Keller Group plc Keller in Eastern Europe Justin Atkinson/Michal Topolnicki
Agenda Introduction Keller Polska introduction current business performance trends competition future prospects Summary 1
Introduction Total Eastern European construction market over $100bn in 2006* (ex Russia) Poland comprised $37bn* total market projected to grow at 11% a year to 2011* 10% a year from 2011-2016* Keller present in Eastern Europe for over 10 years market leading business in Poland also looking at Ukraine and Baltic states present in seven other countries managed out of Austria Keller 2007 Eastern European sales around 70m at strong margins trebled since 2004 * Source: Global Insight 2
Keller in Eastern Europe Vienna Croatia Varaždin Slovakia Bratislava, Košice Slovenia Ljubljana Czech. Rep. Prague Brno Hungary Budapest Romania Bucharest Serbia Belgrade Poland Warsaw Gdynia Kraków Poznań Wrocław Ukraine Kiev 3
East European construction markets Growth to 2011 (CAGR %)* 24 20 16 12 8 4 0 Lower risk, higher growth [Blob chart] Higher risk, lower growth 20 24 28 32 36 40 Risk score* Poland Czech Ukraine Hungary Romania Slovakia Croatia Slovenia Russia Size of circle = market size * Source: Global Insight 4
Securing growth in the future Investing to continue rapid growth in Poland Product diversification in established businesses in Czech, Slovakia, Hungary and the Balkans to date, restricted to ground improvement products recently ordered five rigs to build a piling business to be managed as a pool Start focussing more on potentially larger markets of Romania and Ukraine initial contracts undertaken in both Considering how to enter Russia Acquisitions to be assessed throughout the region likely to be small 5
Keller Group plc Keller Polska Michal Topolnicki
Introduction to Keller Polska Organic start-up in 1994 in Gdynia second office opened in Warsaw in 1996 now five offices in Poland Began with Keller s ground improvement techniques new to Poland, so had to create a market broadened product range over time started heavy foundations in 2006 Now market leader in Poland plenty of scope for further growth 7
8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Ożarów Gdynia Poznań Kraków Wrocław 1 11 3 13 14 15 16 9 8 7 6 5 4 2 10 12 Population Above Above Above Above Above Above POLAND Wrocław 2005 Poznań 2004 Gdynia, 1995 Warsaw 1996 Kraków 1999 Ani ma l all Keller in Poland
Consistent organic growth 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Number of employees Number of contracts Sales in mpln 1=4.2PLN 9
120 100 80 60 40 20 0 10 Aarsleff Chrobok Energopol Fundamenty Franki Sales mpln Freyssinet Inkom* Keller Soletanche Stabilator Stumph Main competitors 2004 2005 2006
Growth through product diversification 2003 sales Total PLN 42m 2005 sales Total PLN 56m 10 6 26 3 19 9 25 2007 sales Total PLN 154m 29 16 32 Vibro Other ground improvement Piling 35 43 Diaphragm walls Other Absolute numbers are sales in million PLN 11
Keller s competitive advantage Sea Towers Gdynia 138 m Technical excellence design departments in all offices 90% of projects are designed internally Broadest product range Reputation for innovation introduced new products in the Polish market vibro, combined concrete/gravel columns, rigid inclusions, soil mixing (broadest application range in Europe) Support of Keller Group - 0-20 - 40 - full FEM 3D soil-structure analysis - vibrocompaction below the found. slab - 60-80 - 100 calculated settlement [mm] 12
Illustrative project: Royal Palace, Warsaw Client: POLNORD Warszawa Palace North Wing Product: Reinforced Deep Soil Mixing columns and Pre-Stressed Anchors Royal Castle South Wing Task: Soil conditions: Excavation support 10m below the courtyard of 18th century palace Uncontrolled deposits underlain by fine sands and pliocene clay. Groundwater at depths of 2-6 m below ground level Construction site Royal Castle North Wing Excavation South Wing Palace Excavation layout 13
Design based on FEM 2D calculation E D C B A Strength and stiffness analysis of reinforced DSM column 14
Final stage of excavation 15
Recent awards for Keller Polska Euro Leader The best company in Poland in specialised geotechnical works (2006) The best company in Poland in geotechnical engineering (2007) Keller Polska among fastest growing companies in Poland (2007) 16
Looking ahead Polish construction market to grow at 10% per annum to 2011* civil engineering fastest growing sector (up >15% per annum)* Growth driven by: road building programs ( 7bn annually to 2012*), partly EU financed flood protection schemes Euro 2012 rising personal incomes (GDP per head up 8% pa to 2013**) inward investment growing tourist industry *Source: Euroconstruct **Source: IMF 17
Prospects for Keller Polska Well positioned to benefit from market development market leader with excellent reputation successful track record of growth geographically and product diverse Investing for further growth Investment focussed on heavy foundations largest part of market, where previously underrepresented 8 new rigs in 2008 and 2009 Key challenge is securing quality people 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 8 6 4 2 0 Sales ( m) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008B Capex ( m) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008B 18
Keller Group plc Eastern Europe - Summary Justin Atkinson
Eastern Europe Summary Markets to grow fast over medium term Keller Polska a successful, market-leading business full range of products and first class reputation investing for further growth Keller established in eight other countries currently product limited, but investing in heavy foundation equipment Markets further east offer potential over medium term Targeting sales of 150m in Eastern Europe by 2011 20