Arturo Marroquín Ríos Clearwater Beach, Florida September 17th, 2014
Facts about MEXICO:
Population: 119,426,000 P Surface: 1,964,380 Km 2 Agricultural land: 53% Lifespan Average: 74 years Country of youth (54% of total popultation under 30 years old)
and in terms of economy?
45 Countries in: North America, Latin America Europe, Asia-Pacific. Source: Mexico Secretary of Economy
Exchange rate (%) Agricultural Industrial Services India 17.4 25.8 56.8 China 10 43.9 46.1 Argentina 9.3 29.7 61 Brasil 5.5 26.4 68.1 Russia 4.2 37.5 58.3 Mexico 3.6 36.6 59.8 Spain 3.1 26.1 70.8 Italy 2 24.5 73.5 France 1.9 18.7 79.4 Canada 1.7 28.4 69.9 Japon 1.1 25.6 73.3 USA 1.1 20.5 78.4 Germany 0.8 30.1 69.1 Inflation 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00-13.50 12.63 12.43 13.17 12.77 8.96 10.79 11.29 10.89 10.90 10.93 11.14 9.46 9.34 9.67 6.53 5.70 5.19 4.40 4.40 3.98 4.05 3.76 3.33 3.57 3.82 3.97 3.57 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 10.00 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 - Peso - Dollar USA Inflation Source: BANXICO (Mexican Central Bank) GDPcomposition by sector Source: OECD
Fish and Seafood, 4% Fruits, Vegetables and Processing food, 27% Tobacco, 3% Meat and Poultry, 35% Animal Feed, 31% People working in the Agricultural sector (6.9M) Source: INEGI and SIAP
# Crop Prod. (MT) 1 Sugar Cane 61,182,077 2 Corn 22,663,953 3 Sorghum 6,308,146 4 Orange 4,409,968 5 Wheat 3,357,307 6 Red tomato 2,694,358 7 Green Chili 2,294,400 8 Banana 2,127,772 9 Lemon/Lime 2,120,613 10 Agave 1,899,735 - - - 28 Grapefruit 425,433 - - # Crop Value (M$USD) 1 Corn 5,974 2 Sugar Cane 2,466 3 Sorghum 1,442 4 Avocado 1,414 5 Red Tomato 1,178 6 Greed Chili 1,145 7 Beans 1,005 8 Wheat 934 9 Potato 890 10 Lemon/Lime 510 - - 13 Orange 432 47 Grapefruit 51 Source: INEGI and SIAP
Infrastructure Growth Education Security Source: INEGI and SIAP
MMT World Citrus Production 30 25 20 15 10 5 - Orange Tangerine Grapefruit Lemmon and Limes Source: FAO
Sonora Source: SAGARPA -SIAP Citrus producing regions Estado khas % Veracruz 216 43% Michoacán 43 9% San Luis Potosí 40 8% Tamaulipas 36 7% Nuevo León 27 5% Puebla 24 5% Oaxaca 20 4% Colima 19 4% Yucatán 17 3% Tabasco 15 3% Others 42 8% Total 499.9 100% Colima Michoacán Puebla Grapefruit 3% Lemon and Limes 30% Nuevo León Oaxaca Tangerine 3% Tamaulipas San Luis Potosí Veracruz Tabasco Orange 64% Yucatán Source: SAGARPA - SIAP
Nuevo León Tamaulipas San Luis Potosí Total Production: 3.6 M MT Total Surface area: 321 k ha. Veracruz Estado Thousands of Has % Veracruz 159 49% Tamaulipas 30 17% San Luis Potosí 38 9% Nuevo León 25 7% Puebla 20 5% Others 48 15% Total 321 100% Source: SAGARPA -SIAP Puebla 86% is concentrated in 5 states. where the most important OJ processors are located.
MMT of fruit Mexico s orange production 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000-2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e Veracruz 2009 2014/15 Other States in Veracruz state over the last year Source: ANAPROCI
FCOJ kmt production 2009-2014 60% to fresh market 40% to industry 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 e Source: USDA - ANAPROCI
Fruit kmt 20 18 16 14 12 +42% Stability of orange production (2.5 million MT) but 10 8 6 of Installed capacity 4 2-2009 2014 Mexico s OJ over the fruit Installed Capacity
2005 Jun2014 U.S. OJ Imports 500,000 400,000 Mex Imports Share 2005 17% Mex Imports Share 2013 31% 300,000 200,000 México Others Belize Costa Rica Brazil 100,000-2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jul 1.3% 9.1% Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Orange Limes Lemon Grapefruit Tangerine Source: Altex
Image at: gardeningblog.net
Italy 2% Iran 4% Egypt 2% Others 17% China 15% India 15% Spain 4% Turkey 5% USA 5% Brazil 8% Argentina 9% Lemon & Lime production Source: FAO
Industry 24% Key Lime 54% Italian 4% Domestic 58% Persian Lime 42% Export 18% Total Production: 2.12 M MT Total Surface area: 150 k ha. Concentrated in: 8 states State k Ha. % Michoacán 39 26% Veracruz 39 26% Colima 19 12% Oaxaca 15 10% Tabasco 7 5% Guerrero 7 5% Yucatán 5 3% Tamaulipas 4 2% Others 15 10% Total 150 100% Source: USDA - SIAP Processing (after Argentina)
lime 54% of mexican Lemon and Lime production 2% Export 78% Domestic 20% Industry Colima Source: USDA - SIAP Michoacán Guerrero Oaxaca
lime 42% of mexican Lemon and Lime production 40% Export 30% Domestic 30% Industry Yucatán Veracruz Jalisco Puebla Tabasco Oaxaca Source: USDA - SIAP
USD / kg USD / kg lime price in mexican domestic market 2014 price was affected by HLB in Colima, lost of Veracruz first bloom reaching record prices during March and April. 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20-4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50-1.14 0.70 0.57 0.50 0.31 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 Source: Mexico Secretary of Economy
(Tequila - simple: $50.00 double:$75.00 with lemon: $500.00) (my precious) (new payment method)) Remember?...
TM 700,000 Mexican Lime production Evolución de Producción de Limón en México por Estado 2007-2012 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 COLIMA MICHOACAN VERACRUZ OAXACA Even though Colima s production of limes decreased by 30% during the last 6 years, other states like Veracruz, Michoacán & Oaxaca made up the difference. Source: SIAP -SAGARPA
Italian lemon 4% of mexican Lemon and Lime production Tamaulipas 38% Export 2% Domestic 60% Industry San Luis Potosí Yucatán Colima Source: USDA - SIAP
unfortunately we also have, this is the current status:
Source: SAGARPA / SENASICA (2014)
Chronology of Detections 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Psyllid HLB Source: SAGARPA / SENASICA
Veracruz Tamaulipas Nuevo León San Luis Potosí 4 major orange production states are officially free of HLB there are only positive psyllids
Sour orange rootstock Temperatures up to 100 F Low density plantation Orange groves mixed with other citrus crops. (more natural enemies)
Mayas NOTE: We re open to any suggestions.
MT/ha. INCREASE YIELD. Very low compared to Brasil & Florida Small farmers (Between 5-10 ha) HLB Competencies Integration Productivity Profitability Quality of life Food Safety Actual Plantation Rate must increase ( ) 69% Mature Trees
What is doing?
Altex s Entrepreneur Farmers model 1.- Human, technical and entrepreneurial training 2. Financing 3. Value chain integration
Successful implementation in Altex s crops: strawberry
NOTE: The images and photographs you see in this presentation (taken from searches on Printerest, Google Chrome and others, are not meant for commercial purposes. Clearwater Beach, Florida September 17th, 2014