ADS-B via Low Earth Orbiting Satellites Benefits Assessment

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ADS-B via Low Earth Orbiting Satellites Benefits Assessment Jeff Dawson Director, Operational Support NAM/CAR ANI/WG/1 July 2013

Aireon LLC is a joint venture between NAV CANADA and Iridium to finance, develop, deploy and operate a global solution for tracking and monitoring aircraft anywhere in the world by using spacebased ADS-B receivers 2

Goal To reduce aircraft separation minima through ADS B (out) via global Low Earth Orbiting (LEO) Satellites 3

4

Space Based ADS-B Concept of Operation Current ADS-B systems are terrestrial based, leaving oceanic and remote airspace without any ADS-B coverage Global space-based ADS-B can only be achieved through a low latency interlinked LEO satellite system Delivers true pole-to-pole coverage, with near real-time delivery of ADS-B Out data No additional aircraft equipage by using 1090 ES 5

Coverage Everywhere Space-qualified ADS-B receiver payloads will be hosted on Iridium NEXT, a constellation of 66 cross-linked LEO satellites 6

Initial focus on the NAT Region 1,000 flights per day (1,300 peak summer day) 350,000 commercial flights per year +23,000 military & GA flights per year 85% of the flights are already ADS B equipped 67% of flights are Data Link (FANS 1/A) equipped 67% are capable and use Controller Pilot Data Link Communications (CPDLC) 7

Oceanic Operating Environment The current operating environment is largely structured and not flexible Current Track Structure Great Circle Routes 8

Communications Presently over 60% of the flights on the NAT use CPDLC communications for clearances and change requests The remainder use HF voice via Flight Service Stations 9

POS-UAL23-56N050W/1131 F360 SCROD/1200 NEXT VALIE<CR ><LF > CSF/AUTOMATIC REPORT QXT AOW 201522 J56A<CR ><LF > REG/DAIKL)<CR ><LF > Benefits of Data Link Electronic processing is fast and accurate Messages are clear Pre defined messages avoid ambiguity Aircraft avionics automatically send position reports to flight data processing systems 10

Surveillance and Data Link Communications Benefits More efficient flight levels and trajectories Greater flexibility in responding to changing conditions (e.g. turbulence, weather and customer schedules) Enhanced safety 11

Current Flight Trajectory The current longitudinal separation minima (10 minutes) limits the number of aircraft that can obtain a better flight level Standard 10 min separation Standard 10 min sep Flight Level 390 Standard 10 min separation Standard 10 min separation Flight Level 380 Standard 10 min separation Standard 10 min separation Flight Level 370 12

Flight Trajectory With ADS-B ADS-B will improve the opportunities for aircraft to climb to a better flight level, resulting in fuel burn savings ADS-B separation Flight Level 390 Flight Level 390 Flight Level 390 13

Current Routing The current lateral separation minima (60 NM) limits the number of aircraft on the preferred wind tracks Track A 60 nm Track B JET STREAM Track C Track D 60 nm Track E 14

Routing with ADS-B ADS-B will support reduced lateral separation minima, allowing more aircraft to fly a greater portion on the better wind tracks Track A 60 nm Track B 15/25 nm 15/25 nm JET STREAM New Track BC Track C 15/25 nm New Track CD Track D 60 nm Track E 15

LEO ADS-B Benefits Assessment Determine the 2018 (1st year) fuel burn, based on simulation of 600 flights: 1. Base Case with RLongSM & RLatSM 2. ADS B Case: 15NM longitudinal & 30NM lateral separation 3. Compare the Base Case and ADS B fuel results 4. Determine the net fuel savings per flight 16

LEO ADS-B Benefits Assessment Approach & Assumptions The Total Airspace and Airport Modeller (TAAM) fast time simulation tool was used to calculate fuel Based on June 2012 OTS traffic Included wind forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 2018: all aircraft Data Link capable and 90% ADS B 2018: aircraft mix adjusted to retire B747 400s, replace some B767s with 787s Fuel computed for Oceanic airspace only, although benefits could accrue beyond. 17

Annual Gander/Shanwick Benefits A fuel savings of 450 litres was estimated per NAT flight after a thorough and conservative assessment of ADS B benefits. 600 flights were simulated Consistent with IATA members savings from the variable speed/flight Level ENGAGE project Represents less than 2% of the ocean portion of fuel for a transatlantic ADS B flight (450/26,000 litres) Year one benefits estimated at $127 million for 2018 18

Global Oceanic ADS-B Benefits 19

Value for Airlines Billions in Fuel Savings by being allowed to climb to more optimal altitudes and use more efficient routes Return on ADS B Investment with no additional aircraft equipage costs required Operational Efficiencies including optimized flight paths, altitudes, airspeeds and jet stream use Reduced Emissions through fuel consumption optimization, a key benefit in a potential cap and trade world Enhanced Safety by eliminating service gaps over areas with limited infrastructure or coverage Global Harmonization of different next generation ATM operating procedures and systems 20

Aireon ADS-B System Benefits Safety ADS B provides near real time aircraft position information Improves situational awareness, conflict detection and reaction/resolution Aircraft would have more flexibility in emergency situations Provides ADS B surveillance source separate from the communications (CPDLC) network sources More complete and accurate reporting of aviation occurrences, allowing better management of safety risk and better support of the Safety Management System 21

Aireon ADS-B System Benefits Environmental/Efficiency More efficient domestic like flight trajectories in oceanic airspace More predictable airline cost planning Climb/Descend and vary speed to chase wind push and avoid headwinds Improve opposite direction and crossing traffic profiles Significant worldwide reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and carbon footprint 22

A Strong Relationship with IATA International Advisory Committee being formed Eight member committee (1 IATA; 4 airlines appointed by IATA; 3 ANSPs) Will ensure needs of airlines and ANSPs are considered Provide transparency to Aireon customers Build global support for Aireon for regulatory process Provide periodic briefings on program status, operational implementation, benefits analysis, pricing structures, global deployment and regulatory status Enable Aireon to obtain feedback, guidance and non binding recommendations from the Committee 23

Regulatory support States support of ICAO Air Navigation Conference Recommendation 1/9 to the Assembly which states: Recommendation 1/9 Space based automatic dependent surveillance broadcast That ICAO: support the inclusion in the GANP, development and adoption of space based automatic dependent surveillance broadcast surveillance as a surveillance enabler; develop Standards and Recommended Practices and guidance material to support space based automatic dependent surveillance broadcast as appropriate; and facilitate needed interactions among stakeholders, if necessary, to support this technology. Canada s written commitment to support the ADS B Space Based initiative Continuous briefings on progress to other State and industry representatives on Regulatory aspect 24

Thank you 25