Taking Saturation into account in investment projects: Case study on Paris Lyon line Frédéric, DELABORDE Head of performance design unit, Réseau ferré de France, France July11 th, 2012, Session: Network planning
Content Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4 Genesis of High Speed Line Paris-Lyon 30 years of high speed in France Traffic perspectives solutions for the future 2
Brest Lorient Saint-Nazaire 1972: passenger traffic concentrated on several lines, especially route Paris-Lyon La Rochelle Bordeaux Le Havre Rennes Caen Angers Nantes Poitiers Béthune Amiens Le Mans Tours Limoges Angoulême Paris Dunkerque Orléans Lille Valenciennes Reims Clermont- Ferrand Saint- Etienne Troyes Dijon Valence Lyon Metz Nancy Thionville Mulhouse Strasbourg Montbéliard Besançon Genève- Annemasse Annecy Grenoble Daily long distance passenger traffic had doubled in 18 years on the Paris Lyon route Critical situation on double track sections with more than 260 trains per day Growth of freight traffic expected on the Paris Lyon line. Increase of capacity was necessary in order to avoid saturation of the major line of the French network Bayonne Nîmes Toulouse Montpellier Pau Perpignan Marseille -Aix-en- Provence Toulon Nice Daily long distance passenger traffic 30 000 p. 10 000 p.. 5 000 p. 2 500 p. 3
Two options analysed 1 Increase of capacity on conventional line: No reduction of journey time No improve of service quality No renewal of passenger trains 2 Creation of a dedicated line for passenger trains: This choice allowed the development of a new concept (new infrastructure and new rolling stock) Journey Time reduced to 2 hours thanks to: Reduction of distance 511 426 km Increase of maximum speed 160 270 km/h New motor articulated train set. High Speed Lines entirely financed by increase of passenger traffic, without increase of ticket s price. Decision to build a new line, put into service in 1981 / 1983 4
The chosen option turned out to be a true serendipidity A continuous growth of traffic Extension of high speed network (Atlantic, Nord, Mediterranean HSL), Growth of macro-economic parameters: GDP, demography Increase of numerous services in South East of France, and abroad Increase of traffic due to the attractiveness of the South of France (tourism, ) Daily traffic (trains) 224 244 250 266 62 82 120 158 1983 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 High Speed Lines put into service North HSL Mediterranean HSL Atlantic HSL HS bypass of Paris Rhine-Rhône HSL 5
and it seems to go on in the future Scenario 1 Traffic on Paris-Lyon HSL is still increasing, even without new project put into service after 2020 Scenario 2 Growth is much higher with different HS development projects put into service in 2025: Marseille Nice HSL Montpellier Perpignan HSL Lyon Turin HSL Forecasted annual traffic on central section of Paris-Lyon HSL [ millions of passengers] 67 57 56 47 38 38 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 2008 2025 2035 6
First results of forecasts: need of train paths in 2020/2025 Need of train paths in «Paris to South» direction for a typical working day 7
The stages of increasing the line capacity 2001 2011 2020+ 20xx New signaling system (TVM 300) on Paris-Lyon Context: Mediterranean HSL was put into service Capacity upgraded from 10 to 12 trains per hour Commercial speed increased from 270 to 300 km/h. New traffic graph on national network Context: Rhine-Rhône HSL opened in December 2011 Capacity upgraded from 12 to 13 trains per hour Strengthening of electrical infrastructure ERTMS level 2 Deployment on Paris- Lyon Capacity upgraded from 13 to 15 trains per hour Strengthening of electrical infrastructure Investments in Gare de Lyon station in Paris Project of a new line: Paris - Orleans Clermont - Lyon Public debate between September 2011 and January 2012 New line ~ 540 km Cost ~ 14 Billions The HSL Paris-Lyon was built in order to relieve congestion of conventional line, but now needs itself to be decongested. 8
The capacity increase project (ERTMS) could be put into service around 2020 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 ERTMS Gare de Lyon in Paris Electrical infrastructures Rolling stock SNCF Planning Execution 9
followed by a long term solution (Paris- Orleans-Clermont Ferrand-Lyon HSL) 10
...Thank you for your kind attention