Evaluating GA Pilots' Interpretation of New Automated Weather Products

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National Training Aircraft Symposium (NTAS) 2017 - Training Pilots of the Future: Techniques & Technology Aug 16th, 8:15 AM - 9:45 AM Evaluating GA Pilots' Interpretation of New Automated Weather Products Jayde M. King Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University - Daytona Beach, kingj14@my.erau.edu Yolanda Ortiz Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University - Daytona Beach, ortizy@my.erau.edu Thomas A. Guinn Ph.D. Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University - Daytona Beach, guinnt@erau.edu Elizabeth L. Blickensderfer Ph.D. Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University - Daytona Beach, blick488@erau.edu Robert L. Thomas Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University - Daytona Beach, thomasr7@erau.edu See next page for additional authors Follow this and additional works at: https://commons.erau.edu/ntas King, Jayde M.; Ortiz, Yolanda; Guinn, Thomas A. Ph.D.; Blickensderfer, Elizabeth L. Ph.D.; Thomas, Robert L.; and DeFilippis, Nicholas, "Evaluating GA Pilots' Interpretation of New Automated Weather Products" (2017). National Training Aircraft Symposium (NTAS). 35. https://commons.erau.edu/ntas/2017/presentations/35 This Presentation is brought to you for free and open access by the Conferences at Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in National Training Aircraft Symposium (NTAS) by an authorized administrator of Scholarly Commons. For more information, please contact commons@erau.edu.

Presenter Information Jayde M. King, Yolanda Ortiz, Thomas A. Guinn Ph.D., Elizabeth L. Blickensderfer Ph.D., Robert L. Thomas, and Nicholas DeFilippis This presentation is available at Scholarly Commons: https://commons.erau.edu/ntas/2017/presentations/35

Assessing General Aviation Pilots Interpretation of Weather Products : Traditional & New Automated Generation Products Presented at The National Training Aircraft Symposium, Daytona Beach, FL, August 2017 Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Jayde King, M.S. Yolanda Ortiz, M.S Tom Guinn, Ph.D. Beth Blickensderfer, Ph.D. John Lanicci, Ph.D. Robert Thomas, M.S., CFII, ATP

(Fultz & Ashley, 2016). Background The Aviation Weather Problem The rate of weather-related accidents within general aviation (GA) operations has remained relatively stagnant (FAA, 2010). Between 2003 and 2007, a total of 1,532 GA accidents were identified as weather related (FAA, 2010).

Background Weather Information Currently, there is wide variety of weather information available : METAR Surface Analysis Charts G- AIRMET Area Forecast Radar

Background Lack of Weather Knowledge Pilots may have difficulty interpreting this information. Weather Products are difficult to interpret Poor Weather Products Usability Basic Weather Theory is challenging

Usability and Graphics May Improve Pilot Situational Awareness and Decision Making (Latorella & Chamberlain, 2002).

Background Evolution of Weather Products The Aviation Weather Center (AWC) has progressed in their presentation of Meteorological Products. Textual AIRMET Graphical G-AIRMET CIP/FIP GTG CVA

Background Textual Based AIRMET The textual based AIRMET products faced several limitations: Descriptions of spatial weather phenomena as textual instead of graphical Textual presentation may hinder the users understanding of the information

Background G-AIRMET The AWC then developed the graphical AIRMET (G-AIRMET). The G-AIRMET is an aviation weather tool providing short time-interval snapshots of weather New design facilitated the graphical display of pertinent aviation weather information Products are made with meteorologists in-the-loop

G-AIRMET SUITE G-AIRMET ICE G-AIRMET TANGO G-AIRMET SIERRA

Background Automated Products The AWC has developed three new fully automated weather tools: Current and Forecast Icing Products (CIP/FIP) Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) Ceiling and Visibility Analysis (CVA) Automation = No meteorologist in the loop to generate weather product (FAA, 2016).

Background Automated Products Removing the human in the loop aspect can pose limitations May not accurately represent environment affected by weather Algorithms may cause errors No meteorologist to double check product data

Background New Product Influence Does the introduction of graphical and automated products improve pilots understanding of weather? Graphical information (in general) may cause pilots to take more risks Products could provide too much information If not followed with appropriate training, new products may pose challenges if not followed with appropriate training

Purpose The purpose of this research was to assess and compare pilots knowledge and interpretation of G-AIRMETs to the fully automated product suite (CVA, CIP, and GTG). This comparison may help provide a better understanding of pilots performance with new fully automated weather products and give insight to possible training needs.

METHOD

Method Participants Participants were recruited from Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Average Age: M = 20.70, SD = 3.0 Pilot Certificate and/or Rating Student Private Private with Instrument Commercial with Instrument Number of Pilots (Total = 131) 26 46 33 26 Flight Hours M (SD) 39.92 (33.62) 99.35 (40.02) 173.79 (57.71) 261.52 (92.02

Method Measures Two measures were used in this study, a Demographic questionnaire and the Aviation Weather Knowledge Questions. Demographic: Questions covered participant age, flight experience, flight training, and weather training. Aviation Weather Knowledge Questions: This study used 21 multiple-choice questions pertaining to G-AIRMETs, CVA, CIP/FIP, and GTG product interpretation (Blickensderfer et al., 2016).

Method Measures To assess the participant s product interpretation scores, we calculated percent correct and developed composite scores for the following categories: Traditional Generation Products (13 questions) G AIRMET ICE (9 questions) * G AIRMET SIERRA (4 questions)* G AIRMET TANGO (6 questions)* * Groups share overlapping questions Automated Generation Products (8 questions) CIP/FIP (4 questions) GTG (2 questions) CVA (2 questions)

Method Procedure Once participants arrived at the data collection site, each participant was briefed and received an informed consent form to sign and review. Then they completed the following at their own pace: The computer-based online demographic survey. The computer based aviation-weather knowledge assessment. After completing the demographic survey and the knowledge assessment, participants were debriefed and received their compensation. Subset of previous study (Blickensderfer et al., 2016).

RESULTS

Results Analyses We conducted four 4 X 2 Mixed ANOVAS. In each analysis we investigated the effect of experience on product interpretation score and the following factors: 1. Effect of Traditional and Automated on Product Interpretation Scores. Traditional G-AIRMET ICE G-AIRMET Sierra G-AIRMET Tango Automated CIP/FIP CVA GTG 3. Effect of Turbulence Product Generation on Product Interpretation scores. GTG G-AIRMET Tango 2. Effect of Icing Product Generation on Product Interpretation scores. CIP/FIP 4. Effect of Visibility Product Generation on Product Interpretation scores. G-AIRMET ICE CVA G-AIRMET Sierra

Score (in percentage) Results Effect of Traditional and Automated on 4 x 2 Mixed ANOVA Product generation by experience on percentage correct Product Interpretation Scores 80 75 Pilots scored higher on 70 60 58 54 65 61 70 69 automated weather products questions 50 46 Traditional 40 30 Automated Student pilots scored lower than Commercial Pilots 20 10 0 Student Private Private w/ Instrument Commercial Flight Experience

Score (in percentage) Results Effect of Icing Product Generation on Product Interpretation scores 4 x 2 Mixed ANOVA Icing Product generation by experience on percentage correct 80 70 60 55 59 59 62 70 73 No significant main effect of icing product generation on icing interpretation scores 50 40 46 48 G-AIRMET ICE Commercial Pilots 30 CIP/FIP scored significantly higher than Private and Instrument pilots 20 10 Instrument pilots 0 Student Private Private w/ Instrument Commercial Flight Experience significantly scored Higher than Student pilots

Score (in percentage) Results Effect of Visibility Product Generation on Product Interpretation scores 4 x 2 Mixed ANOVA Visibility Product generation by experience on percentage correct 80 No significant main effect of 70 65 68 68 69 visibility product generation on 60 60 visibility interpretation scores 50 45 52 49 G-AIRMET Sierra Student Pilots scored 40 30 CVA significantly lower than Commercial Pilots 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 Student Private Private w/ Instrument Commercial Flight Experience No other significant relationships occurred

Score (in percentage) Results Effect of Turbulence Product Generation on Product Interpretation scores 4 x 2 Mixed ANOVA Turbulence Product generation by experience on percentage correct 100 90 80 83 85 90 87 Pilots scored significantly higher on automated GTG weather 70 60 50 40 41 50 57 64 G-AIRMET Tango GTG products interpretation scores No significant main effect of the pilot certificate on turbulence 30 product interpretation scores 20 10 0 Student Private Private w/ Instrument Commercial Flight Experience No other significant relationships occurred

Discussion & Limitations Discussion The purpose of this study was to examine pilots abilities to interpret traditional human- in-loop graphical products and newer fully-automated aviation weather products. Pilots performed better on automated products than on questions using traditional products For icing and visibility products, the results indicate similar interpretation scores for both traditional and automated generation products.

Discussion & Limitation Discussion cont. Turbulence products results indicated that participants scored higher on the automated turbulence product interpretation questions. The significant differences found could be due to the same suite of contributing factors, training, pilot preference, and product usability Usability of the weather products analyzed could also contribute to this significant difference in scores.

Discussion & Limitation Limitations Participants were relatively low-hour pilots More generalizable sample could provide insight into how pilots are interpreting the automated products. Research is also needed to identify underlying reasons for the similarities and difference in interpretation scores.

Thank You

Questions? References Ahlstrom, U., Ohneiser, O., & Caddigan, E. (2016). Portable weather applications for general aviation pilots. Human Factors: The Journal of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society, 58 (6), 864-885. Blickensderfer, B., Lanicci, J., Guinn, T.,Thomas, R., Thropp, J., King, J., Ortiz, Y. (2016). Weather-in- the-cockpit Training Tools and Strategies Phase I Final Report: Aviation Weather Knowledge Assess- ment. Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University/Fed- eral Aviation Administration Technical Report. Federal Aviation Administration. (2010) Weather- Related Aviation Accident Study 2003-2007. Re- trieved from http://www.asias.faa.gov/i/2003200 7weatherrelatedaviationaccidentstud y.pdf Federal Aviation Administration. (2016) Advisory Cir- cular 00-45H. Retrieved from https://www.faa.gov /documentlibrary/media/advisory_circular/ac_00-45h.pdf Johnson, C. M., & Wiegmann, D. A. (2015). VFR into IMC: Using simulation to improve weather-related decision making. The International Journal of Avia- tion Psychology, 25(2), 1-14. doi:10.1080/10 508414.2015.1026672 Latorella, K. A., & Chambelain, J. P. (2002). Graphical weather information system evaluation: Usability, perceived utility, and preferences from general avia- tion pilots (No. 2002-01-1521). SAE Technical Pa- per. doi:10.4271/2002-01-1521. National Transportation Safety Board. (2016). General Aviation Weather Related Accidents. Retrieved from https://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/field_ offies/fsdo/orl/local_more/media/ntsb%20wx %20Related%20Accidents.pdf