ISSN 1605-2404 5 2008 5 16-8 7 02 2586-5000 02 2594-6528 PECC http://www.pecc.org CTPECC http://www.ctpecc.org.tw/ (The World Bank,WB) Ban Ki-moon Robert Zoellick (UN World Food Programme) 2 5 ( ) (100 million) (UN Food and Agricultural Organization, FAO) APEC 2 50% 20% 18% 13% 10% 1
2008 5 7 Dmitry Vladimir 5 8 5000 OPEC KGB 8 Yeltsin 10 4 I Institute Innovation Investment Infrastructure 3 I Inflation Ideology 8 GDP 70% 75% 125% 22 2.5 5000 2007 GDP 8.1% 2020 2009 1.5 52% WEF Image WTO 500 3000 10 BRICs 2
2012 APEC 2013 5660 2020 2014 Sochi 300 4 12 2007 2008-2012 5 3 1300 APEC 320 10 6000 GDP 1999 12.7% 2007 31.6% WTO 2009 WTO 2008 OPEC 1998 WTO 2020 5 3
9,000 KTK (Ceyhan) 50 450 (Atasu) 962.2 340 700 800 1,000 2,000 1,000 (Atyrau) (CNPC) (Aktyubinsk) 2,600 30 (Kenkiyak) 448 1190 2,000 26 6 2,000 5,000 4
4,500 6,000 9,000 5,000 (Turgai) (Kashagan) PK 85.42% 230 550 610 518 (Aqtau) (ONGC) (Lukoil) PK 700 33% 469 1,000 KTK (Shymkent) (Charjew) (Pavlodar) KTK. 1,000 400 PK 100 Lsayev) (Musabek, 5
9,000 5,000 1,000 (KTK) (Tengiz) (Novorossiisk) 2,800 6,700 KTK 5,000 1/5 (Kumkol) 600 350 2,000 (Samara) 1,750 1,000 9,750 CTPECC (United Nations) (World Trade Organization, WTO) ~ WTO WTO 6
1997-98 (ASEAN) Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono GDP 1998 500 2000-2005 GDP 4.8% (Goldman Sachs) 2003 (BRICs) 2005 12 11 (N-11) N-11 (EIU) EIU 2006 GDP 5.5% 2007 6.2% 2008 2006 8% 400 EIU 2008 6.1% 6.5% (GDP) (PPP) GDP(PPP) 1997 1.447% 1998 1.228% 1999 1.196% 2000 GDP(PPP) 2007 1.304% (WEF) 2006-2007 54 (IMD) 2007 54 Economic Forum) 2005 (World Islamic 7
3 24-27 (KOPEC) 2008 CTPECC Prof. Wong-Siu-lun (domestic helper) Kwansei Gakuin Prof. Yasushi Iguchi (Demographic Change and International Labor Mobility in the Asia Pacific Region: Implications for Business and Cooperation) Drs. Young-Ki choi and Jai-JooHur KOPEC (portable pension system) network) (job placement Market Research, KLI) (Office for Labor Jai-Joon Hur Chia Siow Yue (geographic proximity) (supply) / 2005 475 2001 200 (commission) (agent) (pattern) 3D Dirty, Dangerous, Demanding Prof. Aris Ananta 2-3 (returnees) (diaspora) 8
Tullao De la Salle Prof. Tereso S. (Institutional Agent) (Microsoft) Affair) Ms. Lori Forman ICT (Community (cultural migration) Georgetown Drs. Susan Martin Ms. Catherine Sas PC (semi-labor) Ms. Lori Forman (International labour Organization, ILO) Dr. Piyasiri Wickramasekara ILO Dr. Piyasiri Wickramasekara GATS Catherine Sas portable security system Magsaysay-Ho industry Dr. Soogil Young ABAC Ms. Doris Shipping industry Shipping International Organization for Migration(IOM) Mr. Federico Soda 2006 (The United Nations General Assembly High Level dialogue on Migration and Development) 2007 (Global Forum on Migration and Development) 1996 20 (Asia-Pacific Consultations) Shipping industry agent Doris industry Shipping APEC APEC Ms. Doris Magsaysay-Ho sending country 9
Council The Gulf Cooperation 2007 3 6 20 5 2025 120 2025 600 20 2025 600 5 2025 240% 419% 323% 2025 162,000 1.4 2.3 4 1,000 OECD 600 1.Global Competitiveness Reports Chapter 2.1 Gulf Cooperation Council Health Care: Challenges and Opportunities World Economic Forum 2007 4 2.Private solutions for health care in the Gulf The McKinsey Quarterly 2007 3 75% 20 3.Gulf healthcare market worth $100bn Gulf Daily News 2007 11 3 4.Healthcare will undergo huge expansion Gulf Daily News 2007 9 6 5.Gulf healthcare sector needs private investment Gulf Daily News 2007 9 12 10
2007 7 Platform, ARCOP) (Arctic Operational 2500 45% 80 1968 (Arctic Council) 2004 NASA 11
APEC (GDP) 1997 Deok Ryong Yoon(2007) Kyung Tae Lee 2007 2007 1-11 40.7% 11.7% 2005 10 1.Kyung Tae Lee and Deok Ryong Yoon (2007), A Roadmap for East Asian Monetary Integration, KIEP Working Paper 07-04. 2. (2007) 12
M M (Culture of Poverty) Oscar Lewis Zygmunt Bauman M Sahlins(1999) CTPECC 4 28 13
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(BEA) 2007 GDP 2.5% -3.7% 2.6% 8.4% 1.0% IMF (Conference Board) 3 102 EIU 2008 GDP - 2.9% EIU GDP 2009 187% OECD GDP (BOJ) 2007 2 BOJ 2 2008 2 97.0 1 98.8 3 2 2007 9 18 2008 3 5.25% 2.25% (FOMC) 3 2 76.4 64.5 14.8 10.1 2008 4 3 69.5 63.2 6.7 5.8 2007 GDP 2006 2.0% 1.7% 2007 0.6 2008 3 36.7 2 36.1 0.6 2007 9 2008 3 1.4 0.2 (Eurostat) 2007 15 GDP 2006 2.2% 27 2.6% 2007 2.7% 2.9% 2007 2006 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 2008 3 3.6% 0.3 1999 15
ECB 2008 2 7.1% 7.6% 2008 2 6.7% 7.4% 2.7% 9.9% 2007 24.6% 2007 0.9 80.8% 35.2% 27.7% 22.3% 20.6% 2007 5.7 12% 2007 2008 3 (Economic Sentiment Indicator, ESI) 99.6 0.6 2007 3 12 2008 3 2008 21.4% 2007 6.4 28.6% 10.4 414 2007 49 274 61.3% 3 1,539 851 1.68 10.6% 2007 1.1 2007 2.8% 2007 1.6 11.5% 1.7 0.4 10.9% M1 M2 2007 1.6 1.0 CPI 8.0% 3 8.3% 4 0.5 16.0% 1.9 500 16.4% 2007 18.9% 14.3% 12.9% 11.6% 10 6,124 3,166 50% 7 2007 4 16.5% 2007 27.3 PECC CTPECC 16-8 7 (02)2586-5000 531 529 (02)2594-6528 http://www.pecc.org http://www.ctpecc.org.tw/ 16