 -51.9 140-75 -34.9 145-85 -37.0 Bridgend W 1,164-446 -27.7 3.1% 301 290-140 -32.6 230-45 -16.4 280-130 -31.7 Bridgwater and West Somerset E 1,248-496 -28.4 2.5% 385 375-100 -21.1 220-115 -34.3 295-90 -23.4 Brigg and Goole E 1,111-610 -35.4 2.6% 370 310-155 -33.3 205-135 -39.7 375-120 -24.2 Brighton, Kemptown E 1,407-551 -28.1 3.1% 298 335-160 -32.3 260-55 -17.5 340-215 -38.7 Brighton, Pavilion E 1,379-371 -21.2 2.3% 399 330-85 -20.5 230-30 -11.5 280-135 -32.5 Bristol East E 1,709-728 -29.9 3.4% 257 345-240 -41.0 315-90 -22.2 450-235 -34.3 Bristol North West E 1,476-687 -31.8 3.1% 307 385-225 -36.9 265-105 -28.4 385-215 -35.8 Bristol South E 1,868-849 -31.2 3.4% 270 445-220 -33.1 340-105 -23.6 530-320 -37.6 Bristol West E 2,663-932 -25.9 3.8% 214 420-320 -43.2 485-45 -8.5 745-345 -31.7 Broadland E 560-405 -42.0 1.2% 581 145-140 -49.1 130-70 -35.0 125-110 -46.8 Bromley and Chislehurst E 1,072-480 -30.9 2.4% 392 235-85 -26.6 215-95 -30.6 320-160 -33.3 Bromsgrove E 755-351 -31.7 1.6% 505 195-130 -40.0 160-45 -22.0 205-70 -25.5 Broxbourne E 1,171-635 -35.2 2.3% 400 245-170 -41.0 235-80 -25.4 350-125 -26.3 Broxtowe E 1,065-533 -33.4 2.2% 415 295-175 -37.2 190-70 -26.9 300-155 -34.1 Buckingham E 479-189 -28.3 1.0% 622 85-50 -37.0 140-45 -24.3 90-40 -30.8 Burnley E 1,797-778 -30.2 4.4% 156 475-315 -39.9 335-80 -19.3 475-335 -41.4 Burton E 1,102-613 -35.7 2.1% 424 300-160 -34.8 210-90 -30.0 195-155 -44.3 Bury North E 1,463-516 -26.1 3.4% 262 415-105 -20.2 270-40 -12.9 370-90 -19.6 Bury South E 1,601-665 -29.3 3.3% 278 420-170 -28.8 300-80 -21.1 375-180 -32.4 Bury St Edmunds E 762-539 -41.4 1.3% 570 170-190 -52.8 160-95 -37.3 180-140 -43.8 Caerphilly W 2,060-443 -17.7 5.1% 109 585-170 -22.5 350-15 -4.1 705-95 -11.9 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross S 933-267 -22.3 3.2% 293 245-55 -18.3 195-50 -20.4 290-85 -22.7 12

Calder Valley E 1,307-733 -35.9 2.5% 381 310-280 -47.5 265-120 -31.2 410-170 -29.3 Camberwell and Peckham E 3,689-1,274-25.7 5.5% 87 625-240 -27.7 795-175 -18.0 1,360-435 -24.2 Camborne and Redruth E 1,026-471 -31.5 2.6% 359 265-125 -32.1 195-100 -33.9 275-160 -36.8 Cambridge E 866-508 -37.0 1.5% 520 165-110 -40.0 175-85 -32.7 235-125 -34.7 Cannock Chase E 1,144-734 -39.1 2.3% 404 310-240 -43.6 210-90 -30.0 320-240 -42.9 Canterbury E 894-522 -36.9 1.8% 483 235-170 -42.0 185-75 -28.8 210-90 -30.0 Cardiff Central W 2,117-444 -17.3 4.9% 120 460-165 -26.4 325-20 -5.8 635-130 -17.0 Cardiff North W 1,094-228 -17.2 2.5% 376 285-65 -18.6 220-20 -8.3 305-60 -16.4 Cardiff South and Penarth W 2,704-649 -19.4 5.0% 114 635-190 -23.0 445-90 -16.8 840-150 -15.2 Cardiff West W 2,382-466 -16.4 5.3% 96 660-140 -17.5 345-50 -12.7 750-90 -10.7 Carlisle E 1,161-605 -34.3 2.6% 358 275-210 -43.3 230-50 -17.9 320-145 -31.2 Carmarthen East and Dinefwr W 819-217 -20.9 2.6% 360 205-105 -33.9 170-45 -20.9 255-75 -22.7 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire W 1,069-334 -23.8 3.1% 304 265-90 -25.4 225-70 -23.7 320 20 6.7 Carshalton and Wallington E 1,112-661 -37.3 2.2% 416 240-100 -29.4 260-100 -27.8 370-175 -32.1 Castle Point E 880-508 -36.6 2.1% 430 245-210 -46.2 160-50 -23.8 210-110 -34.4 Central Ayrshire S 2,039-591 -22.5 4.8% 129 490-245 -33.3 435-45 -9.4 620-175 -22.0 Central Devon E 513-315 -38.0 1.2% 584 100-85 -45.9 150-60 -28.6 130-85 -39.5 Central Suffolk and North Ipswich E 665-440 -39.8 1.4% 546 145-155 -51.7 145-85 -37.0 200-125 -38.5 Ceredigion W 553-226 -29.0 1.7% 498 135-110 -44.9 155-10 -6.1 180-40 -18.2 Charnwood E 626-467 -42.7 1.3% 571 150-160 -51.6 135-80 -37.2 145-95 -39.6 Chatham and Aylesford E 1,829-567 -23.7 3.6% 235 480-200 -29.4 320-55 -14.7 570-205 -26.5 Cheadle E 704-285 -28.8 1.6% 508 155-75 -32.6 185-50 -21.3 175-20 -10.3 Chelmsford E 1,217-607 -33.3 2.2% 420 285-200 -41.2 260-105 -28.8 290-200 -40.8 Chelsea and Fulham E 1,232-345 -21.9 2.1% 423 150-80 -34.8 290-55 -15.9 375-95 -20.2 Cheltenham E 1,166-780 -40.1 2.1% 428 265-200 -43.0 260-130 -33.3 295-245 -45.4 Chesham and Amersham E 476-314 -39.7 1.1% 601 85-90 -51.4 130-70 -35.0 120-70 -36.8 Chesterfield E 1,484-662 -30.8 3.3% 281 480-255 -34.7 255-65 -20.3 450-230 -33.8 Chichester E 734-362 -33.0 1.5% 523 135-100 -42.6 190-70 -26.9 195-70 -26.4 Chingford and Woodford Green E 1,389-600 -30.2 3.1% 300 305-180 -37.1 285-80 -21.9 470-150 -24.2 Chippenham E 829-330 -28.5 1.7% 496 220-120 -35.3 155-40 -20.5 190-55 -22.4 Chipping Barnet E 1,282-537 -29.5 2.3% 411 205-125 -37.9 260-105 -28.8 365-175 -32.4 Chorley E 1,012-625 -38.2 2.0% 442 260-180 -40.9 190-95 -33.3 205-150 -42.3 Christchurch E 436-229 -34.4 1.3% 574 115-55 -32.4 95-70 -42.4 100-45 -31.0 Cities of London and Westminster E 1,504-443 -22.8 2.4% 397 210-60 -22.2 360-70 -16.3 510-125 -19.7 City of Chester E 951-511 -35.0 2.0% 449 200-170 -45.9 210-40 -16.0 175-140 -44.4 13

City of Durham E 1,187-541 -31.3 2.8% 341 300-170 -36.2 250-55 -18.0 445-185 -29.4 Clacton E 1,574-502 -24.2 4.9% 119 395-185 -31.9 335-50 -13.0 440-175 -28.5 Cleethorpes E 1,648-662 -28.7 3.7% 225 420-235 -35.9 355-75 -17.4 455-175 -27.8 Clwyd South W 1,250-344 -21.6 3.6% 242 345-90 -20.7 230-60 -20.7 415-30 -6.7 Clwyd West W 1,142-390 -25.5 3.5% 247 260-115 -30.7 250-60 -19.4 365-110 -23.2 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill S 2,274-604 -21.0 4.6% 145 595-225 -27.4 430 0 0.0 710-220 -23.7 Colchester E 1,446-777 -35.0 2.5% 377 365-215 -37.1 250-70 -21.9 385-285 -42.5 Colne Valley E 1,633-895 -35.4 3.0% 318 390-265 -40.5 280-130 -31.7 540-260 -32.5 Congleton E 609-487 -44.4 1.4% 556 135-160 -54.2 150-85 -36.2 150-115 -43.4 Copeland E 1,101-358 -24.5 2.8% 330 325-180 -35.6 220-20 -8.3 355-150 -29.7 Corby E 1,614-1,017-38.7 2.8% 337 380-360 -48.6 325-135 -29.3 325-200 -38.1 Coventry North East E 2,894-1,041-26.5 5.4% 89 625-335 -34.9 485-95 -16.4 905-235 -20.6 Coventry North West E 1,780-725 -28.9 3.5% 246 390-250 -39.1 330-75 -18.5 520-160 -23.5 Coventry South E 2,078-721 -25.8 4.3% 180 450-240 -34.8 355-65 -15.5 590-195 -24.8 Crawley E 1,177-555 -32.0 2.0% 451 210-170 -44.7 220-85 -27.9 255-115 -31.1 Crewe and Nantwich E 1,391-659 -32.1 2.6% 366 385-245 -38.9 270-70 -20.6 415-215 -34.1 Croydon Central E 1,871-1,000-34.8 3.2% 294 405-210 -34.1 375-140 -27.2 515-290 -36.0 Croydon North E 3,194-1,312-29.1 4.6% 143 660-295 -30.9 665-170 -20.4 850-460 -35.1 Croydon South E 1,089-644 -37.2 1.8% 468 215-125 -36.8 235-135 -36.5 260-150 -36.6 Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East S 1,534-616 -28.7 3.5% 245 375-240 -39.0 270-85 -23.9 370-235 -38.8 Cynon Valley W 1,661-563 -25.3 5.5% 84 535-215 -28.7 225-55 -19.6 540-85 -13.6 Dagenham and Rainham E 2,102-1,148-35.3 4.3% 168 490-385 -44.0 360-140 -28.0 640-320 -33.3 Darlington E 2,323-874 -27.3 5.2% 101 515-355 -40.8 445-90 -16.8 775-240 -23.6 Dartford E 1,159-517 -30.8 2.1% 433 290-145 -33.3 210-95 -31.1 285-145 -33.7 Daventry E 839-416 -33.1 1.8% 486 190-145 -43.3 200-85 -29.8 150-130 -46.4 Delyn W 1,014-361 -26.3 3.0% 311 270-115 -29.9 200-55 -21.6 310-60 -16.2 Denton and Reddish E 1,500-856 -36.3 3.4% 258 340-290 -46.0 285-100 -26.0 375-270 -41.9 Derby North E 1,332-791 -37.3 2.6% 356 310-245 -44.1 210-140 -40.0 370-250 -40.3 Derby South E 3,206-1,148-26.4 6.3% 52 745-480 -39.2 570-45 -7.3 1,005-370 -26.9 Derbyshire Dales E 361-197 -35.3 1.0% 624 65-40 -38.1 100-45 -31.0 90-55 -37.9 Devizes E 575-335 -36.8 1.1% 599 145-105 -42.0 125-50 -28.6 135-55 -28.9 Dewsbury E 2,047-871 -29.8 4.0% 201 630-320 -33.7 270-150 -35.7 650-55 -7.8 Don Valley E 1,724-741 -30.1 3.8% 220 455-315 -40.9 340-60 -15.0 520-205 -28.3 Doncaster Central E 3,019-1,063-26.0 5.8% 67 740-335 -31.2 555-70 -11.2 920-350 -27.6 Doncaster North E 2,379-898 -27.4 5.2% 107 665-380 -36.4 465-50 -9.7 735-275 -27.2 14

Dover E 1,666-485 -22.5 3.6% 230 400-185 -31.6 355-65 -15.5 500-130 -20.6 Dudley North E 2,333-696 -23.0 6.1% 57 630-255 -28.8 450-55 -10.9 930-185 -16.6 Dudley South E 1,954-678 -25.8 5.1% 108 555-200 -26.5 305-85 -21.8 755-200 -20.9 Dulwich and West Norwood E 2,648-1,101-29.4 4.2% 181 415-205 -33.1 605-115 -16.0 1,010-355 -26.0 Dumfries and Galloway S 1,568-657 -29.5 3.5% 254 425-205 -32.5 310-80 -20.5 470-195 -29.3 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale S 1,026-543 -34.6 2.5% 384 240-210 -46.7 235-55 -19.0 320-125 -28.1 Dundee East S 1,804-591 -24.7 4.2% 183 480-165 -25.6 300-70 -18.9 585-235 -28.7 Dundee West S 2,706-818 -23.2 6.4% 45 705-270 -27.7 465-105 -18.4 985-255 -20.6 Dunfermline and West Fife S 1,791-886 -33.1 3.5% 248 485-305 -38.6 310-135 -30.3 525-180 -25.5 Dwyfor Meirionnydd W 551-174 -24.0 2.0% 443 105-40 -27.6 145-30 -17.1 180-55 -23.4 Ealing Central and Acton E 2,093-688 -24.7 3.2% 295 260-110 -29.7 460-75 -14.0 625-175 -21.9 Ealing North E 2,134-759 -26.2 3.5% 251 355-240 -40.3 455-80 -15.0 605-165 -21.4 Ealing, Southall E 1,926-845 -30.5 3.9% 204 325-205 -38.7 340-105 -23.6 490-230 -31.9 Easington E 1,951-1,208-38.2 5.2% 104 590-460 -43.8 315-125 -28.4 635-395 -38.3 East Antrim N 2,010-499 -19.9 4.6% 144 540-175 -24.5 425-45 -9.6 560-20 -3.4 East Devon E 411-215 -34.3 0.9% 626 70-70 -50.0 110-25 -18.5 65-65 -50.0 East Dunbartonshire S 576-311 -35.1 1.4% 534 160-100 -38.5 125-55 -30.6 125-80 -39.0 East Ham E 2,996-1,669-35.8 4.1% 188 590-400 -40.4 595-225 -27.4 905-460 -33.7 East Hampshire E 438-291 -39.9 0.9% 628 85-110 -56.4 110-50 -31.3 105-25 -19.2 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow S 1,660-673 -28.8 3.2% 286 455-205 -31.1 390-75 -16.1 450-140 -23.7 East Londonderry N 2,773-735 -21.0 6.2% 53 700-245 -25.9 510-70 -12.1 855-120 -12.3 East Lothian S 1,428-427 -23.0 2.8% 334 370-170 -31.5 275-40 -12.7 370-70 -15.9 East Renfrewshire S 807-428 -34.7 1.8% 471 240-150 -38.5 150-50 -25.0 190-75 -28.3 East Surrey E 675-325 -32.5 1.2% 577 115-80 -41.0 185-70 -27.5 140-75 -34.9 East Worthing and Shoreham E 825-531 -39.2 1.7% 491 200-180 -47.4 195-60 -23.5 170-175 -50.7 East Yorkshire E 1,377-545 -28.4 3.0% 315 325-170 -34.3 305-60 -16.4 490-250 -33.8 Eastbourne E 1,602-467 -22.6 3.3% 279 370-120 -24.5 365-85 -18.9 510-70 -12.1 Eastleigh E 666-408 -38.0 1.2% 585 110-135 -55.1 170-45 -20.9 160-90 -36.0 Eddisbury E 658-441 -40.1 1.6% 510 150-110 -42.3 150-75 -33.3 185-120 -39.3 Edinburgh East S 1,867-790 -29.7 3.9% 212 390-185 -32.2 325-125 -27.8 520-190 -26.8 Edinburgh North and Leith S 2,193-614 -21.9 3.4% 263 375-160 -29.9 420-95 -18.4 580-175 -23.2 Edinburgh South S 977-377 -27.8 2.3% 402 200-170 -45.9 170-60 -26.1 245-105 -30.0 Edinburgh South West S 1,833-431 -19.0 3.5% 243 405-155 -27.7 350-20 -5.4 445-150 -25.2 Edinburgh West S 1,119-412 -26.9 2.4% 394 240-120 -33.3 220-60 -21.4 315-75 -19.2 Edmonton E 3,180-1,177-27.0 6.3% 50 695-265 -27.6 615-120 -16.3 1,015-415 -29.0 15

Ellesmere Port and Neston E 1,247-609 -32.8 2.9% 320 350-180 -34.0 250-65 -20.6 250-240 -49.0 Elmet and Rothwell E 744-424 -36.3 1.5% 516 180-155 -46.3 165-60 -26.7 195-70 -26.4 Eltham E 1,538-579 -27.4 3.5% 253 365-145 -28.4 305-55 -15.3 440-140 -24.1 Enfield North E 2,198-887 -28.8 4.4% 155 435-275 -38.7 440-50 -10.2 745-310 -29.4 Enfield, Southgate E 1,307-497 -27.5 2.6% 369 220-120 -35.3 290-80 -21.6 325-140 -30.1 Epping Forest E 1,114-608 -35.3 2.3% 401 200-225 -52.9 255-70 -21.5 330-130 -28.3 Epsom and Ewell E 478-436 -47.7 0.9% 630 75-95 -55.9 120-85 -41.5 125-95 -43.2 Erewash E 1,546-649 -29.6 3.2% 289 420-240 -36.4 310-60 -16.2 460-230 -33.3 Erith and Thamesmead E 2,163-1,117-34.1 3.9% 203 410-220 -34.9 410-170 -29.3 630-365 -36.7 Esher and Walton E 562-260 -31.6 1.0% 608 90-65 -41.9 150-30 -16.7 115-60 -34.3 Exeter E 1,025-597 -36.8 1.9% 458 220-210 -48.8 200-75 -27.3 235-175 -42.7 Falkirk S 2,063-828 -28.6 3.6% 240 445-290 -39.5 415-115 -21.7 685-215 -23.9 Fareham E 512-391 -43.3 1.0% 616 125-145 -53.7 115-40 -25.8 90-110 -55.0 Faversham and Mid Kent E 825-469 -36.2 1.8% 474 225-135 -37.5 170-85 -33.3 225-115 -33.8 Feltham and Heston E 1,866-700 -27.3 2.9% 326 425-180 -29.8 340-80 -19.0 420-160 -27.6 Fermanagh & South Tyrone N 2,541-531 -17.3 5.2% 103 525-180 -25.5 555-85 -13.3 820 90 12.3 Filton and Bradley Stoke E 716-382 -34.8 1.4% 543 170-120 -41.4 140-35 -20.0 190-70 -26.9 Finchley and Golders Green E 1,542-561 -26.7 2.5% 382 190-130 -40.6 310-60 -16.2 465-130 -21.8 Folkestone and Hythe E 1,675-831 -33.2 3.2% 291 370-235 -38.8 410-120 -22.6 560-210 -27.3 Forest of Dean E 789-410 -34.2 1.9% 461 185-165 -47.1 195-40 -17.0 210-145 -40.8 Foyle N 5,608-167 -2.9 12.9% 1 1,365-190 -12.2 910 75 9.0 2,020 70 3.6 Fylde E 728-314 -30.1 1.9% 459 155-75 -32.6 165-60 -26.7 190-50 -20.8 Gainsborough E 1,522-437 -22.3 3.5% 255 455-170 -27.2 285-50 -14.9 515-75 -12.7 Garston and Halewood E 2,492-785 -24.0 5.4% 92 650-290 -30.9 495-70 -12.4 840-205 -19.6 Gateshead E 2,672-897 -25.1 5.8% 71 690-240 -25.8 435-125 -22.3 885-230 -20.6 Gedling E 1,329-684 -34.0 2.8% 338 350-190 -35.2 270-100 -27.0 410-210 -33.9 Gillingham and Rainham E 1,554-515 -24.9 3.1% 302 425-175 -29.2 290-55 -15.9 455-155 -25.4 Glasgow Central S 2,595-834 -24.3 5.7% 75 490-260 -34.7 485-40 -7.6 710-260 -26.8 Glasgow East S 2,619-956 -26.7 6.4% 48 650-225 -25.7 465-110 -19.1 805-270 -25.1 Glasgow North S 1,695-659 -28.0 4.5% 150 340-210 -38.2 315-70 -18.2 475-225 -32.1 Glasgow North East S 3,044-943 -23.7 7.8% 23 735-280 -27.6 550-75 -12.0 1,005-370 -26.9 Glasgow North West S 2,222-828 -27.1 5.2% 102 500-205 -29.1 415-75 -15.3 615-355 -36.6 Glasgow South S 2,018-583 -22.4 4.4% 161 460-220 -32.4 370-70 -15.9 545-195 -26.4 Glasgow South West S 2,895-755 -20.7 7.2% 29 675-250 -27.0 500-85 -14.5 925-255 -21.6 Glenrothes S 2,170-1,096-33.6 5.0% 112 675-350 -34.1 350-165 -32.0 570-365 -39.0 16

Gloucester E 2,182-880 -28.7 3.7% 226 530-190 -26.4 385-155 -28.7 630-290 -31.5 Gordon S 347-133 -27.7 0.6% 649 75-20 -21.1 75-50 -40.0 60-40 -40.0 Gosport E 824-624 -43.1 1.7% 493 225-230 -50.5 155-65 -29.5 195-140 -41.8 Gower W 755-203 -21.2 2.1% 429 200-90 -31.0 155 0 0.0 120-40 -25.0 Grantham and Stamford E 1,212-587 -32.6 2.3% 407 325-195 -37.5 265-60 -18.5 320-70 -17.9 Gravesham E 1,641-667 -28.9 3.3% 282 390-250 -39.1 335-55 -14.1 450-145 -24.4 Great Grimsby E 3,215-1,104-25.6 7.6% 24 850-260 -23.4 540-90 -14.3 1,005-385 -27.7 Great Yarmouth E 2,183-1,093-33.4 5.0% 117 575-420 -42.2 435-130 -23.0 795-320 -28.7 Greenwich and Woolwich E 2,467-962 -28.1 4.0% 198 450-180 -28.6 460-140 -23.3 760-275 -26.6 Guildford E 567-429 -43.1 1.0% 610 100-75 -42.9 140-90 -39.1 100-155 -60.8 Hackney North and Stoke Newington E 3,240-1,082-25.0 4.7% 133 465-250 -35.0 740-55 -6.9 1,075-265 -19.8 Hackney South and Shoreditch E 3,557-1,395-28.2 5.4% 94 485-360 -42.6 770-150 -16.3 1,280-355 -21.7 Halesowen and Rowley Regis E 1,836-778 -29.8 4.4% 163 445-275 -38.2 360-95 -20.9 710-210 -22.8 Halifax E 2,969-1,200-28.8 6.0% 61 745-395 -34.6 500-135 -21.3 1,145-190 -14.2 Haltemprice and Howden E 725-374 -34.0 1.7% 501 205-110 -34.9 180-80 -30.8 220-115 -34.3 Halton E 1,985-774 -28.1 4.3% 176 570-285 -33.3 320-70 -17.9 600-190 -24.1 Hammersmith E 2,599-1,003-27.8 3.9% 211 360-225 -38.5 570-140 -19.7 940-120 -11.3 Hampstead and Kilburn E 2,170-740 -25.4 3.0% 317 265-120 -31.2 495-85 -14.7 795-200 -20.1 Harborough E 755-466 -38.2 1.5% 522 205-155 -43.1 160-75 -31.9 175-95 -35.2 Harlow E 1,639-729 -30.8 3.4% 260 350-205 -36.9 370-115 -23.7 520-145 -21.8 Harrogate and Knaresborough E 482-460 -48.8 0.9% 629 40-120 -75.0 145-90 -38.3 110-80 -42.1 Harrow East E 1,081-324 -23.1 2.1% 435 185-90 -32.7 250-25 -9.1 265-40 -13.1 Harrow West E 1,290-495 -27.7 2.4% 395 200-115 -36.5 315-90 -22.2 355-100 -22.0 Hartlepool E 3,045-1,308-30.0 7.2% 30 750-505 -40.2 535-130 -19.5 1,260-540 -30.0 Harwich and North Essex E 892-416 -31.8 2.1% 432 250-140 -35.9 165-70 -29.8 240-130 -35.1 Hastings and Rye E 1,971-1,109-36.0 3.9% 208 455-235 -34.1 430-155 -26.5 550-480 -46.6 Havant E 1,183-502 -29.8 2.7% 347 320-220 -40.7 225-55 -19.6 355-170 -32.4 Hayes and Harlington E 1,884-696 -27.0 3.4% 272 325-235 -42.0 345-65 -15.9 400-180 -31.0 Hazel Grove E 869-373 -30.0 2.3% 403 185-135 -42.2 210-70 -25.0 225-50 -18.2 Hemel Hempstead E 1,209-476 -28.2 2.3% 406 270-145 -34.9 250-70 -21.9 280-80 -22.2 Hemsworth E 1,622-931 -36.5 3.7% 224 460-435 -48.6 250-80 -24.2 465-215 -31.6 Hendon E 1,645-542 -24.8 2.7% 352 285-70 -19.7 345-50 -12.7 380-170 -30.9 Henley E 333-204 -38.0 0.7% 646 50-35 -41.2 90-50 -35.7 75-50 -40.0 Hereford and South Herefordshire E 700-688 -49.6 1.4% 541 185-210 -53.2 155-110 -41.5 190-165 -46.5 Hertford and Stortford E 797-409 -33.9 1.4% 549 160-115 -41.8 185-60 -24.5 200-110 -35.5 17

Hertsmere E 978-408 -29.4 2.0% 456 200-80 -28.6 230-80 -25.8 245-100 -29.0 Hexham E 633-299 -32.1 1.7% 490 145-100 -40.8 145-60 -29.3 195-30 -13.3 Heywood and Middleton E 1,857-1,152-38.3 3.7% 228 455-400 -46.8 350-155 -30.7 485-320 -39.8 High Peak E 944-505 -34.9 2.0% 445 220-155 -41.3 190-95 -33.3 325-180 -35.6 Hitchin and Harpenden E 688-280 -28.9 1.4% 557 115-100 -46.5 195-55 -22.0 155-75 -32.6 Holborn and St Pancras E 2,281-828 -26.6 3.3% 275 390-160 -29.1 490-120 -19.7 645-345 -34.8 Hornchurch and Upminster E 1,283-678 -34.6 2.6% 365 320-200 -38.5 265-90 -25.4 375-180 -32.4 Hornsey and Wood Green E 2,307-783 -25.3 3.2% 292 305-200 -39.6 445-90 -16.8 655-215 -24.7 Horsham E 561-335 -37.4 1.0% 611 105-80 -43.2 140-80 -36.4 115-110 -48.9 Houghton and Sunderland South E 1,841-716 -28.0 4.5% 151 595-255 -30.0 320-105 -24.7 595-250 -29.6 Hove E 1,369-532 -28.0 2.5% 375 260-65 -20.0 275-115 -29.5 310-180 -36.7 Huddersfield E 2,609-1,277-32.9 5.7% 73 545-445 -44.9 460-150 -24.6 885-420 -32.2 Huntingdon E 762-611 -44.5 1.3% 573 185-210 -53.2 170-80 -32.0 170-95 -35.8 Hyndburn E 1,341-686 -33.8 3.1% 303 385-280 -42.1 235-30 -11.3 315-165 -34.4 Ilford North E 1,268-662 -34.3 2.5% 374 265-155 -36.9 290-105 -26.6 350-195 -35.8 Ilford South E 2,460-1,112-31.1 4.0% 199 610-180 -22.8 410-155 -27.4 700-295 -29.6 Inverclyde S 1,809-929 -33.9 4.8% 131 425-320 -43.0 360-95 -20.9 435-200 -31.5 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey S 750-621 -45.3 1.4% 547 115-175 -60.3 190-90 -32.1 220-105 -32.3 Ipswich E 2,168-908 -29.5 3.8% 221 475-275 -36.7 415-90 -17.8 695-370 -34.7 Isle of Wight E 1,755-1,150-39.6 2.9% 323 390-370 -48.7 430-205 -32.3 640-365 -36.3 Islington North E 2,752-775 -22.0 4.6% 140 525-120 -18.6 555-55 -9.0 875-240 -21.5 Islington South and Finsbury E 2,038-773 -27.5 3.5% 252 435-195 -31.0 355-110 -23.7 615-325 -34.6 Islwyn W 1,744-450 -20.5 4.9% 118 525-155 -22.8 280-50 -15.2 565-155 -21.5 Jarrow E 2,199-985 -30.9 5.4% 90 545-375 -40.8 435-165 -27.5 770-280 -26.7 Keighley E 1,624-672 -29.3 3.6% 241 380-220 -36.7 345-85 -19.8 515-265 -34.0 Kenilworth and Southam E 288-208 -41.9 0.7% 644 45-55 -55.0 85-40 -32.0 65-30 -31.6 Kensington E 1,659-611 -26.9 2.8% 340 270-75 -21.7 405-80 -16.5 520-175 -25.2 Kettering E 1,458-676 -31.7 3.0% 316 335-250 -42.7 300-80 -21.1 395-165 -29.5 Kilmarnock and Loudoun S 2,552-787 -23.6 5.4% 95 650-285 -30.5 490-125 -20.3 860-280 -24.6 Kingston and Surbiton E 1,019-372 -26.7 1.6% 511 160-90 -36.0 235-80 -25.4 240-115 -32.4 Kingston upon Hull East E 3,317-1,338-28.7 7.4% 25 845-530 -38.5 550-155 -22.0 1,395-485 -25.8 Kingston upon Hull North E 3,594-1,299-26.5 7.9% 22 990-445 -31.0 500-120 -19.4 1,430-565 -28.3 Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle E 3,453-1,264-26.8 8.0% 18 805-390 -32.6 625-130 -17.2 1,345-645 -32.4 Kingswood E 793-316 -28.5 1.7% 495 210-105 -33.3 170-50 -22.7 205-70 -25.5 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath S 2,587-1,042-28.7 5.5% 83 685-330 -32.5 450-155 -25.6 890-190 -17.6 18

Knowsley E 2,779-1,139-29.1 5.8% 66 755-420 -35.7 500-90 -15.3 870-390 -31.0 Lagan Valley N 1,810-447 -19.8 3.6% 236 435-150 -25.6 405-20 -4.7 525-35 -6.3 Lanark and Hamilton East S 1,985-837 -29.7 4.0% 195 540-240 -30.8 340-100 -22.7 665-185 -21.8 Lancaster and Fleetwood E 992-476 -32.4 2.5% 386 255-140 -35.4 175-75 -30.0 260-160 -38.1 Leeds Central E 5,653-1,558-21.6 8.5% 12 1,325-500 -27.4 830-130 -13.5 1,985-505 -20.3 Leeds East E 3,491-1,086-23.7 7.9% 20 965-355 -26.9 550-40 -6.8 1,250-330 -20.9 Leeds North East E 1,736-623 -26.4 3.7% 229 365-220 -37.6 315-65 -17.1 560-195 -25.8 Leeds North West E 1,106-438 -28.4 2.6% 363 260-160 -38.1 185-60 -24.5 315-75 -19.2 Leeds West E 3,026-1,170-27.9 6.1% 58 740-380 -33.9 490-110 -18.3 1,040-395 -27.5 Leicester East E 2,240-1,215-35.2 4.4% 157 515-355 -40.8 500-205 -29.1 735-300 -29.0 Leicester South E 2,933-1,559-34.7 5.5% 82 705-495 -41.3 595-205 -25.6 1,075-445 -29.3 Leicester West E 2,705-1,535-36.2 5.4% 91 620-520 -45.6 475-145 -23.4 830-525 -38.7 Leigh E 2,020-758 -27.3 3.9% 213 505-245 -32.7 380-70 -15.6 575-210 -26.8 Lewes E 728-240 -24.8 1.8% 477 185-60 -24.5 150-55 -26.8 185-70 -27.5 Lewisham East E 2,312-810 -25.9 4.3% 170 455-195 -30.0 480-90 -15.8 680-350 -34.0 Lewisham West and Penge E 2,384-926 -28.0 4.1% 190 430-235 -35.3 490-110 -18.3 745-340 -31.3 Lewisham, Deptford E 2,849-1,215-29.9 4.3% 165 490-300 -38.0 600-160 -21.1 870-450 -34.1 Leyton and Wanstead E 2,161-908 -29.6 3.8% 215 390-205 -34.5 430-140 -24.6 725-220 -23.3 Lichfield E 593-482 -44.8 1.3% 566 160-150 -48.4 145-65 -31.0 100-115 -53.5 Lincoln E 2,392-730 -23.4 4.3% 172 655-315 -32.5 450-50 -10.0 845-155 -15.5 Linlithgow and East Falkirk S 2,197-738 -25.1 3.8% 218 620-215 -25.7 400-60 -13.0 590-160 -21.3 Liverpool, Riverside E 3,203-999 -23.8 5.7% 77 745-225 -23.2 530-95 -15.2 1,110-370 -25.0 Liverpool, Walton E 3,553-1,189-25.1 8.4% 13 940-315 -25.1 565-155 -21.5 1,240-345 -21.8 Liverpool, Wavertree E 2,880-1,051-26.7 6.4% 46 670-395 -37.1 445-135 -23.3 960-380 -28.4 Liverpool, West Derby E 2,575-975 -27.5 6.0% 63 680-280 -29.2 415-155 -27.2 845-370 -30.5 Livingston S 1,756-806 -31.5 3.1% 306 470-265 -36.1 280-115 -29.1 370-110 -22.9 Llanelli W 1,281-477 -27.1 3.5% 244 345-180 -34.3 220-70 -24.1 405-95 -19.0 Loughborough E 710-631 -47.1 1.5% 528 115-135 -54.0 160-120 -42.9 165-165 -50.0 Louth and Horncastle E 1,062-342 -24.4 2.6% 357 315-140 -30.8 215-45 -17.3 310-95 -23.5 Ludlow E 553-419 -43.1 1.4% 551 125-115 -47.9 140-105 -42.9 170-80 -32.0 Luton North E 1,585-719 -31.2 3.4% 261 305-195 -39.0 315-115 -26.7 495-145 -22.7 Luton South E 2,270-948 -29.5 4.1% 193 375-260 -40.9 490-125 -20.3 670-255 -27.6 Macclesfield E 970-343 -26.1 2.1% 436 200-90 -31.0 240-70 -22.6 260-50 -16.1 Maidenhead E 614-495 -44.6 1.2% 587 120-130 -52.0 140-80 -36.4 135-115 -46.0 Maidstone and The Weald E 955-430 -31.0 1.8% 470 225-125 -35.7 195-70 -26.4 205-130 -38.8 19

Makerfield E 1,234-1,114-47.4 2.5% 373 240-455 -65.5 235-120 -33.8 415-185 -30.8 Maldon E 688-406 -37.1 1.6% 513 175-110 -38.6 155-95 -38.0 180-90 -33.3 Manchester Central E 3,842-1,800-31.9 5.9% 64 765-450 -37.0 665-195 -22.7 1,230-550 -30.9 Manchester, Gorton E 3,029-1,215-28.6 6.0% 60 645-345 -34.8 480-145 -23.2 860-380 -30.6 Manchester, Withington E 1,491-839 -36.0 2.7% 346 280-270 -49.1 255-75 -22.7 380-195 -33.9 Mansfield E 2,123-679 -24.2 4.2% 185 580-255 -30.5 365-60 -14.1 695-125 -15.2 Meon Valley E 502-252 -33.4 1.1% 593 125-60 -32.4 115-40 -25.8 120-55 -31.4 Meriden E 2,031-702 -25.7 3.9% 206 600-225 -27.3 350-75 -17.6 715-200 -21.9 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney W 2,041-884 -30.2 6.0% 62 590-315 -34.8 340-115 -25.3 840-325 -27.9 Mid Bedfordshire E 591-340 -36.5 1.1% 595 120-110 -47.8 145-45 -23.7 125-90 -41.9 Mid Derbyshire E 481-321 -40.0 1.1% 589 130-55 -29.7 90-100 -52.6 105-85 -44.7 Mid Dorset and North Poole E 423-228 -35.0 1.1% 602 105-70 -40.0 105-40 -27.6 75-15 -16.7 Mid Norfolk E 937-428 -31.4 2.0% 450 255-160 -38.6 200-45 -18.4 285-105 -26.9 Mid Sussex E 373-290 -43.7 0.7% 647 60-60 -50.0 115-55 -32.4 75-45 -37.5 Mid Ulster N 2,138-557 -20.7 4.7% 134 490-190 -27.9 405-95 -19.0 565-40 -6.6 Mid Worcestershire E 726-456 -38.6 1.5% 517 170-155 -47.7 185-85 -31.5 175-115 -39.7 Middlesbrough E 3,915-1,614-29.2 9.5% 7 915-635 -41.0 625-140 -18.3 1,530-815 -34.8 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland E 2,077-1,025-33.0 4.9% 125 565-365 -39.2 330-105 -24.1 790-425 -35.0 Midlothian S 1,372-447 -24.6 3.2% 287 380-160 -29.6 225-55 -19.6 365-135 -27.0 Milton Keynes North E 1,870-696 -27.1 2.8% 343 370-145 -28.2 375-155 -29.2 425-245 -36.6 Milton Keynes South E 1,907-721 -27.4 2.8% 331 340-205 -37.6 370-120 -24.5 420-280 -40.0 Mitcham and Morden E 1,970-636 -24.4 3.6% 237 385-140 -26.7 405-95 -19.0 565-205 -26.6 Mole Valley E 374-294 -44.0 0.8% 639 60-60 -50.0 110-60 -35.3 95-80 -45.7 Monmouth W 809-335 -29.3 2.1% 434 235-125 -34.7 175-45 -20.5 180-105 -36.8 Montgomeryshire W 578-248 -30.0 1.9% 462 155-105 -40.4 130-45 -25.7 140-55 -28.2 Moray S 932-323 -25.7 2.0% 453 245-85 -25.8 190-65 -25.5 195-80 -29.1 Morecambe and Lunesdale E 1,468-501 -25.4 3.6% 233 360-160 -30.8 330-30 -8.3 415-105 -20.2 Morley and Outwood E 1,341-572 -29.9 2.6% 367 330-180 -35.3 280-85 -23.3 360-130 -26.5 Motherwell and Wishaw S 2,570-787 -23.4 5.6% 79 650-295 -31.2 375-75 -16.7 780-250 -24.3 Na h-eileanan An Iar S 364-74 -16.9 2.7% 353 50-30 -37.5 140-10 -6.7 140-20 -12.5 Neath W 1,309-262 -16.7 4.0% 200 410-110 -21.2 240-5 -2.0 330-15 -4.3 New Forest East E 519-318 -38.0 1.1% 591 155-85 -35.4 110-55 -33.3 110-75 -40.5 New Forest West E 400-331 -45.3 1.1% 596 95-100 -51.3 100-65 -39.4 70-75 -51.7 Newark E 895-446 -33.3 1.9% 467 230-145 -38.7 230-35 -13.2 255-90 -26.1 Newbury E 591-528 -47.2 1.0% 613 120-115 -48.9 155-85 -35.4 155-140 -47.5 20