Queensland infrastructure research Conducted for: infrastructure partnerships Australia Infrastructure association of Queensland Property council of Australia Presented to: Queensland Infrastructure Summit, August 201
qualitative research October 2016 Focus group discussions Five 120-minute face-to-face group discussions with metropolitan SEQ residents Mixed gender group, residents aged 55+ years from Ipswich and surrounds Gender-segregated groups, 25-65 year old residents of Brisbane and the Gold Coast. Online continuous discussions Two online continuous discussions with the general population in Coastal and Regional Queensland, ages 25-65 years 3 days of ongoing engagement per discussion (40 minutes participation per day). 2
quantitative research November 2016 Telephone survey n=1,000 Queensland residents aged 18+ State-wide 15 minutes North West Central Sample area South East: Brisbane, Sunshine Coast, Gold Coast Regions and Surrounds Sample size MOE (95% confidence level) n=400 +/-4.9% Central: Central, Wide Bay, Burnett Regions and Surrounds n=200 +/-6.9% West: Darling Downs, South West Regions and Surrounds n=200 +/-6.9% South East North: Far North, North, Mackay, Isaac, Whitsundays Regions and Surrounds n=200 +/-6.9% Total sample n=1,000 +/-3.1% 3
Poor PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF INFRASTRUCTURE investment AND DEVELOPMENT in queensland Perception of infrastructure investment & development in Queensland (%) Total Well Coordinated (Very Well + Well) Net Total (Well - Poorly Coordinated) Total Qld 1 32 4 15 5 33% -29 South East 1 32 46 16 4 34% -28 Central 1 32 43 18 6 32% -29 West 1 41 43 11 4 41% -13 North 1 28 54 13 5 29% -38 Very well coordinated Well coordinated Poorly coordinated Very poorly coordinated Can't say Q4. When you think of infrastructure investment and development in Queensland, do you get the impression that it is? Base: All respondents, n=1,000; South East Qld, n=400, Central Qld, n=200, West Qld, n=200; North Qld, n=200 4
HEALTHCARE AND ROADS THE TOP INFRASTRUCTURE Priorities JWS Infrastructure Planning & Investment Research Presentation August 201 Healthcare infrastructure (hospitals, child/aged care facilities) Priorities for investment (%) 82 15 2 Major roads & highways 8 1 4 Renewable energy 1 19 8 2 North: 81% Central: 6% Schools & universities Dams & water supply 68 66 22 26 61 9 2 SEQ: 68% Railways & light-rail 62 25 11 2 Public & social housing 50 34 13 4 Airports 33 45 21 2 Sporting & recreational facilities 32 43 24 1 Ports 30 42 21 6 Coal & gas power stations 24 32 3 Total High Average Total Low Can't Say Q1. Thinking about the current capacity and condition of Queensland s major infrastructure, how would you prioritise the need for investment in each of the following? Base: All respondents, n=1,000 5
important SEQ infrastructure projects Importance rating (%) South East Qld Total Important (Extremely + Very) M1 Pacific Motorway Upgrade 31 40 21 4 23 1% Ipswich Motorway Upgrade: Rocklea to Darra 18 3 2 3 8 55% Brisbane Metro 16 38 29 4 6 54% Extremely important Very important Somewhat important Not that important Not at all important Can't say Q2. Thinking now about priority infrastructure projects planned across Queensland. How important are each of the following infrastructure projects to our State? Base: South East Qld, n=400 6
Important CENTRAL Qld infrastructure projects Importance rating (%) Central Qld Total Important (Extremely + Very) Bruce Highway Upgrade 42 46 6 14 2 89% M1 Pacific Motorway Upgrade 13 34 24 11 9 9 4% Warrego Highway Upgrade 16 30 23 6 8 1 46% Extremely important Very important Somewhat important Not that important Not at all important Can't say Q2. Thinking now about priority infrastructure projects planned across Queensland. How important are each of the following infrastructure projects to our State? Base: Central/ Wide Bay/ Burnett & Surrounds, n=200
Important WEST QLD infrastructure projects Importance rating (%) West Qld Total Important (Extremely + Very) Warrego Highway Upgrade 36 40 16 1 6 6% Bruce Highway Upgrade 2 39 26 21 66% Inland Railway: Brisbane to Melbourne (for freight) 25 40 25 4 2 5 65% Extremely important Very important Somewhat important Not that important Not at all important Can't say Q2. Thinking now about priority infrastructure projects planned across Queensland. How important are each of the following infrastructure projects to our State? Base: Darling Downs/ South West & Surrounds, n=200 8
Important NORTH QLD infrastructure projects Importance rating (%) North Qld Total Important (Extremely + Very) Bruce Highway Upgrade 3 43 14 3 3 80% Burdekin Falls Dam 21 38 16 3 16 59% Hell's Gate Dam (upper Burdekin River just over 100kms WNW of Townsville) 18 39 20 3 3 16 58% Extremely important Very important Somewhat important Not that important Not at all important Can't say Q2. Thinking now about priority infrastructure projects planned across Queensland. How important are each of the following infrastructure projects to our State? Base: FNQ/ North/ Mackay/ Isaac/ Whitsundays & Surrounds, n=200 9
asset recycling Strong Choices Borrowing money/ increasing State debt Awareness of funding options (%) Total Aware 62% Increased general taxation 60% Special levies or charges 55% Asset recycling 3% Q8. I am now going to read out some options for how to fund the development of new infrastructure. Please indicate to what extent you have heard of each of the following. Base: All respondents, n=1,000 10
Men and LNP supporters most aware of asset recycling JWS Infrastructure Planning & Investment Research Presentation August 201 Aware of asset recycling (%) Total Qld 3% Male Female 18-39 years 40-64 years 65+ years 29% 35% 39% 35% 45% 62% 60% Mike Baird has a recipe you sell off existing infrastructure the government owns, invest the dividends and keep the economy going with new infrastructure. NSW has been able to flog off the power lines, the poles, and everybody else is trying to do all of this with one hand tied behind their back. (Brisbane, Males) South East Central West North LNP supporter Labor supporter Other/ind supporter Hard voter Soft voter 32% 29% 3% 35% Significantly higher than total at 95% confidence interval Significantly lower than total at 95% confidence interval Q8. I am now going to read out some options for how to fund the development of new infrastructure. Please indicate to what extent you have heard of each of the following. Base: All respondents, n=1,000 41% 38% 35% 43% 45% 55% 3% I have heard about the leasing of Port of Melbourne and Port of Brisbane. As long as the money is being allocated to the appropriate areas and used for schools, hospitals etc, I don't really have a problem with it, but it all depends on "who" is leasing. I am not keen on an excessive amount of foreign ownership which seems to be happening far too much in our country. (Regional QLD, online) 11
Majority Support asset recycling as a means to fund infrastructure development in queensland Support for funding options (%) Asset recycling 61 8 28 3 Special levies or charges 61 5 30 3 Borrowing money and increasing State debt 22 0 1 Increased general taxation 26 66 2 Total Support Neither support nor oppose Total Oppose Can't say Q9/10/11. Do you support or oppose the use of [asset recycling/ borrowing money and increasing State debt/ increased general taxation/ special levies or charges] as a means of funding infrastructure development in Queensland? Base: All respondents, n=1,000 12
Top reasons to support asset recycling More people can be employed by re-investing the proceeds of asset recycling into new infrastructure development 5 8 15 3 Asset recycling allows the development of new infrastructure without having to borrow more money, increase State debt or introduce new taxes, levies or tolls 3 8 14 3 Protections can ensure funds raised from asset recycling are only spent on new infrastructure projects 4 15 4 Asset recycling can allow for investment in new income-generating assets, ensuring continued revenue for Queensland 4 8 14 4 Protections can ensure limts on foreign ownership of essential infrastructure 3 5 18 3 Total Agree Neither agree nor disagree Total Disagree Can't say Q13. I am now going to read out a list of statements that people have said are reasons to support asset recycling in particular. Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with each statement. Base: All respondents, n=1,000 13
asset recycling support increases with consideration of potential benefits and countering of perceptual risks Initial support for asset recycling (%) Considered support for asset recycling (%) TOTAL SUPPORT 61% TOTAL SUPPORT 2% Neither support nor oppose 8% Neither support nor oppose % TOTAL OPPOSE 28% TOTAL OPPOSE 18% Can't say 3% Can't say 4% Q9. Asset recycling involves recycling public properties or assets via selling, long-term leasing or outsourcing their operation. The proceeds are then used to fund new infrastructure and government projects. Knowing this, do you support or oppose the use of asset recycling as a means of funding infrastructure development in Queensland?/ Q14. Now that you have further information, do you support or oppose the use of asset recycling as a means of funding infrastructure development in Queensland? Base: All respondents, n= 1,000 14
State of play: key take-outs Queenslanders think poorly of the State s coordination of infrastructure investment and development and are concerned about current and future health of economy and job market. People are ager to learn of the Government s vision for the State, and want the State Government to take more action to stimulate the economy and job market. Infrastructure development (via asset recycling) presents the solution to both economic stimulation and jobs growth, as well as addressing need to cater to population growth and key priorities, such as improved healthcare for an ageing population. 15
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