REGIONAL DATA
WOOD BUFFALO REGIONAL MAP TOTAL: 66,361 KM 2 Regional Communities: 1. Fort Fitzgerald 2. Fort Chipewyan 3. Fort McKay 4. Fort McMurray 5. Draper 6. Saprae Creek Estates 7. Gregoire Lake Estates 8. Anzac 9. Janvier 10. Conklin Access: International Airport Hwy 63 Hwy 881 CANADA 63 881 Edmonton Calgary
Fort McMurray FORT McMURRAY Generalized Land Development Concept CONTEXT MAP 881 63 Parsons Creek Timberlea West Growth MacDonald Island Snye Thickwood Heights Eastlands Lower Townsite Forest Heights Abasand Heights Beacon Waterways Hill North of Horse rse Gregoire R Draper Saline Creek Plateau Between Horse & Hangingstone Clearwater Indian Reserve Saprae Creek Airport Area e Ri ve r 881 69 ng st on Southlands gi Ho er Clearwater Riv r ive an h At er Riv H sca a ab 881 63 N Established Neighbourhood New Neighbourhood Employment Lands New Employment Lands Municipal Infrastructure Major Recreation Open Space Rural Community First Nation Reserve 0 1 2 4 8 Kilometres Urban Service Area Boundary Road Potential Transportation Railway Potential Railway 59
POPULATION Urban Service Area 82,724; 66.16% 2015 Rural Service Area 4,044; 3.23% 2005 2015 5% Average Annual Growth* 1 : 125,032 1 Shadow Population 38,264; 30.60% 2016 Average Age 2 33 Urban Service Area ~74,200 3 ; 71.42% 2016 Rural Service Area ~3,580 3 ; 3.45% Shadow Population ~26,100 4 ; 25.13% Population of each community 1 Fort Fitzgerald 9 Fort Chipewyan 1,014 Fort McKay 51 Fort McMurray 82,724 Draper 215 Saprae Creek Estates 977 Gregoire Lake Estates 232 Anzac 763 Janvier 155 Conklin 376 ~103,880 3,4 Division of Sex 1 Females 44.6% Males 55.4% Urban Service Area ~84,700 3 ; 68.59% 2021 Rural Service Area ~3,990 3 ; 3.23% Shadow Population ~34,800 4 ; 28.18% ~123,490 3,4 * Calculated using the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 1 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo Municipal Census 2015 2 Statistics Canada, Census Profile 2016 3 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo and Oil Sands Community Alliance, Population Projections developed by Nichols Applied Management Inc., 2017; 4 - Conference Board of Canada, Moving Forward: The Economic Impact of Rebuilding the Wood Buffalo Region s Economy, 2017
POPULATION PROJECTION 2016-2030* Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo s Urban and Rural Population Projection 2016 2030 1 Urban Population Projection Population 80,428 80K 60K 40K Past Projection 20K 0K 2015 2030 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 Year. High Growth (U) Low Growth(U) 2015 80428 80428 2016 74200 71800 2017 75500 68700 2018 79200 75000 2019 79600 75000 2020 83800 80300 2021 84700 81600 2022 85100 82000 2023 81800 78600 2024 82700 79400 Hwy 881 2025 82300 79000 2026 82900 79500 2027 83800 80400 2028 83700 80300 2029 84100 80600 2030 84200 80700 Urban Population (Past) Urban (High Growth) Urban (Low Growth) Rural Population Projection Population 4K 3,792 3K 2K Past Projection 1K 0K 2015 2030 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 Year. High Growth (R) Low Growth (R) 2015 3792 3792 2016 3580 3580 2017 3420 3380 2018 3720 3630 2019 3700 3620 2020 3940 3860 2021 3990 3910 2022 4010 3920 2023 3830 3750 2024 3870 3780 2025 3840 3760 2026 3860 3780 2027 3900 3820 2028 3900 3810 2029 3910 3830 2030 3910 3830 Rural Population (Past) Rural (High Growth) Rural (Low Growth) Source: Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (RMWB) and Oil Sands Community Alliance (OSCA) Population Projections developed by Nichols Applied Management Inc. 2005 2015 *In May 2017, The Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (RMWB) and the Oil Sands Community Alliance (OSCA) presented the above population projection to Council. The projection was approved by Council to be used as a tool for municipal planning purposes. Please note that this population projection is based on the permanent population only. Project accommodation projections are still being developed and are not available at this time. Projected regional population growth 123,500 2 3.5% average annual growth 2017 2021 1 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (RMWB) and Oil Sands Community Alliance (OSCA) Population Projections developed by Nichols Applied Management Inc. 2 Conference Board of Canada, Moving Forward: The Economic Impact of Rebuiling the Wood Buffalo Region s Economy, 2017
DEMOGRAPHICS EXPENDITURES WOOD BUFFALO VS CANADA 1 WOOD BUFFALO CANADA Income tax 21.3% 15.3% Clothing 4.0% 3.5% Education 0.4% 1.3% Average Total Expenditures Wood Buffalo $265,023 Total personal insurance premiums and retirement/pension contributions 3.6% 4.6% Food 5.7% 10.8% Games of chance 0.8% 1.0% Health care 2.4% 3.7% Household furnishings and equipment 3.4% 3.2% Household operation 3.1% 4.1% Miscellaneous expenditures 2.0% 1.6% Total money gifts, contributions and support payments 2.3% 2.1% Personal care 1.1% 1.9% Recreation 4.1% 4.2% Reading materials and other printed matter 0.1% 0.3% Shelter 16.0% 18.0% Tobacco products and alcoholic beverages 1.8% 3.2% Average Total Expenditures Canada $108,386 Transportation 12.2% 12.5% Improvements and alterations to owned principal residence 2.2% 2.6% Improvements and alterations to vacation homes 0.2% 0.6% Net purchase price of owned residences 12.0% 4.4% Net purchase price of owned secondary residences 0.8% 0.6% Net purchase price of other owned properties 0.4% 0.4% HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND EXPENDITURES 1 2016 TORONTO VANCOUVER EDMONTON WOOD BUFFALO ALBERTA CANADA Household Income (Median) $62,285 $62,938 $84,865 $196,285 $92,405 $72,938 Household Income (Average) $107,541 $95,583 $107,677 $230,077 $123,678 $96,065 Discretionary Income (Average) $52,760 $46,154 $57,569 $123,364 $66,988 $49,636 Cost of Living (Average) $52,174 $49,508 $50,634 $100,535 $56,778 $48,597 Total Expenditures (Average) $117,429 $109,393 $115,975 $265,023 $133,176 $108,386 Discretionary Income: The amount of household income remaining after the following expenses are subtracted - Income Taxes, Food (not including restaurants), and Shelter. Cost of Living: Total household costs for Income Taxes, Food (not including restaurants), Shelter, and Transportation. Median: The middle point of a number set, in which half the numbers are above the median and half are below. Average: A figure obtained by summing the values and then dividing by the number of values. 1 Environics Analytics, 2017
DEMOGRAPHICS $588,810 1 Average Single Family Detached Home Sale Price in 2017 AVERAGE SALE PRICE SINGLE FAMILY DETACHED DUPLEX TOWN- HOUSE APARTMENT CONDO- MINIUM JUNE 2016 $626,412 $473,625 $335,625 $251,067 JUNE 2017 $588,810 $510,100 $294,571 $178,250 $1,454 2 AVERAGE RENTAL RATE 2 Bedroom Apartment Rental Rate in 2016 BACHELOR 1 BEDROOM 2 BEDROOM 3+ BEDROOM OCTOBER 2015 $1,327 $1,512 $1,841 $2,209 OCTOBER 2016 $1,070 $1,251 $1,454 $1,705 30,882 3 Number of Dwellings 11,300 5 Jobs created in the next 5 years $36.50 6 Average Hourly Wage (Wood Buffalo/ ColdLake) 2.4X 5 Higher wages than Canadian Average in 2016 2017 Unemployment Rate 4 British Columbia 5.1% Manitoba 5.1% Ontario 6.2% Quebec 6.2% Saskatchewan 6.4% Canada 6.5% Wood Buffalo/Cold Lake 7.7% Alberta 7.9% Nova Scotia 8.2% New Brunswick 8.4% Prince Edward Island 9.4% Newfoundland and Labrador 14.4% Unemployment Rate 5 8.8% to 4.1% 2016 2021 1 Fort McMurray Real Estate Board, Market Statistics, June 2017 2 Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Rental Market Report Alberta Highlights 2017 3 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, Municipal Census 2015 (Pre-Wildfire number) 4 Statistics Canada, Labour force survey estimates by provinces and economic regions, accessed July 17, 2017 5 Conference Board of Canada, Wood Buffalo Region: Ready to Rebuild, 2017 6 Statistics Canada, Wages by Occupation, 2016
2016 HORSE RIVER WILDFIRE ON MAY 1, 2016, AN OUT-OF-CONTROL WILDFIRE BEGAN SOUTHWEST OF FORT MCMURRAY. Between May 3 June 1, 2016 a mandatory evacuation order was in place for Fort McMurray. 88,000 people were evacuated 1 Hwy 881 5,890 km 2 of land was burned this is about the size of Prince Edward Island 2 2,579 Dwellings Destroyed (Approximately 8% of all private dwellings in this area ) 3 2005 2015 $3.58 Billion 4 Canada s most expensive natural disaster 1 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, Wildfire Recovery Plan, 2016 2 Statistics Canada (Agriculture Division) Special tabulation, 2016 3 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, Recovery Task Force - Rebuild Pillar Progress Update, Accessed August 18, 2017 4 - Insurance Bureau of Canada and Conference Board of Canada, 2016
WILDFIRE RECOVERY & REBUILD CANADA AND LOCAL COMMUNITY ARE COMMITTED TO REBUILDING 946 As of August 2017, 946 development permits have been approved 1 2021 By 2021, the economic impacts associated with the 2016 Horse River Wildfire are expected to have dissipated 2 At the current pace, all the rebuilding activity should take three Hwy to 881 four years to complete 3 1/3 of all destroyed residential units have begun reconstruction 3 THE REBUILD WILL BE A BOOST TO REGIONAL ECONOMY 4 Drive employment up by 5.8% in 2017 (3,700 jobs) Creation of 11,300 jobs by 2021 GDP to increase 5.5% between 2017 and 2021 Approximately $5.4B will be invested For Wildfire Recovery Progress updates visit: www.rmwb.ca/recoveryprogress 1 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, Recovery Task Force - Rebuild Pillar Progress Update, Accessed August 18, 2017 2 Conference Board of Canada, Wood Buffalo Region: Ready to Rebuild, 2017 3 Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Rebuilding Fort McMurray: one year later, 2017 4 Conference Board of Canada, Moving Forward: The Economic Impact of Rebuilding the Wood Buffalo Region s Economy, 2017
Edmonton OIL SANDS INDUSTRY GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND IS PREDICTED TO INCREASE 31% BY 2040 1 With conventional oil supply declining, the need for unconventional resources, like Oil Sands, is increasing. 2 ATHABASCA OIL SANDS QUICK FACTS: Hwy 881 Peace River Area Alberta Fort McMurray Athabasca Area 96% Oil Reserves Canada has the 3rd largest oil reserves in the world with 96% of these reserves located in the Oil Sands. 3 6,000+ Did you know that over 6,000 everyday products are made from oil? 15+ Companies 20+ Calgary Saskatchewan Oil Sands Deposits Cold Lake Area Active Projects 100+ billion barrels remaining Active mining 904km 2 footprint Smart Phones Petro/ Propane Dentures Parachutes Tires Minable 4,800km 2 area 1 International Energy Agency, 2016 World Energy Outlook 2 Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, Canada s Oil Sands, 2016 3 International Energy Agency, 2016 World Energy Outlook
OIL SANDS PRODUCTION IT IS EXPECTED THAT OVER THE NEXT 20 YEARS, OIL SANDS COMPANIES ACROSS ALBERTA WILL SPEND APPROXIMATELY $1 TRILLION IN CAPITAL AND OPERATING COSTS. 1 Hwy 881 OIL SANDS PRODUCTION (2016 2030) 2 Canadian Oil Sands Production has increased dramatically over the YEAR 2006 1 M 2015 2.4 M 2030 3.7 M BARRELS PER DAY (MILLIONS) 4 Trillon 2 past 10 years and is expected to grow. Approximately 80% of this production occurs within the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo s Athabasca Oil Sands. 2 Oil Sands development is expected to contribute more than $4 Trillion to the Canadian economy over the next 20 years. 1 - CERI Canadian Oil Sands Supply Costs and Development Projects (2016-2036) 2 - Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, Canada s Oil Sands, 2016
QUALITY OF LIFE 1 Indoor Water Park 4 Indoor Swimming Pools 7 Spray Parks 3runing tracks 5 Football/ Rugby Fields 10 Basketball Courts 19 Baseball Diamonds 15 Hockey Rinks 2 Volleyball Courts 22 Soccer Fields 6 Tennis Courts 2 Golf Clubs +130km of trails 4 Community Fitness Centres 3 skate parks
QUALITY OF LIFE 35 Schools Public Transit System 1 Regional Hospital 3 Provincial Campgrounds 5 off leash parks
QUALITY OF LIFE Fort Chipewyan Bicentennial Museum Heritage Shipyard Heritage Village Oil Sands Discovery Centre Keyano Art Gallery MacDonald Island Community Art Gallery presented by Kirschner Family Corporation Meicho Art Gallery Points North Gallery Keyano Theatre and Arts Centre Suncor Energy Centre for the Performing Arts Westwood Community Highschool Cheepiyak Theatre Annual Events & Festivals Canada Day Parade & Family Festivities Culture Days Fort McKay Treaty Days Home and Leisure Trade Shows ignight Métis Festival Multicultural EXPO National Aboriginal Day Santa Claus Parade The Craze Urban Market WinterPLAY For more details and other event and festival listings, visit: rmwb.ca/festivals or rmwb.ca/events