F r o m B O B C AT t o C r o s s - B o r d e r AT F M IATA-ICAO Cross-Border ATFM Workshop 3 4 September 2015 Delhi, India Piyawut Tantimekabut (Toon) Air Traffic Management Network Manager Network Operations ATM Centre, AEROTHAI
Collaborative ATFM through Afghanistan 2
Why ATFM Procedure using the Bay of Bengal Cooperative ATFM System (BOBCAT)? Afghanistan airspace capacity Military Operations Lack of RVSM Uncoordinated Departures Westbound Night Time Traffic : European Curfew Traffic Increase 3
Traffic Distribution: Departure Aerodromes Mumbai (VABB) 5% Kuala Lumpur (WMKK) 8% BOBCAT Slot Request by Departure Airport 1 August 2013-31 July 2015 Hong Kong (VHHH) Ho Chi Minh 4% Ha Noi (VVNB)(VVTS) 3% 2% Others (24) 2% Singapore (WSSS) 29% Delhi (VIDP) 21% Bangkok (VTBS) 26% 4
BOBCAT Traffic Demand Average Nightly Traffic 65 60 BOBCAT Traffic Demand from Slot Request 1 Aug 2013-31 Jul 2015 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Average 51 52 50 49 46 52 50 51 53 54 50 43 39 30 40 42 41 42 44 45 44 45 40 45 Series2 57 60 57 57 57 60 58 58 60 59 57 56 48 42 46 48 49 51 48 50 51 53 51 55 5
Benefits Regularity of departures Orderly Afghanistan entry Optimal FL achieved (80 90% in Afghanistan) Reroutes and technical stops eliminated Reduction of ATCO and flight crew workloads Environmental Outcome (Jul 2007 Jul 2015): Estimated Airline Cost Savings: USD 107 million Estimated Fuel Savings: 107 million kg Estimated Emissions Savings: 432 million kg Based on IATA estimates in 2007 6
Collaborative ATFM through Afghanistan 7
Thailand Air Traffic Demand 411,214 456,050 461,619 417,607 452,286 521,780 576,463 669,022 744,130 823,343 883,300 946,555 1,013,292 1,083,696 1,157,975 1,236,338 1,319,008 1,406,231 1,498,248 Flight Movements (Fiscal Year) Flight Movements in Bangkok FIR FY2004-2014 and Forecast for FY2015-2024 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 Other 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Historical Forecast Overflight Domestic International Total 8
North 148,593 Flights/Year 407 Flights Daily Overall GR: 23.2% West 109,558 Flights/Year 300 Flights Daily Overall GR: -1.4% Volume GR Int l 70% -2.2% Dom 0% Volume Overfly 30% 0.8% GR Int l 57% 26.5% Dom 38% 20.5% Overfly 5% 8.6% Thailand Air Traffic Demand South 237,881 Flights/Year 652 Flights Daily Overall GR: 7.0% Volume East/North East 182,610 Flights/Year 500 Flights Daily Overall GR: 11.3% Volume GR Int l 64% 4.0% Dom 25% 46.2% Overfly 11% 0.1% GR Int l 35% 2.1% Dom 55% 11.1% Overfly 10% 3.8% Note: Annual Growth Rate / Data up to 31 Jun 2015 9
Capacity vs Demand Bangkok ACC Sectors Capacity Aug 2013 Capacity vs Peak Hourly Traffic 2014 Capacity vs Peak Hourly Traffic 2015* Capacity vs Peak Hourly Traffic 2016** 7/1 20-22 7 20-22 4 4/1 28-30 2 23-25 30-32 8 28-30 145% (29) 150% (42) 113% (26) 115% (23) 103% (31) 100% (28) 135% (27) 180% (36) 154% (43) 122% (28) 147% (44) 125% (35) 155% (31) 204% (41) 124% (23) 174% (28) 157% (47) 134% (38) 1 28-30 3 30-32 153% (43) 123% (37) 157% (44) 113% (34) 179% (50) 121% (36) 5 24-26 1/1 28-30 6 30-32 Sector No. 129% (31) Sector Capacity (Unit : Hourly Entry Count) Traffic Count 167% (47) 100% (30) 54% (13) 175% (49) 133% (32) 107% (32) 63% (15) 152% (36) 199% (56) 114% (34) 10
Capacity vs Demand Bangkok ACC Sectors Capacity vs Peak Hourly Traffic 2015* 54% (13) 135% (27) 180% (36) 154% (43) 122% (28) 157% (44) 175% (49) 147% (44) 113% (34) 133% (32) 107% (32) 125% (35) Hourly Traffic Volume - January 2015 - Sector4 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Peak 22 28 27 40 36 39 41 43 34 35 37 42 30 30 29 24 14 13 15 11 11 6 3 4 Average 17 23 18 33 29 28 33 32 28 28 29 31 25 25 22 16 9 7 9 8 7 3 1 2 Hourly Traffic Volume - January 2015 - Sector1 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Peak 14 32 35 35 28 34 38 33 38 41 38 38 30 38 30 24 16 10 13 15 12 5 3 5 Average 9 26 30 31 23 28 32 26 32 35 29 33 26 30 22 19 9 5 8 8 7 3 2 3 11
Capacity vs Demand - Chiang Mai & Phuket Peak Hourly Flight Movement Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Peak Hourly Flight Movement Mar-12 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 25 20 15 10 5 0 Peak Hourly Flight Movement : Phuket 30 Peak Hourly Flight Movement : Chiang Mai 25 20 15 10 5 0 12
Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Peak Hourly Flight Movement Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Peak Hourly Flight Movement Capacity vs Demand Bangkok Airports 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Peak Hourly Flight Movement : Suvarnabhumi 60 Peak Hourly Flight Movement : Don Mueang 50 40 30 20 10 0 13
CANSO Bangkok-Singapore Whole-Flight CDM (2011-2012) 14
Tripartite CDM/ATFM Project (2012-2013) 15
APEC ATM Emissions Reduction Project (2012-2013) 16
Distributed Multi-Nodal ATFM/CDM Network (2014+) 17
Multi-Nodal ATFM Ops Trial Participation by Departure Aerodromes ATFM Participation Origin Airports for Flights Arriving at VTSP of (Total: Departures 751 flights) Intl Multi-Nodal Phuket Int l Airport Intl Multi-Nodal: 24.50 % Intl Others: 25.03 % Domestics: 50.47 % Domestics Intl Others Note: Data from 17-23 July 2015 18
North Asia Regional ATFM Harmonization Group (NARAHG) (2014+) CAAC ATMB JCAB / JANS 19
Towards Regional Cross-Border ATFM 20
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