Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Audio recordings are made of this meeting
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 1 Review and Approve Draft Meeting Minutes Minutes from January 21, 2015 Noise Oversight Committee Meeting
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 2 Review of Operations Report Summary January 2015 February 2015
Technical Advisor s Report Summary MSP Complaints January February 2015 6,054 6,976 2014 4,974 4,070 Complaints Complainants Complaints Total 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Complainants Total
Technical Advisor s Report Summary Total Aircraft Operations January February 2015 31,371 29,033 2014 33,048 29,772 2014 2015 Operations Total 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 33,048 31,371 29,772 29,033 36,318 33,827 34,377 35,659 37,306 36,689 33,085 34,595 31,256 32,613 5,000 0
Technical Advisor s Report Summary Air Carrier Jet Operations January February 2015 29,248 27,012 2014 30,422 27,602 Air Carrier Jet Fleet Composition January February Regional Jet Modified Stage 3 Other Regional Jet Modified Stage 3 Other 2015 48.5% <0.0% 51.5% 47.1% <0.0% 52.8% 2014 51.4% <0.0% 48.6% 50.7% <0.0% 49.3%
MSP Passenger Data Major Air Carrier Operations and Passengers 3,000,000 Passengers Operations 25,000 2,500,000 20,000 Passengers 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Operations 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Passengers 1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Regional Air Carrier Operations and Passengers Passengers Operations Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Metropolitan Airports Commission s Finance Department Monthly Passenger and Operations Reports 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Operations
Technical Advisor s Report Summary Nighttime Operations (10:30pm - 6:00 am) January February All Nighttime Operations 2015 1,511 1,487 2014 1,404 1,250 All Nighttime Use Percentages Runway January 2015 February 2015 Arrivals 4 0% 0.4% 12L 10.3% 8.5% 12R 23.1% 24.2% 17 0% 0% 22 0% 0.9% 30L 46.7% 51.5% 30R 17.6% 14.2% 35 2.3% 0.3% All Nighttime Use Percentages Runway January 2015 February 2015 Departures 4 0% 0.6% 12L 12.5% 11.2% 12R 29.2% 17.6% 17 13.9% 10.6% 22 0.3% 0.6% 30L 33.1% 40.7% 30R 11.1% 18.5% 35 0% 0%
400 January 2015 Nighttime Vs Carrier Jet Operations 10:30 pm - 6:00 am AAL DAL FDX FFT NKS SCX SWA UAL UPS Other AWE 300 Operations 200 100 0 A D A D A D A D A D A D A D A D 22:30 23:00 00:00 01:00 02:00 03:00 04:00 05:00 Airline Code Airline Name Modified Stage Modified Stage 3 3 Manufactured Stage 3 Manufactured Stage 3 Total Total DAL Delta 0 0 67 296 67 296 SCX Sun Country 0 0 89 294 89 294 NKS Spirit 0 0 111 140 111 140 AWE US Airways 0 0 88 113 88 113 AAL American 0 0 90 93 90 93 SWA Southwest 0 0 47 67 47 67 UPS UPS 0 0 60 64 60 64 FFT Frontier Airlines 0 0 14 48 14 48 UAL United 0 0 50 28 50 28 FDX Fedex 0 0 38 30 38 30 Other Other 0 3 0 264 0 267 Total 3 654 1437 654 1440
400 February 2015 Nighttime Vs Carrier Jet Operations 10:30 pm - 6:00 am AAL DAL FDX FFT NKS SCX SWA UAL UPS Other AWE Operations 300 200 100 0 A D A D A D A D A D A D A D A D 22:30 23:00 00:00 01:00 02:00 03:00 04:00 05:00 Airline Code Airline Name Modified Stage Modified Stage 3 3 Manufactured Stage 3 Manufactured Stage 3 Total Total DAL Delta 0 0 77 334 77 334 SCX Sun Country 0 0 170 303 170 303 NKS Spirit 0 0 112 126 112 126 AWE US Airways 0 0 79 123 79 123 AAL American 0 0 76 83 76 83 SWA Southwest 0 0 51 58 51 58 UPS UPS 0 0 57 63 57 63 FFT Frontier Airlines 0 0 56 47 56 47 UAL United 0 0 40 31 40 31 FDX Fedex 0 0 40 33 40 33 Other Other 0 3 0 213 0 216 Total 3 758 1414 758 1417 10
Runway 17 Departure Analysis Summary January February Runway 17 Carrier Jet Departures Compliance with Runway 17 Carrier Jet Departure Procedure 4,116 3,297 99.5% 99.5%
Eagan-Mendota Heights Departure Corridor Analysis Summary January February Runways 12L and 12R Carrier Jet Departures Carrier Jets Remaining in Corridor 2,683 2,144 94.1% 96.9%
Crossing-in-the-Corridor Analysis Summary Carrier Jet Departures Crossing-in-the-Corridor Nighttime (23:00-06:00) Carrier Jet Departures Crossing-in-the-Corridor Daytime (06:00-23:00) January 54 (56%) 878 (34%) February 37 (50%) 646 (31%)
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 3 Presentation: Runway Use System and RNAV STAR Update Elaine Buckner, FAA Air Traffic Manager
RNAV STAR Update MSP Area Navigation (RNAV) Standard Terminal Arrival Routes (STARs) were published by the FAA on March 5, 2015. Use of the RNAV STARs at MSP is anticipated to begin on March 24, 2015. Implementation of the MSP Required Navigation Performance (RNP) portion of the STARs is anticipated to begin on April 30, 2015.
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 4 Presentation: MSP 2035 Long Term Comprehensive Plan (LTCP) Neil Ralston, MAC Airport Planner
2035 Long-Term Comprehensive Plan 18 March 2015 Noise Oversight Committee (NOC) MSP 2035 LTCP Status Update
Briefing Agenda Purpose Planning Process Goals & Objectives Stakeholder Outreach Planning Parameters Timeline MSP 2014 Aerial Photo
Purpose Identify future facility needs for the next 20 years Serve as the road map to guide our development strategy for MSP over the next 5-10 years LTCP Purpose 2030 LTCP (July 2010) Rapid pace of change
LTCP Process Activity Forecasts Passenger and aircraft operations projections to 2035 Includes non-passenger aircraft operations (Cargo, GA, MIL) Preview: ~27m passenger boardings and ~511k aircraft operations by 2035 Forecast scenarios Historical vs. Forecast Aircraft Operations Source: HNTB Draft Forecast Technical Memorandum
Facility Requirements Areas of Emphasis Entrance/Exit Roadways Departures & Arrivals Curbs Public Parking Passenger Hold Rooms Aircraft Gates Incorporating ongoing improvement programs LTCP Process, cont d
LTCP Process, cont d Development Alternatives Examples Gate Configurations on Concourses A & B Arrivals Curbfront Recommended Development Program Environmental Considerations Recommended Plan from 2030 LTCP
Goals LTCP Goals & Objectives Overall aspirations for planning process 3 Primary Goals Objectives Specific, actionable items Contribute to goal achievement Provides focus and direction when evaluating planning concepts
LTCP Goals & Objectives, cont d Goal #1: Plan for future facilities that will maintain and enhance the customer service experience while promoting operational efficiency and flexibility throughout the entire MSP campus. Objectives include: Reduce curbside congestion Providing a consistent departure hold room experience Enhance aircraft gate availability and flexibility Consider changing passenger demographics, trends, and behaviors
LTCP Goals & Objectives, cont d Goal #2: Produce a plan that promotes fiscal viability, incorporates environmental stewardship, and infuses sustainable thinking while at the same time enhancing the Airport s competitive position in the marketplace. Objectives include: Ensure that the development program is fiscally responsible Consider building life-cycle and longevity in decision making
LTCP Goals & Objectives, cont d Goal #3: Through the planning process, expand effectiveness through strengthened external relationships and partnerships with customers, tenants, neighboring communities, and governmental agencies. Objectives include: Seek to foster consensus among key stakeholders Employ a focused public involvement program to inform, educate, and receive feedback
LTCP Stakeholder Outreach Strategy Prior to Completion of Draft LTCP (April June) Municipal Planning Departments Plan Commissions/City Councils if recommended Other External Stakeholders (FAA, MnDOT, Met Council) Internal Tenant Groups Public Information Meeting Formal Draft LTCP Public Review Period (July - August) Written comment period (30 days) Public Information Meetings Met Council LTCP Final Draft/Adoption (September December) Additional stakeholder outreach as needed
Planning Parameters Operational factors Level of Service Standards Desired performance criteria LTCP Planning Parameters Identifying facility gaps and trigger points for future development phases Terminal Modeling (T1) Source: Ricondo & Associates
LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d EXAMPLE: Planning Basis Terminal Departure Flows Departure Curb Departure Landside Concessions Check-In Process Rate: Kiosk: 2-3 min/pax Bag Drop: 1-5 min/pax Wait: U.S. Airline: 0-12 min Foreign Airline: 0-20 min. 14 ft 2 /pax in Queue Security Process Rate: Standard - 160 pax/hr Pre - 250 pax/hr *50% of Pax in Pre Wait: 0-10 min. 10.8 ft 2 /pax in Queue Airside Concessions Holdroom Area: 65% Pax Seated 35% Pax Standing 17 ft 2 per Seated pax 12 ft 2 per Standing pax Aircraft Outbound Bag Screening Outbound Bag Makeup 40 bags/cart Source: Ricondo & Associates
LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d EXAMPLE: Planning Basis Terminal Departure Flows Departure Curb Departure Landside Concessions Check-In Process Rate: Kiosk: 2-3 min/pax Bag Drop: 1-5 min/pax Wait: U.S. Airline: 0-12 min Foreign Airline: 0-20 min. 14 ft 2 /pax in Queue Security Process Rate: Standard - 160 pax/hr Pre - 250 pax/hr *50% of Pax in Pre Wait: 0-10 min. 10.8 ft 2 /pax in Queue Airside Concessions Holdroom Area: 65% Pax Seated 35% Pax Standing 17 ft 2 per Seated pax 12 ft 2 per Standing pax Aircraft Outbound Bag Screening Outbound Bag Makeup 40 bags/cart Source: Ricondo & Associates
LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d EXAMPLE: Planning Basis Terminal Departure Flows Departure Curb Departure Landside Concessions Check-In Process Rate: Kiosk: 2-3 min/pax Bag Drop: 1-5 min/pax Wait: U.S. Airline: 0-12 min Foreign Airline: 0-20 min. 14 ft 2 /pax in Queue Security Process Rate: Standard - 160 pax/hr Pre - 250 pax/hr *50% of Pax in Pre Wait: 0-10 min. 10.8 ft 2 /pax in Queue Airside Concessions Holdroom Area: 65% Pax Seated 35% Pax Standing 17 ft 2 per Seated pax 12 ft 2 per Standing pax Aircraft Outbound Bag Screening Outbound Bag Makeup 40 bags/cart Source: Ricondo & Associates
LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d EXAMPLE: Planning Basis Terminal Departure Flows Departure Curb Departure Landside Concessions Check-In Process Rate: Kiosk: 2-3 min/pax Bag Drop: 1-5 min/pax Wait: U.S. Airline: 0-12 min Foreign Airline: 0-20 min. 14 ft 2 /pax in Queue Security Process Rate: Standard - 160 pax/hr Pre - 250 pax/hr *50% of Pax in Pre Wait: 0-10 min. 10.8 ft 2 /pax in Queue Airside Concessions Holdroom Area: 65% Pax Seated 35% Pax Standing 17 ft 2 per Seated pax 12 ft 2 per Standing pax Aircraft Outbound Bag Screening Outbound Bag Makeup 40 bags/cart Source: Ricondo & Associates
EXAMPLE: Show-Up Profile LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d Source: Ricondo & Associates
EXAMPLE: Show-Up Profile LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d Source: Ricondo & Associates
EXAMPLE: Show-Up Profile LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d Source: Ricondo & Associates
EXAMPLE: Show-Up Profile LTCP Planning Parameters, cont d Source: Ricondo & Associates
LTCP Timeline Forecasts Facility Requirements Development Alternatives Recommended Development Program Environmental Considerations Draft LTCP Report Stakeholder Outreach JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN Stakeholder Outreach Public Review Incorporate Feedback into Final Plan Adopt Final Plan JANUARY APRIL MAY JUN JULY AUGUST SEPTEMBER DECEMBER
LTCP Timeline Forecasts Facility Requirements Development Alternatives Recommended Development Program Environmental Considerations Draft LTCP Report Stakeholder Outreach JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN Stakeholder Outreach Public Review Incorporate Feedback into Final Plan Adopt Final Plan JANUARY APRIL MAY JUN JULY AUGUST SEPTEMBER DECEMBER
Upcoming Briefings PD&E Committee April Forecast & Facility Requirements Summary May Development Alternatives Overview June LTCP Recommended Plan Overview July Request to Circulate Draft LTCP Report November Request to Submit Final Draft LTCP to Met Council Noise Oversight Committee (NOC) May LTCP Update July LTCP Update ** Planned briefing schedule and content subject to change pending LTCP timeline and status**
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 5 2014 Annual Noise Contour Report The Noise Mitigation Consent Decree requires the MAC to prepare a annual noise contour report using the FAA s Integrated Noise Model (INM). On February 27, 2015 MAC staff completed the eighth Annual Noise Contour Report consistent with the requirements laid out in the Consent Decree. The Consent Decree was amended in October 2013 to establish a threeconsecutive year mitigation eligibility requirement, compared to the 2007 DNL forecast contours.
2014 Annual Noise Contour Report (continued) The MAC retained the services of HNTB for the preparation of the INM inputs and to run a quality check on the noise contours. 2014 is the second year of actual noise mapping to establish mitigation eligibility, per the Consent Decree Amendment. The only residential properties that meet the mitigation eligibility criteria are located in the City of Minneapolis. 285 single-family homes meet the 1 st year of eligibility. 137 single-family homes and 89 multi-family units meet the 2 nd year of eligibility (all homes that met the 1 st year in 2013 moved into the 2 nd year in 2014).
2014 Annual Noise Contour Report (continued) The 2014 total operations were 29.3% below the 2007 forecast mitigated total operations. The 2014 total operations are down 4.6% from 2013. Modified ( hushkitted ) Stage 3 average daily operations in 2014 were down 99.9% from the 2007 forecast mitigated number. Nighttime operations in 2014 decreased by 28 average daily operations from the 2007 forecast mitigated number. Table 3.1 MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 2007 Mitigated Forecast vs. 2014 Annual Total Operations Summary Operations Category 2014 * 2007 Forecasted Passenger Air Carrier (a) 375,072 523,472 Cargo 12,199 21,158 Charter 190 5,766 GA 21,862 28,846 Military 2,437 3,124 TOTAL 411,760 582,366 Notes: (a) Includes both air carrier and regional carrier operations (b) Includes both GA and non-scheduled air taxi operations * Based on actual 2014 MACNOMS data adjusted to match FAA ATADS data (to account for unavailable MACNOMS operations data).
2014 Annual Noise Contour Report (continued) The 2014 actual noise contour is smaller than the 2007 forecast mitigated contour by 6,949.9 acres (44.2% reduction) in the 60 DNL contour and by 3,755.5 acres (51.9% reduction) in the 65 DNL contour. The predominant contraction in the contours from the 2007 forecast mitigated to the 2014 actual noise contour is driven largely by fleet mix changes, including a significant reduction in Modified ( hushkitted ) Stage 3 aircraft operations, and a significant reduction of total annual operations. The small area where the 2014 actual noise contour extends beyond the 2007 forecast mitigated noise contour can largely be attributed to nighttime runway use variances between what was forecasted and what was occurring in 2014, particularly an increase in nighttime arrival operations on Runway 12R.
2014 Annual Noise Contour Report (continued) 1 st Year of Mitigation Eligibility 120 single-family homes moved from the 60-62 DNL contour into the 2014 63 DNL contour 39 single-family homes previously eligible for homeowner reimbursement moved into the 2014 60-62 DNL contour 126 single-family homes previously outside the mitigation area moved into the 2014 60-62 DNL contour 2 nd Year of Mitigation Eligibility 119 single-family homes previously eligible for homeowner reimbursement moved into the 2014 60 DNL contour 18 single-family homes previously outside the mitigation area moved into the 2014 60 DNL contour 89 multi-family units previously outside the mitigation area moved into the 2014 60 DNL contour If these blocks remain within a higher noise impact area for 3 consecutive years, they will be eligible for additional mitigation in accordance with the First Amendment to the Consent Decree.
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 6 Nighttime Operations Assessment The 2015 NOC Work Plan includes an assessment of nighttime operations at MSP. Resident concerns and comments are one of the primary catalysts for the continuing evaluation of nighttime operations at MSP. Federal policy virtually prohibits mandatory nighttime restrictions at public-use airports, such as MSP.
Analysis focuses on the following: Nighttime Operations Assessment (continued) Average daily nighttime operations at MSP from 2005 to 2014 Annual average daily INM nighttime operations from 2005 to 2014 compared to the 2007 forecast annual average daily nighttime operations MSP all nighttime and carrier jet nighttime operations runway use summary for 2014 and 2013 MSP INM nighttime (10:00 p.m. to 7:00 a.m.) operations runway use summary for 2014 and 2013 A breakdown of the top 15 nighttime carrier jet operators for 2014 and 2013 A breakdown of the fleet mix for the top 15 nighttime airlines for 2014 and 2013 Average daily MSP nighttime operations by hour for 2014 and 2013 A comparison and breakdown of scheduled nighttime operations and the fleet mix of the scheduled operations for 2014 and 2013 A comparison of the scheduled nighttime operations vs. actual nighttime operations for 2014 and 2013
Average Daily Nighttime Operations 10:30pm - 6:00am 80 75 73.2 72.6 70 67.9 Average Daily Operations 65 60 55 65.3 56.4 51.2 50 48.6 45 44.7 46.2 40 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 43.5
Average Daily INM Nighttime Operations 10 pm - 7 am Average Daily 2007 Forecast (123.3) Average Daily Hushkits 2007 Forecast Hushkits (21.7) 160 140 127.1 127.2 131.5 127.1 Average Daily Operations 120 100 80 60 107.8 94.5 107.2 99.1 98.2 94.5 40 20 0 19.8 18.6 18.9 12.0 6.8 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
MSP Nighttime Runway Usage Summary of All Operations (10:30 p.m. to 6 a.m.) 0.0 0.0 2014 2013 0.0% 0.0% 2014 2013 Average Daily Nighttime Operations Count by Runway Total Nighttime Operations Percentage by Runway 2014 ARR = 40.5 DEP = 10.7 TOTAL = 51.2 2013 ARR = 35.3 DEP = 11.0 TOTAL = 46.2 2014 ARR = 14,770 DEP = 3,912 TOTAL = 18,682 2013 ARR = 12,868 DEP = 4,011 TOTAL = 16,879
MSP Nighttime Runway Usage Summary of Carrier Jet Operations (10:30 p.m. to 6 a.m.) 0.0 0.0 2014 2013 0.0% 0.0% 2014 2013 Average Daily Nighttime Operations Count by Runway Total Nighttime Operations Percentage by Runway 2014 ARR = 38.2 DEP = 8.0 TOTAL = 46.2 2013 ARR = 31.7 DEP = 9.6 TOTAL = 41.3 2014 ARR = 13,929 DEP = 3,367 TOTAL = 17,296 2013 ARR = 11,569 DEP = 3,505 TOTAL = 15,074
MSP Nighttime Runway Usage Summary of All Operations INM Hours (10:00 p.m. to 7 a.m.) 0.0 0.0 2014 2013 0.0% 0.0% 2014 2013 Average Daily Nighttime Operations Count by Runway Total Nighttime Operations Percentage by Runway 2014 ARR = 54.2 DEP = 40.3 TOTAL = 94.5 2013 ARR = 51.6 DEP = 46.6 TOTAL = 98.2 2014 ARR = 19,795 DEP = 14,714 TOTAL = 34,509 2013 ARR = 18,834 DEP = 17,008 TOTAL = 35,842
Nighttime Operations Assessment (continued) In 2014, all nighttime operations increased 10.7% from 2013 (carrier jet nighttime ops increased 14.7% over the same time period) The top 15 nighttime jet operators represent 95.7% of the total nighttime carrier jet operations in 2014 (Top three carriers: DAL, SCX, NKS). In 2013 the top 15 represented 94.3%. (Top three carriers: DAL, SCX, AWE). Of the top 15 nighttime jet operators, 100% of the operations were flown with Stage 3 Manufactured aircraft in 2014. The most prevalent time period for nighttime operations in 2014 was 23:00 to 00:00 (15.1 average daily night ops 29.8%) and 05:00 to 06:00 (14.0 average daily night ops 25.2%)
Nighttime Operations Assessment (continued) 9,595 scheduled nighttime flights for 2014 vs. 7,466 scheduled nighttime flights for 2013 (28% increase) Top three carrier scheduled night ops for 2014 DAL 1,837 SCX 1,608 UAL 1,046 nighttime carrier ops for 2014 (MACNOMS) 17,296 vs. scheduled nighttime ops for 2014 (OAG) 9,595
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 7 Review of the January 27, 2015 Public Input Meeting On January 27, 2015 at 7:00 pm MAC Noise Program Office staff conducted the first quarter 2015 public input meeting at the Richfield Municipal Building, 6700 Portland Avenue South. There were 7 people who attended the meeting, 4 individuals made comments at the meeting, 1 individual submitted comments via the Public Input Meeting Form on the Noise Program website and no comment forms were submitted at the meeting. The comments and associated responses can be found on the MAC Noise Program s website, accessible on the Internet at www.macnoise.com. Specifically, comments/questions focused on: Frequency of aircraft overflights RNAV arrival procedure implementation Public involvement in the MSP Long Term Comprehensive Plan Nighttime curfew at MSP The next quarterly public input meeting is planned for April 28, 2015, 7:00 p.m., at the Richfield Municipal Building, 6700 Portland Avenue South.
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 Item 8 Public Comment Period
Noise Oversight Committee March 18, 2015 The next NOC Meeting is scheduled for May 20, 2015, 1:30 p.m., at the MAC General Offices at 6040 28 th Avenue South, Minneapolis