Reporting Date: January 18, 2016 Results of Tourism Activity Mexico, November 2015 Reserva de la Biósfera El Cielo, Tamaulipas. San Juan de Ulúa, Veracruz. Museo de la Muerte, Aguascalientes. Xilitla, San Luis Potosí. Undersecretariat of Planning and Tourism Policy
Million tourists Million visitors International visitors Chart 1. According to Banco de México, during November of 2015 the number of international visitors arriving to Mexico was 7.6 million, representing 0.5 million higher than November 2014, this means an increase of 6.6% in comparison to the same month of the previous year*. 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 Chart 1. Monthly Arrival of International visitors 7.2 7.7 7.5 7.6 7.2 8.0 7.1 7.1 7.2 6.8 6.8 7.3 6.5 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.3 6.5 6.6 5.7 (Million visitors) 2014: 73.1 2015: 78.7 Change: 7.7% * NOTE: In the charts, the sum of monthly data doesn t match to the cumulative period, due to rounded. International tourists Chart 2. The arrival of international tourists in November 2015 was 2.8 million, reaching 0.2 million more than November 2014, representing 9.0% higher in comparison to the same month of the previous year. Chart 2. Monthly Arrival of International tourists 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.4 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.4 2.1 2.8 2.6 3.3 (Million tourists) 2014: 26.0 2015: 28.5 Change: 9.6% 1.0 Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic 1
1,388.9 1,379.1 1,657.1 1,330.3 1,257.3 1,407.2 1,462.6 1,211.7 902.6 1,085.6 1,332.2 1,793.8 997.2 Millon dollars 1,363.5 1,256.0 1,176.6 1,580.3 1,505.7 1,521.0 1,469.1 1,386.0 1,545.9 1,735.8 Foreign Currency Income by International visitors 1,900 1,700 1,500 1,300 Chart 3. Foreign currency income from the arrival of international visitors during November of 2015 was 1,386.0 million of dollars, this means an increase of 53.8 million of dollars (4.0%) in comparison to November of 2014. Chart 3. Montly Income of Foreing Currency to Mexico from International visitors (Million dollars) 2014: 14,415 2015: 15,537 1,100 Change: 7.8% 900 700 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Tourism Balance by International visitors Chart 4. The tourism balance by international visitors in November 2015, registered 481.0 million of dollars, representing an increase of 11.5% in comparison to the same month of 2014 814.0 431.5 250.0 136.5 294.1 622.8 671.9 504.2 548.1 997.4 772.3 559.9 Chart 4. Monthly Result of Tourism Balance from International Visitors 318.7 223.1 326.8 481.0 522.0 647.3 680.8 656.6 721.2 2 836.1 2015 2014 1,006.6 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 Million of dollars (Million dollars) 2014: 5,789 2015: 6,420 Change: 10.9%
1,218.9 1,226.3 1,480.0 1,165.7 1,105.1 1,260.0 1,316.5 1,066.8 767.7 925.6 1,168.8 1,618.5 852.7 Millon dollars 1,208.6 1,109.7 1,014.0 1,411.4 1,348.3 1,353.1 1,317.0 1,222.7 1,388.6 1,556.2 Foreign Currency Income by International tourists Chart 5. Foreign currency income from international tourists in November 2015 registered 1,222.7 million of dollars, this means an increase of 53.9 million of dollars (4.6%) in comparison to November of 2014. 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 Chart 5. Montly Income of Foreing Currency to Mexico from International Tourists (Million dollars) 2014: 12,701 2015: 13,782 Change: 8.5% Tourism Balance by International tourists Chart 6. The tourism balance by international tourists during November of 2015 showed a positive result of 574.4 million of dollars, representing an increase of 4.0% in comparison to the same month of 2014 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan 952.8 552.4 336.9 234.3 390.7 719.0 770.1 599.7 614.7 1,064.2 835.1 639.6 Chart 6. Monthly Result of Tourism Balance from International Tourists 311 407 415 574 639 741 793 745 3 809 922 2015 2014 1,099 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 Million dollars (Million dollars) 2014: 5,789 2015: 6,420 Change: 10.9%
Thousands of tourists Average Expenditure by International tourists Chart 7. During November of 2015, the average expenditure of international tourists was 439.3 dollars, representing a decrease of 18.4 dollars (-4.0%) in comparison to November 2014. Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Chart 7. Average Monthly Expenditure of International tourists 489.7 457.7 440.5 428.7 449.3 499.6 503.8 463.0 500.5 541.1 541.6 514.5 400.2 421.9 439.3 435.5 464.2 481.2 475.9 535.1 350 450 550 547.3 545.4 548.9 Long-Stay tourists to Mexico 2015 2014 Chart 8. The long-stay tourists arrival increased 14.2% in November 2015, in comparison to the same month of 2014. About 85.0% entered by air while the remaining 15.0% entered by land. Chart 8. Transport of International Long-Stay tourists 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 (13.2%) 13,622 12,029 (20.0%) 2,410 2,009 14,037 Dollars (14.2%) 16,031 (Dollars) YTD October 2014: 487.8 YTD October 2015: 482.5 Change: -1.0% YTD November 2014 YTD November 2015 0 By air By land 4
844.7 873.2 899.7 866.2 866.5 852.5 779.6 838.0 762.7 841.7 757.7 864.7 743.9 845.1 734.7 832.6 748.7 787.5 910.5 893.0 871.6 902.9 837.1 Dollars Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists Distribution of International Long-Stay tourists' Expenditure during January-November 2015 Chart 9. From January to November 2015, the most meaningful expenditure of long-stay tourists was made by those arriving by air, totaling 12,260 million dollars (93.9%). By air (12,260.3 mdd) 93.9% By land (802.6 mdd) 6.1% Average Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists Chart 10. The average expenditure of long-stay tourists decreased 10.1% during November of 2015 in comparison to the same month of the previous year, with 748.7 dollars. Chart 10. Average Monthly Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists 950 900 850 Cumulated (Dollars) 2014: 857.3 2015: 814.8 800 Change: -5.0% 750 700 5
Thousands of tourists Border tourists to México Chart 11. The border tourists arrival increased 4.3% during January to November of 2015 compared to the same period last year; 83.0% entered by automobile while the remaining 17.0% were pedestrians. Chart 11. Transport of International Border tourists (4.3%) 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 (-2.4%) 2,179 2,127 9,824 (5.8%) 10,390 12,517 12,003 YTD November 2014 YTD November 2015 0 Pedestrians Automobiles Expenditure of Border tourists Chart 12. Distribution of International Border tourists' Expenditure during January-November 2015 Automobiles (619.3 mdd) 86.1% Pedestrians (100.0 mdd) 13.9% Chart 12. For the same period, the most meaningful expenditure of border tourists was made by those travelling by automobile, totaling 619 million dollars which represented 86.1% of all border tourists. 6
55.0 54.7 52.6 55.5 52.6 62.4 57.9 53.5 57.5 54.0 55.8 54.4 56.5 55.3 54.1 55.4 53.2 58.0 57.9 58.1 60.9 62.2 61.1 Dollars Average Expenditure of Border tourists 70 65 60 Chart 13. The average expenditure of border tourists decreased 4.5% in November of 2015 in comparison to the same month of the previous year, with 53.2 dollars. Gráfica 13. Average Monthly Expenditure of Border tourists (Dollars) 2014: 55.6 2015: 57.5 Change: 3.4% 55 50 45 International Visitors to México Arriving by Air (main nationalities) Chart 14. In January- November of 2015, the American air-coming visitors represented 57.2% of all international passengers arriving by air. Chart 14. Participation of International Passengers 2015 From the Latin America and the Caribbean region, the country with the highest number of arrivals into México was Colombia with 366,904 visitors, increasing 25.5%. 7 Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB.
266,747 283,798 117,821 121,749 83,185 95,504 26,314 31,774 135,883 136,683 Passengers 828,040 858,434 912,419 1,086,446 907,692 990,803 603,649 693,283 535,933 626,559 852,111 960,944 Passengers 2,624,838 3,151,414 International passengers arriving by Air (Americans) Chart 15. The American visitors who arrived by air to Mexico increased 16.7% in the January-November period of 2015 in comparison to the same period of 2014, registered 7.5 million passengers who arrived firstly by Cancun Airport, followed by Mexico City Airport. 3,700,000 3,200,000 Chart 15. American passengers per Airport of American passengers 2,700,000 2,200,000 2014: 6,436,642 2015: 7,509,449 1,700,000 Change: 16.7% 1,200,000 700,000 200,000 Cancún, Q. Roo Ciudad de México (AICM) Los Cabos, B.C.S. Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Guadalajara, Jal. Others Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. International passengers arriving by Air (Canadians) Chart 16. The Canadian visitors who arrived by air to México was 4.8% higher during January-October of 2015 in comparison to the same period of 2014, exceeding 1.5 million passengers who arrived firstly by Cancún Airport, followed by Puerto Vallarta Airport. 910,000 760,000 Chart 16. Canadian passengers per Airport of Canadian passengers 610,000 2014: 1,457,990 2015: 1,527,942 460,000 Change: 4.8% 310,000 160,000 10,000 Cancún, Q. Roo Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Los Cabos, B.C.S. 8 Ciudad de México (AICM) Zihuatanejo, Gro. Others
Million of tourist Rate Percentage of Hotel Occupation Chart 17. The percentage of hotel occupation of a group of 70 resorts during the January-November of 2015 reached 59.6%, 2.5 points higher in comparison to the same period last year. 62% Chart 17. Percentage of Hotel Occupation 60% 58% 56% 57.13% 59.63% NOTE : The occupation is a weighted average. 54% 52% 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 2014 2015 Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by the Mexico s Tourism Information Statistics National System, DataTur. Gráfica 18. Arrivals of tourist to hotel rooms (76.2%) 45.6 Arrival of tourists to Hotels Chart 18. In the January-November period of 2015, the arrival of domestic tourists to hotel rooms was over 47.9 million tourists (76.2%), the remaining arrivals (23.8%) was of foreign tourists 47.9 (23.8%) 14.2 15.0 59.8 62.9 YTD November 2014 YTD November 2015 0.0 Domestic Foreing Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by the Mexico s Tourism Information Statistics National System, DataTur. 9
Thousands of passengers Thousands of passengers 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 Air Transportation Chart 19. The number of passengers arriving by air increased 13.2% in November of 2015 in comparison to the same month last year, reaching 4.8 million of passengers. 4,404 4,113 3,955 3,612 Chart 19. passengers 4,700 4,598 4,611 4,690 4,154 4,065 4,105 4,100 5,463 4,798 5,094 4,082 4,477 3,525 4,557 3,964 4,836 4,273 4,769 3,000 Preliminary figures. Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services. (million passengers) 2014: 45.2 2015: 51.0 Change: 12.8% Chart 20. The number of passengers by air arriving on domestic flights in November of 2015 was 3,230 passengers, representing 375 thousands additional passengers in comparison to the same month last year. Chart 20. Passengers in Domestic Flights 4,000 3,680 3,472 (million passengers) 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,951 3,003 3,107 3,150 3,230 3,058 2,888 3,238 2,705 3,055 3,034 2,432 2,540 2,522 2,657 2,775 2,793 2,855 2,668 2,512 2014: 29.8 2015: 33.7 Change: 13.0% 2,000 2,182 1,500 Preliminary figures. Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services. 10
Thousands of passengers Chart 21. The number of passengers by air arriving on international flights increased 13.3%, exceeding 189 thousands of passengers in November of 2015. Chart 21. Passengers on International Flights (million passengers) 1,900 1,650 1,400 1,150 1,699 1,573 1,523 1,431 1,749 1,633 1,595 1,408 1,505 1,329 1,632 1,432 1,782 1,560 1,623 1,422 1,194 1,408 1,171 1,607 1,418 1,735 2014: 15.4 2015: 17.3 Change: 12.5% 900 1,013 Preliminary figures. Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services. 11
Main Airports Figure 1. In the January-November period of 2015, the airports the highest number of international passengers were: Cancún (5,939,843), México City (3,008,861), Los Cabos (1,157,978), Puerto Vallarta (1,034,998) and Guadalajara (688,341); which represents 90.1% of all international passengers. Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. 12
Arrivals Thousands of passengers Maritime Transportation Chart 22. During November of 2015, the number of cruise passengers reached 568 thousands of passengers, representing a decrease of 0.03% in comparison to the same month of the previous year. Chart 22. Monthly Arrival of Passengers by Cruise 800 700 600 500 400 669 547 588 518 643 628 604 584 341 330 343 344 328 442 461 568 568 664 (Thousands passengers) 2014: 4,899 2015: 5,201 Change: 6.2% 300 200 355 282 333 336 288 100 - Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). Chart 23. The number of cruise s arrivals in November of 2015 decrease 5.4% in comparison to the same month of the previous year. 300 250 200 150 100 50 266 227 229 215 Chart 23. Monthly Cruise's Arrivals 240 229 237 223 125 106 106 105 115 138 90 100 100 103 171 169 210 222 267 (Arrivals) 2014: 1,824 2015: 1,902 Change: 4.3% - Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). 13
Main Ports Figure 2. In the January-November period of 2015, the ports that received the highest number of passengers were the following: Cozumel, Ensenada and Majahual; representing 76.6% of all the arrivals in the period. On the other hand, according to Banco de México, foreign currency income from cruise visitors contributed with 2.4% of the total. Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). 14
Macroeconomic Indicators Macroeconomic Perspective on Key Indicators of Mexico Gross Domestic Product Inflation Entity Actual Variation (% dic/dic) 2015 2016 2015 2016 International Monetary Fund 2.31 2.80 2.62 3.02 OCDE 2.28 3.05 2.90 3.35 Banco de México Survey 2.45 2.74 2.24 3.32 Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit 2.0 a 2.8 2.6 a 3.6 3.00 3.00 N.a. Not available. Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (October 2015); OECD, Economic Outlook (2015/11); Banco de México, Expectations Survey Economic Specialists Private Sector (01/12/15); Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público, General Criteria for Economic Policy 2016. KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF MEXICO Entries 2015-II 2015-III 2015.01 2015.02 2015.03 2015.04 2015.05 2015.06 2015.07 2015.08 2015.09 2015.10 2015.11 General Economic Activity and Services Identified with Tourism Gross Domestic Product. Millions of current pesos 17,929,450 18,168,980. Real annual variation (%) 2.3 2.6 Tertiary activities - Air Transportation (481). Millions of current pesos 39,200 47,206. Actual Yearly Variation (%) 18.1 18.6 - Temporary Lodging Services (721). Millions of current pesos 190,639 198,552. Actual Yearly Variation (%) 5.3 6.4 - Food and Beverages Preparation Services (722). Millions of current pesos 196,151 210,332. Actual Yearly Variation (%) 3.7 7.8 Quarterly Indicators of Tourism Activity Tourism Gross Domestic Product. Real annual variation (%) 4.2 Internal Tourism Consumption. Real annual variation (%) 4.2 - Domestic tourism consumption. Real annual variation (%) 1.5 - Ibound tourism consumption. Real annual variation (%) 24.9 Tourism Employment People Employed in the Tourism Sector* 3,688,029 3,754,628 number of IMSS-Insure Workers an Unemployement Rate Employees insured by IMSS (average of the period) 17,624,490 17,845,765 17,299,371 17,433,062 17,538,198 17,603,315 17,595,860 17,674,295 17,718,986 17,791,345 17,908,989 18,055,468 18,187,747.Permanent 15,077,770 15,260,369 14,794,354 14,884,954 14,968,530 15,024,445 15,062,413 15,146,453 15,187,532 15,249,519 15,344,056 15,460,720 15,547,671.Non-permanent (urban and field) 2,546,720 2,585,396 2,505,017 2,548,108 2,569,668 2,578,870 2,533,447 2,527,842 2,531,454 2,541,826 2,564,933 2,594,748 2,640,076 Unemployment National Rate ** (closing of the period). Percentage of PEA 4.35 4.60 4.44 4.48 4.33 4.35 4.41 4.37 4.36 4.31 4.21 4.30 4.09 Exchange Rate and Prices*** National Price Index (closing of the period) Consumer (percent variation) 2.87% 2.52% 3.07% 3.00% 3.14% 3.06% 2.88% 2.87% 2.74% 2.59% 2.52% 2.48% 2.21%. Air transport (percent variation) 2.63% -4.50% 6.19% 6.16% 10.00% -9.24% 3.20% 2.63% 3.41% 3.48% -4.50% 0.08% 0.40%. Hotel (percent variation) 4.61% 4.46% 3.95% 5.31% 4.67% 4.13% 4.57% 4.61% 5.14% 4.88% 4.46% 4.85% 4.06%. Package Tourist Services (percent variation) 6.30% 6.33% 5.88% 4.57% 13.07% -3.13% 5.07% 6.30% 6.84% 6.64% 6.33% 7.47% 6.52%. Restaurants (percent variation) 4.50% 4.72% 5.38% 5.14% 5.00% 4.73% 4.65% 4.50% 4.31% 4.54% 4.72% 4.80% 5.06% Exchange Rate (peso / dollar).average of the period 15.312 14.676 14.917 15.200 15.223 15.256 15.456 15.888 16.488 16.837 16.602 16.635 Business Cycle Indicators and Consumer Confidence (montly difference****). Coincident Indicator 0.015 0.021 0.002-0.007-0.009-0.009-0.003 0.015 0.023 0.023 0.021 0.023 N.a.. Forward Indicator -0.089-0.056-0.104-0.088-0.093-0.091-0.090-0.089-0.086-0.078-0.056-0.028-0.016.Confidence Consumer Index -0.056 0.012 0.021-0.011-0.041-0.062-0.062-0.056-0.052-0.028 0.012 0.045 0.055 N.a. Not available. * Quarterly indicator with information of ENOE and CSTM. Fourth quarter data is indicated for annual data. ** Percentage of all the economically active population. Data at the end of the period for annual and monthly figures and average period for quarterly information. *** For prices of the consumer: at the end of the year are annual variations and same month previos year is for monthly data variation. **** Point monthly difference (closing of the period). Sources: SECTUR, INEGI, STPS, Banco de Mexico. 15