WEEKLY MARKET REPORT March 14th, 2008 / Week 11

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Transcription:

LY MARKET REPORT March 14th, 2008 / Week 11 An interesting week across the board in shipping and in the financial sector: - Crude oil hit a record of US$ 111 per barrel in New York - The dollar dropped below 100 Yen - Gold rose to US$ 1,000 per ounce with other precious metals following on to new highs - The BDI declined by 564 points or about 7% mainly dragged down by the volatile cape market with the BCI declining by 1939 points or about 16%. Yet, the market keeps on driving ahead with a very active week in the S&P market with deals being concluded in all sectors and at very healthy numbers. A nine year old capesize with delivery 4th quarter 2008 fetched a massive US$ 135 mill whilst a twelve year old panamax has achieved US$ 65 mill, both by Chinese buyers. In addition, a 1st quarter 2009 capesize resale has managed to achieve US$ 140 mill. We are seeing a plethora of purchase enquiries for all types of size/age bulk carriers as well as continued interest for non-double hull tankers mainly for conversion into bulk carriers. Most of these enquiries are coming from the Far Eastern market and it shows that there is sustainable depth in the market. Helping the market prospects is the continued Port congestion and strong demand from China and India and there is no doubt in anyone's mind that although 2008 will be a highly volatile market it will be a strong one. Charter rates have remained firm across all sectors. The market rose to as high as us$ 70,000 per day for spot handymax rates on Monday this week but have eased a little. However, good prospects lie ahead for the handysize & handymax sector as we are entering the South American grain season - further gains will be made. Period rates for capesize bulkers are at very healthy levels and we have noted the fixture of a 2004 built capesize for two years at US$ 115,000 per day. With a more balanced supply & demand situation in the S&P sector we expect market values to rise steadily for dry bulkers. Nothing exciting to report on the tanker side apart for some VLCC changing hands for conversion WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 1 of 11

into bulkers and a few sales at healthy levels. There is no real change in the tanker story - prices are firm for modern double hull tonnage whilst prices are steady for the older ships which are being chased by project and conversion buyers. On the Tanker Market, on the VLCC front the lack of activity was the story for a second consecutive week. Both single and double hull rates fell 25% for eastbound business, but at weeks end the slide was starting to slow as more enquiry was beginning to enter the market. Next week should prove interesting as an abbreviated work week should yield more activity with charterers looking to finish up their remaining March stems and get going on their April programs. In the Atlantic basin the majority of activity this week was on the suezmaxes class which saw rates slide to the WS140 level. With the Suez class falling, the AG alternative weakening and the eastbound business out of the Caribbean and North Sea quieter it wasn't long before the VLCC rates fell to the WS 112.5 level where we currently stand. We expect rates to hold steady next week, but we are already starting to see some increased inquiry out of the Carribean and North Sea that could yield slight increases in rates. Suezmaxes ex West Africa after showing an oversupply of tonnage to start the week, allowed rates to come off versus last week, with rates settling around 42.5K per day at weeks end. In the Mediterranean market the steady enquiry caused suezmaxes to firm up and reach the WS150 levels whereby East suezmaxes have started and ended on a firm note, at WS 150, although fairly quiet. Aframaxes in the Carribean started off the week on a soft tone as supply exceeded demand. However a strong reseilience from owners kept rates hovering around the WS175-185 level when the potential was for much lower. An isolated, inexplicable WS 215 was done giving owners a further boost in morale. However, enquiry remained subdued and the very next fixture was re-established at WS 190. At the close of the week, very little enquiry remains and a game of stale-mate ensues. Owners believe the market is above WS 190, whereas charterers are aiming below. The more patient party will reap the reward. In the volatile Med aframax market, owners enjoyed a rapidly firming trend starting the week at around WS 137.5, and ending the week at the WS 190 level. East of Suez aframaxes after limited inquiry have softened settling at the WS140 level, earning around 18k per day. The story next week will again be activity; will charterers be busy before the long holiday weekend or will owners again be forced to fix the limited choices they see? TANKERS FRONT SABANG 285,715/90 - DAEWOO - B&W 25,155 - IGS - SBT - COW - SH Sold for $22 mill. to Taiwanese buyer (TMT). Sale includes bareboat for 3.5 years at $29,000/day and a purchase obligation at the end of the bareboat period. TOHDOH 261,212/91 - MITSUI - B&W 26,700 - IGS - SBT - COW - SH Sold for $42.75 mill. to undisclosed buyer. APOLLO SUN 259,995/85 - IHI - SUL 23,498 - IGS - SBT - COW - SH Sold for $31 mill. to Indonesian buyer (Arpeni). EMERALD ISLE 68,397/89 - NAMURA - B&W 10,560 - COILED - COATED - IGS - SBT - COW - DS Sold for $25 mill. to undisclosed buyer. LPG IRIS GAS 51,894/83 - KAWASAKI - MAN 14,770-76,313 CBM Sold for $9 mill. to Chinese buyer. WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 2 of 11

RELENTLESS 47,070/92 - HALLA INCHON - B&W 10,150 - COILED - COATED - IGS SBT - COW - DH Sold for $28 mill. to undisclosed buyer. BESIKTAS GREENLAND 18,000/07 - TURKEY - MAK 9,517 - COILED - COATED - IGS SBT - COW - DH - IMO 2 Sold for $40 mill. to Canadian buyer (Desgagnes). ARISTOFANIS 12,000/05 - FUJIAN SHENGLONG - B&W 4,758 - COILED - COATED - IGS SBT - COW - DH - IMO 3 Sold for $23.5 mill. to Greek buyer. Sale includes t/c until 3/2010 at $12,9/day. SIMPHONY 10,885/83 - ASAKAWA - MITSUBISHI 6,000 - COILED - COATED - IGS - SBT COW - DH - IMO 3 Sold for $3.25 mill. to undisclosed buyer. HAFETZAH 6,500/91 - MALAYSIA - BLACKSTONE 3,550 - IGS - SBT - COW - SH Sold for $3.125 mill. to Nigerian buyer (Morlap). BULKERS DESIMI 207,063/89 - HYUNDAI - B&W 16,560-9HH Sold for $83 mill. to Chinese buyer, basis delivery in July 2008. MINERAL MONACO 180,263/05 - IMABARI - B&W 25,329-9HH Buyer (Bocimar) exercised a purchase option at $37.5 mill. including t/c for a short period. ARETHOUSA 171,779/99 - HYUNDAI - B&W 22,902-9HH Sold for $135 mill. to Chinese buyer (Ri Zhao Steel), basis delivery in October/November 2008. SUNGDONG RESALE 170,000/10 - SUNGDONG - B&W 19,480-9HH Sold for $99 mill. to undisclosed buyer. HAINAN / FUJIAN 75,399/97/96 - ITALY - SUL 15,100-7HH Sold for $34 mill. each to undisclosed buyer. Sale includes t/c for both vessels at $10,100-10,650-11,250/day. NORD LUNA 73,288/00 - SUMITOMO - SUL 12,070-7HH Sold for $72 mill. to Greek buyer (Dryships). LANZAROTE 73,008/96 - HUDONG - B&W 13,300-7HH Sold for $65 mill. to Indonesian buyer (Humpuss). NORD WAVE 53,189/05 - IWAGI - B&W 12,889-5HH - C 4X30.5T Sold for $73 mill. to Greek buyer (Star Bulk Carriers). ALAM MAKMUR 46,644/00 - MITSUI - B&W 10,098-5HH - C 4X30T Sold for $63.75 mill. to Korean buyer. XI RUI 5 40,478/85 - MITSUI - B&W 10,801-5HH - C 4X25T Sold for $30 mill. to Turkish buyer. WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 3 of 11

ZARA III 18,801/78 - KOYO MIHARA - PIELSTICK 7,800-4HH - D 4X25T Sold for $4.75 mill. to undisclosed buyer. CONTAINERS UNIVERSAL ISLAND 8,515/98 - MURAKAMI - B&W 7,040-6HA - C 2X36T - 580 TEU Sold for $14.85 mill. to undisclosed buyer. RO-RO FINNMILL 10,300/02 - JINLING - 2 x MAN 25,694-3,600 LM - 800 TEU FINNPULP 10,300/02 - JINLING - 2 x MAN 25,694 3,600 LM - 800 TEU FINNKRAFT 8,702/00 - JINLING - MAN 17,130 1,320 LM - 391 TEU FINNHAWK 8,699/01 - JINLING - MAN 17,130 1,320 LM - 391 TEU Sold for Euro 121 mill. en bloc to undisclosed buyer. RO/PAX LA SUPERBA 9,750/02 - ITALY - 4 x WARTSILA 91,360-2,920 PASS - 567 CABINS LA SUPERBA 9,720/03 - ITALY - 4 x WARTSILA 91,360-2,920 PASS - 567 CABINS Sold for Euro 265 mill. en bloc to Vietnamese buyer (Vinashin). FRESH FOR SALE TANKERS AL SAMIDOON 284,889/92 - DAEWOO - B&W 25,530 - SBT - IGS - COW- SH Presently off Mina Al Ahamadi, Kuwait. ALKIVIADIS 37,721/06 - HYUNDAI MIPO - SUL 9,720 - COILED - COATED - SBT - IGS - COW DH - IMO 2/3 - ICE CLASS 1A ARISTIDIS 37,680/06 - HYUNDAI MIPO - SUL 9,720 - COILED - COATED - SBT - IGS - COW DH - IMO 2/3 - ICE CLASS 1A Alkiviadis: Inspectable in Euromed, ETA on about 15 th March. Aristidis: Inspectable Puerto Cabello & Rio Haina where dischsrging. BULKERS LANSING 73,040/96 - SAMSUNG - B&W 11,800-7HH Inspectable in South Korea, ETA 8th April. MENORCA 71,685/97 - HITACHI - B&W 11,830-7HH Inspectable in Constitucion & San Lorenzo, Argentina. HORNBILL ARROW 31,247/80 - KANASASHI - SUL 10,800-5HH - C 2X37T Inspectable in Brazil until 24th March. FREE DESTINY 25,321/82 - BULGARIA - SUL 12,165-7HH - C 4X16T Inspectable in Zhanjiang, ETA 18th March. WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 4 of 11

NEWBUILDING STATISTICS TYPE OF SHIP 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 * TOTAL ORDERBOOK ULCC/VLCC 36 66 55 28 6 191 SUEZMAX 19 59 47 15 140 AFRAMAX 68 103 83 35 289 PANAMAX 37 49 20 22 128 MR 177 205 164 69 3 618 0-35,000 DWT 227 203 128 30 4 592 CAPESIZE 40 143 289 139 30 4 645 80-100,000 DWT 34 83 157 108 14 1 397 PANAMAX 54 47 63 30 9 203 SUPRAMAX 138 247 240 133 25 1 784 HANDYSIZE 108 221 210 115 17 3 674 * Includes ALL vessels on order NEWBUILDING CONTRACTS No. Size Type Yard Delivery Price (mill) Owners Comments 2 320,000 dwt Tank Hyundai HI 2010/11 $150 Korean Line Corp Seaworld 5 50,000 dwt Tank S. Korea 2009/10 n/a Management 6 16.500 dwt Chem Xinle 2011 n/a Turkish Buyers 3 9,000 cbm LPG STX 2011 $41.33 Naftomar 2 7,500 cbm LPG Kanrei 2011 $32 Stealthgas 3 5,000 cbm LPG Kanrei 2010/11 n/a Stealthgas 2 2,700 cbm LPG Breko 2010 $15 Chemgas 3 176,000 dwt Bulk New Times 2010/11 $84 Deiulemar 6 25,000 dwt Bulk Xinle 2011 n/a Romeo Group 1 1,440 teu Cont Peenewerft 2009 n/a JR Shipping BV Ice class E3 5 4,100 dwt MPP Western Marine 2009/10 $11 Stella Shipping WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 5 of 11

DEMOLITION DEMOLITION STATISTICS TYPE OF SHIP THIS DATE 2008 THIS DATE 2007 2007 TOTAL 2006 TOTAL ULCC/VLCC 0 0 1 0 SUEZMAX 0 1 1 0 AFRAMAX 0 2 8 14 PANAMAX TANKER 1 2 5 7 CAPE/COMBO (100,000 dwt +) 0 0 0 3 PANAMAX/KAMSARMAX BULKER 0 0 2 13 ESTIMATED DEMOLITION PRICES LOCATION TANKERS 6-10,000 LT TANKERS 15-20,000 LT BULK CARRIERS CHINA 370 395 355 INDIA 610 630 600 BANGLADESH 680 710 640 PAKISTAN 615 650 600 DEMOLITION: BANGLADESH M/T OCEAN STAR M/T ZEAL M/T OLLIE 88,396/79-18,028 LDT - USD 710/LDT 29,937/83-6,883 LDT - USD 725/LDT 24,430/83-7,118 LDT - USD 710/LDT INDIA M/V ROYAL BAY (reefer) 9,118/79-5,806 LDT - USD 600/LDT WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 6 of 11

BALTIC DRY EX RATES THIS LAST % Baltic Dry Index 7972 8536-564 -6.61% Baltic Capesize 10519 12458-1939 -15.56% Baltic Panamax 8280 8567-287 -3.35% Baltic Supramax 5394 5147 +247 +4.80% Baltic Handysize 2546 2458 +88 +3.58% 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1/6/2004 1/8/2004 1/10/2004 1/12/2004 1/2/2005 1/4/2005 1/6/2005 1/8/2005 1/10/2005 1/12/2005 1/2/2006 1/4/2006 1/6/2006 1/8/2006 1/10/2006 BDI 1/12/2006 1/2/2007 1/4/2007 1/6/2007 1/8/2007 1/10/2007 1/12/ 2007 1/2/2008 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1/6/2004 1/8/2004 1/10/2004 1/12/2004 1/2/2005 1/4/2005 1/6/2005 1/8/2005 1/10/2005 1/12/2005 1/2/2006 1/4/2006 1/6/2006 1/8/2006 1/10/2006 1/12/2006 1/2/2007 1/4/2007 1/6/2007 1/8/2007 1/10/2007 1/12/2007 1/2/2008 BCI 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1/6/2004 1/8/2004 1/10/ 2004 1/12/ 2004 1/2/2005 1/4/2005 1/6/2005 1/8/2005 1/10/ 2005 1/12/ 2005 1/2/2006 1/4/2006 1/6/2006 1/8/2006 1/10/2006 1/12/2006 1/2/2007 1/4/2007 1/6/2007 1/8/2007 1/10/2007 1/12/2007 1/2/2008 BPI WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 7 of 11

BALTIC WET EX RATES THIS LAST % Baltic Clean Tanker 921 946-25 -2.64% Baltic Dirty Tanker 1209 1167 +42 +3.60% 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 2-Ιαν-0 4 20-Φεβ-04 14-Απρ-04 02-Ιαν-04 20-Φεβ-04 14-Απρ-04 4-Ιουν-04 23-Ιουλ-04 13-Σεπ-04 1-Νοε-0 4 20-Δεκ-04 15-Φεβ-05 7-Απρ-05 27-Μαϊ-05 18-Ιουλ-05 6-Σεπ-05 25-Οκτ-05 13-Δεκ-0 5 8-Φεβ-0 6 29-Μαρ-06 04-Ιουν-04 23-Ιουλ-04 13-Σεπ-04 01-Νοε-04 20-Δεκ-04 15-Φεβ-05 07-Απρ-05 27-Μαϊ-05 18-Ιουλ-05 06-Σεπ-05 25-Οκτ-05 13-Δεκ-0 5 08-Φεβ-06 29-Μαρ-0 6 22-Μαϊ-06 11-Ιουλ-06 BCTI 22-Μαϊ-06 11-Ιουλ-06 BDTI 30-Αυγ-0 6 18-Οκτ-06 6-Δεκ-06 1-Φεβ-07 22-Μαρ-0 7 10-Μαϊ-07 28-Ιουν-07 16-Αυγ-0 7 5-Οκτ-07 23-Νοε-07 21/01/2008 11-Μαρ-08 30-Αυγ-0 6 18-Οκτ-06 06-Δεκ-06 01-Φεβ-07 22-Μαρ-0 7 10-Μαϊ-07 28-Ιουν-07 16-Αυγ-07 05-Οκτ-07 23-Νοε-07 21/01/2008 11-Μαρ-0 8 WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 8 of 11

INDEX THIS MAJOR CAPITAL MARKETS LAST % S HIGH S LOW NYSE 6,695.91 6,611.28 +84.63 +1.28% 7,963.84 6,160.94 NASDAQ 2,263.61 2,220.50 +43.11 +1.94% 2,861.51 2,202.54 AIM 995.25 1,016.63 21.38-2.10% 1,238.50 942.30 NIKKEI 12,433.44 13,215.42-781.98-5.92% 18,300.40 12,572.70 NAME SYMBOL PUBLIC COMPANIES DRY-CARGO SECTOR THIS LAST % HIGH LOW DIANA DSX $24.81 $28.88-4.07-14.09% $45.15 $16.79 DRYSHIPS DRYS $62.65 $70.33-7.68-10.92% $131.34 $17.57 EAGLE BULK EGLE $24.57 $25.83-1.26-4.88% $35.54 $17.24 EXCEL MARITIME EXM $28.81 $29.85-1.04-3.48% $81.99 $15.80 GENCO GNK $55.92 $61.90-5.98-9.66% $78.08 $27.29 NAVIOS HOLDINGS NM $10.10 $10.90-0.80-7.34% $19.76 $6.75 QUINTANA QMAR $22.86 $22.87-0.01-0.04% $29.00 $12.21 TBS INTERNATIONAL TBSI $30.73 $33.56-2.83-8.43% $71.15 $9.67 NAME CAPITAL PRODUCT PARTNERS SYMBOL TANKER/ENERGY SECTOR THIS LAST % HIGH LOW CPLP $17.87 $19.50-1.63-8.36% $32.50 $17. GENERAL MARITIME GMR $22.59 $22.13 +0.46 +2.08% $45.33 $19.81 OMEGA NAVIGATION ONAV $14.73 $15.09-0.36-2.38% $24.74 $13.30 STEALTHGAS GASS $14.50 $15.38-0.88-5.72% $20.00 $12.05 TEN TNP $32.23 $33.00-0.77-2.33% $39.48 $22.05 NAME SYMBOL CONTAINER SECTOR THIS LAST % HIGH LOW DANAOS DAC $25.08 $27.10-2.02-7.45% $40.26 $21.55 * Prices reflect Thursday s closing values. WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 9 of 11

RATES OF EX THIS LAST % Euro / $ 1.5615 1.5420 +0.0195 +1.26% Sterling / $ 2.0341 2.0144 +0.0197 +0.98% $ / Yen 100.32 101.93-1.61-1.58% $ / Nok 5.1264 5.1324-0.007-0.14% $ / Won 982.40 949.50 +32.90 +3.46% Brent Crude $109.68 $102.62 +7.06 +6.88% LIBOR (3-month) 2.87% 3.01% -0.14-4.65% TANKERS NB ESTIMATED VALUES PROMPT RESALE 5 YEARS 10 YEARS 20 YEARS 12 MONTH T/C VLCC 300,000 dwt $150.0m $164.0m $136.0m $113m (DH) $37.0m (SH) $70,000 PD Suezmax 150,000 dwt $94.0m $105.0m $95.0m $82.0m (DH) $32.0m $43,500 PD Aframax 105,000 dwt $76.0m $80.0m $72.0m $59.0m (DH) $17.0m (SH) $30,000 PD Panamax 70,000 dwt $65.0m $68.0m $63.0m $50.0m (DH) $14.0m $28,000 PD Product 47,000 dwt $.0m $60.0m $51.0m $43.0m (DH) $10.0m $23,000 PD BULK CARRIERS NB PROMPT RESALE 5 YEARS 10 YEARS 20 YEARS 12 MONTH T/C Capesize 170 180,000 dwt $97.0m $160.0m $143.0m $125.0m $80.0m $132,000 PD Panamax 74 76,000 dwt $54.0m $93.0m $81.0m $67.0m $50.0m $71,000 PD Supramax 59,000 dwt $47.0m $80.0m $68.0m $55.0m $42.0m $60,000 PD BUNKER PRICES FUEL GRADES ROTTERDAM FUJAIRAH PIRAEUS SINGAPORE 380cst: $477.50 $506.50 $494.00 $499.50 180cst: $501.50 $517.50 $541.00 $512.00 MGO: $972.50 $925.00 $1043.00 $965.00 WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 10 of 11

WEBERSEAS CONTACTS SALE & PURCHASE MOBILE PHONE NUMBER Bobby Mitropoulos 6936-530005 Tom Protonotarios 6936-530006 Nicholas Sfinias 6944-343488 John Stamatakis 6936-853258 Spyros Karamassis 6945-776757 TANKER CHARTERING Basil Mavroleon 6932-644983 Christos Kalogeras 6944-514420 Lefteris Mystriotis 6946-762010 Dionysios Mitsotakis 6944-720337 ADMINISTRATION Yannis Mitropoulos 6936-530007 Ourania Savvaki 6934-257746 Very Truly Yours, WEBERSEAS (HELLAS) S.A. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various market sources. WEBERSEAS (HELLAS) S.A. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. WSH will not be held responsible for any action or failure to take action upon reliance on information contained in this report. 2008 WEBERSEAS (HELLAS) S.A. All Rights Reserved WeberSeas, Weekly Market Report Page 11 of 11